Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 152

May 12, 201412 counties in Illinois; Clayton County, Iowa; 19 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 12, 2014, 3:49 PM CDT for 12 counties in Illinois; Clayton County, Iowa; 19 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 12, 2014, 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2014, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Clayton County, IA, Boone County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 12, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXJefferson, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha63 min
May 12, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXWalworth47 min
May 12, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Dodge, Jefferson44 min
May 12, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth23 min
May 12, 4:45 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth45 min
May 12, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXJefferson, Waukesha33 min
May 12, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth26 min
May 12, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine46 min
May 12, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLaSalle67 min
May 12, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Lake48 min
May 12, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle58 min
May 12, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage36 min
May 12, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXJefferson, Walworth, Waukesha33 min
May 12, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Kane, Lake, McHenry53 min
May 12, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Lake47 min
May 12, 7:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Kane, Lake, McHenry6 hr
May 12, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle60 min
May 12, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRacine13 min
May 12, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, Kane53 min
May 12, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXMilwaukee, Racine, Walworth, Waukesha31 min
May 12, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXMilwaukee, Waukesha27 min
May 12, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle, Winnebago54 min
May 12, 7:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMKXMilwaukee, Ozaukee, Waukesha113 min
May 12, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Kane51 min
May 12, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Kane, Lake, McHenry65 min
May 12, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle64 min
May 12, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWinnebago66 min
May 12, 8:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTBoone, Ogle, Winnebago6 hr
May 12, 8:38 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMKXKenosha, Racine3 hr
May 12, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone66 min
May 12, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth36 min
May 12, 9:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMKXJefferson, Milwaukee, Waukesha3 hr
May 12, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Will45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-05-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 850 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-05-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 223 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
850 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
666 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 8:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeWitt, Ford, Iroquois, Livingston, McLean58 min
May 12, 9:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 13 more84 min
May 12, 10:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Lake and 4 more6 hr
May 12, 11:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Fulton, Hancock and 16 more2 hr
May 12, 1:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bureau, Carroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry and 8 more7 hr
May 12, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Lake and 6 more54 min
May 12, 3:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Hancock, Henderson, Jo Daviess, McDonough, Mercer and 2 more54 min
May 12, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Jo Daviess, Lake, McHenry, Stephenson, Winnebago64 min
May 11, 7:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audubon, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clarke and 21 more56 min
May 11, 7:49 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone and 38 more7 hr
May 11, 9:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 31 more59 min
May 11, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page6 hr
May 11, 11:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone and 40 more59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.