Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 47, NWS St. Louis, MO

June 4, 2014Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 4, 2014, 2:41 AM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 4, 2014, 5:41 AM CDT. It was in force for 67 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 4, 2014, 2:41 AM CDT (07:41 UTC)
In effect from: Jun 4, 2014, 5:41 AM CDT
Expired: Jun 7, 2014, 1:00 AM CDT
In force: 67 hr
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fabius River near Taylor (TAYM7). The gauge peaked at 12.14 ft at Jun 4, 2014, 11:00 AM CDT.

Action stage: 8 ft
Minor stage: 10 ft
Moderate stage: 14 ft
Major stage: 19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05500000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

760 
WGUS43 KLSX 040741
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
241 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following river in Missouri... 


  South Fabius River near 

      Taylor 


.This Flood Warning is a result of 1-2.5 inches of rain across the basin
over the past several hours and an additional 1.5-2.0 inches forecast
through this morning...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-050741-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0047.140604T2017Z-140607T0600Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.140604T2017Z.140605T0600Z.140606T0600Z.NO/
241 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The South Fabius River near Taylor
* From this afternoon to late Thursday night.
* At  1:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this afternoon
  and continue to rise and crest near 11.3 feet late tonight. Additional
  rises are possible.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    3.91       6.0   11.3    8.8    4.5    2.0


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

6 follow-up statements

433 
WGUS83 KLSX 041032
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
532 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...


  North Fabius River near Ewing 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing 

  South Fabius River near Taylor 

  North River at Palmyra 


.This Flood Warning is a result of 2-3 inches of rain across the basins
over the past several hours and an additional 1.5-2.0 inches forecast
through this morning...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-051032-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.140604T1443Z-140608T0651Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.140604T1443Z.140605T1200Z.140607T0651Z.NO/
532 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fabius River near Ewing
* From this morning to late Friday night.
* At 4:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to above flood stage late this 
  morning and crest near 14.2 feet Thursday morning. Additional rises
  are possible.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    7.82      10.0   14.2   13.1   10.4    7.2


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-051031-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0048.140604T1200Z-140606T0830Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.140604T1200Z.140605T0000Z.140605T0830Z.NO/
532 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North River at Palmyra
* Until late tonight.
* At 4:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this morning 
  and crest near 17.5 feet by this evening. Additional rises are possible.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   10.22      13.0   10.2    4.8    3.2    3.1


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-051031-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.140604T2000Z-140608T0738Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.140604T2000Z.140606T1800Z.140607T0738Z.NO/
532 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* From this afternoon to late Friday night.
* At 4:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late this 
  afternoon and crest near 13.0 feet by early Friday afternoon. Additional
  rises are possible.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   10.19      11.0   12.5   12.9   11.2    5.8


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-051031-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.140604T1041Z-140607T0300Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.140604T1041Z.140605T0000Z.140606T0300Z.NO/
532 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fabius River near Taylor
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 4:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to rise above flood stage early this 
  morning and crest near 11.3 feet this evening. Additional rises are
  possible.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    9.05      10.0   11.1    8.2    4.5    2.0


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

576 
WGUS83 KLSX 041244
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
744 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 

  North Fabius River near Ewing 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing  

  South Fabius River near Taylor  

  North River at Palmyra 


.This Flood Warning is a result of 2-5 inches of rain across the basins
over the past 6-12 hours..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-051244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.140604T1930Z-140607T1106Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.140604T1930Z.140605T1200Z.140606T1106Z.NO/
744 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fabius River near Ewing
* From this afternoon to Friday morning.
* At 6:46 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this afternoon 
  and crest near 15.0 feet Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    8.56      15.0   10.7    4.9    4.4    4.1


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-051244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140606T1053Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.140604T1045Z.140605T0000Z.140605T1053Z.NO/
744 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North River at Palmyra
* Until late tonight.
* At 6:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 20.0 feet this
  evening. Additional rises are possible.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   14.27      12.0    5.1    3.2    3.1    3.1


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-051244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.140604T1311Z-140607T0742Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.140604T1311Z.140605T1200Z.140606T0742Z.NO/
744 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 6:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this morning 
  and crest near 13.9 feet Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   11.72      13.9   11.0    4.6    3.9    3.8


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-051244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140606T0900Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.140604T0951Z.140604T1800Z.140605T0900Z.NO/
744 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Fabius River near Taylor
* Until late tonight.
* At 6:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 13.0 feet this
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   11.30       9.0    6.8    3.8    2.0    1.8


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

821 
WGUS83 KLSX 041712
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1212 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...


  North Fabius River near Ewing 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing 

  South Fabius River near Taylor 

  North River at Palmyra
 

.This Flood Warning is a result of widespread 2 to 5 inches of
precipitation the past 24 hours with isolated higher amounts...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-051712-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.140604T2256Z-140607T1352Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.140604T2256Z.140605T1800Z.140606T1352Z.NO/
1212 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* from this afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this 
  afternoon, crest near 14.8 feet Thursday afternoon and fall below 
  flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   10.54      14.5   11.5    6.1    4.8    4.3

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

MOC127-051712-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140606T1139Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.140604T1045Z.140605T0000Z.140605T1139Z.NO/
1212 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Thursday.
* At 11:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 19.5 feet this
  evening and fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank 
  begins flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   14.61      12.7    5.2    3.2    3.1    3.1

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$

MOC111-051712-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-140607T1420Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.140604T1315Z.140605T1200Z.140606T1420Z.NO/
1212 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Friday.
* At 11:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 14.2 feet Thursday 
  morning and fall below flood stage Friday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   12.00      14.2   12.7    5.4    3.9    3.9

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-051711-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140606T1720Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.140604T0951Z.140604T1800Z.140605T1720Z.NO/
1212 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 12.5 feet this
  afternoon and fall below flood stage Thursday.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded 
  north of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   12.12      10.3    7.8    4.6    2.1    1.8

&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176                       

$$

281 
WGUS83 KLSX 050232
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
932 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
 
  
             The North Fabius River near 

                ...Ewing 

  
             The Middle Fabius River near 

               ...Ewing 


             The South Fabius River near 

               ...Taylor affecting Marion County 



.This Flood Warning is a result of rainfall ranging from 2 - 5 inches
in the past 24 hour period...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.  

The National Weather Service will continue to monitor this situation and 
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-060232-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-140607T1108Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.140604T1655Z.140605T1800Z.140606T1108Z.NO/
932 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 14.4 feet by tomorrow afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   13.52      14.3   10.8    7.1    5.2    4.6


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-060232-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-140607T1800Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.140604T1315Z.140606T0000Z.140606T1800Z.NO/
932 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will rise to near 13.8 feet by tomorrow evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   12.72      13.4   13.2    5.9    3.9    3.9


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-060231-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140606T1617Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.140604T0951Z.140604T1615Z.140605T1617Z.NO/
932 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* At 8:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level armlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road 365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   11.49      10.0    7.2    4.0    2.0    1.8


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 051452
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
952 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 

  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 


.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 5 inches of precipitation 
received on Tuesday night...with some locally higher amounts...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue 
follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-061452-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-140607T0300Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.140604T1655Z.140605T0815Z.140606T0300Z.NO/
952 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Friday evening.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   12.86       9.9    7.1    5.3    4.6    4.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-061451-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-140607T1912Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.140604T1315Z.140606T0000Z.140606T1912Z.NO/
952 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday early 
  afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   13.98      13.6    6.3    4.3    4.3    4.2


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-061451-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140606T1800Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.140604T0951Z.140604T1615Z.140605T1800Z.NO/
952 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    9.79       7.2    4.4    2.1    1.8    1.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

711 
WGUS83 KLSX 060202
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
902 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Missouri...
 
  

            The North Fabius River near 

              ...Ewing


            The South Fabius River near 

              ...Taylor affecting Marion County




&&

MOC111-060232-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-140607T0300Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.140604T1655Z.140605T0815Z.140605T1926Z.NO/
902 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 2:26 PM Thursday.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    9.15       4.5    3.7    3.3    3.2    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-060232-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-140606T1800Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.140604T0951Z.140604T1615Z.140605T2145Z.NO/
902 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 4:45 PM Thursday.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    9.36       6.2    3.5    2.1    1.7    1.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 4, 12:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 12:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1257 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2014

.UPDATE:
Issued at 742 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2014

Have updated the forecast to increase pops further south along the
I-70 corridor late tonight. Convection-allowing models are showing
the southern side of the forward propagating MCS sagging southward
overnight fueled by outflow interactions with a 50kt low level
jet. Have also bumped up pops for lingering convection tomorrow
morning...generally along and east of the Mississippi River.
Conditions still look ripe for severe storms with damaging winds
and large hail...primarily across the northern quadrant of the
CWFA, but can't totally rule out severe storms as far south as
the I-70 corridor overnight. Locally heavy rain also continues to
be a threat overnight.

Carney

&&

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Tonight)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2014

Focus thru this period continues to be the track of MCS overnight.

Mdls still disagree with timing and placement of the MCS tonight.
With little movement of the wrmfnt today, believe a more srn track
will develop than prev thought. Due to the uncertainty, have not
pulled POPs too far S for tonight. Main threat for tonight
continues to be very high winds as the MCS develops, but tornadoes
will also be possible, especially near any sfc boundaries.

With ample cloud cover tonight, kept temps on the warmer side
except where precip is anticipated.

Tilly

.LONG TERM:  (Wednesday through Next Tuesday)
Issued at 339 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2014

(Wednesday through Friday)

Main concern will the potential for a few severe thunderstorms over
the southern part of the CWA during the day on Wednesday.  Any
severe weather from tonight's MCS should have moved east the area by
12Z, though lingering showers and thunderstorms will likely still be
producing some rainfall over the northern and eastern counties in a
band of 925-850mb moisture convergence.  This forcing will then
diminish during the morning hours as the low level jet weakens and
veers.  The atmosphere will become extremely unstable along the
front during the afternoon hours with MLCAPE values reaching
3000-4000 J/kg with little CINH.  Deep layer shear will also be in
the 40-50kt range suggesting that any storms are able to develop
along the front will be capable of becoming severe.  Front will not
move far enough south on Wednesday night to keep thunderstorms out
of the forecast over the southern part of the CWA.

By Thursday the front will move far enough south that all but part
of the eastern Ozarks will be dry.  By Thursday night and Friday the
ECMWF is showing strong low level moisture convergence over the area
at the same time that a weak shortwave trough will move across the
area. Have a chance of showers and thunderstorms going both
periods.

After being well above normal over most of the area tomorrow,
temperatures will below normal on Thursday and Friday.

(Saturday through next Tuesday)

Looks like there is enough agreement between the GFS and ECMWF that
a warm front will move north into Missouri and Illinois by Saturday
evening in response to a surface low developing over the Central
Plains.  The surface low will then track northeast to near Chicago
by early Sunday which will cause a cold front to pass through the
CWA during the day.  Will still have best chances of showers and
thunderstorms going Saturday into Sunday.  The front will move well
south of the area on Monday, though another trough will move through
the area on Tuesday bringing a slight chance of showers.
Temperatures will be seasonably warm behind the warm front on
Saturday, though they will be at or a bit below normal the rest of
the period behind the cold front.

Britt

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2014

An elongated mesoscale convective system currently stretches from
central IL across northern MO into southeast NE, and is focused
along and north of the warm front. There are a number of intense
thunderstorm clusters on the southern periphery of this elongated
system, and the overall motion is to the east southeast. KUIN
should continue to see bouts of thunderstorms through daybreak with
flight conditions varying from MVFR to IFR. It still appears that
the thunderstorm complex will impact both KCOU and the St. Louis
area terminals for a 3-4 hour period accompanied by gusty winds
and flight conditions ranging from MVFR to IFR. Additional
scattered thunderstorm development will be possible along the
front on Wednesday afternoon as it gradually settles southward but
the probability is too low to explicity mention in the TAFS.

Specifics for KSTL:

A complex of thunderstorms extending from northwest Missouri into
southeast Nebraska will move southeastward during the overnight
hours. Present indications are the thunderstorm complex will have
enough southward push to impact KSTL beginning around 10z and
lasting until around 14z. The intensity is hard to gage and could
certainly be stronger than the current forecast of wind gusts to
25 kts and MVFR flight conditions. Additional thunderstorm
development will be possible along the front on Wednesday afternoon
as it moves southward, and have added a VCTS for 21z-00z.

Glass

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 3:57 PM CDT, 10 hours 44 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
357 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-041115-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
357 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. THE
GREATEST RISK WILL BE OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS WHERE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THIS LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH...A FEW TORNADOES AND
LARGE HAIL. THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A RISK FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH
MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

BRITT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 3, 11:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1142 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     TSTM WND DMG     QUINCY                  39.93N  91.39W
06/03/2014                   ADAMS              IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            WINDOWS BLOWN OUT AT A BUISNESS ON THE EAST SIDE QUINCY

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

CARNEY

Local storm report, Jun 4, 12:08 AM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1208 AM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1207 AM     TSTM WND GST     MOUNT STERLING          39.98N  90.76W
06/04/2014  E60 MPH          BROWN              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

FGLASS

Local storm report, Jun 4, 12:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1215 AM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1208 AM     TSTM WND GST     GRIGGSVILLE             39.71N  90.73W
06/04/2014  E45 MPH          PIKE               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

1208 AM     HAIL             GRIGGSVILLE             39.71N  90.73W
06/04/2014  E0.75 INCH       PIKE               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CARNEY

Local storm report, Jun 4, 12:30 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1230 AM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1229 AM     HEAVY RAIN       QUINCY                  39.93N  91.39W
06/04/2014  M1.90 INCH       ADAMS              IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SOUTH SIDE OF QUINCY.

&&

CARNEY

Local storm report, Jun 4, 1:55 AM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
155 AM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 AM     FLOOD            PLEVNA                  39.97N  92.09W
06/04/2014                   KNOX               MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE 156 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO WATER ON
            ROADWAY.

&&

GOSSELIN

Special weather statement, Jun 4, 2:33 AM CDT, 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
233 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

MOZ041-042-050-040815-
AUDRAIN MO-BOONE MO-CALLAWAY MO-
233 AM CDT WED JUN 4 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AUDRAIN...NORTHWESTERN
CALLAWAY AND BOONE COUNTIES UNTIL 315 AM CDT...

AT 231 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HUNTSVILLE TO NEW
FRANKLIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  COLUMBIA...
  CENTRALIA...
  MEXICO...
  ROCHEPORT...
  MIDWAY...
  STURGEON...
  HALLSVILLE...
  MURRY...

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT FINGER LAKES STATE PARK...JEWELL CEMETERY
HISTORIC SITE AND ROCK BRIDGE STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI FROM EXIT 115 TO EXIT 144.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL 5AM. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

TRUETT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 3, 9:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Knox, Shelby	41 min
Jun 3, 9:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lewis, Marion, Shelby	59 min
Jun 3, 9:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Knox, Shelby	33 min
Jun 3, 10:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lewis, Marion, Shelby	65 min
Jun 3, 11:48 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Lewis	4 days
Jun 4, 12:52 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Lewis	4 days
Jun 4, 1:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Knox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby	48 min
Jun 4, 1:52 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LSX	Knox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby	7 hr
Jun 4, 3:26 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Knox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby	6 hr
Jun 4, 3:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Cole, Moniteau, Osage	51 min
Jun 4, 3:57 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	48 hr
Jun 4, 4:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau	48 min
Jun 4, 4:23 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Ralls	6 hr
Jun 4, 4:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Callaway, Cole, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage	46 min
Jun 4, 6:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis	39 min
Jun 4, 6:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jefferson	12 min
Jun 4, 9:23 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Knox, Lewis, Marion, Ralls, Shelby	12 hr
Jun 4, 11:38 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	4 days
Jun 4, 11:38 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Ralls	3 days
Jun 4, 11:38 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Pike	4 days
Jun 4, 11:38 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Pike	5 days
Jun 4, 11:38 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Lincoln	5 days
Jun 4, 3:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jefferson, Sainte Genevieve	42 min
Jun 4, 4:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Sainte Genevieve	38 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2014 Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.