Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
200 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2014

STORMS DEVELOPED ON THE COLD FRONT SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. FAIRLY
TOUGH TO TELL WHERE THE FRONT IS SITUATED NOW WITH CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS BUT BEST GUESS IS THAT IT'S JUST NORTH OF THE KS-OK
BORDER. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UNSEASONABLY DEEP TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM ONTARIO INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2014

STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS FAR
SOUTHERN KS AS THE FRONT TAKES ITS TIME PUSHING SOUTH. PLUS WE WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TO GET STORMS NORTH OF THE FRONT AS THE MID LEVEL
FLOW REMAINS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. FLOODING WILL REMAIN THE MAIN
SEVERE THREAT. THE FRONT SHOULD BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH THIS EVENING
TO KEEP STORM CHANCES SOUTH OF THE KS-OK BORDER. THE MEAN TROUGH
WILL SLIDE EAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY BY WED WHICH WILL
ALLOW SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO ENCOMPASS THE AREA THROUGH THUR.

AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF HOT MUGGY CONDITIONS...MUCH NEEDED RELIEF
WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA STARTING TODAY AND LASTING THROUGH AT
LEAST THUR. TEMPS THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2014

BRIEF UPPER RIDGING WILL QUICKLY WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY TRACKS OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO
THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRI NIGHT. IN ADDITION...BOTH
THE ECMWF AND GFS AGREE ON TRACKING SOME WEAK ENERGY OUT OF THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ACROSS KS ON FRI NIGHT INTO SAT WHICH MAY
SPARK A FEW STORMS. A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE FOR THE WEEKEND
AS WE GET BACK TO NORMAL HIGHS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. FAIRLY
CONFIDENT THAT WE ARE NOT LOOKING AT ANY EXCESSIVE HEAT THROUGH AT
LEAST THE WEEKEND.

LAWSON

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION...SOME LOCALLY STRONG AND WITH
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND EVENTUALLY
SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT IFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY
WINDS IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. NORTH WINDS AND DRIER AIR WILL
OVERSPREAD THE FORECAST AREA DURING TUESDAY.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    82  60  82  59 /  20  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      84  59  82  59 /  20  10  10  10
NEWTON          82  58  81  58 /  20  10  10  10
ELDORADO        81  58  80  57 /  20  10  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   81  60  83  60 /  40  10  10  10
RUSSELL         83  55  81  58 /  10  10   0  10
GREAT BEND      82  57  81  59 /  10  10   0  10
SALINA          86  57  81  57 /  10  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       84  58  81  58 /  10  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     82  61  82  59 /  30  10  10  10
CHANUTE         81  59  80  57 /  20  10  10  10
IOLA            81  59  79  56 /  20  10  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    81  60  81  58 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR KSZ067>069-082-
083-091>093.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
835 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-020145-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
835 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP DURING THE
LATE EVENING...WITH SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
HAVING THE HIGHEST THREAT. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER ALONG WITH 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. IN
ADDITION...VERY HIGH RAINFALL RATES WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS WHICH WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING. THE HIGHEST
FLOOD THREAT IS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WHERE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

SOME MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ALONG THE COW CREEK
IN RICE AND NORTHEAST RENO COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN
KANSAS AND AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS. STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1238 AM CDT TUE JUL 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 E WICHITA MID CONTINE 37.66N 97.31W
07/01/2014  M1.05 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   AMATEUR RADIO

            1.05 INCHES OF RAIN IN 50 MINUTES.

&&

JMBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1245 AM CDT TUE JUL 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1219 AM     TSTM WND GST     10 ESE WICHITA MID CONT 37.60N 97.27W
07/01/2014  M51 MPH          SEDGWICK           KS   ASOS

            MEASURED AT MCCONNELL AIRFORCE BASE. THEY ALSO HAD 1/2
            INCH HAIL.

&&

JMBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1246 AM CDT TUE JUL 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1219 AM     HAIL             10 ESE WICHITA MID CONT 37.60N 97.27W
07/01/2014  E0.50 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   ASOS

&&

JMBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1258 AM CDT TUE JUL 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1254 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEWTON                  38.04N 97.34W
07/01/2014  M2.35 INCH       HARVEY             KS   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

ADK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
100 AM CDT TUE JUL 01 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 AM     FLOOD            NEWTON                  38.04N 97.34W
07/01/2014                   HARVEY             KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            AREAS OF STREET FLOODING ACROSS THE CITY. REPORT COURTESY
            OF KSNW.

&&

ADK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
221 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2014

KSZ069-083-092-093-010745-
BUTLER-COWLEY-SEDGWICK-SUMNER-
221 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 245 AM CDT

* AT 218 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MULVANE TO WELLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ROSE HILL...UDALL...DOUGLASS...OXFORD...GEUDA SPRINGS AND ROCK.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3757 9677 3706 9718 3715 9771 3758 9732
TIME...MOT...LOC 0721Z 271DEG 28KT 3751 9715 3724 9738

KLEINSASSER