Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Goodland, KS

444 
WWUS53 KGLD 050255
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
855 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COC063-050345-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140605T0345Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
855 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KIT CARSON COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM MDT...

AT 854 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THURMAN...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLAGLER...SEIBERT AND VONA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 391 AND 414.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3926 10316 3956 10316 3957 10262 3919 10274
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 275DEG 33KT 3948 10309

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

HUSTED/JJM

347 
WWUS53 KGLD 050306
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
906 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COC063-050345-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140605T0345Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
906 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KIT CARSON COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM MDT...

AT 905 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTH OF
FLAGLER...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SEIBERT AND VONA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 391 AND 414.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3926 10316 3956 10316 3957 10262 3919 10274
TIME...MOT...LOC 0307Z 275DEG 33KT 3947 10296

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HUSTED/JJM

238 
WWUS53 KGLD 050325
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
925 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COC063-050335-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140605T0345Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
925 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM MDT.

LAT...LON 3926 10316 3956 10316 3957 10262 3919 10274
TIME...MOT...LOC 0325Z 275DEG 33KT 3945 10275

$$

HUSTED/JJM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
540 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE ZONAL UPPER FLOW MOVES EAST OF
THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND THEN NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION TONIGHT.  SOME CONVECTIVE
FEEDBACK FEATURES ARE SHOWING UP IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN 00Z-06Z THIS EVENING...WHICH MATCHES UP REASONABLY WELL
WITH THE HIGHER QPF FIELDS DEPICTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.

EXTENDING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS TO EASTERN NEW MEXICO THERE IS A
NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST AND
THE SURFACE LOW REMAINS GENERALLY IN PLACE OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
A PORTION OF THE SURFACE LOW EXTENDS NORTHWARDS AS A WEAK INVERTED
TROUGH/LEE TROUGH.  AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO FIRE
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY BY 06Z...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME STORM REACHING ACROSS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA.  ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH/INVERTED TROUGH OVER
EASTERN COLORADO.  IF THAT HAPPENS...THE STORMS ACROSS THE NORTH MAY
EVENTUALLY PHASE IN WITH THE STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTH AS WINDS TURN
EAST/SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT WITH AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WITH
LOCALIZED INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS BETWEEN 05-09Z AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED AFTER
09Z BY MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  A
FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SWATH OF STORMS MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA.  CURRENT FEELING BEST CHANCE WILL BE ACROSS THE
FAR SOUTHEAST REACHES OF THE FORECAST AREA.

WITH PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
EARLY MORNING RH VALUES NEARING SATURATION...COULD SEE SOME AREAS OF
FOG BETWEEN 09-13Z IN THE WAKE OF THE STORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.  CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ON THIS...SO
HAVE LEFT IT OUT FOR NOW.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

UPPER FLOW WILL BE WESTERLY FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING
WITH ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING.

THE NAM BRINGS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES THROUGH THE FLOW AND ACROSS THE FA
FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY DOES NOT APPEAR
TO HAVE ANY SHORTWAVE ENERGY. THERE IS 1000-2000 J/KG OF CAPE
AVAILABLE EACH DAY. WIND SHEAR OF 35 TO 45KTS SHOULD SUPPORT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. PLAN TO TIE HIGHER POPS
NEAR THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY NIGHT.  30-40 PERCENT POPS WILL BE OVER
THE SOUTHWEST FA NEAR THE FRONT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE
NORTHEAST. PLAN TO KEEP POPS AT SLIGHT SLIGHT CHANCE FRIDAY MORNING
AND THEN INCREASE THEM TO HIGHER CHANCE POPS IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN
THE SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA AND THE WARM FRONT MOVES BACK
NORTH ACROSS THE FA. LIKELY POPS LOOK GOOD FOR FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN
THERE IS GOOD MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS. CHANCES WILL START TO DECREASE
FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES
EAST. SATURDAY WILL START WITH CHANCE POPS IN THE EAST WITH THE
EXITING SHORTWAVE DECREASING TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE SOUTHWEST.
LOW CHANCE POPS WILL BE PLACED NORTH OF THE FRONT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WITH HIGHER CHANCE POPS NEAR THE FRONT IN THE SOUTHEAST ZONES.

MIN TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHTS.  MAX TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 70S. MAX TEMPERATURES SATURDAY WILL BE COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.

IN THE EXTENDED...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS
WELL.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.  A
SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO TUESDAY AND THEN MOVE
SOUTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. NUMEROUS SHORTWAVES WILL PROVIDE THE
FORCING FOR AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. MAX
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FROM THE LOWER 70S TO THE MID 80S BY
WEDNESDAY.  MIN TEMPERATURES WILL VARY IN THE 50S WITH SOME LOWER
60S IN THE EAST BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 539 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT GLD AND MCK INTO THE EVENING WITH
MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT AT BOTH TERMINALS.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER EASTERN COLORADO AND WILL MOVE
EAST. CURRENT THINKING IS BOTH TERMINALS WILL NOT BE IMPACTED
UNTIL AROUND OR AFTER 06Z. AMENDMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY
BASED ON RADAR TRENDS THIS EVENING. MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP IN THE PREDAWN HOURS IN THE WAKE OF STORMS AND
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN BY
LATE MORNING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...FS
AVIATION...BRB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
306 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-051245-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
306 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014 /406 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FAR EASTERN COLORADO
AFTER 5 PM. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
AND NORTHWEST KANSAS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

FROM THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TRI STATE
AREA FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
827 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COZ091-050300-
KIT CARSON COUNTY-
827 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KIT CARSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

AT 926 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARRIBA...OR 26 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FLAGLER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED IF THE STORMS MOVE INTO
THE AREA. BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER IF SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS.

&&

LAT...LON 3956 10316 3957 10315 3958 10290 3957 10282
      3955 10282 3920 10284 3919 10316 3944 10316
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 285DEG 28KT 3945 10351

HUSTED/JJM