Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

April 29, 2014Henderson County, Transylvania County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this river flood warning at Apr 29, 2014, 10:27 AM EDT for Henderson County, Transylvania County, North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 30, 2014, 6:30 AM EDT. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2014, 10:27 AM EDT (14:27 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 30, 2014, 6:30 AM EDT
Expired
May 2, 2014, 8:40 AM EDT
In force
50 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Henderson County, NC, Transylvania County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point French Broad River at Grove Bridge Rd, in Blantyre (BLAN7). The gauge peaked at 8.88 ft at Apr 29, 2014, 1:00 PM EDT.

actionminormoderate10152004/2904/3005/0105/0205/03
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03443000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

945 
WGUS42 KGSP 291427
FLWGSP

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1027 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG 
HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND 
  TRANSYLVANIA COUNTIES
  FRENCH BROAD RIVER  AT MARSHALL AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY

.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT WILL CAUSE THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER
TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT BLANTYRE AND MARSHALL.

 REMEMBER...RIVER STAGE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECASTED RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST 
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...NIGHTIME MAKES IT
DIFFICULT TO RECOGNIZE FLOODED AREAS.

THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB 
PAGE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND 
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

NCC089-175-301427-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0002.140430T1030Z-140502T1240Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.140430T1030Z.140501T0000Z.140502T0040Z.NO/
1027 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE RIVER WILL OVERTOP THE RAILROAD TRACKS 
  NEAR FODDERSTACK MOUNTAIN AND RIVER ROADS. FLOODING OF MOST OF 
  AREAS BETWEEN THE RIVER AND RAILROAD TRACKS WILL CONTINUE.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

NCC115-301426-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0003.140430T0051Z-140502T0400Z/
/MARN7.1.ER.140430T0051Z.140430T1800Z.140501T1600Z.NO/
1027 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER  AT MARSHALL.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:01 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 9.0 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...THE RIVER WILL BE CLOSE TO THE TOP OF THE 
  RAILROAD TRACKS AND START TO FLOOD AREAS BETWEEN HIGHWAY 70 AND THE
  RIVER. FLOODING OF BUILDINGS ALONG BACK STREET AND ON 
  BLENNERHASSETT ISLAND WILL BEGIN.  

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$
PT
2 follow-up statements
762 
WGUS82 KGSP 300124
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
924 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.
  FRENCH BROAD RIVER  AT MARSHALL AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER RISING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB 
PAGE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND 
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

NCC089-175-010124-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0002.140430T2130Z-140502T1730Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.140430T2130Z.140501T1200Z.140502T0530Z.NO/
924 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 830 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED...FARMFIELDS IN LOW 
  LYING AREAS AND A LOCAL TREE FARM AND GREENHOUSE NEAR GROVE BRIDGE 
  ROAD WILL BE FLOODED.  PARTS OF PLEASANT GROVE ROAD WILL BE COVERED
  WITH 6 INCHES OF WATER MAINLY ON TALLY ROAD AND NEAR CREEKS EDGE 
  DRIVE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE FARMFIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER 
  AND BREVARD ROAD WILL BE FLOODED.  FIELDS BETWEEN THE RIVER AND 
  PLEASANT GROVE ROAD WILL ALSO BE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO OVERFLOW ITS 
  BANKS AND WILL APPROACH PARTS OF BIG WILLOW AND RIVER ROADS NEAR 
  ETOWAH.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

NCC115-010124-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140502T1630Z/
/MARN7.1.ER.140501T0330Z.140501T1200Z.140502T0430Z.NO/
924 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT MARSHALL
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 9 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.4 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD SOME 
  BUILDINGS ON BLENNERHASSETT ISLAND AND APPROACHES HOMES ALONG 
  ISLAND ROAD. ROLLINS ISLAND WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. THE RIVER WILL 
  APPROACH THE RAILROAD TRACKS IN THE BACK STREET AREA.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...WATER WILL APPROACH BUILDINGS ON 
  BLENNERHASSETT ISLAND AND BACKWATER ON HAYS CREEK WILL CAUSE PARTS 
  OF ROLLINS ROAD TO BEGIN TO FLOOD. 

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257
723 
WGUS82 KGSP 301110
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
709 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.
  FRENCH BROAD RIVER  AT MARSHALL AFFECTING MADISON COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN HAS WORKED ITS WAY FURTHER 
DOWNSTREAM THUS...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL SLOWLY.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB 
PAGE AT HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER...FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND 
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

NCC089-175-301139-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140502T1730Z/
/BLAN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
709 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* AT  630 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.3 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* NO EXPECTED IMPACTS WITH RIVER CRESTING BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

NCC115-301139-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140502T1630Z/
/MARN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
709 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER  AT MARSHALL.
* AT 6 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.8 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 4.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET..
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6.6 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 5.6 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* NO IMPACTS WITH RIVER CRESTING BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 29, 7:38 AM EDT, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 7:38 AM EDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
738 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WET AND STORMY PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE BY THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK WITH COOLER AND DRIER HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 730 AM...SHOWER BAND IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY RAGGED ACROSS
THE HEART OF THE CWA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THIS TREND IS LIKELY
TO CONTINUE...SO A LULL IN PRECIP APPEARS ON TAP FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE ATM WILL DESTABILIZE SOUTH OF
WEDGE FRONT LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...AND ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TS SHOULD REDEVELOP.

BAND OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH CLUSTERS OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO OOZE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. THE MOST ROBUST CONVECTION WAS PUSHING
INTO THE FOOTHILLS...AND WILL BECOME LESS ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER...AS IT LIFTS INTO THE SHALLOW COOL AIR MASS NORTH OF WEDGE
FRONT. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL STILL BE A CONCERN...THE
TORNADO THREAT WILL DIMINISH WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS IT BECOMES
ELEVATED. HOWEVER...ROBUST DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE
AREA FROM NORTH GEORGIA...WHILE ADDITIONAL DEEP CONVECTION COULD
DEVELOP DUE TO SW UPSLOPE FLOW...SO THE TORNADO THREAT...WHILE SMALL
IS BY NO MEANS ZERO. OTHERWISE...ALTHOUGH THE LARGE SCALE CONVECTIVE
BAND MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED AND LESS INTENSE AS IT
SHIFTS EAST THIS MORNING...POPS WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY FROM WEST TO
EAST ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...WITH MOST AREAS SEEING A CATEGORICAL POP
BY AFTERNOON. BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN ROBUST IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD
OF THE ONGOING ACTIVITY...WITH SBCAPE PROGGED TO EXCEED 1500 J/KG
ACROSS SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL
REMAIN IN THE 30-40 KTS RANGE...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE...ESP IF ANY DISCRETE CELLS DEVELOP IN THE WARM SECTOR AND
APPROACH THE WEDGE FRONT.

SPEAKING OF THE WEDGE FRONT...IT HAS PENETRATED MUCH FARTHER SOUTH
THAN WAS ANTICIPATED ATTM YESTERDAY. WHILE THE SHORT TERM MODELS
PREDICTABLY LIFT THE BOUNDARY NORTH AND BASICALLY OUT OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY...I DON/T HAVE A LOT OF FAITH IN THAT. MAX TEMPS
HAVE BEEN LOWERED QUITE A BIT ACROSS THE NC PIEDMONT...TO THE MID
60S ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTH...AND MID/UPPER 70S ACROSS THE
SOUTH.

ANOTHER ROUND OF INTENSE CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP IN THE UNSTABLE/
HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT OVER THE TENN VALLEY LATER TODAY...LIKELY
ORGANIZING INTO ANOTHER LARGE SCALE BAND THAT WILL APPROACH THE AREA
THIS EVENING...SUPPORTING A CONTINUATION OF CATEGORICAL POPS...AND
ALSO EXTENDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THROUGH TONIGHT. FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY LATER TODAY INTO
TONIGHT...AS AREAS WORKED OVER THIS MORNING RECEIVE ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL IN CONVECTION TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 130 AM EDT TUESDAY...THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A LINE OF CONVECTION FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA
AS THE SLOWLY MOVING POTENT UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO ROTATE ACROSS THE
UPPER MIDWEST.  MODEST WARM SECTOR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS
PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY WARM CONVEYOR BELT STREAMS WAVES OF HIGH
THETAE AIR INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GA.  LATEST
GUIDANCE INDICATES THE BEST ZONE OF INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85...EASTWARD INTO THE I77 CORRIDOR
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON RESPECTIVELY.  THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY AS A
LINE WITH POTENTIAL BOWING SEGMENTS.  ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
LIKELY BE VEERED SLIGHTLY SOUTHWEST AT THIS POINT...DUE TO FORECAST
SOUNDINGS CONTINUING TO DISPLAY RIGHT TURNING HODOGRAPHS AND SBCAPE
IN EXCESS OF 1000J/KG...WILL NOT RULE OUT ISOLATED EMBEDDED
TORNADOES ALONG POTENTIAL QLCS DEVELOPMENT.  THE PRIMARY THREATS
THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY WILL REMAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...WITH HYDRO CONCERNS BECOMING EVEN MORE PREVALENT DUE TO
PREVIOUS DAYS RAINFALL LEADING TO FAVORABLE ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS
FOR FLOODING.  EXPECTING MANY RIVERS TO REACH OR EXCEED FLOOD
STAGE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HIGH TERRAIN WHERE UPSLOPE
ENHANCEMENT IS EXPECTED.

AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED WAVE OF CONVECTION EXITS TO THE
EAST...ANOTHER PREFRONTAL WAVE WILL PUSH ACROSS THE SPINE OF THE
APPALACHIANS INTO THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT CONTRIBUTING TO
THE POTENTIALLY ONGOING FLOOD THREAT.  HOWEVER...PROFILES BECOME
LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEEP CONVECTION AS OVERALL BUOYANCY WILL BE
LIMITED.  THESE BANDS OF PRECIPITATION WILL PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT
CROSSING THE TN BORDER A FEW HOURS BEHIND.  THUS...POPS FINALLY
TAPER DOWN FROM WEST TO EAST WITH SLIGHT CHANCE LEVEL POPS
PERSISTING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 AS THE
BOUNDARY SLOWLY EXITS TO THE SOUTHEAST.  TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL LEVELS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 200 AM EDT TUESDAY...DESPITE DEPARTURE OF THE PESKY CLOSED
UPPER LOW...A BROAD UPPER TROF PATTERN WILL REMAIN PERSISTENT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CONUS THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A SERIES OF IMPULSES PASSING
THROUGH THE MEAN UPPER FLOW.  THEREFORE...POPS INCREASE TO SLIGHT
CHANCE LEVELS REGIONWIDE ON FRIDAY AS A WEAK REINFORCING COLD FRONT
INTRUDES.  THE BROAD UPPER TROF WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OUT TO SEA ON
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING LEADING TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS.
HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO RISE AS DEEP LAYER RIDGING BUILDS OUT WEST AND
ADVECTS EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CONUS.  PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES BY WEEKS END WILL FALL TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS IN THE
WAKE OF THE PASSING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
DEVELOPING NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT AND KHKY...LIGHT E/NE WINDS AND LIFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING
WITH IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR EXPECTED BY 16Z OR SO. ALSO EXPECT WINDS TO
TURN TOWARD THE SE AND CIGS TO IMPROVE TO MVFR BY 18Z OR SO...AS
WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE AREA. AN AREA OF SHOWERS IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE AREA BY LATE MORNING...WHICH MAY RESULT IN
OCCL MVFR VISBY. OTHERWISE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO FOR SUCH AFTER 18Z.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
LATER TONIGHT...RESULTING IN ANOTHER ROUND OF VISBY/CIG
RESTRICTIONS.

ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS WILL PASS EAST OF THE UPSTATE SC TERMINALS AND
KAVL THIS MORNING. E/NE WINDS AT KGMU/KGSP WILL TURN TOWARD THE SE
LATER THIS MORNING AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE AREA. A
PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AT KGMU/KGSP.
OTHERWISE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AND HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO FOR SUCH AFTER 18Z. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT...RESULTING IN ANOTHER ROUND OF VISBY/CIG RESTRICTIONS.

OUTLOOK...PERIODS OF NUMEROUS/WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AND ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY. DRIER WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FOR LATE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            11-17Z        17-23Z        23-05Z        05-11Z
KCLT       MED   60%     HIGH 100%     MED   79%     MED   67%
KGSP       HIGH  89%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  87%     HIGH  83%
KAVL       HIGH  87%     HIGH  89%     HIGH  86%     HIGH  98%
KHKY       MED   74%     MED   68%     HIGH  95%     HIGH  95%
KGMU       HIGH  90%     HIGH  92%     HIGH  91%     MED   69%
KAND       HIGH  83%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  96%     MED   65%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-
     026-028-029.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NCZ033-035>037-
     048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JDL
NEAR TERM...JDL
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...CDG
AVIATION...JDL
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 7:01 AM EDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
701 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-068>072-
082-503>510-SCZ001>014-019-301115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-
MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
701 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLOODING THREAT...THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP. SOME OF THESE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. IN ADDITION...AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR
TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
CONTINUED NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
RESULT IN AN INCREASINGLY SATURATED GROUND BY MID-WEEK. AN
ENHANCED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING...AS WELL AS MAIN STEM RIVER
FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY WEDNESDAY. THERE MAY ALSO BE AN
INCREASED RISK OF LANDSLIDES AND SLOPE FAILURES OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT WEDNESDAY.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-501-502-301115-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-
701 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE FLOODING THREAT...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

..WEDNESDAY...FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
CONTINUED NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
RESULT IN AN INCREASINGLY SATURATED GROUND BY MID-WEEK. AN
ENHANCED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING...AS WELL AS MAIN STEM RIVER
FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY WEDNESDAY. THERE MAY ALSO BE AN
INCREASED RISK OF LANDSLIDES AND SLOPE FAILURES OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT WEDNESDAY.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

LANE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 29, 4:44 AM EDT, 5 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
444 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 AM     HAIL             EAST FLAT ROCK          35.28N 82.42W
04/29/2014  E0.50 INCH       HENDERSON          NC   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT.

&&

NED
Local storm report, Apr 29, 5:00 AM EDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
500 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 AM     HAIL             EAST FLAT ROCK          35.28N 82.42W
04/29/2014  E0.88 INCH       HENDERSON          NC   PUBLIC

            PERIOD OF HAIL WAS 7 TO 8 MINUTES. SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

NED
Local storm report, Apr 29, 7:39 AM EDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
739 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 AM     DEBRIS FLOW      1 SSW WEAVERVILLE       35.68N 82.57W
04/29/2014                   BUNCOMBE           NC   PUBLIC

            LAND SLIDE/DEBRISFLOW REPORTED ON WEAVERVILLE RD AT REEMS
            CREEK RD WITH APPROX 3/4 OF THE RD COVERED.

&&

JPT
Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:10 AM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
810 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0336 AM     HAIL             2 NNW TUXEDO            35.25N 82.44W
04/29/2014  E1.00 INCH       HENDERSON          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 INCH HAIL REPORTED NEAR TUXEDO, NC.

&&

JPT
Local storm report, Apr 29, 8:24 AM EDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
824 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W CULLOWHEE           35.31N 83.20W
04/28/2014                   JACKSON            NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            3 OR 4 TREES DOWN IN AND AROUND THE TOWN OF CULLOWHEE,
            NC.

&&

JPT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 10:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson, Macon48 min
Apr 28, 11:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHaywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain44 min
Apr 28, 11:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPJackson, Macon, Swain38 min
Apr 28, 11:09 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPHaywood, Jackson36 min
Apr 28, 11:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson42 min
Apr 28, 11:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHaywood, Jackson39 min
Apr 28, 11:58 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPHaywood, Jackson32 min
Apr 29, 12:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson, Macon49 min
Apr 29, 12:48 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe, Yancey42 min
Apr 29, 1:04 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGraham41 min
Apr 29, 1:14 AM EDTTornado WarningGSPGraham, Swain31 min
Apr 29, 1:30 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPMacon2 hr
Apr 29, 1:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson, Macon48 min
Apr 29, 2:25 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPBuncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Macon, Transylvania3 hr
Apr 29, 2:34 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe, Henderson41 min
Apr 29, 2:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe, Henderson, Transylvania, Yancey38 min
Apr 29, 2:51 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPBurke, Caldwell, McDowell3 hr
Apr 29, 3:20 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson40 min
Apr 29, 3:26 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHenderson, Transylvania64 min
Apr 29, 4:13 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBurke, Polk, Rutherford32 min
Apr 29, 4:30 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPPolk, Rutherford2 hr
Apr 29, 5:34 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPBuncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Macon, Transylvania3 hr
Apr 29, 5:57 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPBurke, Caldwell, McDowell3 hr
Apr 29, 10:27 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningGSPMadison62 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.