Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Blacksburg, VA

279 
WWUS51 KRNK 110542
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
142 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

VAC019-163-530-110550-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140611T0600Z/
ROCKBRIDGE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-BEDFORD VA-

142 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN ROCKBRIDGE AND NORTHEASTERN BEDFORD COUNTIES AND THE
CITY OF BUENA VISTA IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED INTO 
AMHERST COUNTY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3779 7911 3778 7907 3772 7906 3770 7903
      3770 7899 3767 7897 3751 7924 3751 7927
      3759 7929 3779 7926 3779 7920 3781 7914
TIME...MOT...LOC 0540Z 235DEG 33KT 3768 7916 

$$

VAC009-110600-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140611T0600Z/
AMHERST VA-
142 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AMHERST 
COUNTY...

AT 140 AM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FORKS OF
BUFFALO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLIFFORD...
FORKS OF BUFFALO...
ALTO...
LOWESVILLE...
AND PLEASANT VIEW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY 
FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3779 7911 3778 7907 3772 7906 3770 7903
      3770 7899 3767 7897 3751 7924 3751 7927
      3759 7929 3779 7926 3779 7920 3781 7914
TIME...MOT...LOC 0540Z 235DEG 33KT 3768 7916 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

PM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
917 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH A COLD
FRONT TRAILING INTO TEXAS AND A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY. THIS LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY LATE
WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THEN MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 912 PM EDT TUESDAY...

INCREASED POPS IN THE WEST TO MATCH UP WITH WSR-88D TRENDS WITH
THE LINE OF CONVECTION LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. SHAPED
POPS TOWARDS HRRR AND RNKWRF ARW THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THE
00Z RNK SOUNDING SHOWED AMPLE INSTABILITY FOR STRONG
UPDRAFTS...WITH SUFFICIENT MEAN FLOW TO ADVANCE THEM NORTHEAST
ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN VIRGINIA. PWAT HAVE CLIMB TO
1.46 INCHES THIS EVENING ON SOUNDING. SOME OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. EXTENDED SCATTERED POPS OF CONVECTION UNTIL 06Z...THEN
ALLOWED FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS DURING THE OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG
WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS WITH OBS
TRENDS AND TWEAKED LOW TOWARDS LAMPS WITH VALUES FROM THE LOWER
60S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE MID 60S IN THE PIEDMONT.

AS OF 335 PM EDT TUESDAY...

UPPER LOW MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS AND BECOMES
AN OPEN WAVE BY LATE WEDNESDAY. FORECAST AREA STAYS IN BROAD
SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW. AT THE SURFACE A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND THE COUNTY WARNING AREA WILL
BE WELL WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ON WEDNESDAY.

500 MB TEMPERATURES DROP SLIGHTLY ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN
LARGER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND INCREASE THE INSTABILITY. RIGHT
REAR QUADRANT OF UPPER JET WILL ALSO BE ADVANCING INTO THE AREA BY
AFTERNOON AND WILL ENHANCE THE LIFT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

EXPECTING A MAJORITY OF ANY ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS TO DIMINISH
BETWEEN 00Z/8PM AND 03Z/11PM. THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. ONCE ATMOSPHERE
HEATS UP ON WEDNESDAY SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD TONIGHT AND WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
AIRMASS ON WEDNESDAY...WITH LEAN TOWARD WARMER MAV GUIDANCE FOR
AFTERNOON MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 250 PM EDT TUESDAY...

AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ROUGHLY NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...THEN INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING...HOWEVER WHAT'S LEFT OF THE UPPER
LEVEL WAVE SHOULD SPAWN SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK AS IT LIMPS EAST. SOMEWHAT DRIER AND COOLER AIR ARRIVES BY THE
WEEKEND...WITH BEST CHCS FOR PRECIP THROUGH EXTREME SW VA AND NW NC
AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM EDT TUESDAY...

MEAGER SURFACE HIGH WILL ARRIVE IN A WEDGE POSITION BY SUNDAY ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND...KEEPING A SUPPLY OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR THROUGH MUCH
OF OUR REGION. SOME INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE EXTREME SW
AND WITH SURFACE CONVERGENCE DUE TO WEAK SE WINDS...PRECIP CHCS WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR SW AND NW NC. AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF
THE COAST...RETURN FLOW DELIVERS WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR...LEADING
TO A WIDER SCATTERING OF SHOWERS AND STORMS BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK. H85 TEMPS MAY RETURN TO THE UPPER TEENS SOUTH OF WHAT LOOKS TO
BE A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND MIDDLE
ATLANTIC BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 740 PM EDT TUESDAY...

SCATTERED MVFR/IFR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING IN THE
UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS OUR REGION THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WEST OF I77 TONIGHT. BLF AND BCB HAVE
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

MVFR FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT IN MOST LOCATIONS. HIGH CONFIDENCE
THAT AIRPORTS WHICH HAVE RAIN THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT WILL HAVE
FOG OVERNIGHT. PATCHES OF MVFR CLOUD COVER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH.

UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MS VALLEY WILL SLOWLY
MOVE EAST THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS REGIONWIDE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH
GREATEST COVERAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME
ORGANIZATION OF STORMS IS LIKELY WITH STORMS CLUSTERING TOGETHER
IN SHORT LINE SEGMENTS.

EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

CONFIDENCE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS DECREASES AFTER
THURSDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES OVERHEAD AND WEAKENS.
FROM FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED WITH BETTER OPPORTUNITY
FOR GREATER COVERAGE OF VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMS
NEAR TERM...AMS/KK
SHORT TERM...KM
LONG TERM...KM
AVIATION...AMS/KK/PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1128 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-120330-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
1128 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY
FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS. BY THURSDAY...STORMS
THAT DEVELOP WILL BE SLOWER MOVING WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

AFTER THURSDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RCS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1155 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ002-003-019-020-VAZ015-110500-
SURRY NC-YADKIN NC-ALLEGHANY NC-WILKES NC-GRAYSON VA-
1155 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN YADKIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHEASTERN WILKES COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 100 AM EDT

* AT 1155 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
  ABSHERS TO NEAR CLINGMAN...MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNT AIRY...
  MOUNTAIN PARK...
  ELKIN...
  ENNICE...
  AND SPARTA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR
LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 8125 3640 8126 3673 8099 3667 8093
      3667 8094 3665 8095 3664 8092 3664 8090
      3656 8084 3655 8044 3643 8044 3608 8090
TIME...MOT...LOC 0353Z 219DEG 30KT 3639 8117 3618 8092

RAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1159 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW NORTH WILKESBORO  36.18N 81.15W
06/10/2014                   WILKES             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON SUNSET DRIVE

&&

JVC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1210 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

VAZ022-023-033-034-110515-
FRANKLIN VA-BEDFORD VA-BOTETOURT VA-ROANOKE VA-
1210 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EASTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 115 AM EDT

* AT 1210 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR VINTON...MOVING TO THE
  NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROANOKE...
  SALEM CITY...
  STEWARTSVILLE...
  MONTVALE...
  AND BUCHANAN.

THIS INCLUDES THE SALEM FAIRGROUNDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 7990 3720 8014 3762 7986 3749 7956
TIME...MOT...LOC 0406Z 235DEG 30KT 3719 7990

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1229 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

VAZ033-043-044-110530-
FRANKLIN VA-HENRY VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-
1229 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CENTRAL HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 130 AM EDT

* AT 1229 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR OAK LEVEL...MOVING TO THE
  NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MARTINSVILLE CITY...
  SYDNORSVILLE...
  BASSETT...
  CALLANDS...
  AND PENHOOK.

THIS INCLUDES THE MARTINSVILLE SPEEDWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3680 8004 3714 7970 3708 7962 3705 7959
      3704 7959 3704 7956 3691 7938 3660 7986
TIME...MOT...LOC 0427Z 223DEG 25KT 3680 7992

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1232 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

NCZ006-110530-
CASWELL NC-
1232 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  CASWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 130 AM EDT

* AT 1232 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CAMP SPRINGS...MOVING TO THE
  NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PROVIDENCE...
  JERICHO...
  YANCEYVILLE...
  CAMP SPRINGS...
  AND GATEWOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 7953 3654 7951 3654 7914 3636 7915
      3624 7932
TIME...MOT...LOC 0432Z 223DEG 25KT 3629 7945

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1257 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

VAZ024-035-110600-
AMHERST VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-
1257 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 200 AM EDT

* AT 1256 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GLASGOW...MOVING TO THE EAST AT
  30 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BUENA VISTA CITY...
  GLASGOW...
  FAIRFIELD...
  ALTO...
  AND CORNWALL.

THIS INCLUDES VMI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3783 7915 3781 7917 3781 7914 3779 7911
      3778 7907 3776 7907 3759 7938 3762 7945
      3759 7946 3756 7944 3753 7950 3763 7963
      3791 7929
TIME...MOT...LOC 0453Z 251DEG 24KT 3760 7948

RAB