Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2014
Gale Warning 40, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 12, 2014, 11:51 PM AKST. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 12, 2014, 11:51 PM AKST (08:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 13, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
186 FZAK51 PAJK 130851 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-131500- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEAKENING LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY MON MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE PANHANDLE MON WILL MOVE E INTO BC MON NIGHT AS A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF PUSHES A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. $$ PKZ011-131500- GLACIER BAY- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-131500- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 30 KT...DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-131500- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-131500- ICY STRAIT- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-131500- CROSS SOUND- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-131500- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-131500- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-131500- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-131500- FREDERICK SOUND- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-131500- SUMNER STRAIT- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-131500- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1151 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
302 FZAK51 PAJK 131255 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-140100- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE PANHANDLE MON WILL MOVE E INTO BC. ON MON NIGHT A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THE WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-140100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-140100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-140100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-140100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AND INCREASING TO 25 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-140100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT IN THE MORNING..THEN BECOMING SE KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-140100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-140100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-140100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR THE OCEAN ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT... EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-140100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-140100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY..SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR THE OCEAN ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-140100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
521 FZAK51 PAJK 132001 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-140115- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE PANHANDLE MON WILL MOVE E INTO BC. ON MON NIGHT A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THE WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-140115- GLACIER BAY- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-140115- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-140115- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-140115- ICY STRAIT- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AND INCREASING TO 25 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-140115- CROSS SOUND- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AND INCREASING TO 35 KT GALE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-140115- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-140115- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-140115- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-140115- FREDERICK SOUND- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-140115- SUMNER STRAIT- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-140115- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1101 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES... SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
165 FZAK51 PAJK 140038 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-141400- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL MOVE E INTO BC MON EVENING. A LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH A FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT AND THEN ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ011-141400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-141400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING...THEN RISING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...S WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI AND SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-141400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-141400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-141400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-141400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-141400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-141400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 17 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 17 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT...WITH STRONGER WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-141400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-141400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. STRONGER WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-141400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU AND FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 12, 4:18 PM AKST, 7 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 4:18 PM AKST, 7 hours 33 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
418 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
.SHORT TERM...AFTERNOON SATELLITE LOOP REVEALS A WEAKENING LOW
IN THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH A COMPLEX FRONTAL PASSAGE
EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. EAST OF THE LOW
CENTER...SNOW TAPER OFF OVER THE NORTHERNMOST AREAS. ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...A WEAKENING TRIPLE POINT PASSES OVER THE
SOUTHERN AREAS. TEMPERATURES WARM UP TO THE UPPER 30S TO THE
LOWER 40S ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE WITH RAIN. RELATIVELY COLD AIR ANCHORS OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL PANHANDLE WITH DEW POINT TEMPERATURES STAY AROUND 32 FOR
CONTINUED SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SO FAR REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVEL AND EXPECT SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING. ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE KEEPS SMALL CRAFT TO GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE OUTER
WATERS WITH ROUGH SEAS.
MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE WEAKENING LOW ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT
THEN DISSIPATES BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THEN A WEAK RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY. THE
RIDGE...HOWEVER...WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA
MONDAY NIGHT AS A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF PUSHES
ANOTHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. REFRESHED THE INHERITED
FORECAST PACKAGE WITH THE ECMWF AND NAM...BUT CHANGES MADE WERE
VERY MINIMAL.
THE ENHANCED ONSHORE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH A
LONG FETCH OF SOUTHWESTERLY SWELLS WILL MAINTAIN ROUGH SEAS
ACROSS THE GULF FOR UP TO 20 FT THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE PANHANDLE...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE SOUTHERLY
ACROSS THE INNER CHANNELS LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. SOUTHERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME TIGHT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND
RESIDUAL WEAK LOW TO THE NORTH. EXPECT SMALL CRAFT LEVEL
SOUTHERLY WINDS FOR THE NORTH- SOUTH ORIENTED INNER CHANNELS. THE
NORTHERNMOST AREAS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING AND A SLIGHT
WARMING EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AREAS IN THE EVENING WILL BECOME SNOW AGAIN TONIGHT. AIR MASS
WILL BE GRADUALLY MODIFIED ON MONDAY AND EXPECT WARM ENOUGH
TEMPERATURES FOR RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE PANHANDLE...EXCEPT HAINES
AND SKAGWAY AREAS.
.LONG TERM...THE WORDS OF THE DAY...SIGNIFICANT FINE-TUNING OF THE
EXISTING FORECAST. OVERALL PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED, BUT ADDED SOME
UMPH TO THE SYNOPTIC FLOW BASED ON LOCAL EFFECTS...NAMELY FOR
WIND.
SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE...CURRENTLY TRAVELING NORTHEAST THROUGH
THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MAKE A BEELINE FOR THE PANHANDLE FOR MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY EVENING. THE RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE FIRST AND MOVE NORTHWARD RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
REST OF THE PANHANDLE. THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF
SNOW OVER THE LYNN CANAL AREA MONDAY NIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THROUGH TUESDAY TO WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF A
WINTER STORM WATCH. WHILE CURRENT FEELING IS THAT THIS IS A
MARGINAL EVENT, THE THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN MAY HAVE COLORED MY
OPINION ON WHETHER TO PULL THE TRIGGER. THE GREATEST THREAT OF
HEAVY SNOW WILL BE IN THE USUAL SUSPECTS OF WHITE PASS FOR
ELEVATION AND THE UPPER CHILKAT VALLEY WHERE THE COLD AIR TENDS TO
TAKE THE LONGEST TIME TO ERODE. IN ADDITION, MODELS NOT SUGGESTING
A SUPER-STRONG SURGE OF AIR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LYNN CANAL, SO
FEEL THAT THE STRENGTH OF THE SURGE WILL HAPPEN ALOFT...HENCE THE
USE OF THE TERM OVER-RUNNING EVENT. THE SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH RAIN
NEAR LYNN CANAL ON TUESDAY. A COMPANION COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PASS
EASTWARD THROUGH THE PANHANDLE CLOSELY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
THUS WILL HELP DRY THE ATMOSPHERE OUT. SNOW WILL THEN BEGIN TO
ABATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE TROPICAL MOISTURE ALOFT IS KICKED
TO THE EAST...THUS LIMITING THE QPF THEREAFTER.
THERE IS A CASE FOR YAKUTAT GETTING SOME FREEZING RAIN LATE MONDAY
NIGHT AND ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL IS LIKELY AS THIS MOISTURE MOVES
NORTHWARD. HOWEVER, MOS GUIDANCE WINDS TRYING TO INDICATE SOME
SOUTHEAST TURN OF THE WINDS, AND THUS NOT AS CONFIDENT HERE...SO
NO WATCH ISSUED. TEMPERATURES MAY RISE A LITTLE IF ANY ONSHORE
FLOW MAKES ITS WAY DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
ALSO BUMPED UP WINDSPEEDS OVER THE LAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
AFFECTED BY FRONTAL ACTIVITY. USING 75 PERCENT RULE OF 850 MB
WINDS FOR WARM AIR ADVECTION...THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WINDS
EXISTS FOR ZONE 27 AND 28 FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. IN ADDITION...AS THIS AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE...A POST-FRONTAL RIDGE WILL
ACCELERATE WINDS THROUGH SKAGWAY...AND POSSIBLY HAINES. JUNEAU'S
WINDS WILL LIKELY BLOW 15 TO 25 MPH MONDAY NIGHT...AND POSSIBLY
EXTENDING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. YAKUTAT AND THE BAY WILL GET SOME
GOOD WINDS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD
AIR ADVECTION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. AGAIN, NO REAL PATTERN CHANGE
ADVERTISED HERE...JUST FINE-TUNING DETAILS.
NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED PACKAGE...TIME LIMITED, BUT UNSETTLED AND
OVERALL WARM CONDITIONS LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST GOOD FOR PATTERN...INCREASING FOR DETAILS,
BUT STAY TUNED, MORE FINE TUNINGS WILL BE MADE WITH MONDAY MORNING
PACKAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
FOR AKZ018-019.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ042-043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-031>036-041-051-052.
&&
AHN/JWAThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 3:45 PM AKST | Winter Storm Watch | AJK | 14 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 13, 5:34 AM AKST | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 34 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.