Alert archive / Missouri / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

October 2, 2014Jasper County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this special weather statement at Oct 2, 2014, 3:13 PM CDT for Jasper County, Missouri. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 2, 2014, 3:13 PM CDT (20:13 UTC)
Expired: Oct 2, 2014, 4:00 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO

County Jasper County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2054 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 689 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 285 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 281 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.3
Supercell composite: 11.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 2, 2:24 PM CDT, 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 2:24 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
224 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening and tonight)

It was a stormy day over extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri
Ozarks. Heavy rain impacted a few areas north of Interstate 44
where spotty flooding was ongoing. Deeper into south central
Missouri and much of Arkansas, we continue to monitor a more unstable
environment, where temperatures have warmed into the 80s, and dew
points are in the low 70s. This environment is currently yielding
mixed layer capes at 2500 or better.

Large hail and damaging wind gusts continue to be the primary risk
with the more intense storms. However, we can not rule out a
couple tornadoes later this afternoon and evening, as the northern
Arkansas airmass continues to stream into southern Missouri.

Storms should end from west to east this evening, as the cold
front sweeps across the Ozarks.

A Canadian airmass will replace the current Gulf airmass, bring
temperatures down into the lower 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Thursday)

It's going to legitimately feel like late fall this weekend as
overnight lows could plummet into the mid and upper 30s early
Saturday morning. Lows in the 40s are expected Sunday and Monday
mornings, with highs only warming into 50s and 60s.

Warmer weather is expected on Monday as south winds return. These
south winds will be short-lived as another frontal system
approaches from the northwest Monday night. This feature could
also bring some rain showers Monday night and into Tuesday
morning.

Otherwise nothing too significant was signaled in the medium range
models through next Wednesday. However, there were some
indications of more stormy weather toward the end of next week.
We'll tackle some details on that as we progress with time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 521 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

The main aviation concerns for pilots flying in and out of the
Missouri Ozarks region will be strong to severe convection
developing today through this evening. On going convection this
morning will affect mainly JLN and later SGF. There will be a
small break in convection around midday with additional strong to
severe convection developing by mid to late afternoon.

Have the line of convection moving from west to east affecting JLN
earliest and BBG during the early evening hours. Convection will
taper to VCSH by the evening. There will be ceiling and
visibility drops to low end MVFR if not IFR possible under the
heaviest convection. Gusty and variable winds can be expected
under the strongest convection as well. Winds will generally be
out of ths south today switching to northwest behind a cold front
tonight. Overall trend for tonight will be a drop in ceilings to
low end MVFR flirting with IFR possibly for SGF and BBG.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>081-088-089.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Griffin

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 2, 1:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
106 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-031815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
106 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WELL OUT AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT OVER THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE STRONGER INSTABILITY
EXISTS. STRONGER INSTABILITY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON WILL FAVOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT WHERE TEMPERATURES
ARE IN THE LOWER 80S.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATER TODAY AND
THIS EVENING. A LINE OR BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND
MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A LIMITED RISK FOR TORNADOES IS
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS FRIDAY
NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 30S. THERE
WILL BE A RISK FOR PATCHY FROST LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING MAINLY IN VALLEYS AND PROTECTED AREAS. ANYONE
WITH SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS WILL NEED TO PAY ATTENTION TO THE
FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

DSA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 2:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
200 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

MOZ071-082-083-098-021930-
DENT MO-PHELPS MO-SHANNON MO-TEXAS MO-
200 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DENT...EASTERN PHELPS...
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS AND NORTHERN SHANNON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 159 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LENOX TO 4 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF LENOX TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTAUK...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH. WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUNKER...SALEM AND ST. JAMES.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE CURRENT
RIVER STATE PARK AND MONTAUK STATE PARK. INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 190 AND 199 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN DENT...EASTERN PHELPS...NORTHEASTERN TEXAS AND NORTHERN
SHANNON COUNTIES...INCLUDING MONTAUK STATE PARK...CURRENT RIVER STATE
PARK AND SALEM...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION
SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3759 9131 3751 9131 3750 9120 3729 9117
      3723 9180 3740 9178 3743 9176 3760 9175
      3760 9184 3769 9192 3805 9168 3805 9163
      3816 9161 3816 9153 3780 9152 3779 9131
      3771 9130 3770 9114 3759 9115
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 221DEG 37KT 3770 9178 3762 9170
          3738 9177

WISE

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 2:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
205 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

MOZ102-022000-
BARRY MO-
205 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN BARRY COUNTY UNTIL 300
PM CDT...

AT 204 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SELIGMAN...OR 19 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PINEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3649 9407 3659 9408 3688 9362 3682 9361
      3682 9357 3649 9359
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 233DEG 30KT 3642 9412

WISE

Local storm report, Oct 2, 2:33 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
233 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SALEM                   37.65N 91.54W
10/02/2014                   DENT               MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE REPORTED DOWN IN SALEM BLOCKING ROAD.

&&

JCOLUCCI

Local storm report, Oct 2, 2:38 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
238 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             PINEVILLE               36.59N 94.38W
10/02/2014  M1.00 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

DSA

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 2:59 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
259 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

MOZ083-098-022030-
DENT MO-SHANNON MO-
259 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL SHANNON AND
SOUTHEASTERN DENT COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 258 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GLADDEN...OR 17 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SALEM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...
AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BOSS...BUNKER...GLADDEN...HOWES MILL...
STONE HILL AND TURTLE.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN SHANNON AND SOUTHEASTERN DENT COUNTIES...INCLUDING
BUNKER...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3758 9117 3759 9131 3751 9131 3751 9121
      3750 9120 3741 9120 3733 9136 3746 9151
      3771 9129 3771 9115 3770 9114 3759 9115
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 228DEG 43KT 3744 9136

WISE

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 3:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
313 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

MOZ077-088-022100-
BARTON MO-JASPER MO-
313 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JASPER AND SOUTHEASTERN BARTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 312 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NECK CITY TO ORONOGO TO WESTERN JOPLIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
WINDS AROUND 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE AIRPORT DRIVE...ALBA...CARL JUNCTION...
CARTERVILLE...CARTHAGE...DUENWEG...DUQUESNE...GOLDEN CITY...IRON
GATES...JASPER...JOPLIN...ORONOGO...PURCELL...SARCOXIE AND WEBB CITY.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 7 AND 32 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY
THESE STORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3736 9459 3747 9408 3729 9408 3729 9405
      3723 9405 3705 9406 3706 9462 3715 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 246DEG 36KT 3730 9450 3719 9450
          3707 9454

WISE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 1, 7:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Morgan	30 min
Oct 1, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Miller, Morgan	37 min
Oct 2, 4:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Jasper	34 min
Oct 2, 5:24 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Barton, Jasper	4 hr
Oct 2, 5:46 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Benton, Morgan	3 hr
Oct 2, 7:55 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Morgan	4 hr
Oct 2, 9:02 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Benton	3 hr
Oct 2, 11:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Webster	29 min
Oct 2, 12:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Webster	27 min
Oct 2, 12:39 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Miller, Morgan	6 hr
Oct 2, 1:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Douglas, Wright	50 min
Oct 2, 1:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Texas	30 min
Oct 2, 1:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Taney	53 min
Oct 2, 1:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	47 min
Oct 2, 2:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Dent, Phelps	30 min
Oct 2, 2:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Barry	55 min
Oct 2, 2:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Phelps	52 min
Oct 2, 2:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Ozark, Taney	47 min
Oct 2, 2:33 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barton, Jasper, Newton, Vernon	5 hr
Oct 2, 2:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Dent	31 min
Oct 2, 3:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas	41 min
Oct 2, 3:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Barton	24 min
Oct 2, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	McDonald	37 min
Oct 2, 3:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Dade, Lawrence	34 min
Oct 2, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry	45 min
Oct 2, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Texas	37 min
Oct 2, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar, Dade	21 min
Oct 2, 4:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Morgan	38 min
Oct 2, 4:08 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Benton, Miller, Morgan	6 hr
Oct 2, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene, Polk	49 min
Oct 2, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Shannon	61 min
Oct 2, 4:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene	41 min
Oct 2, 4:28 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Barry, Christian, Dade, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 4 more	6 hr
Oct 2, 4:55 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Dent, Douglas, Howell, Maries, Ozark, Phelps and 4 more	14 hr
Oct 2, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas	43 min
Oct 2, 5:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas, Wright	37 min
Oct 2, 6:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Shannon	36 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Missouri, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.