River Flood Warning 48, NWS Kansas City, MO

255 
WGUS83 KEAX 130142
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
842 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson Counties.

  Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline 
  Counties.

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-140142-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140615T0730Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.140610T0639Z.140611T0645Z.140614T0730Z.UU/
842 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.4 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Saturday morning.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the west approach to the N 
  Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding also 
  occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles 
  northwest of Blairstown.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   23.4   Thu 08 PM   23.4 early Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

MOC053-195-140141-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0056.140613T1000Z-140615T0359Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.140613T1000Z.140613T1800Z.140614T0359Z.NO/
842 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* from late tonight to Saturday evening.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 24.3 feet by early Friday afternoon.the river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   23.4   Thu 08 PM   24.3 early Friday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC033-041-195-140141-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-140615T0600Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.140613T1500Z.000000T0000Z.140614T0600Z.NO/
842 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River At Miami.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:04 PM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 18.2 feet by Friday evening.the river will
  fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Miami           18   17.4   Thu 08 PM   18.2 Friday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327

  

$$

MOC013-037-083-140141-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140615T1444Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140613T0600Z.140614T1444Z.UU/
842 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Sunday morning.
* At  3:24 PM Thursday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.5 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Saturday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5 
  miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
  with cropland and secondary roads.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   27.1   Thu 03 PM   27.5 early Friday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425

  

$$

096 
WGUS83 KEAX 130934
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
434 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson 
  Counties.

  Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline 
  Counties.

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-140934-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140615T0730Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.140610T0639Z.140611T0645Z.140614T0730Z.UU/
434 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  4:00 AM Friday the stage was 22.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   22.3   Fri 04 AM   21.8 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

MOC053-195-140934-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0056.140613T1042Z-140615T0359Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.140613T1042Z.140613T1800Z.140614T0359Z.NO/
434 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  3:45 AM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 24.3 feet by this afternoon.the river will
  fall below flood stage by tonight.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   23.7   Fri 04 AM   24.3 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC033-041-195-140934-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-140615T0600Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.140613T1500Z.000000T0000Z.140614T0600Z.NO/
434 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River At Miami.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:04 PM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 18.2 feet by this evening.the river will fall below
  flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Miami           18   17.4   Thu 08 PM   18.2 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327

  

$$

MOC013-037-083-140934-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140615T1444Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140613T1200Z.140614T1444Z.UU/
434 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Sunday morning.
* At  3:24 PM Thursday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.5 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday 
  morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5 
  miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
  with cropland and secondary roads.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   27.1   Thu 03 PM   27.5 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425

  

$$

138 
WGUS83 KEAX 131445
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
945 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson Counties.

  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.

  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Missouri River At Miami affecting Carroll...Chariton and Saline 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-141445-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140614T1855Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.140610T0639Z.140611T0645Z.140613T1855Z.UU/
945 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   21.3   Fri 09 AM   20.2 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

MOC053-195-141445-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-140615T0000Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.140613T1800Z.140613T1800Z.140614T0000Z.NO/
945 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   23.8   Fri 09 AM   24.0 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC033-041-195-141444-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-140615T0600Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.140613T1534Z.000000T0000Z.140614T0600Z.NO/
945 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River At Miami.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:04 PM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 18.2 feet by this evening.the river will fall below
  flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas outside of levees begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Miami           18   17.4   Thu 08 PM   18.2 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3933 9331 3943 9319 3938 9307 3928 9327

  

$$

MOC013-037-083-141444-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-140615T1053Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.000000T0000Z.140613T1800Z.140614T1053Z.UU/
945 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* until late Saturday night.
* At  3:24 PM Thursday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.4 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5 
  miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
  with cropland and secondary roads.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   27.1   Thu 03 PM   27.4 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425

  

$$

002 
WGUS83 KEAX 132303
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
603 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014
   

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC037-083-101-132333-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-140614T1855Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.140610T0639Z.140611T0645Z.140613T2030Z.UU/
603 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* At  5:00 PM Friday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  3:30 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 17.3 feet by Saturday
  morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   19.7   Fri 05 PM   19.3 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
732 PM CDT Mon Jun 9 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 357 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2014

Little change needed to the going forecast as a well advertised
closed upper level low is deepening as it moves southeastward into
northern OK this afternoon. A vort lobe rounding this low has moved
into the area this afternoon bringing light showers to the area
along and south of the I-70 corridor. Later this afternoon/evening a
second and stronger vort lobe will bring more widespread rain
spreading across the area from southwest to northeast. This upper
level low will move across northern OK tonight and the vort lobe
will remain anchored over the area pivoting and orienting itself
southwest to northeast across the area. This will keep precipitation
chances continuing through Monday night and into Tuesday as the
upper level low moves across southern MO. Temperatures will be cool
on Tuesday  with highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

By Tuesday night, the upper low moves to eastern Missouri and the
vort lobe over the area finally weakens and shifts eastward as
surface high pressure build into the area. Rain will end from west
to east on Tuesday night. Surface high pressure will remain in
control through Wednesday helping to dry out conditions. Height
rises will help afternoon highs on Wednesday return to near normal
with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Evening through Monday)
Issued at 357 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2014

Large upper level trough will continue to move off to the Northeast
into the Ohio River Valley as slight upper level ridging builds into
the region. Near zonal flow will redevelop behind this ridging as a
shortwave trough tracks across the Northern Plains. A cold front
associated with this northern trough will approach the region late
Wed night and will move across the CWA by Thurs morning. With
precipitable water values progged to be in the range of 1.5 to 2
inches, flooding will once again become a concern through the day.
Subsidence behind this system will keep temperatures cooler across
the region on Thurs and will gradually warm back into the 80s by Sat.
This pattern will continue with shortwave ridging building back in
on Sat with another shortwave trough moving into the Northern
Plains. Saturday's system will also push a cold front towards and
through the CWA by Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 725 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2014

Steady moderate rain will continue through the next several hours at
the KC Terminals. KSTJ will likely see some off and on rain, however
should remain north of the more steady, long-lasting rain showers.
Expect VIS/CIG to come down to IFR during several instances over the
next several hours. Steady light to moderate rain should last through
the overnight hours before gradually tapering off late Tuesday
morning or early Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM...PMM
AVIATION...Leighton

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
648 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-110000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
648 PM CDT MON JUN 9 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE
 MISSOURI RIVER. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

 A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY...AND ADDITIONAL ROUNDS
 THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AND ON SATURDAY NIGHT. NO
 ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED... BUT HEAVY RAIN COULD
 EXACERBATE ONGOING RIVER FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF