Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014

Winter Storm Warning 12, NWS Pueblo, CO

October 9, 201410 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this winter storm warning at Oct 9, 2014, 4:47 AM MDT for 10 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Oct 9, 2014, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2014, 4:47 AM MDT (10:47 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 9, 2014, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Oct 10, 2014, 12:00 PM MDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2014-10-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2014-10-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2655 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

262 
WWUS45 KPUB 091047
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
447 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

COZ063-091200-
/O.CAN.KPUB.WS.A.0012.141009T1800Z-141010T1500Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
447 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WATCH. 

SNOW LEVELS APPEAR TO REMAIN TOO HIGH FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS TO OCCUR TONIGHT...THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WATCH 
HAS BEEN CANCELED. HOWEVER...LOCAL AREAS COULD SEE A COUPLE OF
INCHES OF SNOWFALL. 

$$

COZ073-075-080-082-091900-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0012.141009T1800Z-141010T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0012.141009T1800Z-141010T1800Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN...
PIKES PEAK
447 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON MDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
NOON MDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PIKES PEAK 
  ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
  TODAY...AND SLOWLY CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS
  OF HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
  MOUNTAIN RANGES...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 14 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE.

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-091900-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0012.141009T1800Z-141010T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.141009T1800Z-141010T1500Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
447 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON
TODAY TO 9 AM MDT FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN
  MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY AND
  SLOWLY CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO
  THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF
  MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS... ESPECIALLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
  TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
878 
WWUS45 KPUB 091906
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
106 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

COZ073-075-080-082-100315-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN...
PIKES PEAK
106 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PIKES PEAK 
  ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT 
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION 
  TODAY... AND SLOWLY CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
  BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN MOUNTAIN RANGES...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE.

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-100315-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141010T1500Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
106 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN 
  MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT 
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY 
  AND SLOWLY CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST 
  COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING 
  PERIODS OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER 
  PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS... ESPECIALLY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE.

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
623 
WWUS45 KPUB 092027
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
227 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

COZ073-075-080-082-100430-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN...
PIKES PEAK
227 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PIKES PEAK 
  ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS
  OF HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
  MOUNTAIN RANGES...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-100430-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141010T1500Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
227 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN 
  MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS
  OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF
  THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS... ESPECIALLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
  TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
185 
WWUS45 KPUB 100326
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
926 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

COZ073-075-080-082-101130-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN...
PIKES PEAK
926 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PIKES PEAK 
  ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT 
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST 
  COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING 
  PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL 
  AND EASTERN MOUNTAIN RANGES...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-101130-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141010T1500Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
926 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN 
  MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS
  OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF
  THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
314 
WWUS45 KPUB 100845
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
245 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

COZ073-075-080-082-101645-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN...
PIKES PEAK
245 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY...

* LOCATION...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PIKES PEAK 
  ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY
  SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MOUNTAIN
  RANGES.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  SNOW AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-101645-
/O.EXT.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
245 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN 
  MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF
  MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  SNOW AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
655 
WWUS45 KPUB 101001
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
401 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

COZ073-075-080-082-101800-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN...
PIKES PEAK
401 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY...

* LOCATION...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAIN RANGE AND PIKES PEAK 
  ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW
  TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MOUNTAIN RANGES.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  SNOW AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
  OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-101800-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
401 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT
TODAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS AND THE WESTERN 
  MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WITH ABUNDANT
  PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
  COLORADO THROUGH TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING PERIODS OF SNOW
  TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  SNOW AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...WET SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
  OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
665 
WWUS45 KPUB 101748
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1148 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

COZ073-075-080-082-101900-
/O.EXP.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...SPANISH PEAKS...GREENHORN MTN...
PIKES PEAK
1148 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT NOON MDT TODAY...

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WAS CONTINUING TO PULL AWAY FROM
COLORADO TO THE EAST...ALLOWING HEAVIER SNOWFALL ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO COME TO AN END. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF
NEW SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT
HIGHER WARNING AMOUNTS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

COZ058-060-101900-
/O.EXP.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
1148 AM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON MDT TODAY...

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WAS CONTINUING TO PULL AWAY FROM
COLORADO TO THE EAST...ALLOWING HEAVIER SNOWFALL ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO COME TO AN END. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF
NEW SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT
HIGHER ADVISORY AMOUNTS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

MOORE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Oct 9, 1:03 AM MDT, 3 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 1:03 AM MDT, 3 hours 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
103 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 101 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

QUICK UPDATE TO ACCOUNT FOR ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVING
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS. LATEST HRRR HAS THESE
SPREADING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
ANY PCPN FROM THESE SHOULD BE LIGHT. REST OF FORECAST LOOKS ON
TRACK.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1147 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

REINITIALIZED FRONT END GRIDS WITH LATEST OBSERVATIONS. REST OF
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AT THIS TIME. LW

UPDATE ISSUED AT 833 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND
ADJACENT PLAINS ZONES BELOW 10000 FEET. MODELS AND WPC GUIDANCE
CONSISTENT ON WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF 1-2"
OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD BEGINNING AROUND 6 AM THURSDAY. THERE WILL
BE CONVECTION WITH THIS EVENT THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING...
BEFORE TRANSITIONING OVER TO A MORE STRATIFORM EVENT THE REMAINDER
OF THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. NOT SURE IF RAINFALL RATES WILL BE
ENOUGH FOR FLASH FLOODING BUT NOT SURE THAT THEY WON'T EITHER.
WITH A TROPICAL SYSTEM...THERE IS ALWAYS CONCERN. ADD THAT TO THE
BURN SCAR AND URBAN RUNOFF CONCERNS...AND YOU HAVE FLASH FLOOD
CONCERNS. CONSEQUENTLY...IT IS PRUDENT AT THIS TIME TO HOIST A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND ALERT FOLKS TO THE POTENTIAL.

ALSO...EXPANDED THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO INCLUDE THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SAWATCH AND MOSQUITO RANGES IN CENTRAL COLORADO
IN ADDITION TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO...WET
AND PIKES PEAK MOUNTAINS. ADDITIONALLY...ADJUSTED THE WATCH TO
START EARLIER...AT NOON THURSDAY...INSTEAD OF 3 PM. THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS SEEM TO BE IN THE BULLS-EYE FOR THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION...WITH THE HEAVIER STUFF STARTING UP AROUND NOON
NOW INSTEAD OF LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LW

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

...RAIN IS ON THE WAY...

RAIN IS ON THE WAY. THAT MUCH IS A GIVEN...WITH THE REMAINING
CHALLENGES BEING WHEN AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL FALL.

CURRENTLY...REMNANTS OF SIMON ARE MOVING THROUGH AZ. HEAVIEST
CONVECTION IS E OF PHX...WITH SOME LIGHT PRECIP ALREADY MOVING INTO
THE 4 CORNERS REGION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE TO THE NE
OVERNIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIP MOVING INTO THE AREA BY THU
MORNING. IT SHOULD BE ANOTHER MILD NIGHT WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUDS.

MAIN QUESTION TOMORROW IS THE TIMING OF THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIP. IT
APPEARS LIKELY THAT THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL FALL OVER OUR CWA...SE
CO...BUT TIMING IS STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN. THE 12Z NAM AND GFS BOTH
HAVE WIDESPREAD PRECIP MOVING INTO THE I-25 CORRIDOR BY THE
MORNING...WHILE BOTH THE ARW AND NMM WRF HOLD OFF THE HEAVIEST QPF
UNTIL THU EVENING. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE EARLY...ALBEIT NOT
STRONGLY...AND DEEP UPSLOPE SHOULD BE IN PLACE OVER THE PLAINS BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. EXTRAPOLATING SAT IMAGERY OF THE COLDEST CLOUD
TOPS AND CONVECTION...LOOKS LIKE WE SHOULD SEE PRETTY GOOD COVERAGE
BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. HAVE RAISED POPS CONSIDERABLY TO THE LIKELY
RANGE IN A SWATH FROM KALS TO KPUB BY THU AFTERNOON...BUT WILL LEAVE
THE CATEGORICAL POPS TO THE LATER PERIODS.

OTHER QUESTION IS HOW HEAVY TO EXPECT THE PRECIP...AND ATTENDANT
FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL. CAPE AND LAPSE RATES DO NOT LOOK TERRIBLY
HIGH TOMORROW...AND EXTENSIVE CLOUDS/PRECIP WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY.
HEAVIEST CONVECTION WILL BE DYNAMICALLY FORCED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVING INTO OUR AREA. SO...NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD OR SVR
STORMS...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLD HEAVIER CELLS EMBEDDED WITH
THE WIDESPREAD...MORE STRATIFORM...PRECIP. UNFORTUNATELY IT LOOKS
LIKE A HIT OR MISS SITUATION...AND AN UNLUCKY HIT COULD SPELL
PROBLEMS FOR THE BURN SCARS. HOWEVER...IT DOES LOOK LIKE THE
STRONGEST CONVECTION WILL BE SOUTH OF HGWY 50...WHICH WOULD SPARE
WALDO CANYON BUT LEAVE OTHER SCARS SUCH AS E PEAK UNDER THE GUN.

GIVEN THE EXPECTED EXTENSIVE PRECIP AND CLOUDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO
BE HELD DOWN BELOW ADIABATIC MAXES TOMORROW. HAVE DROPPED HIGH TEMPS
BY ABOUT 5 DEGREES TOMORROW FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND EVEN
THAT IS ABOVE THE MOS GUIDANCE FOR KPUB AND KCOS...SO LATER SHIFT
WILL HAVE TO REEVALUATED WHAT COULD BE OPTIMISTIC HIGHS IN THE
60S TOMORROW. AGAIN...IT WILL BE A QUESTION OF HOW FAST THE
WIDESPREAD PRECIP MOVES INTO THE PLAINS. TEMPS WILL BE FALLING
ALOFT THROUGH THE DAY ON THU...AND BY 00Z FRI COULD SEE SOW LEVELS
FALL TO AROUND 10K FT OR SO. A COUPLE INCHES ACCUMULATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR PIKES PEAK SUMMIT AND OTHER HIGH MOUNTAIN AREAS BY
00Z...BUT THE POTENTIALLY HEAVY MT SNOW WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL THU
NIGHT. EVERYONE SHOULD BE WEATHER AWARE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS
AND KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON WHAT COULD BE A RAPIDLY EVOLVING FORECAST.
ROSE

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

...WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
TIMING AND TRACK OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA.
EXPECT THE TROUGH TO BE CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
THURSDAY EVENING AND WILL TRACK EASTWARD INTO EASTERN COLORADO BY
FRIDAY MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...NORTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
INCREASE THURSDAY EVENING...WHILE ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON MOVES ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE
UPPER SYSTEM. ALL THE INGREDIENTS ARE THERE...FOR WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO. LOCATIONS OVER THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS INTO THE I-25 CORRIDOR WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO SEE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THURSDAY NIGHT. AREA BURN
SCARS COULD SEE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL...AND ANY
FLASH FLOODING WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON RAINFALL RATES. THERE COULD
BE SOME CONVECTIVE ELEMENT THURSDAY EVENING WHICH COULD ENHANCE
RAINFALL RATES...SO THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. LOW LYING AND
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD ALSO REMAIN ON ALERT FOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING DUE TO THE RAINFALL. AS FOR SNOW...THIS STORM SYSTEM IS
QUITE WARM DUE TO ITS TROPICAL NATURE. SNOW SHOULD GENERALLY
REMAIN CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND WINTER STORM
WATCHES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAIN
RANGES...AND PIKES PEAK FOR ELEVATIONS OVER 11 KFT. ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. MODELS
IN AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM LIFTING INTO KANSAS FRIDAY
MORNING WITH MOST PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...EXPECT A QUIET DAY ON SATURDAY WITH
BROAD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...WHILE THE REST OF THE
AREA REMAINS DRY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALSO WARM INTO THE 60S
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AFTER ONLY 50S ON FRIDAY.
MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON SUNDAY WITH HOW THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM
WILL IMPACT THE AREA. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE REMAINED
CONSISTENT WITH THEMSELVES...BUT REMAIN DIFFERENT FROM EACH OTHER.
THE ECMWF DROPS A STRONG TROUGH SOUTH OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND ACROSS COLORADO SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS
STRONGER WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WITH MORE UPSLOPE FLOW
AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. THE GFS...WHICH HAS STARTED TO TREND MORE
WITH THE ECMWF...CONTINUES TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH A SHORTWAVE
SOUTH OUT OF MONTANA AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE GFS
SOLUTIONS HAS BEEN DRIER...LESS WINDY AND COLD THAN THE ECMWF.
FOR NOW...GIVEN THE RECENT GFS TREND TOWARDS THE ECMWF...STARTED
TO RAMP UP POPS ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AND
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE COLDER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THIS
SYSTEM WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER
THE GREAT BASIN AND SHIFT EAST INTO THE ROCKIES THROUGH THIS
PERIOD. THIS WOULD BRING DRIER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  MOZLEY

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1129 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AS ABUNDANT PACIFIC
MOISTURE AND THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM SIMON MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN COLORADO COMBINE WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE
NORTH THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH 16Z AS SHOWERS INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM WEST TO EAST.
MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
PERSIST...ESPECIALLY AT COS AND PUB...AS NORTHEAST TO EAST LOW
LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW INTERACTS WITH THE REMANTS OF SIMON. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE LOWER SLOPES OF THE EASTERN MTS AND IMMEDIATE ADJACENT
PLAINS. THE HIGHER MT PEAKS...AOA 10K FT WILL BE DEALING WITH
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL AS WELL.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
COZ072-074-077>079-081-083>088.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
FOR COZ058-060-063-073-075-080-082.

&&

UPDATE...KT
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...MW
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 8, 9:43 PM MDT, 7 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
943 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-100345-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
943 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO SOUTHERN
REACHES OF THE STATE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...AS ABUNDANT PACIFIC MOISTURE STREAMS OUT
AHEAD OF THE REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE SIMON...MOVING INTO THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM
WILL BE LOCALIZED CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS...ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...CAN
BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY...AS PACIFIC MOISTURE AND REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM SIMON MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION AND COMBINE WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH.

TRAINING STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOODING THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR...INCLUDING
AREA BURN SCARS...AS MOIST LOW LEVEL EAST TO NORTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW
INTERACTS WITH THE REMNANTS OF SIMON. ANOTHER STORM THREAT DURING THIS
TIME FRAME WILL BE HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING.

IN ADDITION...THE HIGHER PEAKS....ESPECIALLY OF THE EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AT OR ABOVE 10000 FEET...COULD SEE 4 TO 8 INCHES
OR MORE OF ACCUMULATING SNOW FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HEAVY WET
SNOW COULD RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN
ROADS AND BACK COUNTRY TRAILS.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A MUCH COLDER FRONT ACROSS THE
AREA FROM LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOW...PRIMARILY ABOVE 7000
FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

23/50

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 8, 9:05 PM MDTFlash Flood WatchPUBAlamosa, Chaffee, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, El Paso and 8 more23 hr
Oct 9, 4:47 AM MDTWinter Weather AdvisoryPUBChaffee, Lake, Saguache31 hr
Oct 9, 9:48 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller27 min
Oct 9, 11:50 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller25 min
Oct 9, 12:14 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso3 hr
Oct 9, 12:42 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Oct 9, 1:30 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso, Teller3 hr
Oct 9, 2:20 PM MDTRiver Flood WarningPUBEl Paso13 hr
Oct 9, 2:38 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso, Teller3 hr
Oct 9, 3:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBMineral66 min
Oct 9, 4:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Las Animas29 min
Oct 9, 4:39 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBEl Paso3 hr
Oct 9, 5:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBMineral26 min
Oct 9, 5:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBMineral52 min

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.