Areal Flood Warning 8, NWS Twin Cities, MN

502 
WGUS83 KMPX 191649
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1149 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-192330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140619T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
1149 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIBLEY...RENVILLE AND MCLEOD
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WESTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHERN CARVER
COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND NORTHWESTERN RICE...NORTHERN
NICOLLET...LE SUEUR AND NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...AND NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...AND
EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA UNTIL 630 PM CDT THURSDAY...

AT 1148 AM CDT...FLOODING CONTINUED OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA... 
PARTICULARLY ALONG STREAMS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS. RAINFALL HAS 
ENDED... BUT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BY 
LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING... WHICH COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL 
FLOODING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...GRANITE
FALLS...HUTCHINSON...OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS...ST PETER...FORT RIDGELY
STATE PARK...GAYLORD...GLENCOE...LAKE MARION REGIONAL PARK...LE
CENTER...LOWER SIOUX AGENCY...MN VALLEY STATE REC AREA...NEW PRAGUE
AND UPPER SIOUX AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$

092 
WGUS43 KMPX 192205
FLWMPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-202330-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140620T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
505 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  LE SUEUR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  MCLEOD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN NICOLLET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...
  NORTHWESTERN RICE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  RENVILLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SIBLEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHERN CARVER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  WESTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT FRIDAY

* AT 502 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLOODING CONTINUING  
  ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA.  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH    
  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ALSO AFFECTING THE AREA.  ADDITIONAL       
  RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
  SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...GRANITE
  FALLS...HUTCHINSON...OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS...ST PETER...FORT
  RIDGELY STATE PARK...GAYLORD...GLENCOE...LAKE MARION REGIONAL
  PARK...LE CENTER...LOWER SIOUX AGENCY...MN VALLEY STATE REC AREA...
  NEW PRAGUE AND UPPER SIOUX AGENCY.

3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA DURING 
THE LAST 24 HOURS.  MANY ROADS REMAIN FLOODED ACROSS THE AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$
DWE

250 
WGUS83 KMPX 200810
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
310 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-202330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140620T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
310 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIBLEY...RENVILLE AND MCLEOD
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WESTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHERN CARVER
COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND NORTHWESTERN RICE...NORTHERN
NICOLLET...LE SUEUR AND NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...AND NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...AND
EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA UNTIL 630 PM CDT FRIDAY...

AT 309 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT 
FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH THE 
RAINFALL HAS ENDED...RUNOFF IS NOT COMPLETE AND FLOODING PROBLEMS 
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.  

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...GRANITE
FALLS...HUTCHINSON...OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS...ST PETER...FORT RIDGELY
STATE PARK...GAYLORD...GLENCOE...LAKE MARION REGIONAL PARK...LE
CENTER...LOWER SIOUX AGENCY...MN VALLEY STATE REC AREA...NEW PRAGUE
AND UPPER SIOUX AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$

JLT

115 
WGUS83 KMPX 200814 CCA
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
310 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-202330-
/O.COR.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140620T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
310 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIBLEY...RENVILLE AND MCLEOD
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WESTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHERN CARVER
COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND NORTHWESTERN RICE...NORTHERN
NICOLLET...LE SUEUR AND NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...AND NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...AND
EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA UNTIL 630 PM CDT FRIDAY...

AT 309 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT 
FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH THE RAINFALL HAS 
ENDED...RUNOFF IS NOT COMPLETE AND FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.  

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...GRANITE
FALLS...HUTCHINSON...OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS...ST PETER...FORT RIDGELY
STATE PARK...GAYLORD...GLENCOE...LAKE MARION REGIONAL PARK...LE
CENTER...LOWER SIOUX AGENCY...MN VALLEY STATE REC AREA...NEW PRAGUE
AND UPPER SIOUX AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$

JLT

447 
WGUS43 KMPX 201950
FLWMPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-222330-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  LE SUEUR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  MCLEOD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN NICOLLET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...
  NORTHWESTERN RICE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  RENVILLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SIBLEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTHERN CARVER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  WESTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT SUNDAY

* AT 247 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLOODING ACROSS      
  THE WARNED AREA. SEVERAL ROADS REMAINED FLOODED AND ARE            
  BARRICADED. ALSO...SEVERAL SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE IN FLOOD   
  OR ARE RUNNING HIGH.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR SATURDAY 
  NIGHT AND SUNDAY AND COULD WORSEN THE FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. 

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...GRANITE   
  FALLS...HUTCHINSON...OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS...ST PETER...BELLE 
  PLAINE...JORDAN...GAYLORD...GLENCOE...LAKE MARION REGIONAL         
  PARK...LE CENTER...LE SUEUR...MN VALLEY STATE REC AREA...NEW       
  PRAGUE AND UPPER SIOUX AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$
DWE

864 
WGUS83 KMPX 210917
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
417 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-222330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
417 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIBLEY...RENVILLE AND MCLEOD
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WESTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHERN CARVER
COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND NORTHWESTERN RICE...NORTHERN
NICOLLET...LE SUEUR AND NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...AND NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...AND
EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA UNTIL 630 PM CDT SUNDAY...

AT 415 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT FLOODING WAS 
OCCURRING IN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. SEVERAL ROADS REMAINED FLOODED 
AND ARE BARRICADED. ALSO...SEVERAL SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE IN 
FLOOD OR ARE RUNNING HIGH.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR 
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AND COULD WORSEN THE FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...GRANITE
FALLS...HUTCHINSON...OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS...ST PETER...FORT RIDGELY
STATE PARK...GAYLORD...GLENCOE...LAKE MARION REGIONAL PARK...LE
CENTER...LOWER SIOUX AGENCY...MN VALLEY STATE REC AREA...NEW PRAGUE
AND UPPER SIOUX AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF 
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$

JLT

227 
WGUS83 KMPX 212249
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
549 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-222330-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
549 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SIBLEY...RENVILLE AND MCLEOD
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WESTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHERN CARVER
COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND NORTHWESTERN RICE...NORTHERN
NICOLLET...LE SUEUR AND NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...AND NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...AND
EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA UNTIL 630 PM CDT SUNDAY...

AT 545 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED THAT FLOODING WAS 
OCCURRING IN THE WARNED AREA. NUMEROUS ROADS REMAIN FLOODED AND ARE 
BARRICADED. ALSO...MANY SMALL STREAMS...RIVERS AND OTHER AREAS ARE 
FLOODED.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR LATE TONIGHT AND 
SUNDAY AND COULD WORSEN THE FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...GRANITE
FALLS...HUTCHINSON...OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS...ST PETER...FORT RIDGELY
STATE PARK...GAYLORD...GLENCOE...LAKE MARION REGIONAL PARK...LE 
CENTER...LOWER SIOUX AGENCY...MINNESOTA VALLEY STATE RECREATION 
AREA...NEW PRAGUE AND UPPER SIOUX AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$

TDK

985 
WGUS83 KMPX 222308
FLSMPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
608 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

MNC015-019-023-079-085-103-127-129-131-139-143-173-222320-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FA.W.0008.000000T0000Z-140622T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BROWN MN-CARVER MN-CHIPPEWA MN-LE SUEUR MN-MCLEOD MN-NICOLLET MN-
REDWOOD MN-RENVILLE MN-RICE MN-SCOTT MN-SIBLEY MN-YELLOW MEDICINE MN-
608 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SIBLEY...RENVILLE AND
MCLEOD COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WESTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHERN
CARVER COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND NORTHWESTERN RICE...
NORTHERN NICOLLET...LE SUEUR AND NORTH CENTRAL BROWN COUNTIES IN
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND NORTHERN REDWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA...AND EASTERN YELLOW MEDICINE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHIPPEWA
COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA IS CANCELLED...

THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
STREAMS AND CREEKS REMAIN HIGH AND WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOME ROADS REMAIN CLOSED DUE TO WASHOUTS.

LAT...LON 4492 9574 4488 9520 4488 9455 4494 9409
      4477 9356 4460 9356 4442 9344 4430 9361
      4429 9399 4445 9464 4431 9492 4439 9560
      4462 9561 4462 9588 4473 9599

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
713 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 413 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

ANOTHER ACTIVE NIGHT IS WINDING DOWN...AND FOR THE SECOND NIGHT IN A
ROW WE SAW SOME PRETTY IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS RESULT FROM
TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS. TUESDAY NIGHT WAS MANKATO...AND LAST NIGHT
IT WAS WOOD LAKE...WHERE RADAR ESTIMATES SHOW 6 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN
FELL...AND MUCH OF THAT CAME WITHIN THE FIRST 3 HOURS OF IT STARING
TO RAIN. UNFORTUNATELY...THE ATMOSPHERE THAT HELPED ALLOW THAT TO
HAPPEN WITH PWATS AOA 1.75" AND FREEZING LEVELS ABOVE 15K ARE STILL
IN PLACE AND WILL REMAIN SO UNTIL A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY BACK OVER
ERN SODAK CLEARS THE AREA TONIGHT.

FOR THIS MORNING...THE RAP SHOWS THE LLJ BECOMING BIFURCATED...WITH
ONE SEGMENT SAGGING SE ACROSS IA TOWARD NRN IL...WHILE ANOTHER
SECTION WILL BE ANGLING FROM SRN MN BACK TOWARD ERN NODAK. YOU CAN
SEE THE IMPACTS OF THIS LLJ SLIT OVER THE LAST HOUR ON REGIONAL
RADARS AS ACTIVITY HAS REALLY STARTED TO BECOME FOCUSED OVER NE IA.
THE SEGMENT OF THE LLJ DEVELOPING FARTHER TO THE NORTHWEST IS
HELPING FORCE AN INTENSE LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY RACING NORTH
ACROSS ERN SODAK. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR THE MPX CWA IS THE CLUSTER OF
STORMS OVER ERN MN WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS WRN WI THIS
MORNING AS IT LOSES ITS LLJ FEED...WITH THE WRN LLJ SEGMENT
FOCUSING ACTIVITY INTO NW MN THIS MORNING. THIS WILL SEND US INTO
ANOTHER PRECIP BREAK PERIOD THAT WILL START BETWEEN 15 AND 18Z.

UNFORTUNATELY...THIS BREAK WILL BE VERY SHORT LIVED. AS THE SODAK
FRONT WORKS INTO WRN MN THIS AFTERNOON...CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT
YET ANOTHER LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NEAR A RWF/AXN LINE
BETWEEN 18Z AND 20Z THAT WILL THEN WORK EAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. MOST CAMS SHOW THIS SCENARIO PLAYING OUT...BUT THE SPC AND
ARW WRFS SHOW VERY LITTLE CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE FRONT.
ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST WEIGHS HEAVILY ON THE CONVECTING
MAJORITY...YOU CAN NOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT THE MORE LIMITED
SOLUTIONS DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH CONVECTION TONIGHT CAN OVERTURN THE
ATMOSPHERE. IF ENOUGH OVERTURNING OCCURS...THEN THOSE LIMITED
ACTIVITY SOLUTIONS MAY BE CORRECT. HOWEVER...WITH THE LOSS OF THE
MID LEVEL WARM AIR CAP...PREFER THE SOLUTIONS THAT SHOW ANOTHER
ROUND OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...THINKING THE THREAT...THOUGH STILL
THERE...WILL NOT BE AS GREAT AS THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ONE BIG
REASON IS THAT THE 5K TO 6K J/KG OF MLCAPE IN THE WARM SECTOR SEEN
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE REPLACED BY A MUCH MORE MODEST 1K TO
2K J/KG TODAY. IN ADDITION...0-6KM SHEAR WILL BE RANGING FROM 35-40
KTS NEAR THE MN/SD BORDER /CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW/ TO LESS THAN 20
KTS OVER WRN WI. THE ONE THING THAT IS BETTER TODAY THAN WHAT WE SAW
YESTERDAY ARE THE DYNAMICS AS A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH APPROACHES
WRN MN BY 00Z WITHIN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 70+ KT LLJ. MORE
BOUNDARY PARALLEL SHEAR THIS AFTERNOON FAVORS A LINEAR CONVECTIVE
MODE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...AS THE SMALLER CAPES AND LINEAR MODE SHOULD BOTH HELP TO
SUPPRESS THE HAIL AND TORNADO THREATS /AS COMPARED TO THE LAST
COUPLE OF DAYS/.

THOUGH UNDER NORMAL CIRCUMSTANCES...A FRONT LIKE THIS AFTERNOONS
WOULD NOT TYPICALLY GARNER A FLASH FLOOD WATCH...THIS IS NOT A
TYPICAL SITUATION AS ALL BUT THE NRN TIER OF THE MPX CWA HAS SEEN 4
TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE FRIDAY ON TOP OF WHAT WAS ALREADY ONE OF
THE WETTEST STARTS TO A YEAR ON RECORD. WITH ONLY A SMALL BREAK IN
THE HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED...EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH OUT IN
TIME TO 6Z TONIGHT WEST OF I-35 AND TO 12Z TONIGHT EAST OF I-35. THE
WATCH WAS ALSO EXPANDED NORTH TO INCLUDE THE AREAS THAT HAVE
RECEIVED 3+ INCHES OF RAIN SINCE FRIDAY. ALSO ENDED THE WATCH AT 15Z
FOR THE FAR WRN COUNTIES...AS THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION LOOKS
TO START OVER OR JUST EAST OF THOSE COUNTIES...SO CURRENT
EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL SHIFT EAST OF THOSE
COUNTIES AFTER THIS MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 413 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

A DRIER POST FRONTAL AIR MASS IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA WITH A SURFACE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN WI. WE
THINK THERE IS A DECENT CHANCE AT SUNSHINE AND MODEST W-SW FLOW
COMBINED WITH 16-19 C AT 850 MB TEMPS SHOULD YIELD HIGHS WELL INTO
THE 80S ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA /WESTERN WI SHOULD BE A
FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN MN/. BY SATURDAY MORNING THE TROUGH ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS SHOULD BUILD SOUTH AND MOISTURE RETURN
SHOULD BRING PWATS BACK UP NEAR 1.5-1.75" IN THE FAR WESTERN
FORECAST AREA. THE RETURN OF WEAK 925-850MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND
FGEN BACK ACROSS NORTHERN NE AND EASTERN SD COULD MEAN A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAKE IT INTO WESTERN MN ON SATURDAY...BUT THE BETTER
FOCUS IS IN THE STATES THAT BORDER MN TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. THE
PRECIP SIGNAL ON SUNDAY IS MUDDLED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND AN
INCREASE IN CONVERGENCE AND OMEGA...BUT WE CAN'T PIN DOWN AN AREA
TO FOCUS POPS/WEATHER AT THIS TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS LOW AND THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF
STORMS SHOULD BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED. DURING THIS TIME...THE
UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN CAMPED OUT TO OUR NORTHWEST DRIFTS SLOWLY
NORTH WITH TIME AND THE LONG WAVE FLOW TURNS MORE ZONAL /SLIGHT
RIDGING/. BOTH THE 19.00Z GFS/ECMWF AND TO SOME DEGREE NAM HAVE A
FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE PSUEDO-ZONAL FLOW ARRIVING
IN THE MID/UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY MONDAY. THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY SHOULD BE STRETCHED OUT ACROSS KS/IA/WI WHICH SHOULD BE
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE 00Z GFS IS
MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING IN COOLER AIR TO THE AREA AND
ASSOCIATED HIGH PRESSURE BY TUESDAY. 00Z GFS NOW SHOWING 850 TEMPS
OF 8C TO 10C FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. 00Z EURO AND EVEN THE
PREVIOUS ENSEMBLE RUNS STILL HAS 850 TEMPS OF 12C TO 14C DURING
THAT TIME FRAME. THIS IS A BIG CHANGE FROM PAST GFS RUNS.
SO...MODEL CONSENSUS AND ENSEMBLES ARE THE WAY TO GO. IT IS
IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE ECMWF HAS ALSO SHOWED AGREES IVE COLD
ADVECTION WITH A RUN OR TWO IN THE PAST 2-3 DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO FESTER THIS MORNING ON THE NOSE OF THE LLJ.
BASED ON LLJ FORECAST THIS ACTIVITY MAY LINGER MOST OF THE
MORNING...WHICH WOULD HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR THE POTENTIAL
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. THAT AFTERNOON CONVECTION HAS BETTER MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH INVITATION BETWEEN 18 AND 20Z NEAR A RWF/AXN LINE
BEFORE TRAVELING EAST THE REST OF THE EVENING. USED THE HRRR AND
LOCAL WRF TO TIME THIS EXPECTED LINE ACROSS THE TERMINALS. OF
COURSE IF THIS MORNING STUFF DOES NOT CLEAN OUT ANY TIME
SOON...THIS COULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS NEXT ROUND ON THE
FRONT. MVFR CIGS THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN MAINLY TIED TO
PRECIPITATION...WITH BEST CHANCE FOR MVFR OR LOWER CIGS/VIS
OUTSIDE OF SHRA/TSRA COMING TONIGHT AS THE FRONT/SFC TROUGH WORKS
INTO THE AREA AND CAUSES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO RELAX WITH
MOISTURE STILL LINGERING OUTSIDE OF WESTERN MN.

KMSP...FROM THE LOOK OF THINGS AS I WRITE THIS...WE MAY BE DEALING
WITH THUNDERSTORMS OUT CLOSER TO 18Z AS OPPOSED TO 14Z AS ACTIVITY
CONTINUES TO BUILD BACK TO THE SW. THERE IS STRONG MODEL AGREEMENT
ON THE AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...BUT WITH THE WAY THINGS
ARE TRENDING THIS MORNING...THINGS MAY NOT PLAY OUT THE WAY THEY
ARE CURRENTLY PLANNED OUT IN THE TAF WITH THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
BEING THAT THERE IS LESS CONVECTION THAN EXPECTED WITH THE
AFTERNOON ROUND.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
FRI...VFR. MVFR ISO SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. WINDS SW 10 KTS.
SAT...VFR. MVFR ISO SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. WINDS W 10 KTS.
SUN...VFR. MVFR SHRA/TSRA POSSIBLE. WINDS WNW 10 KTS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MNZ057>061-065>069-
     073>077-082>085-091>093.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MNZ047-
     054>056-064.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR MNZ062-063-070-078.

WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR WIZ023>028.

&&

SHORT TERM...MPG
LONG TERM...CLF
AVIATION...MPG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
808 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

MNZ047-048-054>058-064>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-200115-
STEVENS-POPE-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
808 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN
DAKOTAS AND NORTHERN IOWA AND EXPAND NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE
AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...THOUGH A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY...
WHICH WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. THE
GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL EXIST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ONCE AGAIN...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SOME OF
THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE AND POSE A CONTINUED THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING. BY FRIDAY...THE FLOOD THREAT WILL TRANSITION TO THE
MAIN STEM RIVERS. MUCH OF THE MINNESOTA RIVER...AND THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM SAINT PAUL DOWN TOWARD RED WING COULD REACH
FLOOD STAGE BY THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MNZ041>045-049>053-059>063-WIZ014>016-023>028-200115-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-
ISANTI-CHISAGO-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-POLK-
BARRON-RUSK-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
808 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN
DAKOTAS AND NORTHERN IOWA AND EXPAND NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE
AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY...
WHICH WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. THE
GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL EXIST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ONCE AGAIN...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SOME OF
THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE AND POSE A CONTINUED THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING. BY FRIDAY...THE FLOOD THREAT WILL TRANSITION TO THE
MAIN STEM RIVERS. MUCH OF THE MINNESOTA RIVER...AND THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM SAINT PAUL DOWN TOWARD RED WING COULD REACH
FLOOD STAGE BY THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
EVENING.

BORGHOFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
148 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WINTHROP                44.54N 94.36W
06/19/2014                   SIBLEY             MN   911 CALL CENTER

            POWER OUTAGES DUE TO STRONG WINDS REPORTED WITH DIME SIZE
            HAIL.

&&

FRANKS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
328 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ060>063-068>070-191030-
ANOKA-CARVER-DAKOTA-HENNEPIN-RAMSEY-SCOTT-WASHINGTON-
328 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY IN THE AREA...

AT 326 AM CDT...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WERE RESULTING IN
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED TO FALL
WITHIN AN HOUR. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO MINOR URBAN FLOODING...SUCH AS
PONDING ON LOCAL ROADS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS
WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 4514 9280 4476 9287 4463 9324 4482 9383
      4517 9345

CLF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
607 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ060>063-066>070-191300-
ANOKA-CARVER-DAKOTA-HENNEPIN-MCLEOD-RAMSEY-SCOTT-SIBLEY-WASHINGTON-
607 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY IN THE AREA...

AT 602 AM CDT...HEAVY RAINFALL HAS CAUSED URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN THIS MORNING HAS CAUSED SOME
PROBLEMS ON LOCAL ROADWAYS WITH PONDING OF WATER. THE WATER LEVELS
SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS MORNING NOW THAT THE HEAVY RAIN HAS SUBSIDED.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM HAS CAUSED FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 4516 9287 4470 9301 4461 9333 4455 9382
      4489 9413 4493 9371 4507 9344

CLF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
632 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

MNZ065-191215-
RENVILLE-
632 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014

AT 631 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF LOWER SIOUX AGENCY. THIS STORM WAS
MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  FRANKLIN.
  BIRD ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 4487 9499 4488 9470 4451 9483 4457 9502
TIME...MOT...LOC 1132Z 188DEG 29KT 4458 9491

CLF