Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 10, 2014Graham County, Macon County, Swain County, North Carolina; Rabun County, Georgia

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 10, 2014, 5:47 PM EDT for Graham County, Macon County, Swain County, North Carolina; Rabun County, Georgia. It was in force for 58 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2014, 5:47 PM EDT (21:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 10, 2014, 6:45 PM EDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Rabun County, GA, Graham County, NC, Macon County, NC, Swain County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 10, 6:26 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG4 Sse Stecoah, NCMULTIPLE TREES DOWN JUST NORTH OF THE NANTAHALA COMMUNITY.
Jun 10, 6:29 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG6 Se Robbinsville, NCONE TREE BLOCKING INTERSECTION OF TALLULAH RD AND JUTTS CREEK RD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 39 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 10, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2014-06-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1263 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2014-06-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 54 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1263 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
512 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

387 
WUUS52 KGSP 102147
SVRGSP
GAC241-NCC075-113-173-102245-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0101.140610T2147Z-140610T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
547 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN RABUN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
  GRAHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  WESTERN MACON COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  WESTERN SWAIN COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 645 PM EDT

* AT 543 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS
  WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES WEST OF TAPOCO TO
  10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MURPHY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  TAPOCO.
  SANTEETLAH LAKE.
  FONTANA VILLAGE...ROBBINSVILLE AND NANTAHALA LAKE.
  FONTANA LAKE AND STECOAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FONTANA LAKE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. 
BOATERS SHOULD SEEK IMMEDIATE SHELTER ONSHORE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8401 3541 8403 3553 8388 3553 8383
      3557 8377 3558 8359 3495 8347 3493 8360
      3495 8356 3502 8353 3515 8366 3516 8374
      3523 8370 3525 8371 3525 8384 3521 8396
      3523 8401 3531 8404 3536 8404
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 229DEG 60KT 3552 8407 3502 8406

$$

KRENTZ
2 follow-up statements
777 
WWUS52 KGSP 102224
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
624 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

GAC241-NCC075-113-173-102245-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-140610T2245Z/
RABUN GA-GRAHAM NC-MACON NC-SWAIN NC-
624 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
SWAIN...WESTERN MACON...GRAHAM AND NORTHWESTERN RABUN COUNTIES UNTIL
645 PM EDT...

AT 622 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF FONTANA
LAKE TO 5 MILES EAST OF HAYESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF GRAHAM...
NORTHWESTERN RABUN...WESTERN MACON AND WESTERN SWAIN COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...AQUONE...KYLE...WAYAH BALD...
WESSER...RAINBOW SPRINGS AND ALMOND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FONTANA LAKE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. 
BOATERS SHOULD SEEK IMMEDIATE SHELTER ONSHORE.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8401 3541 8403 3553 8388 3553 8383
      3557 8377 3558 8359 3495 8347 3493 8360
      3495 8356 3502 8353 3515 8366 3516 8374
      3523 8370 3525 8371 3525 8384 3521 8396
      3523 8401 3531 8404 3536 8404
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 246DEG 37KT 3555 8371 3505 8370

$$

KRENTZ
747 
WWUS52 KGSP 102244
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
644 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

GAC241-NCC075-113-173-102254-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-140610T2245Z/
RABUN GA-GRAHAM NC-MACON NC-SWAIN NC-
644 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN SWAIN...WESTERN
MACON...GRAHAM AND NORTHWESTERN RABUN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM
EDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LEVELS.

LAT...LON 3537 8401 3541 8403 3553 8388 3553 8383
      3557 8377 3558 8359 3495 8347 3493 8360
      3495 8356 3502 8353 3515 8366 3516 8374
      3523 8370 3525 8371 3525 8384 3521 8396
      3523 8401 3531 8404 3536 8404
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 246DEG 37KT 3563 8348 3513 8347

$$

KRENTZ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 10, 4:50 PM EDT, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 4:50 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
450 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS OUR REGION
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A WEAK FRONT MOVES IN THURSDAY AND
THEN ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT REACHES OUR REGION LATE FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 430 PM...HAVE UPDATED THE FCST TO ACCOUNT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH OVER THE WRN ZONES. POP HAS BEEN BUMPED TO
CATEGORICAL OVER THE WESTERN PART AS THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE
ANYTHING TO STOP THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE IT REACHES THE
WESTERN PART OF THE FCST AREA. THE LINE LOOKS QUITE FORMIDABLE OFF
TO THE WEST AND WE MAY HAVE SWATHS OF WIND DAMAGE OVER THE
MTNS...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE WIND GETS CHANNELED THROUGH FAVORABLE
VALLEYS. DOWNSTREAM OF THE WATCH...HARD TO SAY HOW LONG THE LINE
WILL REMAIN VIGOROUS AS WE BEGIN TO LOSE HEATING AND THE LINE
OUTRUNS SOME OF THE FAVORABLE UPPER SUPPORT. PEOPLE OVER THE UPSTATE
AND NC FOOTHILLS/WRN PIEDMONT SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON IT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

AT 215 PM...IN THE VERY NEAR TERM...VSBL SAT PIC AT 1745Z STILL
SHOWS A SUPPRESSED CU FIELD ACROSS THE WEASTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA.
THEREFORE...IT STILL LOOOKS LIKE CONVECTIVE CHANCES FOR THE
AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE ALONG WITH THE HOT TEMPS.
HOWEVER...REGIONAL RADARS SHOW A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX FROM CENTRAL
TN...S THROUGH AL. THIS WILL MOVE NE AND SHOULD REACH FAR WEST
NC...NE GA AROUND 22Z AND THEN MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH 06Z. THE
NCEP WRF ARW EAST SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON THIS SCENARIO.
OUTSIDE OF SOME WIDELY SCT CONVECTION OVER THE RIDGE TOPS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL RAMP UP POPS FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING...BUT NOT
TAKE THE HIGHER POPS INTO THE EASTERN UPSTATE AND CLT AREA. SPC HAS
MOVED THE SLIGHT RISK AREA INTO FAR W NC/NE GA AND THE FAR W UPSTATE
IN THEIR DAY 1 OUTLOOK MOST LIKLEY DUE TO THE ANTICIPATATION OF THE
BEFORE-MENTIONED CONVECTIVE COMPLEX AFFECTING THAT AREA.

ON WED...THE UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN SPINNING TO THE WEST THE LAST
FEW DAYS WILL MAKE SOME PROGRESS EASTWARD. THIS WILL BE ENOUGH TO
IMPROVE UPPER DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION ALONG WITH MOISTURE FLUX
FROM THE GULF. THAT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. PRECIP WATER VALUES WILL INCREASE BUT NOT TO
EXCESSIVE VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 1.5-1.75 RANGE. DO NOT EXPECT ANY
WIDESPREAD HYDRO ISSUES...BUT SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE
WHERE TRAINING CELLS OCCUR.

USED A CONSENSUS BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE TO GENERATE MOST GRID
FIELDS EXCEPT POP. MIN TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE WHILE WED'S MAX
TEMPS WILL BE A CATEGORY OR TWO LOWER THAN TODAY DUE TO INCREASED
CLOUD COVER/PRECIP.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
WEDNESDAY EVENING AS A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROF PUSHES INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY.  STRONG SOUTHERLY WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING UPPER/SFC TROFS WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ONGOING
CONVECTION TO PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION...HOWEVER LOSS OF HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SOME CONVECTIVE
DECAY.  THUS...WILL TAPER INITIAL WIDESPREAD LIKELY POPS SLOWLY TO
SOLID CHANCE LEVELS BY FRIDAY MORNING.  ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED...PWAT VALUES APPROACHING 2 INCHES WILL ALLOW FOR ANY
DEEP CONVECTION TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
THEREFORE THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IS
CELL TRAINING OCCURS OVER A GIVEN AREA.

THE ABOVE MENTIONED UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE ITS SLOW PUSH TO THE
EAST THURSDAY MORNING INTO THE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY FLOW OUT AHEAD...ALONG WITH ENHANCED UPPER SUPPORT WILL
YIELD INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  PROFILES WILL BE RATHER MOIST ON THURSDAY
LEADING TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...WHICH WILL INHIBIT HEATING AND IN
TURN REDUCE AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION.  THUS...NOT EXPECTING ANY
SEVERE WEATHER ON THURSDAY.  THAT SAID...THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL YET AGAIN AS PWAT VALUES REMAIN IN EXCESS OF AN INCH
AND HALF.  AS THE UPPER FORCING PUSHES EAST OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...AND WHAT LITTLE INSTABILITY THAT WAS PRESENT
FADES...EXPECTING COVERAGE TO DIMINISH.  POPS WILL TAPER DOWN
OVERNIGHT TO SLIGHT CHANCE LEVELS OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS...WHERE
CHANCE LEVEL POPS RESIDE.

CONTINUED WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION ON
FRIDAY...HOWEVER RH FIELDS INDICATE YET ANOTHER DAY OF MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES THEREBY LIMITING HEATING.  THAT SAID...SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE
MODEST LAPSE RATES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WHICH COMBINED WITH
AMPLE MOISTURE WILL WORK TO PRODUCE SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION.
WILL RAMP POPS BACK UP TO SOLID CHANCE LEVELS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR SUCH.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE PERIOD WILL ACTUALLY BE BELOW NORMAL AS FORECAST SKY COVER WILL
DAMPEN HEATING.  THIS ALONG WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
WILL WORK TO KEEP DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S BOTH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM TUESDAY...THIS MEDIUM RANGE BEGINS 00Z SATURDAY.
AT THAT TIME...THE MAIN ENERGY WITH THE 500MB FLOW IS WELL NORTH
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHERN MOST CANADA. A TROUGH AXIS AT
THAT TIME EXTENDS DOWN FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ACROSS OUR AREA.
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH TO SW THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORTWAVES WILL CONTINUE TO PASS FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE NATION
WITH MOST OF THE MAIN ENERGY BEING NORTH OF THE CAROLINAS. DIURNAL
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE WITH MAX TEMPS NEAR
NORMAL SATURDAY...PERHAPS JUST UNDER NORMAL HIGHS SUNDAY WITH AXIS
OF ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHING. THE HIGHER INSTABILITY WILL SKIRT
THE PIEDMONT REGION EACH DAY BEING HIGHER ACROSS CENTRAL GA AND
CENTRAL SC. UPPER RIDGE BUILDS A BIT OVER THE SE STATES EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPS ABOUT A CATEGORY ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY AND
PERHAPS EVEN A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER ON WED. LOW LEVEL WIND WILL BE
GENERALLY FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PASSES
TO OUR SOUTH.

THE GFS CONTINUES WITH THE TROPICAL SYSTEM NEAR THE YUCATAN ON DAY 7
AS IT HAS AROUND DAY 7 FOR WELL OVER A WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...ATMOSPHERE STILL SUPRESSED PER THE UNIMPRESSIVE CU FIELD
ON THE LATEST VSBL SAT PIC. THUS...WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE NO
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AT KCLT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/NIGHT. LOOKS
LIKE THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER TN WILL DISSIPATE BEFORE MAKING TO
KCLT TONIGHT. THUS...NO RESTRICTIONS ARE INTHE TAF THROUGH TONIGHT.
ON WED...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH SPREADING SCT TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. THERE MAY SOME RESTRICTIONS
DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...ATMOSPHERE ALSO IS STILL SUPPRESSED PER THE UNIMPRESSIVE
CU FIELD EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ON THE LATEST VSBL SAT PIC.
THUS...WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER...REGIONAL RADARS SHOW A CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX DEVELOPING FORM CENTRAL TN...S INTO AL. THIS WILL MAKE A RUN
EASTWARD AND REACH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS ABOUT 00Z. STORMS SHOULD
TEND TO WEAKEN THEN AS THEY MOVE EAST INTO AN UPPER RIDGE.
HOWEVER...WILL CARRY A TEMPO AT KAND WHERE THE STORMS HAVE THE BEST
CHANCE OF MAKING IT. WILL MENTION VCTS AT THE OTHER TAF SITES FOR
NOW. WILL MONITOR CLOSELY AND BEEF UP THUNDER FORECAST IF IT APPEARS
THE THUNDERSTORM COPMPLEX WILL HOLD TOGETHER.

OUTLOOK...SCT TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
WED NIGHT ALONG WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THIS WILL PRODUCE
RESTRICTIONS. EXPECT THAT MAINLY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE MAIN STORY AGAIN THU INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR RESTRICTIONS WILL BE IN TSRA AND ALSO IN THE MTN
VALLEYS EACH MORNING WHERE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG MAY FORM.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            21-03Z        03-09Z        09-15Z        15-21Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  97%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  87%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   78%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     MED   64%     HIGH  85%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LG
NEAR TERM...LG/PM
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...LG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 3:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

GAZ028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>050-053-056-057-064-065-068>072-082-
501>510-SCZ002-003-005>014-019-111930-
HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN A POSSIBILITY ACROSS
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD
BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-SCZ001-004-111930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-
328 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 276 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION THIS
EVENING FROM THE WEST. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

CDG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 10, 4:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
432 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

GAZ010-017-018-026-NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-SCZ001-004-110000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
CHEROKEE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
432 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

A LINE OF INTENSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS BY
APPROXIMATELY 6 PM. THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR YOUR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR POTENTIAL WARNINGS.

CDG
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 4:39 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
439 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ050-102130-
MITCHELL-
439 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL COUNTY
THROUGH 530 PM EDT...

AT 436 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF BULADEAN...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF ERWIN...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  BULADEAN...

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3617 8222 3615 8218 3615 8214 3599 8220
      3602 8220 3600 8227 3604 8230 3603 8231
      3604 8234 3608 8235 3607 8241 3611 8237
      3614 8230 3614 8225

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 5:16 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
516 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ070-071-SCZ009-102200-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-YORK-
516 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT YORK...SOUTHWESTERN MECKLENBURG
AND SOUTHEASTERN GASTON COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM EDT...

AT 512 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CLOVER TO
MCCONNELLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  NEWPORT...
  CATAWBA STATION...
  STEELE CREEK...

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3524 8105 3506 8090 3483 8132 3491 8145
      3512 8132

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 5:41 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
541 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

NCZ070-071-SCZ009-102230-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-YORK-
541 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL YORK...WEST
CENTRAL MECKLENBURG AND SOUTHEASTERN GASTON COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM
EDT...

AT 536 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CLOVER...OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF GASTONIA...
MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  SOUTH GASTONIA...
  GASTONIA...
  CRAMERTON...
  LOWELL...
  DALLAS...
  MOUNT HOLLY...

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3534 8120 3528 8088 3505 8116 3510 8129

KRENTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 8:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Rowan38 min
Jun 10, 2:34 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGraham, Macon, Swain56 min
Jun 10, 3:31 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHaywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain, Transylvania59 min
Jun 10, 4:46 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe, Henderson, McDowell, Madison, Mitchell, Transylvania and 1 more44 min
Jun 10, 4:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMitchell51 min
Jun 10, 5:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston49 min
Jun 10, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGaston43 min
Jun 10, 6:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMecklenburg39 min
Jun 10, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGaston, Iredell, Lincoln, Mecklenburg28 min
Jun 10, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg41 min
Jun 10, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHaywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain53 min
Jun 10, 6:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCabarrus, Rowan49 min
Jun 10, 7:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Rowan15 min
Jun 10, 7:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston48 min
Jun 10, 7:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe, Haywood, Jackson, Madison, Transylvania47 min
Jun 10, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPJackson, Transylvania36 min
Jun 10, 3:30 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHabersham, Stephens45 min
Jun 10, 6:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHabersham, Rabun38 min
Jun 10, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHabersham, Rabun43 min
Jun 10, 7:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRabun38 min
Jun 10, 7:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPFranklin, Hart40 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2014Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.