Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 14, NWS St. Louis, MO

April 3, 2014Cole County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Apr 3, 2014, 6:15 AM CDT for Cole County, Missouri. It took effect at Apr 3, 2014, 7:45 AM CDT. It was in force for 62 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2014, 6:15 AM CDT (11:15 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 3, 2014, 7:45 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 5, 2014, 9:51 PM CDT
In force
62 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Cole County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Moreau River (MO) near Jefferson City (JCMM7). The gauge peaked at 27.06 ft at Apr 4, 2014, 4:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate102004/0304/0404/0504/0604/07
Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06910750, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

324 
WGUS43 KLSX 031115
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
615 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following river in Missouri... 

  Moreau River near Jefferson City affecting Cole County

.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 3 inches of rain thus far and
another 1 inch of rainfall is expected through tonight...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue
follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-041115-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0014.140403T1245Z-140406T0251Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.140403T1245Z.140404T0600Z.140405T0251Z.NO/
615 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Moreau River near Jefferson City
* until late Friday.  
* At 5:30 AM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  Rise above flood stage this morning and crest near   
  21.8 feet early friday morning. The river will fall below flood
  stage by late evening tomorrow.
* Impact:  At 17.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/03  04/04  04/05  04/06  04/07

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   15.63      16.6   21.5   11.6    4.9    3.4


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
9 follow-up statements
103 
WGUS83 KLSX 040232
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
932 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 

  Moreau River near Jefferson City affecting Cole County 


.This Flood Warning is a result of 4 to 5 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours, with some locally higher amounts, and little additional 
precipitation forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue 
follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-050232-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T1243Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T1200Z.140405T1243Z.NO/
932 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Moreau River near Jefferson City
* until Sunday morning.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate Flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 17.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/04  04/05  04/06  04/07  04/08

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   22.67      24.5   17.7    5.4    3.5    3.2


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
751 
WGUS43 KLSX 041015
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
515 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...Observed and Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...

  Moreau River near Jefferson City affecting Cole County

.This Flood Warning is a result of 4 to 5 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours, with some locally higher amounts, and no additional 
precipitation forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue
follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-051015-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T1238Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T1200Z.140405T1238Z.NO/
515 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...Observed and forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Moreau River near Jefferson City
* At  4:30 AM Friday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate Flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/04  04/05  04/06  04/07  04/08

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   25.02      25.5   17.6    5.4    3.3    3.1


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
840 
WGUS83 KLSX 041412
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
912 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 

  Moreau River near 

      Jefferson City 
 

.This Flood Warning is a result of __ inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and __ inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-051412-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T1245Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T1800Z.140405T1245Z.NO/
912 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  Moreau River near Jefferson City
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 26.4 feet this
  afternoon. 

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/05  04/06  04/07  04/08  04/09

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   26.01      17.7    5.4    3.4    3.1    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
860 
WGUS83 KLSX 041426 CCA
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
912 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 

  Moreau River near 

      Jefferson City 
 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 5-8 inches of rainfall the 
past 72 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-051412-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T1245Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T1800Z.140405T1245Z.NO/
912 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  Moreau River near Jefferson City
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  8:30 AM Friday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 26.4 feet this
  afternoon. 

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/05  04/06  04/07  04/08  04/09

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   26.01      17.7    5.4    3.4    3.1    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
225 
WGUS83 KLSX 041932
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
232 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Moreau River near Jefferson City affecting Cole County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 5 to 8 inches of rainfall the 
past 72 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-051932-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T1245Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140405T0000Z.140405T1245Z.NO/
232 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Moreau River near Jefferson City
* until Sunday morning.
* At 1:30 PM Friday the stage was 26.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to crest near 28.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/05  04/06  04/07  04/08  04/09

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   26.90      17.7    5.5    3.3    3.1    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
006 
WGUS83 KLSX 050055
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
754 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Moreau River 

     near Jefferson City 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 5 to 8 inches of rain the past
72 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-060054-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T1310Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T2230Z.140405T1310Z.NO/
754 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Moreau River near Jefferson City
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 26.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast:  The river is cresting and is forecast to fall below 
  flood stage Saturday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/05  04/06  04/07  04/08  04/09

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   26.88      18.1    5.7    3.4    3.1    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
313 
WGUS83 KLSX 050353
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1053 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 

  Moreau River 

	near Jefferson City


.This Flood Warning is a result of 5 to 8 inches of rainfall 
received over the past 72 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue 
follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-060353-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T1305Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T2230Z.140405T1305Z.NO/
1053 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Moreau River near Jefferson City
* until Sunday morning.
* At 10:30 PM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river has crested and will continue to fall to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/05  04/06  04/07  04/08  04/09

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   26.39      18.0    5.7    3.4    3.1    3.0


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
540 
WGUS83 KLSX 051347
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
846 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Missouri...
 

  Moreau River near 

      Jefferson City  


.This Flood Warning is a result of 5 to 8 inches of rainfall 
received earlier this week...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-061346-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T2034Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T2230Z.140405T2034Z.NO/
846 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  Moreau River near Jefferson City
* Until this afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM Saturday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to continue to fall rapidly to below
  flood stage later this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/06  04/07  04/08  04/09  04/10

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   20.09      10.5    3.4    3.1    3.0    2.9


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$
152 
WGUS83 KLSX 051653
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1153 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Missouri...

 
  Moreau River near 

      Jefferson City 


.This will be the final statement for this flooding event...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC051-051723-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140406T2034Z/
/JCMM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140404T2230Z.140405T1555Z.NO/
1153 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  Moreau River near Jefferson City.
* At 11:30 AM Saturday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 10:55 AM Saturday.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to continue to fall to near 10.5 feet
  Sunday morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     04/06  04/07  04/08  04/09  04/10

Moreau River
  Jefferson City  17.0   16.18      10.5    3.4    3.1    3.0    2.9


&&


LAT...LON 3853 9231 3848 9231 3849 9211 3854 9207
      3855 9214                       



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 3, 3:23 AM CDT, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 3:23 AM CDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
323 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2014

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Tonight)
Issued at 233 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2014

Rather messy ongoing convection will lead to a lower confidence
forecast thru this period. As mentioned in the prev AFD, expect
ongoing MCS to continue ewd thru sunrise and shud be on the ern
fringes of the CWA by 15z. This shud allow for some dry time
during peak heating to allow the wrmfnt to lift nwd. Of course,
this meteorologist had a similar outlook for yesterday, which did
not turn out so well.

Largest question involves timing of convection initiation this
afternoon/evening. Mid level jet streak ahead of the main trof
currently in TX is progd to reach AR/srn MO around mid-day. Many
mdl solns suggest this shud help initialize convection this
afternoon and spread it newd into srn portions of the CWA. Have
kept high chance POPs this afternoon to account for this, but
believe focus will be along the cdfnt just w of the CWA. Expect
TSRA to develop w of the CWA and move into the area late this
afternoon and thru the evening hours. Storms shud be over far ern
counties around 06z tonight and quickly move out of the CWA by
09z.

Not much has changed in thinking for storm mode, so will not go
into great detail. Initial storm mode shud be supercells which
gradually grow upscale into a QLCS. Given progd hodographs, amount
of deep layer shear, not to mention low level shear, significant
severe weather is possible this afternoon and thru at least the
evening hours. The main area of concern is the srn half of the
CWA. Further north, with rather steep lapse rates and ample shear,
still expect a threat of severe wx, but expect threat to be
focused more toward large hail.

Mdls also depict K index values in the middle to upper 30 C range,
suggesting more of a heavy rain threat as well. Do not anticipate
any changes to the going FFA, but trends will need to be
monitored.

As for temps, with the trof approaching the region today, expect
the lee cyclogenesis and the wrmfnt to push nwd this afternoon.
Have therefore trended warmer today. Trended twd the cooler MOS
tonight as the sfc ridge builds into the region.

Tilly

.LONG TERM:  (Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2014

Large sfc ridge will move into the area behind today's system
bringing a brief period of dry and colder weather. Expect
strong/gusty wly winds on Fri.

Next focus for precip is Sun night as a system passes just se of
the CWA. Mdls have come into better agreement with development and
track of this system. Have therefore increases POPs into the
likely range for sern portions of the CWA. Mdls also suggest
precip over portions of the area as another s/w moves swd thru the
region. Expect mainly sct coverage and have kept lower chance POPs
for these showers.

Generally trended twd a mdl consensus for temps thru the period.
Only main change was to trend a little cooler on Fri night due to
a loss of cloud cover and winds becoming light.

Tilly

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2014

A complex forecast this period, with lots of uncertainty regarding
the timing and coverage of multiple rounds of SHRA/TSRA affecting
area TAF sites. Thunderstorms over western Missouri continue to
develop tonight, aided by a strengthening southwesterly LLJ.
Currently have timed SHRA/TSRA into KCOU and KUIN by 07Z tonight.
Metro area TAF sites should see showers begin to develop by around
08Z ahead of a northward advancing warm front, with thunderstorm
activity expected by around 10Z. Expect thunderstorms to continue
through the early morning hours, prior to a lull in activity
through much of the afternoon on Thursday. Late Thursday afternoon
and evening another round of SHRA/TSRA is expected across the
area, which has the potential to include some significant severe
weather ahead of an approaching cold front. While exact timing has
yet to be pinned down, feel that the trend will be for the cold
front to move through KCOU by around 02-03Z, and KUIN and metro
TAF sites by around 04-05Z Friday. Aside from the storms, winds
are also expected to become gusty on Thursday afternoon,
especially as the warm front continues to move north.

Specifics for KSTL:

Lots of uncertainty regarding timing of SHRA/TSRA activity this
forecast period. Currently expect showers to develop tonight ahead
of a northward advancing warm front, prior to a transition to
thunderstorms by around 10Z as convection currently over western
Missouri continued to move eastward along the warm front.
SHRA/TSRA will continue through the early morning hours, before a
lull in activity for much of the afternoon on Thursday. The next
round of storms, which could produce significant severe weather,
is expected to impact the terminal during the early evening on
Thursday. While timing will need to be refined in future TAF
issuances, current thinking is that SHRA/TSRA activity will impact
KSTL beginning around 00Z and continue until around 04Z when a
cold front will move through. Winds Thursday afternoon could gust
to around 20KT, and after fropa Thursday night, winds will shift to
the west, but remain gusty.

JP

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis     79  42  54  35 /  90  90  10   0
Quincy          70  37  46  29 /  80  90  20   0
Columbia        77  37  53  31 /  80  90   5   0
Jefferson City  78  38  53  30 /  80  90   5   0
Salem           76  50  56  34 /  90  90  10   0
Farmington      77  43  57  32 /  70  90   5   0

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late tonight FOR Audrain MO-Boone MO-
     Callaway MO-Cole MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-Jefferson MO-
     Lincoln MO-Moniteau MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike MO-St.
     Charles MO-St. Louis City MO-St. Louis MO-Warren MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through late tonight FOR Bond IL-Calhoun IL-
     Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Greene IL-Jersey IL-Macoupin IL-
     Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Pike IL-St.
     Clair IL-Washington IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 3:40 AM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
340 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-041200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
340 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH A THREAT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HEAVY RAINFALL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A PORTION
OF THE AREA. PLEASE SEE THE WATCH PRODUCT FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER...RAINFALL
OR FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TILLY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 3, 4:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
439 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

MOZ061>064-031045-
FRANKLIN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-
439 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ST. LOUIS CITY...ST. LOUIS...ST.
CHARLES AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 545 AM CDT...

AT 438 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEW MELLE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DARDENNE
PRAIRIE...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  GRAY SUMMIT...
  LAKE ST. LOUIS...
  ST. PAUL...
  DARDENNE PRAIRIE...
  O'FALLON...
  WILDWOOD...
  COTTLEVILLE...
  WELDON SPRING...
  EUREKA...
  ST. PETERS...

THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT BABLER MEMORIAL STATE PARK...CASTLEWOOD
STATE PARK...CONFLUENCE STATE PARK...FIRST MISSOURI STATE CAPITOL
HISTORIC SITE...ROUTE 66 STATE PARK AND SCOTT JOPLIN HISTORIC SITE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

TILLY
Local storm report, Apr 3, 5:16 AM CDT, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
516 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 W CHESTERFIELD        38.66N  90.63W
04/03/2014  M51 MPH          ST. LOUIS          MO   ASOS

&&

CVKING
Local storm report, Apr 3, 5:48 AM CDT, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
548 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0547 AM     TORNADO          UNIVERSITY CITY         38.67N  90.33W
04/03/2014                   ST. LOUIS          MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROOFING MATERIAL OFF HOME...TREES TWISTED...DEBRIS ON
            ROADS...AND FENCES BLOWN DOWN. NEAR MCKNIGHT AND OLIVE.

&&

CVKING
Local storm report, Apr 3, 5:56 AM CDT, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
556 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 AM     TORNADO          UNIVERSITY CITY         38.67N  90.33W
04/03/2014                   ST. LOUIS          MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROOFING MATERIAL OFF HOME...TREES TWISTED...DEBRIS ON
            ROADS...AND FENCES BLOWN DOWN. NEAR MCKNIGHT AND OLIVE.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

CVKING
Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:01 AM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
601 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BELLEVILLE              38.53N  90.00W
04/03/2014                   ST. CLAIR          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SE PART OF BELLEVILLE....DEBRIS FROM SIDING AND TREES
            SCATTERED ACROSS AREA.

&&

KARLZ
Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:12 AM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
612 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OLIVETTE                38.67N  90.38W
04/03/2014                   ST. LOUIS          MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.

&&

CVKING

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 8:55 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln60 hr
Apr 3, 2:19 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXBoone, Moniteau3 hr
Apr 3, 3:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau6 hr
Apr 3, 4:55 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Osage6 hr
Apr 3, 5:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Louis40 min
Apr 3, 5:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCity of Saint Louis56 min
Apr 3, 5:23 AM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis37 min
Apr 3, 8:11 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington3 hr
Apr 3, 8:18 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXOsage30 hr
Apr 3, 8:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMonroe4 days
Apr 3, 9:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway49 min
Apr 3, 9:23 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau3 hr
Apr 3, 12:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis42 min
Apr 3, 1:00 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXBoone, Moniteau24 hr
Apr 3, 1:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin36 min
Apr 3, 1:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Saint Charles, Saint Louis43 min
Apr 3, 1:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Washington8 hr
Apr 3, 1:54 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion42 hr
Apr 3, 1:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Moniteau49 min
Apr 3, 2:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau, Osage8 hr
Apr 3, 3:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJefferson4 days
Apr 3, 3:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXFranklin71 hr
Apr 3, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Osage38 min
Apr 3, 5:48 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCole, Osage27 min
Apr 3, 6:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Osage24 min
Apr 3, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Saint Charles, Warren44 min
Apr 3, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis41 min
Apr 3, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis, Marion, Monroe, Shelby39 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.