Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 504

September 20, 201430 counties in Illinois; 24 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 20, 2014, 2:12 PM CDT for 30 counties in Illinois; 24 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2014, 2:12 PM CDT (19:12 UTC)
Expired
Sep 20, 2014, 7:41 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Bureau County, IL, Cass County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Will County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Allen County, IN, Benton County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 2:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kankakee, Will33 min
Sep 20, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTKankakee, Will48 min
Sep 20, 3:14 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTPorter19 min
Sep 20, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Starke44 min
Sep 20, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTPorter17 min
Sep 20, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTKankakee45 min
Sep 20, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTIroquois37 min
Sep 20, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph and 1 more39 min
Sep 20, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTIroquois36 min
Sep 20, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Whitley46 min
Sep 20, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBenton, Jasper30 min
Sep 20, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben48 min
Sep 20, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb, Noble, Whitley39 min
Sep 20, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2014-09-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 46 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2014-09-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 107 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
46 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-295 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
792 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Cass, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt and 33 more95 min
Sep 20, 4:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas and 12 more113 min
Sep 20, 5:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFord, Iroquois56 min
Sep 20, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Cass, DeWitt, Fulton and 26 more2 hr
Sep 20, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGenesee, Ingham, Lapeer, Livingston, Oakland, Saint Clair and 3 more2 hr
Sep 20, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGenesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb and 8 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.