Areal Flood Warning 9, NWS Twin Cities, MN

764 
WGUS83 KMPX 191649 RRA
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1149 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-123-131-139-163-WIC093-095-109-192330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140619T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANOKA MN-CARVER MN-CHISAGO MN-DAKOTA MN-GOODHUE MN-HENNEPIN MN-
RAMSEY MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-WASHINGTON MN-ST. CROIX WI-POLK WI-
PIERCE WI-
1149 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PIERCE...POLK...ST. CROIX...
WASHINGTON...EASTERN SCOTT...NORTHERN RICE...RAMSEY...HENNEPIN...
NORTHERN GOODHUE...DAKOTA...SOUTHEASTERN CHISAGO...NORTHERN CARVER
AND SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT THURSDAY...

AT 1150 AM CDT...FLOODING CONTINUED OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA... 
PARTICULARLY ALONG STREAMS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS. RAINFALL HAS 
ENDED... BUT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BY 
LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING... WHICH COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL 
FLOODING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...AMERY...BALSAM
LAKE...BLOOMINGTON...BURNSVILLE...CENTER CITY...DOWNTOWN
MINNEAPOLIS...DOWNTOWN ST PAUL...EDEN PRAIRIE...ELLSWORTH...HUDSON...
LAKE MINNETONKA...MSP INTL AIRPORT...NEW RICHMOND...PLYMOUTH...RED
WING...RIVER FALLS...SHAKOPEE...ST LOUIS PARK...AFTON STATE PARK...
BLAINE...BROOKLYN CENTER...BROOKLYN PARK...CANNON FALLS...
CHANHASSEN...CHASKA...COON RAPIDS...CRYSTAL...EAGAN...EDINA AND
EXCELSIOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4455 9213 4453 9231 4445 9225 4445 9242
      4438 9243 4436 9255 4442 9305 4442 9344
      4459 9356 4477 9356 4491 9402 4496 9401
      4502 9362 4565 9262 4565 9254 4573 9252
      4573 9215

$$

228 
WGUS43 KMPX 192209
FLWMPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
509 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-123-131-139-163-WIC093-095-109-202330-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140620T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANOKA MN-CARVER MN-CHISAGO MN-DAKOTA MN-GOODHUE MN-HENNEPIN MN-
RAMSEY MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-WASHINGTON MN-ST. CROIX WI-POLK WI-
PIERCE WI-
509 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  DAKOTA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  EASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN CARVER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN GOODHUE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN RICE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  PIERCE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...
  RAMSEY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHEASTERN CHISAGO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  ST. CROIX COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT FRIDAY

* AT 506 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED SEVERAL AREA         
  ROADWAYS REMAIN FLOODED.  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY     
  RAINFALL ARE ONCE AGAIN BEGINNING TO MOVE ACROSS THE TWIN CITIES   
  METRO AREA.  AN INCH OR TWO OF ADDITINAL RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THE 
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE EVENING.  

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
  SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...AMERY...    
  BALSAM LAKE...BLOOMINGTON...BURNSVILLE...CENTER CITY...EDEN        
  PRAIRIE...ELLSWORTH...HUDSON...LAKE MINNETONKA...NEW RICHMOND...   
  PLYMOUTH...RED WING...RIVER FALLS...SHAKOPEE...ST LOUIS PARK...    
  AFTON STATE PARK...BLAINE...BROOKLYN CENTER...BROOKLYN PARK...     
  CANNON FALLS...CHANHASSEN...CHASKA...COON RAPIDS...CRYSTAL...      
  EAGAN...EDINA AND EXCELSIOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS... OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING
STREAM... EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4455 9213 4453 9231 4445 9225 4445 9242
      4438 9243 4436 9255 4442 9305 4442 9344
      4459 9356 4477 9356 4491 9402 4496 9401
      4502 9362 4565 9262 4565 9254 4573 9252
      4573 9215

$$
DWE

593 
WGUS83 KMPX 200812
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
312 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-123-131-139-163-WIC093-095-109-202330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140620T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANOKA MN-CARVER MN-CHISAGO MN-DAKOTA MN-GOODHUE MN-HENNEPIN MN-
RAMSEY MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-WASHINGTON MN-ST. CROIX WI-POLK WI-
PIERCE WI-
312 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PIERCE...POLK...ST. CROIX...
WASHINGTON...EASTERN SCOTT...NORTHERN RICE...RAMSEY...HENNEPIN...
NORTHERN GOODHUE...DAKOTA...SOUTHEASTERN CHISAGO...NORTHERN CARVER
AND SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT FRIDAY...

AT 311 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT 
FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH THE RAINFALL HAS 
ENDED...RUNOFF IS NOT COMPLETE AND FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...AMERY...BALSAM
LAKE...BLOOMINGTON...BURNSVILLE...CENTER CITY...DOWNTOWN
MINNEAPOLIS...DOWNTOWN ST PAUL...EDEN PRAIRIE...ELLSWORTH...HUDSON...
LAKE MINNETONKA...MSP INTL AIRPORT...NEW RICHMOND...PLYMOUTH...RED
WING...RIVER FALLS...SHAKOPEE...ST LOUIS PARK...AFTON STATE PARK...
BLAINE...BROOKLYN CENTER...BROOKLYN PARK...CANNON FALLS...
CHANHASSEN...CHASKA...COON RAPIDS...CRYSTAL...EAGAN...EDINA AND
EXCELSIOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH
ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW
INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4455 9213 4453 9231 4445 9225 4445 9242
      4438 9243 4436 9255 4442 9305 4442 9344
      4459 9356 4477 9356 4491 9402 4496 9401
      4502 9362 4565 9262 4565 9254 4573 9252
      4573 9215

$$

JLT

845 
WGUS43 KMPX 201945
FLWMPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
245 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-123-131-139-163-WIC093-095-109-222330-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANOKA MN-CARVER MN-CHISAGO MN-DAKOTA MN-GOODHUE MN-HENNEPIN MN-
RAMSEY MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-WASHINGTON MN-ST. CROIX WI-POLK WI-
PIERCE WI-
245 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  DAKOTA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  EASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN CARVER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN GOODHUE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN RICE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  PIERCE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...
  RAMSEY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHEASTERN CHISAGO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  ST. CROIX COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT SUNDAY

* AT 240 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLOODING ACROSS      
  THE WARNED AREA. SEVERAL ROADS REMAINED FLOODED AND ARE            
  BARRICADED. ALSO...SEVERAL SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE IN FLOOD   
  OR ARE RUNNING HIGH.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR SATURDAY 
  NIGHT AND SUNDAY AND COULD WORSEN THE FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. 

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...AMERY...    
  BALSAM LAKE...BLOOMINGTON...BURNSVILLE...CENTER CITY...EDEN        
  PRAIRIE...ELLSWORTH...HUDSON...LAKE MINNETONKA AREA...NEW          
  RICHMOND...PLYMOUTH...RED WING...RIVER FALLS...SHAKOPEE...ST LOUIS 
  PARK...AFTON STATE PARK...BLAINE...BROOKLYN CENTER...BROOKLYN      
  PARK...CANNON FALLS...CHANHASSEN...CHASKA...COON RAPIDS...
  CRYSTAL...EDINA AND EXCELSIOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4455 9213 4453 9231 4445 9225 4445 9242
      4438 9243 4436 9255 4442 9305 4442 9344
      4459 9356 4477 9356 4491 9402 4496 9401
      4502 9362 4565 9262 4565 9254 4573 9252
      4573 9215

$$
DWE

607 
WGUS83 KMPX 210918
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
418 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-123-131-139-163-WIC093-095-109-222330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANOKA MN-CARVER MN-CHISAGO MN-DAKOTA MN-GOODHUE MN-HENNEPIN MN-
RAMSEY MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-WASHINGTON MN-ST. CROIX WI-POLK WI-
PIERCE WI-
418 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PIERCE...POLK...ST. CROIX...
WASHINGTON...EASTERN SCOTT...NORTHERN RICE...RAMSEY...HENNEPIN...
NORTHERN GOODHUE...DAKOTA...SOUTHEASTERN CHISAGO...NORTHERN CARVER
AND SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT SUNDAY...

AT 417 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLOODING ACROSS        
THE WARNED AREA. SEVERAL ROADS REMAINED FLOODED AND ARE
BARRICADED. ALSO...SEVERAL SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE IN FLOOD     
OR ARE RUNNING HIGH.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT 
AND AND SUNDAY AND COULD WORSEN THE FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...AMERY...BALSAM
LAKE...BLOOMINGTON...BURNSVILLE...CENTER CITY...DOWNTOWN
MINNEAPOLIS...DOWNTOWN ST PAUL...EDEN PRAIRIE...ELLSWORTH...HUDSON...
LAKE MINNETONKA...MSP INTL AIRPORT...NEW RICHMOND...PLYMOUTH...RED
WING...RIVER FALLS...SHAKOPEE...ST LOUIS PARK...AFTON STATE PARK...
BLAINE...BROOKLYN CENTER...BROOKLYN PARK...CANNON FALLS...
CHANHASSEN...CHASKA...COON RAPIDS...CRYSTAL...EAGAN...EDINA AND
EXCELSIOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4455 9213 4453 9231 4445 9225 4445 9242
      4438 9243 4436 9255 4442 9305 4442 9344
      4459 9356 4477 9356 4491 9402 4496 9401
      4502 9362 4565 9262 4565 9254 4573 9252
      4573 9215

$$

JLT

622 
WGUS83 KMPX 212256
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
556 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-123-131-139-163-WIC093-095-109-222330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANOKA MN-CARVER MN-CHISAGO MN-DAKOTA MN-GOODHUE MN-HENNEPIN MN-
RAMSEY MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-WASHINGTON MN-ST. CROIX WI-POLK WI-
PIERCE WI-
556 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PIERCE...POLK...ST. CROIX...
WASHINGTON...EASTERN SCOTT...NORTHERN RICE...RAMSEY...HENNEPIN...
NORTHERN GOODHUE...DAKOTA...SOUTHEASTERN CHISAGO...NORTHERN CARVER
AND SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT SUNDAY...

AT 552 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT FLOODING WAS 
OCCURRING IN THE WARNED AREA. A NUMBER OF ROADS REMAIN FLOODED AND 
ARE BARRICADED. ALSO...NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS...RIVERS AND OTHER 
AREAS ARE FLOODED. CURRENTS ARE SWIFT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS 
FORECAST FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AND COULD WORSEN THE FLOODING 
ACROSS THE REGION. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...AMERY...
BALSAM LAKE...BLOOMINGTON...BURNSVILLE...CENTER CITY... 
MINNEAPOLIS...ST PAUL...EDEN PRAIRIE...ELLSWORTH...HUDSON...
LAKE MINNETONKA...NEW RICHMOND...PLYMOUTH...RED WING...RIVER 
FALLS...SHAKOPEE...ST LOUIS PARK...AFTON STATE PARK... 
BLAINE...BROOKLYN CENTER... BROOKLYN PARK...CANNON FALLS... 
CHANHASSEN...CHASKA...COON RAPIDS...CRYSTAL...EAGAN...EDINA AND 
EXCELSIOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4455 9213 4453 9231 4445 9225 4445 9242
      4438 9243 4436 9255 4442 9305 4442 9344
      4459 9356 4477 9356 4491 9402 4496 9401
      4502 9362 4565 9262 4565 9254 4573 9252
      4573 9215

$$

TDK

366 
WGUS83 KMPX 222311
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
611 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

MNC003-019-025-037-049-053-123-131-139-163-WIC093-095-109-222324-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANOKA MN-CARVER MN-CHISAGO MN-DAKOTA MN-GOODHUE MN-HENNEPIN MN-
RAMSEY MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-WASHINGTON MN-ST. CROIX WI-POLK WI-
PIERCE WI-
611 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR PIERCE...POLK...ST.
CROIX...WASHINGTON...EASTERN SCOTT...NORTHERN RICE...RAMSEY...
HENNEPIN...NORTHERN GOODHUE...DAKOTA...SOUTHEASTERN CHISAGO...
NORTHERN CARVER AND SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
STREAMS AND CREEKS REMAIN HIGH AND WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOME MAIN STEM RIVERS CONTINUE TO RISE...HOWEVER 
INFORMATION CONCERNING THOSE CAN BE FOUND FROM THE LATEST RIVER 
FLOOD STATEMENTS.

LAT...LON 4455 9213 4453 9231 4445 9225 4445 9242
      4438 9243 4436 9255 4442 9305 4442 9344
      4459 9356 4477 9356 4491 9402 4496 9401
      4502 9362 4565 9262 4565 9254 4573 9252
      4573 9215

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
713 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 413 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

ANOTHER ACTIVE NIGHT IS WINDING DOWN...AND FOR THE SECOND NIGHT IN A
ROW WE SAW SOME PRETTY IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS RESULT FROM
TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS. TUESDAY NIGHT WAS MANKATO...AND LAST NIGHT
IT WAS WOOD LAKE...WHERE RADAR ESTIMATES SHOW 6 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN
FELL...AND MUCH OF THAT CAME WITHIN THE FIRST 3 HOURS OF IT STARING
TO RAIN. UNFORTUNATELY...THE ATMOSPHERE THAT HELPED ALLOW THAT TO
HAPPEN WITH PWATS AOA 1.75" AND FREEZING LEVELS ABOVE 15K ARE STILL
IN PLACE AND WILL REMAIN SO UNTIL A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY BACK OVER
ERN SODAK CLEARS THE AREA TONIGHT.

FOR THIS MORNING...THE RAP SHOWS THE LLJ BECOMING BIFURCATED...WITH
ONE SEGMENT SAGGING SE ACROSS IA TOWARD NRN IL...WHILE ANOTHER
SECTION WILL BE ANGLING FROM SRN MN BACK TOWARD ERN NODAK. YOU CAN
SEE THE IMPACTS OF THIS LLJ SLIT OVER THE LAST HOUR ON REGIONAL
RADARS AS ACTIVITY HAS REALLY STARTED TO BECOME FOCUSED OVER NE IA.
THE SEGMENT OF THE LLJ DEVELOPING FARTHER TO THE NORTHWEST IS
HELPING FORCE AN INTENSE LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY RACING NORTH
ACROSS ERN SODAK. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR THE MPX CWA IS THE CLUSTER OF
STORMS OVER ERN MN WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS WRN WI THIS
MORNING AS IT LOSES ITS LLJ FEED...WITH THE WRN LLJ SEGMENT
FOCUSING ACTIVITY INTO NW MN THIS MORNING. THIS WILL SEND US INTO
ANOTHER PRECIP BREAK PERIOD THAT WILL START BETWEEN 15 AND 18Z.

UNFORTUNATELY...THIS BREAK WILL BE VERY SHORT LIVED. AS THE SODAK
FRONT WORKS INTO WRN MN THIS AFTERNOON...CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT
YET ANOTHER LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NEAR A RWF/AXN LINE
BETWEEN 18Z AND 20Z THAT WILL THEN WORK EAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. MOST CAMS SHOW THIS SCENARIO PLAYING OUT...BUT THE SPC AND
ARW WRFS SHOW VERY LITTLE CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE FRONT.
ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST WEIGHS HEAVILY ON THE CONVECTING
MAJORITY...YOU CAN NOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT THE MORE LIMITED
SOLUTIONS DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH CONVECTION TONIGHT CAN OVERTURN THE
ATMOSPHERE. IF ENOUGH OVERTURNING OCCURS...THEN THOSE LIMITED
ACTIVITY SOLUTIONS MAY BE CORRECT. HOWEVER...WITH THE LOSS OF THE
MID LEVEL WARM AIR CAP...PREFER THE SOLUTIONS THAT SHOW ANOTHER
ROUND OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...THINKING THE THREAT...THOUGH STILL
THERE...WILL NOT BE AS GREAT AS THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ONE BIG
REASON IS THAT THE 5K TO 6K J/KG OF MLCAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR SEEN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE REPLACED BY A MUCH MORE MODEST 1K TO
2K J/KG TODAY. IN ADDITION...0-6KM SHEAR WILL BE RANGING FROM 35-40
KTS NEAR THE MN/SD BORDER /CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW/ TO LESS THAN 20
KTS OVER WRN WI. THE ONE THING THAT IS BETTER TODAY THAN WHAT WE SAW
YESTERDAY ARE THE DYNAMICS AS A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH APPROACHES
WRN MN BY 00Z WITHIN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 70+ KT LLJ. MORE
BOUNDARY PARALLEL SHEAR THIS AFTERNOON FAVORS A LINEAR CONVECTIVE
MODE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...AS THE SMALLER CAPES AND LINEAR MODE SHOULD BOTH HELP TO
SUPPRESS THE HAIL AND TORNADO THREATS /AS COMPARED TO THE LAST
COUPLE OF DAYS/.

THOUGH UNDER NORMAL CIRCUMSTANCES...A FRONT LIKE THIS AFTERNOONS
WOULD NOT TYPICALLY GARNER A FLASH FLOOD WATCH...THIS IS NOT A
TYPICAL SITUATION AS ALL BUT THE NRN TIER OF THE MPX CWA HAS SEEN 4
TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE FRIDAY ON TOP OF WHAT WAS ALREADY ONE OF
THE WETTEST STARTS TO A YEAR ON RECORD. WITH ONLY A SMALL BREAK IN
THE HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED...EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OUT IN
TIME TO 6Z TONIGHT WEST OF I-35 AND TO 12Z TONIGHT EAST OF I-35. THE
WATCH WAS ALSO EXPANDED NORTH TO INCLUDE THE AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED 3+ INCHES OF RAIN SINCE FRIDAY. ALSO ENDED THE WATCH AT 15Z
FOR THE FAR WRN COUNTIES...AS THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION LOOKS
TO START OVER OR JUST EAST OF THOSE COUNTIES...SO CURRENT
EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL SHIFT EAST OF THOSE
COUNTIES AFTER THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 413 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

A DRIER POST FRONTAL AIR MASS IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA WITH A SURFACE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN WI. WE
THINK THERE IS A DECENT CHANCE AT SUNSHINE AND MODEST W-SW FLOW
COMBINED WITH 16-19 C AT 850 MB TEMPS SHOULD YIELD HIGHS WELL INTO
THE 80S ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA /WESTERN WI SHOULD BE A
FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN MN/. BY SATURDAY MORNING THE TROUGH ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS SHOULD BUILD SOUTH AND MOISTURE RETURN
SHOULD BRING PWATS BACK UP NEAR 1.5-1.75" IN THE FAR WESTERN
FORECAST AREA. THE RETURN OF WEAK 925-850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND
FGEN BACK ACROSS NORTHERN NE AND EASTERN SD COULD MEAN A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAKE IT INTO WESTERN MN ON SATURDAY...BUT THE BETTER
FOCUS IS IN THE STATES THAT BORDER MN TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. THE
PRECIP SIGNAL ON SUNDAY IS MUDDLED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND AN
INCREASE IN CONVERGENCE AND OMEGA...BUT WE CAN'T PIN DOWN AN AREA
TO FOCUS POPS/WEATHER AT THIS TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS LOW AND THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF
STORMS SHOULD BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED. DURING THIS TIME...THE
UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN CAMPED OUT TO OUR NORTHWEST DRIFTS SLOWLY
NORTH WITH TIME AND THE LONG WAVE FLOW TURNS MORE ZONAL /SLIGHT
RIDGING/. BOTH THE 19.00Z GFS/ECMWF AND TO SOME DEGREE NAM HAVE A
FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE PSUEDO-ZONAL FLOW ARRIVING
IN THE MID/UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY MONDAY. THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY SHOULD BE STRETCHED OUT ACROSS KS/IA/WI WHICH SHOULD BE
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE 00Z GFS IS
MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING IN COOLER AIR TO THE AREA AND
ASSOCIATED HIGH PRESSURE BY TUESDAY. 00Z GFS NOW SHOWING 850 TEMPS
OF 8C TO 10C FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. 00Z EURO AND EVEN THE
PREVIOUS ENSEMBLE RUNS STILL HAS 850 TEMPS OF 12C TO 14C DURING
THAT TIME FRAME. THIS IS A BIG CHANGE FROM PAST GFS RUNS.
SO...MODEL CONSENSUS AND ENSEMBLES ARE THE WAY TO GO. IT IS
IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE ECMWF HAS ALSO SHOWED AGREES IVE COLD
ADVECTION WITH A RUN OR TWO IN THE PAST 2-3 DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO FESTER THIS MORNING ON THE NOSE OF THE LLJ.
BASED ON LLJ FORECAST THIS ACTIVITY MAY LINGER MOST OF THE
MORNING...WHICH WOULD HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR THE POTENTIAL
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. THAT AFTERNOON CONVECTION HAS BETTER MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH INVITATION BETWEEN 18 AND 20Z NEAR A RWF/AXN LINE
BEFORE TRAVELING EAST THE REST OF THE EVENING. USED THE HRRR AND
LOCAL WRF TO TIME THIS EXPECTED LINE ACROSS THE TERMINALS. OF
COURSE IF THIS MORNING STUFF DOES NOT CLEAN OUT ANY TIME
SOON...THIS COULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS NEXT ROUND ON THE
FRONT. MVFR CIGS THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN MAINLY TIED TO
PRECIPITATION...WITH BEST CHANCE FOR MVFR OR LOWER CIGS/VIS
OUTSIDE OF SHRA/TSRA COMING TONIGHT AS THE FRONT/SFC TROUGH WORKS
INTO THE AREA AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO RELAX WITH
MOISTURE STILL LINGERING OUTSIDE OF WESTERN MN.

KMSP...FROM THE LOOK OF THINGS AS I WRITE THIS...WE MAY BE DEALING
WITH THUNDERSTORMS OUT CLOSER TO 18Z AS OPPOSED TO 14Z AS ACTIVITY
CONTINUES TO BUILD BACK TO THE SW. THERE IS STRONG MODEL AGREEMENT
ON THE AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...BUT WITH THE WAY THINGS
ARE TRENDING THIS MORNING...THINGS MAY NOT PLAY OUT THE WAY THEY
ARE CURRENTLY PLANNED OUT IN THE TAF WITH THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
BEING THAT THERE IS LESS CONVECTION THAN EXPECTED WITH THE
AFTERNOON ROUND.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
FRI...VFR. MVFR ISO SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. WINDS SW 10 KTS.
SAT...VFR. MVFR ISO SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. WINDS W 10 KTS.
SUN...VFR. MVFR SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. WINDS WNW 10 KTS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MNZ057>061-065>069-
     073>077-082>085-091>093.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MNZ047-
     054>056-064.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR MNZ062-063-070-078.

WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR WIZ023>028.

&&

SHORT TERM...MPG
LONG TERM...CLF
AVIATION...MPG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
834 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
201345-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
834 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH BOUTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PLAGUE THE AREA
TODAY...LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
ISOLATED STORMS THIS MORNING WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

ADDITIONAL STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WHICH WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING.
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
PRIMARILY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...MAINLY
SOUTH OF A GRANITE FALLS TO NEW PRAGUE LINE...WHERE ENOUGH
CLEARING FROM THE MORNING ACTIVITY WILL ALLOW THE ATMOSPHERE TO
DESTABILIZE. THE PRIMARY RISKS WOULD BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND A TORNADO OR TWO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

BY FRIDAY...THE FLOOD THREAT WILL TRANSITION TO THE MAIN STEM
RIVERS. MUCH OF THE MINNESOTA RIVER...AND THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
FROM SAINT PAUL DOWN TOWARD RED WING WILL REACH FLOOD STAGE BY THE
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
328 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ060>063-068>070-191030-
ANOKA-CARVER-DAKOTA-HENNEPIN-RAMSEY-SCOTT-WASHINGTON-
328 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY IN THE AREA...

AT 326 AM CDT...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WERE RESULTING IN
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED TO FALL
WITHIN AN HOUR. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO MINOR URBAN FLOODING...SUCH AS
PONDING ON LOCAL ROADS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS
WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 4514 9280 4476 9287 4463 9324 4482 9383
      4517 9345

CLF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
607 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ060>063-066>070-191300-
ANOKA-CARVER-DAKOTA-HENNEPIN-MCLEOD-RAMSEY-SCOTT-SIBLEY-WASHINGTON-
607 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY IN THE AREA...

AT 602 AM CDT...HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN THIS MORNING HAS CAUSED SOME
PROBLEMS ON LOCAL ROADWAYS WITH PONDING OF WATER. THE WATER LEVELS
SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS MORNING NOW THAT THE HEAVY RAIN HAS SUBSIDED.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM HAS CAUSED FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 4516 9287 4470 9301 4461 9333 4455 9382
      4489 9413 4493 9371 4507 9344

CLF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
632 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ065-191215-
RENVILLE-
632 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

AT 631 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF LOWER SIOUX AGENCY. THIS STORM WAS
MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  FRANKLIN.
  BIRD ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 4487 9499 4488 9470 4451 9483 4457 9502
TIME...MOT...LOC 1132Z 188DEG 29KT 4458 9491

CLF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
750 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ054-064-191400-
LAC QUI PARLE-YELLOW MEDICINE-
750 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO LAC QUI PARLE AND YELLOW MEDICINE
COUNTIES THROUGH 900 AM CDT...

AT 747 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTH OF CANBY. THIS STORM WAS MOVING NORTH AT
30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE...WINDS UP TO 30 MPH...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  PORTER.
  CANBY AIRPORT.
  PROVIDENCE.
  FLORIDA CREEK WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA.
  DAWSON.
  MADISON AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4523 9624 4520 9617 4519 9611 4517 9610
      4516 9605 4506 9593 4462 9612 4463 9636
      4464 9638
TIME...MOT...LOC 1250Z 193DEG 27KT 4468 9623

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
821 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ055-056-064-191415-
CHIPPEWA-SWIFT-YELLOW MEDICINE-
821 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER CHIPPEWA...SWIFT AND YELLOW MEDICINE
COUNTIES THROUGH 915 AM CDT...

AT 819 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTH OF LAC QUI
PARLE STATE PARK TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF COTTONWOOD. THESE STORMS
WERE MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  CLARKFIELD.
  HAZEL RUN.
  MILAN.
  MONTEVIDEO AIRPORT.
  HAGEN.
  DANVERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4541 9584 4542 9574 4577 9574 4542 9573
      4541 9552 4537 9549 4462 9569 4463 9574
      4481 9586 4489 9585 4489 9574 4494 9574
      4495 9581 4499 9582 4506 9594
TIME...MOT...LOC 1321Z 191DEG 35KT 4498 9588 4474 9573