Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Goodland, KS

665 
WGUS73 KGLD 050728
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
128 AM MDT THU JUN 5 2014

COC017-063-050900-
/O.CON.KGLD.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140605T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHEYENNE CO-KIT CARSON CO-
128 AM MDT THU JUN 5 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN KIT CARSON AND
NORTHERN CHEYENNE COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM MDT...

AT 128 AM MDT...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY 
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 2 TO 
3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE WARNED AREA. EARLIER RAINFALL 
REPORTS INDICATED MOST OF THIS RAIN FELL OVER 15-30 MINUTES.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
AROYA...BETHUNE...CHEYENNE WELLS...FIRSTVIEW...FLAGLER...SEIBERT...
STRATTON...VONA AND WILD HORSE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 10316 3933 10250 3925 10220 3877 10220
      3881 10317

$$

HUSTED

370 
WGUS73 KGLD 050857
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
257 AM MDT THU JUN 5 2014

COC017-063-050912-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FF.W.0004.000000T0000Z-140605T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHEYENNE CO-KIT CARSON CO-
257 AM MDT THU JUN 5 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN KIT CARSON
AND NORTHERN CHEYENNE COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300 AM
MDT/400 AM CDT/...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3931 10316 3933 10250 3925 10220 3877 10220
      3881 10317

$$

HUSTED

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1124 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1120 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

UPGRADED TO A TORNADO WATCH IN SOUTHWESTERN AREAS AS SUPERCELL IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RIGHT MOVER MOTIONS WOULD TAKE IT SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS OVERNIGHT. OTHER ELEVATED STORMS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70 COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE ZONAL UPPER FLOW MOVES EAST OF
THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND THEN NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION TONIGHT.  SOME CONVECTIVE
FEEDBACK FEATURES ARE SHOWING UP IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
BETWEEN 00Z-06Z THIS EVENING...WHICH MATCHES UP REASONABLY WELL
WITH THE HIGHER QPF FIELDS DEPICTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.

EXTENDING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS TO EASTERN NEW MEXICO THERE IS A
NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST AND
THE SURFACE LOW REMAINS GENERALLY IN PLACE OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
A PORTION OF THE SURFACE LOW EXTENDS NORTHWARDS AS A WEAK INVERTED
TROUGH/LEE TROUGH.  AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO FIRE
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY BY 06Z...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME STORM REACHING ACROSS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA.  ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN THE
CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH/INVERTED TROUGH OVER
EASTERN COLORADO.  IF THAT HAPPENS...THE STORMS ACROSS THE NORTH MAY
EVENTUALLY PHASE IN WITH THE STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTH AS WINDS TURN
EAST/SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT WITH AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WITH
LOCALIZED INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS BETWEEN 05-09Z AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED AFTER
09Z BY MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  A
FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SWATH OF STORMS MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA.  CURRENT FEELING BEST CHANCE WILL BE ACROSS THE
FAR SOUTHEAST REACHES OF THE FORECAST AREA.

WITH PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH
EARLY MORNING RH VALUES NEARING SATURATION...COULD SEE SOME AREAS OF
FOG BETWEEN 09-13Z IN THE WAKE OF THE STORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.  CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ON THIS...SO
HAVE LEFT IT OUT FOR NOW.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

UPPER FLOW WILL BE WESTERLY FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING
WITH ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING.

THE NAM BRINGS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES THROUGH THE FLOW AND ACROSS THE FA
FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY DOES NOT APPEAR
TO HAVE ANY SHORTWAVE ENERGY. THERE IS 1000-2000 J/KG OF CAPE
AVAILABLE EACH DAY. WIND SHEAR OF 35 TO 45KTS SHOULD SUPPORT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. PLAN TO TIE HIGHER POPS
NEAR THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY NIGHT.  30-40 PERCENT POPS WILL BE OVER
THE SOUTHWEST FA NEAR THE FRONT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE
NORTHEAST. PLAN TO KEEP POPS AT SLIGHT SLIGHT CHANCE FRIDAY MORNING
AND THEN INCREASE THEM TO HIGHER CHANCE POPS IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN
THE SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA AND THE WARM FRONT MOVES BACK
NORTH ACROSS THE FA. LIKELY POPS LOOK GOOD FOR FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN
THERE IS GOOD MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS. CHANCES WILL START TO DECREASE
FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES
EAST. SATURDAY WILL START WITH CHANCE POPS IN THE EAST WITH THE
EXITING SHORTWAVE DECREASING TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE SOUTHWEST.
LOW CHANCE POPS WILL BE PLACED NORTH OF THE FRONT SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WITH HIGHER CHANCE POPS NEAR THE FRONT IN THE SOUTHEAST ZONES.

MIN TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHTS.  MAX TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 70S. MAX TEMPERATURES SATURDAY WILL BE COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.

IN THE EXTENDED...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS PART OF THE FORECAST AS
WELL.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.  A
SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO TUESDAY AND THEN MOVE
SOUTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. NUMEROUS SHORTWAVES WILL PROVIDE THE
FORCING FOR AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. MAX
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FROM THE LOWER 70S TO THE MID 80S BY
WEDNESDAY.  MIN TEMPERATURES WILL VARY IN THE 50S WITH SOME LOWER
60S IN THE EAST BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1120 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

MOIST LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE WINDS WILL RESULT IN LOWERING CEILINGS
OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE MORNING AND POSSIBLY EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS ON THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT COULD IMPACT EITHER
KGLD OR KMCK WITH IFR CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...024
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...FS
AVIATION...024

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
306 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-051245-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
306 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014 /406 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FAR EASTERN COLORADO
AFTER 5 PM. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
AND NORTHWEST KANSAS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

FROM THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TRI STATE
AREA FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
827 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COZ091-050300-
KIT CARSON COUNTY-
827 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KIT CARSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

AT 926 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARRIBA...OR 26 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FLAGLER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED IF THE STORMS MOVE INTO
THE AREA. BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER IF SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS.

&&

LAT...LON 3956 10316 3957 10315 3958 10290 3957 10282
      3955 10282 3920 10284 3919 10316 3944 10316
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 285DEG 28KT 3945 10351

HUSTED/JJM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1017 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COZ091-KSZ013-050445-
KIT CARSON COUNTY-SHERMAN-
1017 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KIT CARSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND
SHERMAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 1014 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND WEAKENING
THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST
WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN BURLINGTON AND GOODLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3946 10176 3915 10175 3915 10228 3947 10227
TIME...MOT...LOC 0415Z 270DEG 31KT 3928 10213

024

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1026 PM MDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1009 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SW BURLINGTON         39.30N 102.29W
06/04/2014  E60 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   STORM CHASER

            BLOWING DUST AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGE ALSO REPORTED

&&

024

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1043 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

COZ091-092-050500-
CHEYENNE COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-
1043 PM MDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHEYENNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND KIT
CARSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...

AT 1141 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A TORNADO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARRIBA...OR 20
MILES SOUTHWEST OF FLAGLER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH ARE EXPECTED
IN ADDITION THE TORNADO.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN CHEYENNE AND SOUTHWESTERN KIT CARSON
COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. A WARNING
MAY BE NEEDED IF THE STORMS MOVE INTO THE AREA. BE READY TO SEEK
SHELTER IF SEVERE WEATHER THREATENS.

&&

LAT...LON 3930 10316 3931 10315 3930 10288 3913 10289
      3913 10288 3912 10289 3904 10288 3896 10289
      3895 10289 3894 10289 3893 10289 3884 10290
      3885 10317
TIME...MOT...LOC 0443Z 302DEG 30KT 3915 10339

HUSTED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1145 PM MDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 PM     HAIL             10 N WILD HORSE         38.96N 103.00W
06/04/2014  E1.00 INCH       CHEYENNE           CO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            GUSTS OVER 60MPH AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN 15 MINUTES.
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

JJM