Severe Thunderstorm Warning 130, NWS Kansas City, MO

034 
WWUS53 KEAX 040238
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
938 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

MOC003-005-075-087-147-227-040300-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0130.000000T0000Z-140604T0300Z/
GENTRY MO-HOLT MO-NODAWAY MO-WORTH MO-ANDREW MO-ATCHISON MO-
938 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ATCHISON...
NORTHWESTERN ANDREW...WESTERN WORTH...NODAWAY...NORTHERN HOLT AND
NORTHWESTERN GENTRY COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

AT 933 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM HOPKINS TO BURLINGTON JUNCTION TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
FAIRFAX...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST PORTION OF 
THIS STORM IS NEAR FAIRFAX... MO.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...NUMEROUS TRAINED SPOTTERS ARE REPORTING QUARTER TO PING 
PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WINDS.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARYVILLE...MOUND CITY...SKIDMORE...CRAIG...RAVENWOOD...MAITLAND...
QUITMAN...CORNING...PICKERING...SHERIDAN...PARNELL...BIG LAKE...
BIGELOW...ARKOE...GRAHAM...CONCEPTION JUNCTION...CLYDE...
CONCEPTION...BARNARD AND GUILFORD.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 79 AND 115.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4057 9440 4013 9457 4004 9542 4012 9540
      4019 9549 4024 9548 4025 9555 4029 9556
      4032 9567 4034 9563 4041 9566 4045 9565
      4046 9568 4055 9528 4058 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 307DEG 35KT 4052 9483 4040 9502
          4029 9546

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

CDB

462 
WWUS53 KEAX 040256
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
956 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

MOC003-005-075-087-147-227-040300-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0130.000000T0000Z-140604T0300Z/
GENTRY MO-HOLT MO-NODAWAY MO-WORTH MO-ANDREW MO-ATCHISON MO-
956 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ATCHISON...
NORTHWESTERN ANDREW...WESTERN WORTH...NODAWAY...NORTHERN HOLT AND
NORTHWESTERN GENTRY COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

AT 953 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF HOPKINS TO MARYVILLE TO CRAIG...AND 
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. A NEW WARNING WILL BE ISSUED TO REPLACE 
THIS WARNING SHORTLY.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. AT 930 PM...A 911 CALL CENTER 
RELAYED A REPORT OF PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL 1 MILE NORTH OF TARKIO.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARYVILLE...MOUND CITY...CRAIG...MAITLAND...RAVENWOOD...SHERIDAN...
GRAHAM...ARKOE...BIGELOW...PARNELL...BIG LAKE...CONCEPTION
JUNCTION...BARNARD...FORTESCUE...CLYDE...CONCEPTION...GUILFORD AND
BOLCKOW.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 79 AND 115.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 4057 9440 4013 9457 4004 9542 4012 9540
      4019 9549 4024 9548 4025 9555 4029 9556
      4032 9567 4034 9563 4041 9566 4045 9565
      4046 9568 4055 9528 4058 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 315DEG 26KT 4043 9475 4031 9494
          4021 9538

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

CDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
643 PM CDT Tue Jun 3 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 430 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

Significant severe episode well underway although the vast majority
of the CWA is dry and will remain so until around sunset when the
upstream MCS/eventual Derecho presses into northern MO. Northern MO
remains under the highest threat for both severe storms as well as
flooding type rainfall. This due to the location of a nearly
stationary front draped across far northern MO and is depicted by
change in character of the cu field and surface obs. Small cluster
of severe storms tracking along the MO/IA border is being enhanced
by strong 0-6km shear of 50-65kts while the 0-1km shear around 20kts
is likely just not strong enough to support for tornadic activity.
However, these values will increase as evening approaches so any
additional storms which form ahead of the approaching MCS will have
a greater chance to spawn tornadoes. A look at the STJ hodograph for
this evening shows why. Impressive as is the MUCAPES of
3000-4000J/kg.

12Z ECMWF and HRRR appear to have best fit of evolution of the large
MCS and backbuilding convection now underway across northern NE.
Current radar trends and HRRR output surge the MCS southeast through
the north central and northeast CWA this evening while the
backbuilding convection over northern NE slides through northwest MO
and northeast KS with possibilities of reaching the KC Metro after
midnight. Current Flash Flood watch over northern MO looks on track.

Convection will finally exit the eastern CWA during the per-dawn
hours of Wednesday morning. A post-frontal cold front will trail and
eventually sweep through the CWA on Wednesday. The cold air
advection will lag allowing favorable mixing of the elevated warm layer
to mix down resulting in another very warm day. Could see highs
around 90 across the far southern CWA. Will keep slight chance PoPs
across this area as peak heating and some convergence along the
front could form isolated convection.

This front is not expected to move too far south of the CWA with the
very moist and unstable airmass poised to the south of the frontal
boundary. Models embed a number of weak shortwave troughs within
moderately strong westerlies crossing the Central Rockies and Central
Plains Wednesday night through Thursday night. In fact this pattern will
continue into the weekend. Elevated convection is the end result as
these shortwaves lift the unstable air above the boundary and
generate scattered convection. Could see a couple additional rounds of
convection. Temperatures will likely be a tad below average as we'll
be under easterly flow from high pressure.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 430 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

A quasi-zonal pattern will remain quite active through the end of
the extended forecast period. A number of shortwave troughs will
translate through the flow and will bring a few chances for heavy
rainfall through the beginning of the weekend. One round of precip will
develop Thursday afternoon and continue into Friday morning. Another
convective complex will develop Friday and continue into Saturday
with the potential for more heavy rainfall as models forecasting
precipitable water values of 1 to over 2 inches across the general region
With the Gulf wide open, do not see any issues with moisture return
during this period, however, exact timing of these systems still
remains in question.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 613 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

Tricky TAF period with ongoing convection across NE, IA, and northern
MO which is progged by the hi-res HRRR model to drop southeastward
across NW Missouri down through east-central Missouri. This convection
appears to be following a warm frontal boundary. Isolated convection
developing near the terminals is currently moving northeastward
towards this front. As the cold pool continues to strengthen along
this warm front, the front may begin to sag southward and allow the
southwest end of the convective complex to near the terminals.
Confidence is low on how far south this complex will extend, thus
will monitor trends of the complex and amend as necessary. For now
have left mention of VCTS for the terminals for isolated activity.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 1 AM CDT Wednesday FOR MOZ001>008-
     015>017.

&&

SHORT TERM...MJ
LONG TERM...PMM
AVIATION...PMM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
657 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-050000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
657 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NEBRASKA...IOWA...AND
MISSOURI THIS EVENING. ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST SEVERE WEATHER RISK ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 36 CORRIDOR. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES...AS WELL AS A
FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES.

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE. HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLOODING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
820 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0811 PM     HAIL             1 N SPICKARD            40.26N 93.59W
06/03/2014  E1.00 INCH       GRUNDY             MO   PUBLIC

            1 INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND ON THE GRUNDY COUNTY LINE

&&

ABAILEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
841 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     FLASH FLOOD      UNIONVILLE              40.48N 93.00W
06/03/2014                   PUTNAM             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROAD FLOODING IN TOWN. WATER COMING INTO THE BACKDOOR
            OFHOMES IN UNIONVILLE.

&&

MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
856 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0854 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW GREENTOP           40.33N 92.59W
06/03/2014  E65 MPH          ADAIR              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ABAILEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
910 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0817 PM     HAIL             HARRIS                  40.31N 93.35W
06/03/2014  E1.00 INCH       SULLIVAN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CUTTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
913 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0911 PM     HAIL             1 N WESTBORO            40.55N 95.32W
06/03/2014  E1.00 INCH       ATCHISON           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

CUTTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
922 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0914 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NNW ROCKPORT          40.46N 95.54W
06/03/2014  E60.00 MPH       ATCHISON           MO   STORM CHASER

            WITH 1 INCH HAIL.

0914 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNW ROCKPORT          40.46N 95.54W
06/03/2014  E1.00 INCH       ATCHISON           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WITH 60 MPH WIND.

&&

CUTTER