Areal Flood Warning 14, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
430 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...A RATHER UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD
FRONT IS CURRENTLY IN THE PROCESS OF MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA AND WILL BRING POTENTIALLY RECORD BREAKING LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT.  WILL HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA THIS MORNING AS LAYER LIFTED/OVERRUNNING LIGHT
RAIN SHIFTS EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA.  A DRY FORECAST FOLLOWS FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.  HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FROM MID
MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AS GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LOOK TO
ATTAIN FREQUENT GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH.  HIGHS TODAY WILL BE NEARLY 15
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.  LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 30 FOR
MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AREA TO MID TO UPPER 30S CLOSER TO THE COAST.
AS THE AREA HAS SEEN AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SEASONABLE TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES...PER COORDINATION WITH NEIGHBORING
OFFICES HAVE ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING FOR TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF THE
INTERIOR PORTION OF THE AREA WITH A FREEZE WATCH FOR GENERALLY THE
INTERIOR PORTION OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES.  THE FREEZE WARNING WILL
EXTEND NORTH OF A LINE FROM ABOUT WAYNESBORO MISSISSIPPI TO FLORALA
ALABAMA...AND IN THIS PORTION THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE NEAR 30-31 DEGREES.  THE FREEZE WATCH WILL BE
SOUTH OF THIS LINE TO ABOUT WIGGINS MISSISSIPPI TO CRESTVIEW
ALABAMA...WHERE OVERNIGHT LOWS MAY HIT FREEZING BUT CONFIDENCE IS
LIMITED.  NEW RECORD LOWS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT IN AT LEAST SEVERAL
AREAS.  HERE IS A TABLE OF FORECAST AND CURRENT RECORD LOWS. /29

CURRENT RECORD TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING
              FORECAST      RECORD
MOBILE...     35            37 (2007)
PENSACOLA...  40            42 (1928 AND 1962)
EVERGREEN...  30            34 (2008)
DESTIN...     43            47 (2008)

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...A WARMING TREND BEGINS ON
WEDNESDAY AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST AND UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AS A TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE WESTERN
STATES. THIS TROUGH WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...MOISTURE APPEARS TO
BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND POPS ARE ONLY AROUND 30%.
UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER TROUGH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH TEMPS WARMING
INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COMES LATE
IN THE PERIOD WHEN A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.
HOWEVER...GLOBAL MODELS DISAGREE ON THE MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AND
ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WERE INTRODUCED AT THIS TIME. /13

&&

.AVIATION (12Z ISSUANCE)...IFR CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE TO CLEARING SKIES
BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS FOLLOWING FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.  GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
/29

&&

.MARINE...THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE MARINE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT.  STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND HAVE CONTINUED
WITH A GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE AREA AS OF ISSUANCE
TIME FOLLOWED BY A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 AM
WEDNESDAY UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE SUFFICIENTLY.  A MODERATE EASTERLY
FLOW FOLLOWS FOR WEDNESDAY THEN BECOMES STRONG WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER THE REGION.  THE EASTERLY FLOW
SUBSIDES SOMEWHAT THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW
CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING FURTHER. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      61  34  66  48  70 /  10  00  00  05  20
PENSACOLA   65  40  67  54  70 /  30  00  00  05  20
DESTIN      65  43  67  57  70 /  50  00  00  05  20
EVERGREEN   58  30  68  43  70 /  20  00  00  05  10
WAYNESBORO  57  30  68  43  70 /  10  00  00  05  10
CAMDEN      57  30  68  42  71 /  20  00  00  05  10
CRESTVIEW   63  30  69  44  72 /  40  00  00  05  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...WILCOX...

     FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

     FREEZE WATCH FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND
     SANTA ROSA...

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WAYNE...

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

     FREEZE WATCH FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...

GM...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL
     WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...
     MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN MOBILE BAY...SOUTHERN MOBILE
     BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 10 AM WEDNESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO
     BAY...

&&

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
844 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LOXLEY                  30.62N 87.75W
04/14/2014                   BALDWIN            AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORTS OF HIGHWAY 90 JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY 59 FLOODED.
            FLOODING ON PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 59 AND COUNTY ROAD 49.
            NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED IN FAIRHOPE, ROBERTSDALE, AND
            SILVERHILL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N FAIRHOPE            30.57N 87.90W
04/15/2014  M9.79 INCH       BALDWIN            AL   COCORAHS

            ADDITIONAL REPORTS OF 9.19, 8.76, 8.32, AND 8.06 INCHES
            IN THE FAIRHOPE AREA VIA COCORAHS.

&&

JFB

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>