Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 16, 2014, 2:36 PM MDT for 9 counties in New Mexico; Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma; 12 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2014, 2:36 PM MDT (20:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 16, 2014, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 23 counties
Colfax County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Taos County, NM, Union County, NM, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Moore County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Sherman County, TX
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 176 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 3:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Colfax, Mora | 39 min |
| Jul 16, 3:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Colfax, Union | 25 min |
| Jul 16, 4:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hansford, Sherman | 64 min |
| Jul 16, 5:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Cimarron, Texas | 56 min |
| Jul 16, 5:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Union | 35 min |
| Jul 16, 5:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hansford, Hutchinson, Moore, Sherman | 67 min |
| Jul 16, 6:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Dallam, Sherman | 60 min |
| Jul 16, 6:04 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Sherman | 26 min |
| Jul 16, 6:29 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Dallam, Sherman | 46 min |
| Jul 16, 6:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Dallam, Hartley, Hutchinson, Moore, Sherman | 66 min |
| Jul 16, 7:27 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hartley, Moore | 48 min |
| Jul 16, 7:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hartley, Moore, Oldham, Potter | 73 min |
| Jul 16, 8:01 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Oldham, Potter | 15 min |
| Jul 16, 8:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Deaf Smith, Randall | 92 min |
| Jul 16, 9:19 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Potter, Randall | 4 hr |
| Jul 16, 9:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Deaf Smith, Oldham | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1512 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 7 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2:16 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harding, Quay, Union | 89 min |
| Jul 16, 1:28 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Cooke and 28 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.