Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Juneau, AK

304 
WWAK47 PAJK 132135
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1235 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

AKZ018-019-140500-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0002.140114T0100Z-140114T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
1235 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON AKST TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON AKST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL GIVE WAY TO STEADY SNOW 
  LATER THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR LATE 
  TONIGHT THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. SNOW 
  WILL CHANGE TO RAIN AT SEA LEVEL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BUT 
  CONTINUE TO FALL AS SNOW ALONG THE HIGHWAYS THROUGH MID DAY. 

* SNOW...ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 12 INCHES WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS 
  NORTHWEST OF HAINES ALONG THE HAINES HIGHWAY AND NEAR WHITE 
  PASS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY. 

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 MILE OR LESS IN HEAVIER SNOW. 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY LATE TONIGHT 
  THROUGH TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 8 PM AKST OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

211 
WWAK47 PAJK 140030
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
330 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

AKZ018-019-140800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0002.140114T0100Z-140114T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
330 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON AKST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL GIVE WAY TO STEADY SNOW 
  LATER THIS EVENING. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR LATE 
  TONIGHT THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. SNOW 
  WILL CHANGE TO RAIN AT SEA LEVEL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BUT 
  CONTINUE TO FALL AS SNOW ALONG THE HIGHWAYS THROUGH MID DAY. 

* SNOW...ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 14 INCHES WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS
  NEAR WHITE PASS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY AND NORTHWEST OF
  HAINES ALONG THE HAINES HIGHWAY.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 MILE OR LESS IN HEAVIER SNOW. 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY LATE TONIGHT 
  THROUGH TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKST OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

871 
WWAK47 PAJK 140723
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1023 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

AKZ018-019-142030-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140114T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
1023 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON AKST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...STEADY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. HEAVIEST
  SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THEN DIMINISH THROUGH THE
  EARLY MORNING HOURS. SNOW MIX WITH RAIN AT SEA LEVEL THROUGH
  MOST OF THE NIGHT BUT CONTINUE TO FALL AS SNOW ALONG THE
  HIGHWAYS TONIGHT THROUGH MID DAY.

* SNOW...ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 14 INCHES WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS 
  NEAR WHITE PASS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY AND NORTHWEST OF 
  HAINES ALONG THE HAINES HIGHWAY. 

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 MILE OR LESS IN HEAVIER SNOW. 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY LATE TONIGHT 
  THROUGH TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 2 AM AKST OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ017-141100-
/X.NEW.PAJK.WW.Y.0002.140114T0723Z-140114T1100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
1023 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKST
TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW TONIGHT WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AND MIX WITH RAIN
  LATE TONIGHT.

* SNOW...4 TO 6 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL BE WET AND HEAVY MAKING SNOW REMOVABLE
  DIFFICULT. ROADS WILL ALSO SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED MAKING
  TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 2 AM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

296 
WWAK47 PAJK 141039
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
139 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

AKZ017-141145-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-140114T1100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
139 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW HAS CHANGED OVER TO RAIN IN THE AREA. YAKUTAT AIRPORT
RECEIVED 3.6 INCHES OF SNOW BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ018-019-141800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140114T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
139 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON AKST TODAY.

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MORNING.
  SNOWFALL RATES WILL THEN DIMINISH THROUGH NOON. SNOW WILL MIX
  WITH RAIN AT TIMES AT SEA LEVEL THROUGH EARLY MORNING
  HOURS...THEN BECOMING ALL RAIN BY LATE MORNING. SNOW WILL
  CONTINUE TO FALL ALONG THE HIGHWAYS THROUGH MID DAY TUESDAY.

* SNOW...ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 14 INCHES WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS NEAR
  WHITE PASS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY AND NORTHWEST OF HAINES
  ALONG THE HAINES HIGHWAY. AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE BEEN
  REPORTED IN THE AREA AS OF MONDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO MANAGE.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 MILE OR LESS IN HEAVIER SNOW.
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY THROUGH
  TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

RCL

397 
WWAK47 PAJK 141758
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
858 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

AKZ018-019-142100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140114T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
858 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
NOON AKST TODAY.

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING WITH RATES
  DIMINISHING THROUGH MIDDAY WITHIN THE INTERIOR CHILKAT VALLEY
  AND NEAR WHITE PASS. NEAR LYNN CANAL AND TAIYA
  INLET...PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY RAIN WITH A FEW FLAKES
  POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. 

* SNOW...TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 14 INCHES WITH GREATEST
  AMOUNTS NEAR WHITE PASS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY AND NORTHWEST
  OF HAINES ALONG THE HAINES HIGHWAY. TUESDAY MORNING...HAINES
  REPORTED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW THAT FELL OVERNIGHT BEFORE A
  CHANGE TO RAIN...WHILE HAINES CUSTOMS REPORTED 9 INCHES THAT
  FELL SINCE MONDAY EVENING. SKAGWAY CUSTOMS REPORTED 10 INCHES
  THAT FELL SINCE MONDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 MILE OR LESS IN HEAVIER SNOW. 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

654 
WWAK47 PAJK 142059
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1159 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

AKZ018-019-150100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140115T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
1159 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH RATES
  DIMINISHING LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN THE INTERIOR CHILKAT
  VALLEY AND NEAR WHITE PASS. NEAR LYNN CANAL AND TAIYA INLET...
  PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY RAIN.

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES FOR A TOTAL STORM
  ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 18 INCHES WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITE
  PASS ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY AND NORTHWEST OF HAINES ALONG
  THE HAINES HIGHWAY. TUESDAY MORNING... HAINES REPORTED 2 TO 3
  INCHES OF SNOW THAT FELL OVERNIGHT BEFORE A CHANGE TO
  RAIN...WHILE HAINES CUSTOMS REPORTED 12.5 INCHES THAT FELL SINCE
  MONDAY EVENING. SKAGWAY CUSTOMS REPORTED 10 INCHES THAT FELL
  SINCE MONDAY EVENING...BUT SNOW HAS DIMINISHED THERE AS OF NOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO MANAGE. 
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 MILE OR LESS IN HEAVIER SNOW. 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

219 
WWAK47 PAJK 150054
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
354 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014


AKZ018-019-150200-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140115T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
354 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FRONT THAT BROUGHT THE HEAVY SNOW TO THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE
HIGHWAYS HAS PASSED TO THE EAST...AND SNOWFALL HAS DIMINISHED.
HAINES CUSTOMS RECEIVED AROUND 1 FOOT OF SNOW FROM THE STORM AS
OF MIDDAY...WHILE SKAGWAY CUSTOMS RECEIVED AROUND 10 INCHES FROM
THE STORM AS OF THIS MORNING. HAINES ITSELF REPORTED 2 TO 3 INCHES
OF SNOW BEFORE IT TURNED TO RAIN OVERNIGHT.

THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
418 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.SHORT TERM...AFTERNOON SATELLITE LOOP REVEALS A WEAKENING LOW
IN THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH A COMPLEX FRONTAL PASSAGE
EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. EAST OF THE LOW
CENTER...SNOW TAPER OFF OVER THE NORTHERNMOST AREAS. ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...A WEAKENING TRIPLE POINT PASSES OVER THE
SOUTHERN AREAS. TEMPERATURES WARM UP TO THE UPPER 30S TO THE
LOWER 40S ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE WITH RAIN. RELATIVELY COLD AIR ANCHORS OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL PANHANDLE WITH DEW POINT TEMPERATURES STAY AROUND 32 FOR
CONTINUED SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SO FAR REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVEL AND EXPECT SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING. ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE KEEPS SMALL CRAFT TO GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE OUTER
WATERS WITH ROUGH SEAS.

 MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE WEAKENING LOW ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT
THEN DISSIPATES BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THEN A WEAK RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY. THE
RIDGE...HOWEVER...WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA
MONDAY NIGHT AS A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. REFRESHED THE INHERITED
FORECAST PACKAGE WITH THE ECMWF AND NAM...BUT CHANGES MADE WERE
VERY MINIMAL.

 THE ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH A
LONG FETCH OF SOUTHWESTERLY SWELLS WILL MAINTAIN ROUGH SEAS
ACROSS THE GULF FOR UP TO 20 FT THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE PANHANDLE...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE SOUTHERLY
ACROSS THE INNER CHANNELS LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. SOUTHERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME TIGHT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
RESIDUAL WEAK LOW TO THE NORTH. EXPECT SMALL CRAFT LEVEL
SOUTHERLY WINDS FOR THE NORTH- SOUTH ORIENTED INNER CHANNELS. THE
NORTHERNMOST AREAS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING AND A SLIGHT
WARMING EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AREAS IN THE EVENING WILL BECOME SNOW AGAIN TONIGHT. AIR MASS
WILL BE GRADUALLY MODIFIED ON MONDAY AND EXPECT WARM ENOUGH
TEMPERATURES FOR RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE PANHANDLE...EXCEPT HAINES
AND SKAGWAY AREAS.

.LONG TERM...THE WORDS OF THE DAY...SIGNIFICANT FINE-TUNING OF THE
EXISTING FORECAST. OVERALL PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED, BUT ADDED SOME
UMPH TO THE SYNOPTIC FLOW BASED ON LOCAL EFFECTS...NAMELY FOR
WIND.

SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE...CURRENTLY TRAVELING NORTHEAST THROUGH
THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MAKE A BEELINE FOR THE PANHANDLE FOR MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY EVENING. THE RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE FIRST AND MOVE NORTHWARD RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
REST OF THE PANHANDLE. THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF
SNOW OVER THE LYNN CANAL AREA MONDAY NIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THROUGH TUESDAY TO WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF A
WINTER STORM WATCH. WHILE CURRENT FEELING IS THAT THIS IS A
MARGINAL EVENT, THE THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN MAY HAVE COLORED MY
OPINION ON WHETHER TO PULL THE TRIGGER. THE GREATEST THREAT OF
HEAVY SNOW WILL BE IN THE USUAL SUSPECTS OF WHITE PASS FOR
ELEVATION AND THE UPPER CHILKAT VALLEY WHERE THE COLD AIR TENDS TO
TAKE THE LONGEST TIME TO ERODE. IN ADDITION, MODELS NOT SUGGESTING
A SUPER-STRONG SURGE OF AIR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LYNN CANAL, SO
FEEL THAT THE STRENGTH OF THE SURGE WILL HAPPEN ALOFT...HENCE THE
USE OF THE TERM OVER-RUNNING EVENT. THE SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH RAIN
NEAR LYNN CANAL ON TUESDAY. A COMPANION COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PASS
EASTWARD THROUGH THE PANHANDLE CLOSELY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
THUS WILL HELP DRY THE ATMOSPHERE OUT. SNOW WILL THEN BEGIN TO
ABATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE TROPICAL MOISTURE ALOFT IS KICKED
TO THE EAST...THUS LIMITING THE QPF THEREAFTER.

THERE IS A CASE FOR YAKUTAT GETTING SOME FREEZING RAIN LATE MONDAY
NIGHT AND ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL IS LIKELY AS THIS MOISTURE MOVES
NORTHWARD. HOWEVER, MOS GUIDANCE WINDS TRYING TO INDICATE SOME
SOUTHEAST TURN OF THE WINDS, AND THUS NOT AS CONFIDENT HERE...SO
NO WATCH ISSUED. TEMPERATURES MAY RISE A LITTLE IF ANY ONSHORE
FLOW MAKES ITS WAY DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

ALSO BUMPED UP WINDSPEEDS OVER THE LAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
AFFECTED BY FRONTAL ACTIVITY. USING 75 PERCENT RULE OF 850 MB
WINDS FOR WARM AIR ADVECTION...THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WINDS
EXISTS FOR ZONE 27 AND 28 FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. IN ADDITION...AS THIS AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE...A POST-FRONTAL RIDGE WILL
ACCELERATE WINDS THROUGH SKAGWAY...AND POSSIBLY HAINES. JUNEAU'S
WINDS WILL LIKELY BLOW 15 TO 25 MPH MONDAY NIGHT...AND POSSIBLY
EXTENDING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. YAKUTAT AND THE BAY WILL GET SOME
GOOD WINDS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD
AIR ADVECTION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. AGAIN, NO REAL PATTERN CHANGE
ADVERTISED HERE...JUST FINE-TUNING DETAILS.

NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED PACKAGE...TIME LIMITED, BUT UNSETTLED AND
OVERALL WARM CONDITIONS LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST GOOD FOR PATTERN...INCREASING FOR DETAILS,
BUT STAY TUNED, MORE FINE TUNINGS WILL BE MADE WITH MONDAY MORNING
PACKAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023.
         WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
     FOR AKZ018-019.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ042-043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-031>036-041-051-052.

&&

AHN/JWA