Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
312 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
IN THE WAKE OF THE SHORTWAVE THAT PUSHED THROUGH AND BROUGHT ALL THE
CONVECTION TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING...WEAK
RIDGING HAS BUILT IN ALOFT AGAIN WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER DEWPOINTS
FILTERING IN ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. THIS TREND WILL
CONTINUE WITH WEAK LAGGING FRONT PUSHING INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONVECTION IS ONCE AGAIN SLOW TO FIRE THIS
AFTERNOON BUT EXPECT THAT IT WILL START PICKING UP SHORTLY...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES WHERE INSTABILITY IS
HIGHER AND INFLUENCE OF THE FRONT WILL BE FELT A LITTLE BETTER.
ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY FIRING ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SHOULD WEAKEN TONIGHT BUT THE REMNANTS WILL
LIKELY PUSH INTO NORTH GEORGIA LATE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...SO
HAVE INCREASED POPS ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES ACCORDINGLY. UPPER RIDGE
PUSHES A LITTLE FURTHER EAST PLACING THE SOUTHEAST AND TENNESSEE
VALLEY INTO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF ANOTHER...STRONGER...
SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT.

LOWS TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IN NORTH GEORGIA...BEHIND THE FRONT BUT
AHEAD OF REMNANT CONVECTION THAT SHOULD PUSH IN CLOSER TO SUNRISE...
WILL BE QUITE A BIT COOLER THAN THE PAST FEW NIGHTS. THE REST OF THE
AREA SHOULD SEE SIMILAR TEMPS TO LAST NIGHT /THOUGH TEMPS DID GET
COOLER THAN FORECAST LAST NIGHT/...BUT GENERALLY FAIRLY CLOSE TO
SEASONAL AVERAGES EXCEPT AGAIN UP IN NORTHERN ZONES.

TDP

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

FOR NOW...WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DAY FOR CONVECTION AS A
STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE CWFA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
500MB TROUGH. ATMOS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AT THE
SURFACE...SO THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL HELP SUSTAIN
CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SINCE THE MODELS TYPICALLY HAVE TROUBLE
RESOLVING SHORTWAVE ENERGY THIS FAR OUT...THE TIMING WILL BE HARD
TO NAIL DOWN. HAVE RAISED POPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWFA TO LIKELY.

THE TROUGH BEGINS TO SHIFT OFFSHORE LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
SYNOPTIC MODELS ARE PROGGING A LEE TROUGH TO DEVELOP ACROSS NE/E GA
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THIS FEATURE COULD HELP TO
INITIATE/FOCUS PRECIP.

&&

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCT-BKN CU 4-5KFT EXPECTED. ISOLATED TSRA
STILL POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY FOR SOUTHERN TAFS BUT REMOVED TEMPO FROM
NORTHERN TAFS...NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE. SHOULD BE MAINLY VFR
TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF TSRA ON MONDAY...POSSIBLY MORE NORTH
WITH INFLUENCE OFF UPPER SYSTEM. WINDS GENERALLY W THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON OCCURRENCE OF CONVECTION...LOW ON IMPACTS TO ATL.
HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

TDP

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          68  89  69  92 /  20  30  20  40
ATLANTA         70  87  71  88 /  20  30  20  40
BLAIRSVILLE     58  81  63  84 /  20  30  30  40
CARTERSVILLE    65  85  68  88 /  20  30  20  40
COLUMBUS        72  91  72  89 /  30  30  20  30
GAINESVILLE     67  85  69  88 /  20  30  20  40
MACON           70  92  70  92 /  30  30  10  30
ROME            65  85  68  87 /  20  40  30  40
PEACHTREE CITY  67  88  67  88 /  30  30  20  40
VIDALIA         72  92  74  94 /  40  30  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TDP
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...TDP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
333 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-091200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
333 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES. THERE IS ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY SOUTH. ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AN
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL HELP ENHANCE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
447 PM EDT SUN JUN 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE FLORENCE MARINA S 32.07N  85.04W
06/08/2014                   STEWART            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ONTO STATE HIGHWAY 39 IN
            WESTERN STEWART COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1400683

RWILLIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
452 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

GAZ090-082115-
452 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 40 MPH WINDS IN CHATTAHOOCHEE
COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 448 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CUSSETA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE
PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE FORT BENNING/LAWSON ARMY AIR FIELD...
JAMESTOWN/SOUTH FORT BENNING...CUSSETA...CHRISTOPHER AND MANTA. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

THESE WIND GUSTS MAY PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS AROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3222 8481 3223 8482 3223 8490 3225 8492
      3227 8490 3230 8495 3232 8500 3235 8501
      3239 8482 3232 8466 3223 8466 3223 8480
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 314DEG 17KT 3232 8482

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
549 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

GAZ098-082215-
549 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 40 MPH WINDS IN TREUTLEN COUNTY
UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 548 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ZAIDEE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
TREUTLEN COUNTY THROUGH 615 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF
THIS STORM INCLUDE FIVE POINTS AND ZAIDEE. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

THESE WIND GUSTS MAY PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS AROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3237 8241 3236 8241 3235 8243 3234 8248
      3234 8249 3233 8253 3244 8260 3248 8252
      3239 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 324DEG 14KT 3242 8253

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
552 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

GAZ078-082230-
552 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 40 MPH WINDS IN HARRIS COUNTY
UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 549 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF MULBERRY GROVE...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
HARRIS COUNTY THROUGH 630 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM INCLUDE MULBERRY GROVE...CATAULA AND ELLERSLIE. HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

THESE WIND GUSTS MAY PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS AROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3273 8502 3277 8497 3266 8469 3259 8469
      3259 8470 3258 8490 3260 8491 3261 8494
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 316DEG 28KT 3271 8496