Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2014
Gale Warning 39, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 12, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 12, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 13, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
304 FZAK52 PAJK 130015 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-131400- 400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAKENING LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY MON MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE PANHANDLE MON WILL MOVE E INTO BC MON NIGHT AS A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF PUSHES A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. $$ PKZ041-131400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-131400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-131400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-131400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-131400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
889 FZAK52 PAJK 130727 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-131500- 1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAKENING LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY MON MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE PANHANDLE MON WILL MOVE E INTO BC MON NIGHT AS A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF PUSHES A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. $$ PKZ041-131500- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-131500- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-131500- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-131500- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-131500- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$
313 FZAK52 PAJK 131253 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-140100- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE PANHANDLE MON WILL MOVE E INTO BC. ON MON NIGHT A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THE WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE THROUGH TUE. $$ PKZ041-140100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-140100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SW GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ043-140100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ051-140100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ052-140100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW GALE TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 12, 5:58 AM AKST, 10 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 5:58 AM AKST, 10 hours 2 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
558 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
.SHORT TERM...A LOW HAS MOVED INTO THE THE NORTHEAST GULF THIS
MORNING WITH A COMPLEX FRONTAL SYSTEM. SNOW HAS FALLEN IN ALL
ZONES AT SOME POINT OVERNIGHT. THE SOUTHERN OUTER COASTAL AREAS
HAVE STARTED TO MIX WITH RAIN THIS MORNING OR HAVE ALREADY
CHANGED TO RAIN. FURTHER INLAND AND AT YAKUTAT EXPECT PRECIP TO
BE PRIMARILY SNOW BUT BECOME MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE
GUSTAVUS/HOONAH/JUNEAU REGION THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY SOUTHEAST
WINDS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SOME
PLACES GUSTING 30-40 MPH. AS THE FRONT PASSES WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
THE W-SW AND REMAIN GUSTY ALONG THE COAST. THE PREVAILING WLY
WINDS AND SW SWELL WILL CAUSE SEAS OVER THE GULF TO BUILD TO
20 FT TONIGHT.
WIND DIRECTIONS FOR THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS ARE A BIT MORE
COMPLICATED TODAY. CURRENTLY ELDRED ROCK IS SOUTH AROUND 25
KT...BUT AS THE LOW AND TROUGH AXIS MOVE INLAND THE WINDS WILL
WEAKEN AND SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH THIS MORNING. THEN ONCE THE
SYSTEM MOVES AWAY TONIGHT THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
SMALL CRAFT LEVEL AGAIN. EXPECT A PERIOD OF LIGHT WINDS BETWEEN
THESE SHIFTS.
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM IS BASICALLY AN OCCLUSION WITH THE TRIPLE
POINT AROUND BARANOF ISLAND AND THE WARM SECTOR EXTENDING DOWN
OVER PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND. TEMPERATURES IN JUNEAU AND A FEW
OTHER PLACES WARMED SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT BUT THEN AS THE
PRECIPITATION STARTED THEY COOLED AGAIN CAUSING THE P-TYPE TO
STAY SNOW. THIS LITTLE WARM UP HAS IMPACTED THE HIGH TEMPERATURE
FOR TODAY...WHILE THE SOUTHERN AREAS IN THE WARM SECTOR WILL RISE
TO OR ABOVE 40F TODAY...THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS WILL
LIKELY FLUCTUATE ONLY A COUPLE DEGREES FROM WHERE THEY ARE NOW.
THE WARM SECTOR WILL SHIFT E-SE THROUGH THE DAY WITH 850MB
TEMPERATURES COOLING BACK TO -6C BEHIND IT TONIGHT. THESE COOLING
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL CAUSE INSTABILITY BEHIND THE FRONT AND
CHANGE THE PRECIP FROM STRATIFORM TO CONVECTIVE SHOWERS. EXPECT
THE RAIN/SNOW LINE TO BE AROUND THE ICY STRAIT CORRIDOR WITH A
MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING THEN MOSTLY SNOW SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT. GREATEST QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG WEST FACING
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE.
USED AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH FOR CHANGES TODAY WITH AN EMPHASIS ON
THE ECMWF AND NAM FOR PRESSURE. BIGGEST FORECAST CHALLENGE WAS
TEMPERATURES AND RESULTING SNOW LEVELS. MOS GUIDANCE SHOWED
COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH DEWPOINTS REMAINING BELOW FREEZING. THIS
ALONG WITH CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TEMPERATURES ALOFT PROMPTED THE
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW IN THE FORECAST FOR THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE AND
YAKUTAT. DUE TO SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RAIN MIXING IN THIS
AFTERNOON DECIDED TO LIMIT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THE JUNEAU AND
PETERSBURG AREAS TO BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL. OTHERWISE FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST BEGINS MONDAY MORNING WITH
A FLATTENED RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST
ALASKA. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT ENTERING THE GULF FROM THE
SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY WILL SHOVE THE RIDGE SOUTH AND EAST AS IT
APPROACHES THE OUTER COAST. THE PARENT LOW WILL REMAIN WELL TO
THE WEST, BUT A PROMINENT TRIPLE POINT IS BEING DEPICTED BY ALL
MODELS, SO DEVELOPMENT OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF
MONDAY NIGHT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISING. THICKNESS PACKING INDICATES
THAT THE FRONT WILL BE STRONGER THAN AVERAGE, BUT UPPER LEVEL
VORTICITY IS LACKING IN ALL MODELS. STILL, THE FRONT WILL BE
TAPPING A LOW LATITUDE MOISTURE SOURCE AND NEARLY ALL OF
SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL SEE HEAVY PRECIP OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT AS
IT MOVES IN. THE WARM SECTOR OF THE FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH IN THE
MODELS SINCE LAST NIGHT'S MODEL RUN AND ALTHOUGH THIS WAS NOT A
SURPRISE, IT HAS HAD A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE.
AM NOW LOOKING AT AN ADVISORY LEVEL OR HIGHER SNOW EVENT FOR
HAINES AND SKAGWAY AND 2 TO 3 INCHES FOR YAKUTAT MONDAY NIGHT,
BUT RAIN FOR ALL OTHER LOCATIONS, INCLUDING HYDER. SOUTHEASTERLY
GALES OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL PRECEDED THE WARM FRONT. ALSO
HAVE GALES FOR CLARENCE STRAIT AND THE OCEAN ENTRANCE REGIONS OF
SOUTHERN CHATHAM AND SUMNER STRAIT. SMALL CRAFT WINDS ELSEWHERE
ON THE INSIDE. LAST TO RISE WILL BE LYNN CANAL ON TUESDAY, BUT
WINDS THERE WILL PRIMARILY BE A RESULT OF THE STRONG SOUTHERLY
POST-FRONTAL PRESSURE GRADIENT.
THE PARENT LOW WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
GULF ON TUESDAY. THE LOW WILL BE FULLY OCCLUDED BY THEN AND BE ON
A WEAKENING TREND, BUT STILL WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO GENERATE
SOUTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS TO 40 KTS FROM CAPE SPENCER WEST
TO CAPE SUCKLING. SOME COOLER LOW LEVEL AIR WILL ADVECT IN FROM
THE WEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW, BUT THINK A
COMBINATION OF DECREASING POPS AND A WARMER LOW LEVEL AIRMASS
ALREADY OVER THE INNER CHANNELS BY THAT TIME WILL BE
PRECIPITATION TYPE AS RAIN FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
EVERYWHERE EXCEPT YAKUTAT, HAINES, AND SKAGWAY.
THE NEXT FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE SOUTH, ENTERING THE GULF ON
THURSDAY. THIS ONE WILL ALSO BE ADVECTING IN A WARMER LOW LEVEL
AIRMASS. ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY
SEEMS LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT, BUT BELIEVE YAKUTAT WILL SEE RAIN
THIS TIME, ALONG WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE PANHANDLE.
UPDATED TUESDAY WITH THE LATEST ECMWF PRESSURE AND WIND.
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WINDS REMAIN UNCHANGED. POP AND QPF
PRIMARILY FROM SREF AND ECMWF WITH A LITTLE GEM. ADJUSTED TEMPS
UP A FEW DEGREES PER ENSEMBLE GFS AND BIAS CORRECTED MOS IN
BETWEEN FRONTS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
FOR AKZ023.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ042-043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-031>036-041-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ051.
&&
FERRIN/FRITSCHIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 12, 11:01 AM AKST, 4 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1101 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM SNOW GUSTAVUS 58.41N 135.80W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP GUSA2
0700 AM SNOW 40 NW HAINES 59.65N 136.25W
01/12/2014 M1.2 INCH XXX XX CO-OP OBSERVER
HAINES CUSTOMS
0700 AM SNOW HYDER 55.91N 130.02W
01/12/2014 M3.6 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP HYDA2
0700 AM SNOW EAGLECREST 58.27N 134.51W
01/12/2014 M4.8 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
EAGLECREST BASE
0700 AM SNOW 40 SE JUNEAU 57.89N 133.64W
01/12/2014 M9.5 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
SNETTISHAM POWER STATION
0700 AM SNOW SKAGWAY 59.48N 135.33W
01/12/2014 M1.6 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
SKAGWAY POWER STATION
0800 AM SNOW EAGLECREST 58.27N 134.51W
01/12/2014 M7.9 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
EAGLECREST TOP
0800 AM SNOW DOUGLAS 58.27N 134.39W
01/12/2014 M5.0 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
DOUGLAS ISLAND 420 FT ELEVATION
0800 AM SNOW PELICAN 57.95N 136.21W
01/12/2014 M4.2 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
PECA2
0800 AM SNOW HOONAH 58.11N 135.44W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP HOOA2
0845 AM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
JUNEAU DOUGLAS WATER TREATMENT PLANT
0900 AM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK OFFICIAL NWS OBS
JUNEAU INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
0900 AM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M2.9 INCH AK OFFICIAL NWS OBS
JUNEAU FORECAST OFFICE
0900 AM SNOW HAINES 59.24N 135.44W
01/12/2014 M5.2 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP AHNA2
1000 AM SNOW AUKE BAY 58.38N 134.65W
01/12/2014 M2.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP AUKA2
&&
GLSLocal storm report, Jan 12, 3:27 PM AKST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
327 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM SNOW GUSTAVUS 58.41N 135.80W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP GUSA2
0700 AM SNOW SKAGWAY 59.48N 135.33W
01/12/2014 M1.6 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
SKAGWAY POWER STATION
0700 AM SNOW 40 SE JUNEAU 57.89N 133.64W
01/12/2014 M9.5 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
SNETTISHAM POWER STATION
0700 AM SNOW EAGLECREST 58.27N 134.51W
01/12/2014 M4.8 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
EAGLECREST BASE
0700 AM SNOW HYDER 55.91N 130.02W
01/12/2014 M3.6 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP HYDA2
0700 AM SNOW 40 NW HAINES 59.65N 136.25W
01/12/2014 M1.2 INCH XXX XX CO-OP OBSERVER
HAINES CUSTOMS
0800 AM SNOW PELICAN 57.95N 136.21W
01/12/2014 M4.2 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
PECA2
0800 AM SNOW EAGLECREST 58.27N 134.51W
01/12/2014 M7.9 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
EAGLECREST TOP
0800 AM SNOW CANYON ISLAND 58.55N 133.68W
01/12/2014 M11.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP CIAA2
0800 AM SNOW DOUGLAS 58.27N 134.39W
01/12/2014 M5.0 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
DOUGLAS ISLAND 420 FT ELEVATION
0800 AM SNOW HOONAH 58.11N 135.44W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP HOOA2
0845 AM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
JUNEAU DOUGLAS WATER TREATMENT PLANT
0900 AM SNOW HAINES 59.24N 135.44W
01/12/2014 M5.2 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP AHNA2
0900 AM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M2.3 INCH AK OFFICIAL NWS OBS
JUNEAU INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
0900 AM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M2.9 INCH AK OFFICIAL NWS OBS
JUNEAU FORECAST OFFICE
1000 AM SNOW AUKE BAY 58.38N 134.65W
01/12/2014 M2.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
COOP AUKA2
1200 PM SNOW MUD BAY 59.15N 135.37W
01/12/2014 M8.0 INCH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
6.5 MILES S. OF HAINES
0300 PM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M5.1 INCH AK OFFICIAL NWS OBS
JUNEAU FORECAST OFFICE. SNOWFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT.
0300 PM SNOW JUNEAU 58.30N 134.41W
01/12/2014 M3.2 INCH AK OFFICIAL NWS OBS
JUNEAU INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. SNOWFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT.
&&
GLSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 3:45 PM AKST | Winter Storm Watch | AJK | 14 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 12, 11:51 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 16 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 13, 5:34 AM AKST | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 34 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.