Flash Flood Watch 18, NWS Pueblo, CO

509 
WGUS65 KPUB 091058
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
458 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG
THE I-25 CORRIDOR FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 AM FRIDAY...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WEST FOR BURN SCAR COMPLEX FROM 
NOON TODAY UNTIL 

.TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL COMBINE WITH
A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN COLORADO
PLAINS TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING TO THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

COZ067-068-091900-
/O.EXB.KPUB.FF.A.0018.141009T1800Z-141010T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS
458 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL 
  COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN 
  MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT WITH
  A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. WHILE
  RAINFALL RATES WILL INITIALLY BE STEADY AND LIGHT THIS
  MORNING...ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
  AFTERNOON AND THESE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE
  OF CAUSING FLASH FLOODING ON THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR COMPLEX.
  SNOW LEVELS THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL REMAIN ABOVE 12000 FEET.

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE
  AREAS AND STREAMS...WITH MUD AND ASH FLOWS NEAR AREA BURN
  SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ072-074-077>079-081-083>088-091900-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FF.A.0018.141009T1800Z-141010T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...
SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...
WOODLAND PARK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD
458 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE 
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY AND 
  WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT WITH
  A STRONG FALL COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE RAINFALL
  RATES MAY BE STEADY AND SLOW ENOUGH TO MITIGATE THE FLASH FLOOD
  THREAT SOME...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAKING AREA BURN SCARS AND URBAN AREAS PARTICULARLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. THIS THREAT WILL BE
  THE HIGHEST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE
  AREAS AND STREAMS. FLASH FLOODING COULD BE ESPECIALLY EXTREME IN
  AND AROUND AREA BURN SCARS. IF PROLONGED RAINFALL OCCURS INTO
  TONIGHT...STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY RUN HIGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

133 
WGUS65 KPUB 091058 CCA
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
458 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG
THE I-25 CORRIDOR FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 AM FRIDAY...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WEST FOR BURN SCAR COMPLEX FROM 
NOON TODAY THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING...

.TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL COMBINE WITH
A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN COLORADO
PLAINS TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING TO THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

COZ067-068-091900-
/O.EXB.KPUB.FF.A.0018.141009T1800Z-141010T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS
458 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL 
  COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN 
  MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT WITH
  A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. WHILE
  RAINFALL RATES WILL INITIALLY BE STEADY AND LIGHT THIS
  MORNING...ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
  AFTERNOON AND THESE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE
  OF CAUSING FLASH FLOODING ON THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR COMPLEX.
  SNOW LEVELS THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL REMAIN ABOVE 12000 FEET.

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE
  AREAS AND STREAMS...WITH MUD AND ASH FLOWS NEAR AREA BURN
  SCARS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ072-074-077>079-081-083>088-091900-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FF.A.0018.141009T1800Z-141010T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...
SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...
WOODLAND PARK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD
458 AM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE 
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY AND 
  WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT WITH
  A STRONG FALL COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. WHILE RAINFALL
  RATES MAY BE STEADY AND SLOW ENOUGH TO MITIGATE THE FLASH FLOOD
  THREAT SOME...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAKING AREA BURN SCARS AND URBAN AREAS PARTICULARLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. THIS THREAT WILL BE
  THE HIGHEST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE
  AREAS AND STREAMS. FLASH FLOODING COULD BE ESPECIALLY EXTREME IN
  AND AROUND AREA BURN SCARS. IF PROLONGED RAINFALL OCCURS INTO
  TONIGHT...STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY RUN HIGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

553 
WGUS65 KPUB 091904
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
104 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG
THE I-25 CORRIDOR FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 AM FRIDAY...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WEST FOR BURN SCAR COMPLEX FROM NOON
TODAY THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING...

.TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL COMBINE WITH
A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN COLORADO
PLAINS TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING TO THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

COZ072-074-077>079-081-083>088-100315-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...
SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...
WOODLAND PARK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD
104 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE 
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY AND 
  WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT WITH
  A STRONG FALL COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL FROM EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAKING
  AREA BURN SCARS AND URBAN AREAS PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE
  THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. THIS THREAT WILL BE THE HIGHEST THIS
  AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE 
  AREAS AND STREAMS. FLASH FLOODING COULD BE ESPECIALLY EXTREME 
  IN AND AROUND AREA BURN SCARS. IF PROLONGED RAINFALL OCCURS 
  INTO TONIGHT...STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY RUN HIGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ067-068-100200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS
104 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY. 

* UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT WITH
  A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THESE
  COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF CAUSING FLASH
  FLOODING ON THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR COMPLEX. 

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE 
  AREAS AND STREAMS...WITH MUD AND ASH FLOWS NEAR AREA BURN 
  SCARS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

812 
WGUS65 KPUB 092029
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
229 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG
THE I-25 CORRIDOR FROM NOON TODAY UNTIL 9 AM FRIDAY...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WEST FOR BURN SCAR COMPLEX FROM NOON
TODAY THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING...

.TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL COMBINE WITH
A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN COLORADO
PLAINS TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING TO THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

COZ072-074-077>079-081-083>088-100430-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...
SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...
WOODLAND PARK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD
229 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST 
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE 
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE 
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...HUERFANO COUNTY...PUEBLO COUNTY AND 
  WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT 
  WITH A STRONG FALL COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE 
  TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. 
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE 
  POSSIBLE...MAKING AREA BURN SCARS AND URBAN AREAS PARTICULARLY 
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING. THIS THREAT WILL 
  BE THE HIGHEST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE 
  AREAS AND STREAMS. FLASH FLOODING COULD BE ESPECIALLY EXTREME 
  IN AND AROUND AREA BURN SCARS. IF PROLONGED RAINFALL OCCURS 
  INTO TONIGHT...STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY RUN HIGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ067-068-100200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS
229 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY. 

* UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM FORMER HURRICANE SIMON WILL INTERACT WITH
  A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  EARLY EVENING AND THESE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
  CAPABLE OF CAUSING FLASH FLOODING ON THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR
  COMPLEX.

* RAPID RUNOFF COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF ROADS...DRAINAGE 
  AREAS AND STREAMS...WITH MUD AND ASH FLOWS NEAR AREA BURN 
  SCARS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

396 
WGUS65 KPUB 100157
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
757 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CANCELLED FOR THE EASTERN SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO MOUNTAINS AND THE ADJACENT
PLAINS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR...

.THE THREAT OF HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL RATES APPEARS OVER.
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE BUT AT LIGHT TO MODERATE RATES NOT
CONDUCIVE TO FLASH FLOODING.

COZ072-074-077>079-081-083>088-100300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-141010T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...
SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...
WOODLAND PARK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD
757 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE THREAT OF HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL RATES APPEARS OVER.
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE BUT AT LIGHT TO MODERATE RATES NOT
CONDUCIVE TO FLASH FLOODING.

$$

COZ067-068-100300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-141010T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS
757 PM MDT THU OCT 9 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

THE THREAT OF HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL RATES APPEARS OVER.
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE BUT AT LIGHT TO MODERATE RATES NOT
CONDUCIVE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
850 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 833 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND
ADJACENT PLAINS ZONES BELOW 10000 FEET. MODELS AND WPC GUIDANCE
CONSISTENT ON WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF 1-2"
OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD BEGINNING AROUND 6 AM THURSDAY. THERE WILL
BE CONVECTION WITH THIS EVENT THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING...
BEFORE TRANSITIONING OVER TO A MORE STRATIFORM EVENT THE REMAINDER
OF THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. NOT SURE IF RAINFALL RATES WILL BE
ENOUGH FOR FLASH FLOODING BUT NOT SURE THAT THEY WON'T EITHER.
WITH A TROPICAL SYSTEM...THERE IS ALWAYS CONCERN. ADD THAT TO THE
BURN SCAR AND URBAN RUNOFF CONCERNS...AND YOU HAVE FLASH FLOOD
CONCERNS. CONSEQUENTLY...IT IS PRUDENT AT THIS TIME TO HOIST A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND ALERT FOLKS TO THE POTENTIAL.

ALSO...EXPANDED THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO INCLUDE THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SAWATCH AND MOSQUITO RANGES IN CENTRAL COLORADO
IN ADDITION TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO...WET
AND PIKES PEAK MOUNTAINS. ADDITIONALLY...ADJUSTED THE WATCH TO
START EARLIER...AT NOON THURSDAY...INSTEAD OF 3 PM. THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS SEEM TO BE IN THE BULLS-EYE FOR THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION...WITH THE HEAVIER STUFF STARTING UP AROUND NOON
NOW INSTEAD OF LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LW

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

...RAIN IS ON THE WAY...

RAIN IS ON THE WAY. THAT MUCH IS A GIVEN...WITH THE REMAINING
CHALLENGES BEING WHEN AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL FALL.

CURRENTLY...REMNANTS OF SIMON ARE MOVING THROUGH AZ. HEAVIEST
CONVECTION IS E OF PHX...WITH SOME LIGHT PRECIP ALREADY MOVING INTO
THE 4 CORNERS REGION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE TO THE NE
OVERNIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIP MOVING INTO THE AREA BY THU
MORNING. IT SHOULD BE ANOTHER MILD NIGHT WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUDS.

MAIN QUESTION TOMORROW IS THE TIMING OF THE MAIN BAND OF PRECIP. IT
APPEARS LIKELY THAT THE HEAVIEST QPF WILL FALL OVER OUR CWA...SE
CO...BUT TIMING IS STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN. THE 12Z NAM AND GFS BOTH
HAVE WIDESPREAD PRECIP MOVING INTO THE I-25 CORRIDOR BY THE
MORNING...WHILE BOTH THE ARW AND NMM WRF HOLD OFF THE HEAVIEST QPF
UNTIL THU EVENING. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE EARLY...ALBEIT NOT
STRONGLY...AND DEEP UPSLOPE SHOULD BE IN PLACE OVER THE PLAINS BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. EXTRAPOLATING SAT IMAGERY OF THE COLDEST CLOUD
TOPS AND CONVECTION...LOOKS LIKE WE SHOULD SEE PRETTY GOOD COVERAGE
BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. HAVE RAISED POPS CONSIDERABLY TO THE LIKELY
RANGE IN A SWATH FROM KALS TO KPUB BY THU AFTERNOON...BUT WILL LEAVE
THE CATEGORICAL POPS TO THE LATER PERIODS.

OTHER QUESTION IS HOW HEAVY TO EXPECT THE PRECIP...AND ATTENDANT
FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL. CAPE AND LAPSE RATES DO NOT LOOK TERRIBLY
HIGH TOMORROW...AND EXTENSIVE CLOUDS/PRECIP WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY.
HEAVIEST CONVECTION WILL BE DYNAMICALLY FORCED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVING INTO OUR AREA. SO...NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD OR SVR
STORMS...BUT THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLD HEAVIER CELLS EMBEDDED WITH
THE WIDESPREAD...MORE STRATIFORM...PRECIP. UNFORTUNATELY IT LOOKS
LIKE A HIT OR MISS SITUATION...AND AN UNLUCKY HIT COULD SPELL
PROBLEMS FOR THE BURN SCARS. HOWEVER...IT DOES LOOK LIKE THE
STRONGEST CONVECTION WILL BE SOUTH OF HGWY 50...WHICH WOULD SPARE
WALDO CANYON BUT LEAVE OTHER SCARS SUCH AS E PEAK UNDER THE GUN.

GIVEN THE EXPECTED EXTENSIVE PRECIP AND CLOUDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO
BE HELD DOWN BELOW ADIABATIC MAXES TOMORROW. HAVE DROPPED HIGH TEMPS
BY ABOUT 5 DEGREES TOMORROW FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND EVEN
THAT IS ABOVE THE MOS GUIDANCE FOR KPUB AND KCOS...SO LATER SHIFT
WILL HAVE TO REEVALUATED WHAT COULD BE OPTIMISTIC HIGHS IN THE
60S TOMORROW. AGAIN...IT WILL BE A QUESTION OF HOW FAST THE
WIDESPREAD PRECIP MOVES INTO THE PLAINS. TEMPS WILL BE FALLING
ALOFT THROUGH THE DAY ON THU...AND BY 00Z FRI COULD SEE SOW LEVELS
FALL TO AROUND 10K FT OR SO. A COUPLE INCHES ACCUMULATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR PIKES PEAK SUMMIT AND OTHER HIGH MOUNTAIN AREAS BY
00Z...BUT THE POTENTIALLY HEAVY MT SNOW WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL THU
NIGHT. EVERYONE SHOULD BE WEATHER AWARE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS
AND KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON WHAT COULD BE A RAPIDLY EVOLVING FORECAST.
ROSE

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

...WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
TIMING AND TRACK OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA.
EXPECT THE TROUGH TO BE CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
THURSDAY EVENING AND WILL TRACK EASTWARD INTO EASTERN COLORADO BY
FRIDAY MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...NORTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
INCREASE THURSDAY EVENING...WHILE ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON MOVES ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE
UPPER SYSTEM. ALL THE INGREDIENTS ARE THERE...FOR WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO. LOCATIONS OVER THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS INTO THE I-25 CORRIDOR WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO SEE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THURSDAY NIGHT. AREA BURN
SCARS COULD SEE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL...AND ANY
FLASH FLOODING WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON RAINFALL RATES. THERE COULD
BE SOME CONVECTIVE ELEMENT THURSDAY EVENING WHICH COULD ENHANCE
RAINFALL RATES...SO THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. LOW LYING AND
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD ALSO REMAIN ON ALERT FOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING DUE TO THE RAINFALL. AS FOR SNOW...THIS STORM SYSTEM IS
QUITE WARM DUE TO ITS TROPICAL NATURE. SNOW SHOULD GENERALLY
REMAIN CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND WINTER STORM
WATCHES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAIN
RANGES...AND PIKES PEAK FOR ELEVATIONS OVER 11 KFT. ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. MODELS
IN AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM LIFTING INTO KANSAS FRIDAY
MORNING WITH MOST PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...EXPECT A QUIET DAY ON SATURDAY WITH
BROAD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...WHILE THE REST OF THE
AREA REMAINS DRY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALSO WARM INTO THE 60S
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AFTER ONLY 50S ON FRIDAY.
MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON SUNDAY WITH HOW THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM
WILL IMPACT THE AREA. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE REMAINED
CONSISTENT WITH THEMSELVES...BUT REMAIN DIFFERENT FROM EACH OTHER.
THE ECMWF DROPS A STRONG TROUGH SOUTH OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND ACROSS COLORADO SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS
STRONGER WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WITH MORE UPSLOPE FLOW
AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. THE GFS...WHICH HAS STARTED TO TREND MORE
WITH THE ECMWF...CONTINUES TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH A SHORTWAVE
SOUTH OUT OF MONTANA AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE GFS
SOLUTIONS HAS BEEN DRIER...LESS WINDY AND COLD THAN THE ECMWF.
FOR NOW...GIVEN THE RECENT GFS TREND TOWARDS THE ECMWF...STARTED
TO RAMP UP POPS ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AND
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE COLDER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THIS
SYSTEM WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER
THE GREAT BASIN AND SHIFT EAST INTO THE ROCKIES THROUGH THIS
PERIOD. THIS WOULD BRING DRIER CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  MOZLEY

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 241 PM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...MAIN CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE
THE EXPECTED WIDESPREAD MVFR-IFR CONDITIONS FOR THE THU THROUGH FRI
PERIOD. TIMING IS STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN...BUT EXPECT DETERIORATING
CONDITIONS THRU THU MORNING...WITH LOWER CIGS AND VIS FIRST AT KALS
IN THE 12-18Z PERIOD...THEN SPREADING TO KCOS AND KPUB BY 18Z-00Z
FRI. THE THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING PERIOD COULD SEE EXTENSIVE IFR
AND POSSIBLY LIFR FOR THE KCOS AND KPUB TAF SITES. ROSE

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
FOR COZ072-074-077>079-081-083>088.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING FOR COZ058-060-063-073-075-080-082.

&&

UPDATE...LW
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...ROSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
634 AM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-091245-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
634 AM MDT WED OCT 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD
INTO THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS
MOISTURE FROM THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE SIMON MOVES INTO THE REGION.
THE MAIN THREAT WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCALIZED CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL.
ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS
AND ADJACENT PLAINS TOWARDS THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN COMBINATION WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
COLORADO FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS REMNANT MOISTURE FROM SIMON
SPREADS INTO THE REGION. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AT TIMES WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS NORTHEASTERLY TO EASTERLY
MOIST SURFACE FLOW INTERACTS WITH THE REMNANTS OF SIMON.

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING MAY ALSO BE NOTED AT TIMES FROM THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR AREA BURN SCARS. AN
ADDITIONAL STORM THREAT DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE HAZARDOUS
LIGHTNING. ALSO...THE HIGHER PEAKS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 10000 FEET
COULD EXPERIENCE SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATING SNOW FROM THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM FROM LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
MORNING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING
SNOW...PRIMARILY ABOVE 7000 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.