Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 142, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Oct 1, 2014, 8:08 PM CDT for Cooper County, Missouri. It took effect at Oct 2, 2014, 11:52 AM CDT. It was in force for 44 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 1, 2014, 8:08 PM CDT (01:08 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 2, 2014, 11:52 AM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 4, 2014, 7:34 AM CDT
- In force
- 44 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Cooper County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Lamine River near Otterville (OTTM7).
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 15 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18 ft
- Major stage
- 26 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06906800, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
555
WGUS43 KEAX 020108
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
808 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
flood warning for the following rivers in Missouri...
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC053-195-030108-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0141.141004T0949Z-141005T2315Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141004T0949Z.141004T1800Z.141004T2315Z.NO/
808 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* from late Friday night to Sunday evening.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue
to rise to near 24.7 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 7.0 Wed 08 PM 24.7 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC053-030108-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0142.141002T1809Z-141004T1234Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1809Z.141003T0000Z.141003T1234Z.NO/
808 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* from Thursday afternoon to Saturday morning.
* At 7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 3.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Thursday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 18.6 feet by Thursday evening. The river
will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 3.1 Wed 07 PM 18.6 Thursday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC053-030108-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0143.141002T2149Z-141004T2041Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.141002T2149Z.141003T1200Z.141003T2041Z.UU/
808 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* from Thursday afternoon to Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Thursday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 19.2 feet by Friday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 5.0 Wed 07 PM 19.2 Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$7 follow-up statements
061
WGUS83 KEAX 020644
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Kansas...
Missouri...
Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and Buchanan
Counties.
Moniteau Creek near Fayette affecting Howard County.
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...Kansas...
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Missouri River at Atchison affecting Atchison...Buchanan and Platte
Counties.
Missouri River at Leavenworth affecting Leavenworth and Platte
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC053-195-030644-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0141.141004T0949Z-141005T2315Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141004T0949Z.141004T1800Z.141004T2315Z.NO/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* from late Friday night to Sunday evening.
* At 12:45 AM Thursday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue
to rise to near 24.7 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 8.3 Thu 01 AM 24.7 early Saturday
afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC053-030644-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0142.141002T1809Z-141004T1234Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1809Z.141003T0000Z.141003T1234Z.NO/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* from this afternoon to Saturday morning.
* At 1:15 AM Thursday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 18.6 feet by this evening. The river will fall below
flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 5.2 Thu 01 AM 18.6 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
KSC043-MOC003-021-030644-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0138.141002T1042Z-141006T1800Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.141002T1042Z.141003T1200Z.141005T1800Z.NO/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* from early this morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 1:30 AM Thursday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and
continue to rise to near 22.2 feet by Friday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by early Sunday afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Riverfront Park in St. Joseph begins to flood.
* At 19.0 feet...Backwater from the Missouri River floods property
along the Nodaway river at Nodaway, Missouri.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St.
Joseph occurs.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
St Joseph 17 15.0 Thu 01 AM 22.2 Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505
$$
KSC005-MOC021-165-030644-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0139.141003T0500Z-141005T1500Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.141003T0500Z.141003T1800Z.141004T1500Z.NO/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Atchison.
* from late tonight to Sunday morning.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 23.1
feet early Friday afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas on the Missouri side of the river
begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Atchison 22 23.1 early Friday afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3970 9505 3964 9488 3942 9493 3942 9508 3958 9516
$$
KSC103-MOC165-030644-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0140.141003T1124Z-141005T1200Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.141003T1124Z.141004T0000Z.141004T1200Z.NO/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Missouri River at Leavenworth.
* from Friday morning to Sunday morning.
* At 1:00 AM Thursday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
rise to near 20.6 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall below
flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs along the east and west
banks of the river.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Missouri River
Leavenworth 20 10.9 Thu 01 AM 20.6 Friday evening
&&
LAT...LON 3942 9508 3942 9492 3918 9460 3913 9460 3918 9484
$$
MOC089-030643-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0136.141002T0852Z-141004T0507Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.141002T0852Z.141002T1700Z.141003T0507Z.UU/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Moniteau Creek near Fayette.
* until late Friday night.
* At 1:30 AM Thursday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and
continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by this afternoon. The river
will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low-lying fields along Moniteau Creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Moniteau Creek
Fayette 16 8.3 Thu 01 AM 20.0 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3914 9259 3914 9252 3902 9256 3903 9262
$$
MOC053-030643-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0143.000000T0000Z-141004T2209Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.141002T1242Z.141003T0600Z.141003T2209Z.UU/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 12:30 AM Thursday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to
rise to near 19.4 feet by early Friday morning. The river will fall
below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* At 19.5 feet...The creek floods U Highway about 4 miles southeast
of Boonville.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 14.3 Thu 12 AM 19.4 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$
MOC005-087-020714-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0137.000000T0000Z-141003T1224Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.141001T1914Z.141002T0030Z.141002T0542Z.NO/
144 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* At 1:15 AM Thursday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:42 AM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.7 feet by Friday
morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Tarkio River
Fairfax 17 16.6 Thu 01 AM 14.9 this morning
&&
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546
$$749
WGUS83 KEAX 021348
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
848 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Moniteau Creek near Fayette affecting Howard County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC053-195-031348-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0141.141002T2221Z-141007T0013Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141002T2221Z.141004T1200Z.141006T0013Z.NO/
848 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* from this afternoon to Monday evening.
* At 6:45 AM Thursday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 28.7 feet by Saturday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 18.8 Thu 07 AM 28.7 Saturday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC053-031347-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0142.141002T1652Z-141004T1412Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1652Z.141003T0000Z.141003T1412Z.NO/
848 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* from this morning to Saturday morning.
* At 8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 19.0 feet by this evening. The river will fall
below flood stage by late Friday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 9.2 Thu 08 AM 19.0 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC089-031347-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0136.000000T0000Z-141004T1008Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.141002T0935Z.141002T1900Z.141003T1008Z.UU/
848 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Moniteau Creek near Fayette.
* until late Friday night.
* At 8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low-lying fields along Moniteau Creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Moniteau Creek
Fayette 16 17.1 Thu 08 AM 20.0 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3914 9259 3914 9252 3902 9256 3903 9262
$$757
WGUS83 KEAX 022033
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
333 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis
Counties.
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Crooked River near Richmond affecting Ray County.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC101-159-032033-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0144.000000T0000Z-141005T0313Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.141002T1531Z.141003T1200Z.141004T0313Z.NO/
333 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 3:00 PM Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by
Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday before
midnight.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23
near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Valley City 22 24.2 Thu 03 PM 28.0 Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348
$$
MOC053-195-032032-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0141.141003T1312Z-141006T2046Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141003T1312Z.141004T1200Z.141005T2046Z.NO/
333 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* from Friday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 2:45 PM Thursday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
rise to near 27.7 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall
below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 20.0 Thu 03 PM 27.7 Saturday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC177-032032-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0145.141002T2048Z-141004T1221Z/
/RICM7.1.ER.141002T2048Z.141003T0000Z.141003T1221Z.NO/
333 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Crooked River near Richmond.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 20.8 feet by this evening. The river will
fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying rural roads along with cropland and
woodlands flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Crooked River
Richmond 20 19.7 Thu 02 PM 20.8 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3935 9407 3938 9402 3932 9389 3928 9392
$$
MOC053-032032-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0142.000000T0000Z-141004T1500Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1827Z.141003T0600Z.141003T1500Z.NO/
333 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 3:15 PM Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late
Friday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 17.0 Thu 03 PM 19.2 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC053-032032-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0143.000000T0000Z-141004T2256Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.141002T0706Z.141003T0600Z.141003T2256Z.UU/
333 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.4 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
afternoon.
* At 19.5 feet...The creek floods U Highway about 4 miles southeast
of Boonville.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 19.6 Thu 02 PM 21.4 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$
MOC033-032032-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0155.000000T0000Z-141005T0027Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.141002T1715Z.141003T0600Z.141004T0027Z.UU/
333 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 3:00 PM Thursday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
evening.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the
creek begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Wakenda Creek
Carrollton 16 16.3 Thu 03 PM 17.0 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359
$$145
WGUS83 KEAX 030157
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
857 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis
Counties.
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Crooked River near Richmond affecting Ray County.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC101-159-040157-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0144.000000T0000Z-141004T1620Z/
/VLYM7.1.ER.141002T1531Z.141003T0045Z.141003T1620Z.NO/
857 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.8 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late
Friday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23
near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Valley City 22 24.8 Thu 08 PM 24.8 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348
$$
MOC053-195-040157-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0141.141003T0651Z-141006T2004Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141003T0651Z.141004T1200Z.141005T2004Z.NO/
857 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* from late tonight to Monday afternoon.
* At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 27.7 feet by Saturday morning. The river
will fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 22.8 Thu 09 PM 27.7 Saturday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC177-040156-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0145.000000T0000Z-141004T1431Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.141002T1948Z.141003T0130Z.141003T1431Z.NO/
857 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Crooked River near Richmond.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late Friday morning.
* At 21.0 feet...Water begins to overtop a gravel road about 1 mile
south of the F and B Highway intersection.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying rural roads along with cropland and
woodlands flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Crooked River
Richmond 20 21.7 Thu 08 PM 21.7 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3935 9407 3938 9402 3932 9389 3928 9392
$$
MOC053-040156-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0142.000000T0000Z-141004T0840Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1827Z.141003T0100Z.141003T0840Z.NO/
857 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until late Friday night.
* At 8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Friday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 19.1 Thu 08 PM 16.6 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC053-040156-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0143.000000T0000Z-141004T2110Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.141002T0706Z.141003T0600Z.141003T2110Z.UU/
857 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by
early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
afternoon.
* At 19.5 feet...The creek floods U Highway about 4 miles southeast
of Boonville.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 21.0 Thu 08 PM 21.6 early Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$
MOC033-040156-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0155.000000T0000Z-141005T0025Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.141002T1715Z.141003T1200Z.141004T0025Z.UU/
857 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.1 feet by
Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
evening.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the
creek begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Wakenda Creek
Carrollton 16 16.7 Thu 08 PM 17.1 Friday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359
$$392
WGUS83 KEAX 030707
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
207 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson
Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC037-083-101-030737-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0146.000000T0000Z-141004T1800Z/
/BLRM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
207 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* At 1:00 AM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 17.4 feet. The
river will continue to fall to 12.8 feet by Saturday morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Big Creek
Blairstown 20 17.0 Fri 01 AM 16.7 this morning
&&
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391
$$
MOC053-040707-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0142.000000T0000Z-141004T1510Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1827Z.141003T0245Z.141003T1510Z.NO/
207 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 1:15 AM Friday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late this morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 18.8 Fri 01 AM 16.9 this morning
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC013-037-083-040707-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141004T1800Z/
/URHM7.1.ER.141003T1800Z.141003T1800Z.141003T1800Z.UU/
207 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 1:15 AM Friday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this
afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5
miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
with cropland and secondary roads.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
South Grand River
Urich 24 21.0 Fri 01 AM 24.0 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425
$$879
WGUS83 KEAX 031424
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry
Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis
Counties.
Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline
Counties.
Crooked River near Richmond affecting Ray County.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.
Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.
&&
MOC101-159-041424-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0144.000000T0000Z-141004T1650Z/
/VLYM7.1.ER.141002T1531Z.141003T0045Z.141003T1650Z.NO/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until Saturday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late this morning.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Valley City 22 22.5 Fri 09 AM 21.8 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348
$$
MOC053-195-041423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0141.000000T0000Z-141006T1138Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.141003T0752Z.141004T1200Z.141005T1138Z.NO/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until Monday morning.
* At 8:45 AM Friday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by
Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday
morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Blackwater River
Blue Lick 24 24.4 Fri 09 AM 26.7 Saturday morning
&&
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323
$$
MOC177-041423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0145.000000T0000Z-141004T2118Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.141002T1948Z.141003T0300Z.141003T2118Z.NO/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Crooked River near Richmond.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late this afternoon.
* At 21.0 feet...Water begins to overtop a gravel road about 1 mile
south of the F and B Highway intersection.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying rural roads along with cropland and
woodlands flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Crooked River
Richmond 20 21.3 Fri 08 AM 21.1 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3935 9407 3938 9402 3932 9389 3928 9392
$$
MOC053-041423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0142.000000T0000Z-141004T2142Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1827Z.141003T0245Z.141003T2142Z.NO/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:15 AM Friday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late this afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...Some gravel roads upstream and downstream from
Otterville are under water. In addition State Highway 135 may be
overtopped by flood waters 2 miles north of Clifton City.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river
flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 18.0 Fri 08 AM 17.1 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC021-041423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0156.000000T0000Z-141004T2030Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.141003T0037Z.141003T1115Z.141003T2030Z.NO/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Platte River near Agency.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late this afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Agency 20 22.0 Fri 08 AM 21.0 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472
$$
MOC053-041423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0143.000000T0000Z-141005T0503Z/
/BONM7.2.ER.141002T0706Z.141003T1130Z.141004T0503Z.UU/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early Saturday morning.
* At 19.5 feet...The creek floods U Highway about 4 miles southeast
of Boonville.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Petite Saline Creek
Boonville 16 22.0 Fri 08 AM 21.3 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279
$$
MOC013-037-083-031454-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141004T1800Z/
/URHM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The South Grand River at Urich.
* At 9:15 AM Friday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 21.4 feet. The
river will continue to fall to 16.7 feet by Saturday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5
miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
with cropland and secondary roads.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
South Grand River
Urich 24 21.1 Fri 09 AM 20.9 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425
$$
MOC033-041423-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0155.000000T0000Z-141005T0312Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.141002T1715Z.141003T1800Z.141004T0312Z.UU/
924 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the
creek begins.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Wakenda Creek
Carrollton 16 17.6 Fri 09 AM 17.6 this afternoon
&&
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359
$$714
WGUS83 KEAX 032243
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
543 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Crooked River near Richmond affecting Ray County.
Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.
Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
&&
MOC177-032313-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0145.000000T0000Z-141004T2118Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.141002T1948Z.141003T0300Z.141003T2011Z.NO/
543 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Crooked River near Richmond.
* At 4:30 PM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 3:11 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.8 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Crooked River
Richmond 20 19.1 Fri 04 PM 18.2 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3935 9407 3938 9402 3932 9389 3928 9392
$$
MOC053-032313-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0142.000000T0000Z-141004T2142Z/
/OTTM7.2.ER.141002T1827Z.141003T0245Z.141003T1922Z.NO/
543 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Lamine River near Otterville.
* At 5:15 PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 2:22 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.4 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Lamine River
Otterville 15 12.2 Fri 05 PM 12.0 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294
$$
MOC021-032313-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0156.000000T0000Z-141004T2030Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.141003T0037Z.141003T1115Z.141003T2056Z.NO/
543 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2014
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Platte River near Agency.
* At 4:30 PM Friday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 3:56 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 16.1 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
Latest
Location FS Stage Day/Time Forecast
Platte River
Agency 20 19.7 Fri 04 PM 18.6 this evening
&&
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 1, 4:03 PM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 1, 4:03 PM CDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
403 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014
.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 403 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
Lots to talk about in the near term...so let/s dive right into the
details. Severe convection ongoing across the CWA this afternoon
along and south of remnant outflow boundary from this morning/s
activity. While 0-1km bulk shear remains marginal for tornadic
development...very recent radar trends and storm reports suggesting
a brief spin up over the Cooper County area. That said...best
instability this afternoon remains across the southern half of the
fcst area and current tornado watch is in effect through 10 PM. With
shear aloft continuing to increase...expect severe threat to continue
into the evening...well south of the KC metro based on where best
instability currently resides.
Heading into tonight...severe threat rapidly transitions into a hydro
concern as short term guidance (including high-res models) is in great
agreement that abnormally moist conditions from the Gulf (PWAT values
approaching 1.50" per latest blended TPW satellite graphics) will
begin interacting with a stalled front across southern MO thanks to
a strengthening low-level jet. That said...remarkable agreement on
placement of heavy precip axis which models suggest will run from
west to east along the far southern fringes of our fcst area. That
said...have elected to hoist a flash flood watch for the southern two
tiers of counties...which agrees very well with both LSX and SGF. If
current indications are right...would not be surprised to see a few
4+ inch reports especially further south in SGF/s area. WPC excessive
rain forecast currently has a moderate risk for the current watch area.
Shwrs/storms likely ongoing Thurs morning with trends again shifting
back to severe as long advertised cold front approaches. Orientation
of 0-6 km bulk shear vectors will decisively go more southwesterly as
strong Pacific trough now over the Intermountain West approaches. GFS
and to a lesser degree the NAM actually show the trough going
negative tilt as it moves through the area which may support fairly
strong and possibly fast moving convection ahead of the main sfc
boundary. Cross sections cut from the KS/CO line east through St.
Louis indicate pre-frontal convection developing along a possible
cold front aloft with additional/shwr-type activity following along
the main sfc front later in the day. Regardless...the magnitude of
shear aloft and orientation of the bulk shear vectors should support
a damaging wind threat as multicells congeal into a possible squall
line or multiple individual bowing segments.
Beyond this...conditions rapidly dry out Thursday night as post
frontal airmass moves into the area. Overnight lows early Friday
morning may be down into the lower 40s across far northern portions of
the region.
.LONG TERM...(Thursday Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 403 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
Deep cyclonic flow behind Thursday night's front will usher in
cooler conditions for Friday. Given the magnitude of post-frontal
cold air advection, highs on Friday were nudged down a couple of
more degrees into the middle and upper 50s despite mostly clear
skies. With the mixing that will result and a 50-kt LLJ on the back
side, there could be a few gusts as high as 40 mph especially Friday
morning and early afternoon.
Weakening winds Friday night and continued clear skies will allow
temperatures to drop into the upper 30s for many areas by sunrise
Saturday. A reinforcing shot of cool air on Saturday will keep highs
in the mid/upper 50s for most areas. Deep upper trough will maintain
its hold across the eastern two-thirds of the country through early
next week, although slight height rises this far west will allow
temperatures to moderate somewhat into the upper 60s and low 70s for
Sunday and Monday and into the upper 70s by Wednesday. Low-level
ridging and dry air should keep things dry through the period.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 100 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
Weak isolated convection developing across west-central MO this
afternoon in advance of mid-level energy approaching from the west.
Bulk of this activity should be fairly weak and have started all
sites with a VCTS mention to account for current radar trends.
Heading into tonight...fcst models show redeveloping convection along
a lingering outflow boundary which is apparent on VIS satellite
imagery this afternoon. Latest model trends suggest this activity
should largely remain south of area terminals. In any
event...increasing warm air advection along and north of feature will
set the stage for developing low stratus at area terminals during the
early morning hrs. Beyond this...convection looks to increase after
15z from west to east as main cold front approaches.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday
evening FOR KSZ057-060.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday
evening FOR MOZ033-040-043>046-053-054.
&&
SHORT TERM...32
LONG TERM...Hawblitzel
AVIATION...32Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 1, 4:08 PM CDT, 4 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 408 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-022115- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 408 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON SOUTH OF I-70. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-70. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY OVER MOST OF THE AREA AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. STORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A LINE OF STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 1, 5:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
515 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0513 PM HAIL 1 N STILLWELL 38.78N 94.66W
10/01/2014 M1.00 INCH JOHNSON KS EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
APIETRYCLocal storm report, Oct 1, 5:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
534 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0522 PM HAIL 1 NW GRANDVIEW 38.90N 94.55W
10/01/2014 M1.00 INCH JACKSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
APIETRYCLocal storm report, Oct 1, 5:41 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
541 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0540 PM HAIL 3 SE LEAWOOD 38.94N 94.58W
10/01/2014 M1.50 INCH JACKSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
APIETRYCSpecial weather statement, Oct 1, 5:53 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
553 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
MOZ029-037-012345-
CLAY MO-JACKSON MO-
553 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN JACKSON AND SOUTHEASTERN
CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...
AT 550 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR INDEPENDENCE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
COURTNEY...LIBERTY...GLENAIRE...MISSOURI CITY AND BIRMINGHAM.
THIS WILL IMPACT
I-435 LOOP FROM MILE MARKERS 56 TO 60.
LAT...LON 3929 9440 3930 9421 3919 9422 3907 9434
3910 9454
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 218DEG 27KT 3912 9439
BLAIRLocal storm report, Oct 1, 6:04 PM CDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
604 PM CDT WED OCT 01 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0545 PM HAIL 10 S KANSAS CITY 38.96N 94.58W
10/01/2014 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
JWELSHSpecial weather statement, Oct 1, 7:51 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
751 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
KSZ025-020130-
ATCHISON KS-
751 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ATCHISON COUNTY
UNTIL 830 PM CDT...
AT 749 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DENISON...OR 19 MILES WEST OF NORTONVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA. SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE COUNTY LINE OVER JEFFERSON COUNTY.
LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
ARRINGTON.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3947 9557 3948 9525 3942 9526 3942 9557
3942 9558
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 273DEG 22KT 3939 9566
BLAIRThe office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 8:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper, Saline | 4 days |
| Oct 1, 8:08 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper | 68 hr |
| Oct 1, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Platte | 38 min |
| Oct 1, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Clay, Platte | 31 min |
| Oct 1, 9:58 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Platte | 6 hr |
| Oct 1, 10:08 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Ray | 52 min |
| Oct 1, 10:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Ray | 9 hr |
| Oct 1, 10:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Bates | 45 min |
| Oct 1, 11:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton | 9 hr |
| Oct 2, 12:12 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Randolph | 8 hr |
| Oct 2, 12:22 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Cass | 38 min |
| Oct 2, 12:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cass | 36 min |
| Oct 2, 4:44 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Johnson, Pettis | 57 hr |
| Oct 2, 6:20 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Atchison | 55 min |
| Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Cooper, Pettis | 6 hr |
| Oct 2, 8:02 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Cooper, Howard, Randolph | 4 hr |
| Oct 2, 8:20 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Clay, Platte | 40 min |
| Oct 2, 8:46 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Ray | 34 hr |
| Oct 2, 8:55 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cass, Henry, Johnson | 57 hr |
| Oct 2, 8:55 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Bates, Cass, Henry | 68 hr |
| Oct 2, 9:28 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Platte | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 9:34 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Holt | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 9:47 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Clay, Jackson, Ray | 67 hr |
| Oct 2, 9:47 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Jackson, Lafayette, Ray | 4 days |
| Oct 2, 9:47 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Lafayette, Saline | 4 days |
| Oct 2, 9:47 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton, Saline | 5 days |
| Oct 2, 9:47 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Chariton, Howard, Saline | 3 days |
| Oct 2, 9:47 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Cooper, Howard | 4 days |
| Oct 2, 11:49 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Clay, Ray | 33 hr |
| Oct 2, 11:49 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EAX | Carroll | 54 hr |
| Oct 2, 12:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Caldwell, Daviess | 28 min |
| Oct 2, 12:30 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EAX | Cass, Clay, Jackson, Platte, Ray | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 3:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Henry | 36 min |
| Oct 2, 4:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Saline | 26 min |
| Oct 2, 4:23 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Pettis | 22 min |
| Oct 2, 4:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Cooper | 37 min |
| Oct 2, 4:52 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Randolph | 23 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.