Severe Thunderstorm Warning 108, NWS Dodge City, KS

706 
WWUS53 KDDC 120219
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
919 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

KSC055-057-069-083-101-135-120245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0108.000000T0000Z-140612T0245Z/
NESS KS-LANE KS-HODGEMAN KS-GRAY KS-FINNEY KS-FORD KS-
919 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
FORD...EASTERN FINNEY...NORTHERN GRAY...HODGEMAN...SOUTHEASTERN LANE
AND NESS COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 914 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BROWNELL TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NESS CITY TO 8 MILES
SOUTH OF JETMORE TO HOWELL...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.

HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT
         CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DODGE CITY...BAZINE...HANSTON...FT. DODGE...WRIGHT...GRAY...
SPEARVILLE AND BELLEFONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
WIND DAMAGE ACROSS SCOTT...LANE...AND NESS COUNTY. SEEK SHELTER 
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3780 10070 3802 10050 3842 10029 3867 10028
      3868 9959 3790 9959 3764 9970
TIME...MOT...LOC 0219Z 271DEG 35KT 3866 9972 3838 9974
          3797 9988 3772 10008

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...80MPH

$$

UMSCHEID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
639 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2014

...Updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
ISSUED AT 343 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

A surface cold front extended from eastern South Dakota to near
Sidney, Nebraska slowly moving south through the Northern High
Plains. An are of relative low pressure was developing over
southeast Colorado with an attendant inverted surface trough
extending northward toward the cold front. Regional WSR88D composite
reflectivity was already showing clusters of surface based
thunderstorms developing off the Palmer Divide as well as the Sangre
de Cristo regions in Colorado. Ahead of the frontal boundary,
southerly winds were in place with surface dew points in the upper
50s to around 60 degrees across the eastern Counties. Drier air
existed west of Highway 83 where dew points were in the mid 40s but
increasing.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 343 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

All of the morning NMM/ARW and NAM models in addition to several
runs of the HRRR indicate high confidence in convection developing
early this evening and spreading rapidly eastward into central
Kansas as a QLCS. Models indicate a marked in increase in layer
precipitable water through the late afternoon and evening, with
SREF QPF values in excess of an inch. MUCAPES around 2000 J/KG in
early afternoon were also forecast to increase to in excess of 3000
J/kg. This pre-storm environment thermodynamic in combination with
ample 30 knots of deep bulk shear will be conducive to gaining a
high confidence in a few rotating updrafts initially in our
northwest counties or basically anywhere from around Kearny county
through Scott City and Dighton. These hail producers will quickly
develop a cold pool generating widespread slab-like convection
eastward into central Kansas though mid evening with damaging wind
the highest threat followed by potential for hail and flooding from
very heavy rainfall. This morning's flash flood guidance for 3 hours
was as low as 2 inches across portions of the area still outlined by
a flood watch, which will make flooding to occur easily in some of
the areas that have had in excess of 400% of normal rainfall in the
last week or more.

Beyond this evening's high probability convection episode, north
surface winds will develop behind the convection as the front is
forced southward. Models have indicated potential for showers and
probably elevated storms continuing into in the far south east areas
into the early daylight hours on Thursday. Much cooler conditions
ion cool advection are expected Thursday afternoon with highs
struggling through the 70s in most locations.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening bringing MVFR
conditions to the terminals. Otherwise expected increasing mid
level clouds as the evening progresses with mostly cloudy skies
overnight. Clear skies are then expected by sunrise tomorrow
morning. Winds will generally be from the south over the next
couple of hours shifting to more of a northerly direction behind a
strong cold front. Breezy conditions are expected overnight with
sustained winds around 20 knots with gusts around 30 knots at
times.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  58  78  55  83 /  90  10   0   0
GCK  57  77  55  85 /  60  10   0  10
EHA  58  78  58  88 /  40  10   0  10
LBL  58  79  57  87 /  60  10   0   0
HYS  58  77  53  83 /  90  10   0   0
P28  64  80  57  84 /  90  40   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH from 10 PM CDT this evening through Thursday morning
FOR KSZ030-031-046-065-066-079>081.

&&

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Gerard
AVIATION...Hovorka_42

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
356 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-121000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
356 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014 /256 PM MDT WED JUN 11 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER EASTERN
COLORADO LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SOME STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL FROM QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE, DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH,
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE A FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT. FOR MORE DETAILS SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH
MESSAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY EVENING AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT DETAILS ABOUT
LOCATION AND INTENSITY ARE UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED MAINLY THIS EVENING FOR HAIL, HIGH
WIND AND HEAVY RAIN REPORTS.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

GERARD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
723 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0713 PM     HAIL             6 S OGALLAH             38.90N 99.73W
06/11/2014  E0.88 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
812 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0759 PM     HAIL             5 SSE OGALLAH           38.92N 99.69W
06/11/2014  E1.00 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
837 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             8 W DIGHTON             38.48N 100.61W
06/11/2014  E1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   AMATEUR RADIO

            ALSO WIND ESTIMATES OF 65 MPH.

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
856 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S AMY                 38.43N 100.60W
06/11/2014                   LANE               KS   PUBLIC

            REPORTS OF 6 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN AS WELL AS ESTIMATED 60
            TO 80 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0849 PM     BLIZZARD         DIGHTON                 38.48N 100.47W
06/11/2014                   LANE               KS   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORTS OF A FEW POWER POLES AS WELL AS TREE DAMAGE IN
            DIGHTON.

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
858 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND GST     SCOTT CITY              38.48N 100.91W
06/11/2014  M68 MPH          SCOTT              KS   MESONET

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
900 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0858 PM     TSTM WND GST     GARDEN CITY             37.98N 100.86W
06/11/2014  M0 MPH           FINNEY             KS   ASOS

            56 KNOTS OR 64 MPH WAS REPORTED BY THE ASOS IN GARDEN
            CITY.

&&

WHOVORKA