Severe Thunderstorm Warning 30, NWS Pocatello, ID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
146 PM MDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...

MOIST PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS MOVED EAST OF THE REGION.
AS A RESULT...COVERAGE IS SOMEWHAT LOWER TODAY...MAINLY CONFINED TO
THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGHLANDS. HEAVY RAIN IS STILL A POSSIBILITY WITH
THESE STORMS AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
BEAVER CREEK BURN AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON
SATURDAY. THIS WILL FIRE OFF SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE INCREASED CHANCES BY ABOUT 10
PERCENT EVERYWHERE. DEBATING WHETHER OR NOT TO CONTINUE THE FLOOD
WATCH INTO SATURDAY. THE COVERAGE APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE LESS AROUND
THE SHOSHONE TO KETCHUM AREAS ON SATURDAY. WILL HOLD OFF ON
EXTENDING THE FLOOD WATCH AND ALLOW MID SHIFT TO REEVALUATE. ELSEWHERE
HEAVY RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN A STRONG POSSIBILITY.

MAY GET A BIT OF A REPRIEVE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE SETTLES IN OVER THE REGION. MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE...HOWEVER THE RIDGE WILL HELP TO SQUASH ACTIVITY FROM
DEVELOPING IN MANY AREAS. BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE IN THE
MOUNTAINS...BUT COVERAGE MAY REMAIN ISOLATED.

BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
WILL HELP TO ENHANCE THUNDERSTORMS COVERAGE ONCE AGAIN. COULD BE
RATHER WET AGAIN FROM MIDWEEK ONWARD.

VALLE

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  HAVE VICINITY THUNDERSTORMS AT ALL TAF
SITES.   BEST CHANCE ON STATION WOULD BE SUN.  EXPECT AFTERNOON
CONVECTION AGAIN ON SATURDAY.   WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.   ONLY NON VFR
CONDITIONS UNDER HEAVY THUNDERSTORM RAIN.
GK

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...VERY MOIST AIR MASS CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER
SOUTHEAST IDAHO TODAY.   ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION EARLY THIS EVENING.
EXPECT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO AGAIN DEVELOP SATURDAY.
RELATIVELY HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH PERHAPS
ANOTHER RELATIVELY WET PERIOD BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
GK

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ031.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
420 PM MDT FRI AUG 8 2014

IDZ018-020-031-032-082315-
BUTTE ID-BLAINE ID-CUSTER ID-
420 PM MDT FRI AUG 8 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CUSTER COUNTY IN CENTRAL IDAHO
  CENTRAL BLAINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL IDAHO
  SOUTHERN BUTTE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IDAHO

AT 412 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF DARLINGTON
TO GROUSE TO SUN VALLEY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED THROUGH 515 PM MDT INCLUDE...
   DARLINGTON...
   ARCO...

LAT...LON 4366 11450 4376 11389 4396 11362 4372 11292
      4344 11312 4343 11363 4346 11363 4348 11361
      4342 11374 4342 11390
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 298DEG 16KT 4384 11347 4364 11361
          4361 11427

HUSTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
423 PM MDT FRI AUG 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     HAIL             1 ENE KETCHUM           43.70N 114.35W
08/08/2014  E0.25 INCH       BLAINE             ID   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL

&&

DPHELPS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
439 PM MDT FRI AUG 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 PM     HAIL             11 SSW OAKLEY           42.09N 113.94W
08/08/2014  E0.25 INCH       CASSIA             ID   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL WITH MINNOR STREET FLOODING

&&

DPHELPS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
454 PM MDT FRI AUG 8 2014

IDZ017-018-020-031-032-082345-
BUTTE ID-BLAINE ID-CUSTER ID-
454 PM MDT FRI AUG 8 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CUSTER COUNTY IN CENTRAL IDAHO
  CENTRAL BLAINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL IDAHO
  WEST CENTRAL BUTTE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IDAHO

AT 448 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES WEST OF ARCO
TO BELLEVUE...MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID RISES
ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS THROUGH 545 PM MDT.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
   GANNETT...
   ARCO...
   PICABO...

LAT...LON 4352 11312 4350 11347 4340 11376 4327 11402
      4341 11433 4360 11418 4368 11389 4375 11336
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 300DEG 8KT 4365 11341 4364 11378
          4355 11407 4343 11421

HUSTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
502 PM MDT FRI AUG 8 2014

IDZ022-023-090000-
CARIBOU ID-ONEIDA ID-BINGHAM ID-BONNEVILLE ID-CASSIA ID-BANNOCK ID-
502 PM MDT FRI AUG 8 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CASSIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IDAHO
  SOUTHEASTERN BANNOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  SOUTHEASTERN BONNEVILLE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  SOUTHEASTERN BINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  ONEIDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO
  WESTERN CARIBOU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO

AT 454 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF LOOSELY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF PALISADES TO HATCH TO VIRGINIA TO BLACK PINE...MOVING
SLOWLY EAST AT 10 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS...ALONG WITH BRIEF MODERATE RAIN THROUGH 600 PM MDT.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
   HATCH...
   HOLBROOK...
   HENRY...STONE AND WAYAN...

LAT...LON 4201 11319 4249 11230 4330 11149 4329 11103
      4244 11187 4199 11255
TIME...MOT...LOC 2301Z 271DEG 8KT 4322 11144 4278 11192
          4249 11217 4206 11297

HUSTON

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