Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2014
Small Craft Advisory 13, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 3, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 3, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 4, 2014, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
023 FZAK51 PAJK 040043 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-041400- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN GULF FRI WILL WEAKEN OVER THE PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR SW GULF SAT WILL MOVE N ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH SUN AND PUSH A STRONG WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF SAT NIGHT THEN OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ011-041400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-041400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-041400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-041400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-041400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-041400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-041400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-041400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT LATE. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-041400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-041400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-041400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
476 FZAK51 PAJK 040829 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-041400- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN OVER THE PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR SW GULF SAT WILL MOVE N ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH SUN AND PUSH A STRONG WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF SAT NIGHT THEN OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ011-041400- GLACIER BAY- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-041400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-041400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-041400- ICY STRAIT- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-041400- CROSS SOUND- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-041400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-041400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-041400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT LATE. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-041400- FREDERICK SOUND- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-041400- SUMNER STRAIT- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-041400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1129 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
035 FZAK51 PAJK 041318 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-050100- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DISTANT STORM IN THE FAR WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF SAT THEN OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ011-050100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-050100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-050100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-050100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-050100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-050100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 .TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-050100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 .TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-050100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-050100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 .TODAY...E WIND BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-050100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-050100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SAT JAN 4 2014 .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 3, 3:48 PM AKST, 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 3:48 PM AKST, 12 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
348 PM AKST FRI JAN 3 2014
.SHORT TERM...EARLY AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS RIDGING
ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE OVER THE PANHANDLE. THIS HAS CREATED
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTHERN AND
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE TOP OF THE FLATTENING
RIDGE HAS RESULTED IN LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION OVER THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE. MORE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE HAS CREATED PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE. HOWEVER AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO FLATTEN AND MOVE OVER
THE PANHANDLE CLOUDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM OVER THE
SOUTHWEST GULF WILL PUSH A WEATHER FRONT NORTHEAST INTO THE
EASTERN GULF LATER SATURDAY.
WITH ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTING TONIGHT EXPECT THAT THE LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
PANHANDLE. SOME SNOW WILL MIX IN AT TIMES BUT VERY LITTLE
ACCUMULATION CAN BE ANTICIPATED. PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO REMAIN OVER
THE AREA AS THE SATURATED LOW LEVELS PERSIST. PRECIPITATION WILL
BECOME MORE STEADY DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONT. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVER THE
YAKUTAT AREA ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY IT APPEARS THERE
WILL BE ENOUGH COLD AIR IN PLACE FOR SNOW TO FALL AS THE
PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. EXPECTING 1-3 INCHES TO FALL
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. AS HAS BEEN THE CASE OVER THE PAST WEEK
EXPECTING A RAIN SNOW MIX IN THE ICY STRAIT CORRIDOR WITH UP TO
1 INCH OF ACCUMULATION SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA
TONIGHT AS THE RIDGE KEEPS VERY LITTLE PRESSURE GRADIENT.
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE GULF WITH
STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE CAPE SUCKLING MARINE ZONE BY LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN MARINE
ZONES 43 AND 51 BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE
SUPPORTED BY A 60 KT LOW LEVEL JET WITH THE FRONT. TIGHTENING
EAST-WEST GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO SMALL CRAFT WINDS IN CROSS SOUND
BY THE END OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A PARALLEL PRESSURE GRADIENT
ALONG THE NORTH-SOUTH CHANNELS WILL KEEP WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 15 KTS.
USED THE ECMWF FOR UPDATES TO THE SHORT TERM FORECAST.
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&
.LONG TERM... LITTLE CHANGE TO WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE EXTENDED
RANGE. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA WILL DEVELOP AS THEY TRACK EASTWARD MOVING SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS BEFORE WEAKENING. FRONTS ASSOCIATED WHIT THESE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE OVER THE AK GULF AND THEN OVER THE PANHANDLE BRINGING
BANDS OF STRONGER WINDS AND PRECIP. TEMPERATURE RANGE FOR THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SHOULD BE IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S...UPPER
20S TO UPPER 30S FOR THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE AND MID 20S TO LOW 30S
FOR THE NORTHERN REGION. EXPECT MOST PRECIP TO FALL AS RAIN IN
THE DAY TIME FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF ICY STRAIT WITH A MIX OF SNOW
AND RAIN OVERNIGHT WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES. WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW
THROUGH THE WEEK HAVE BEGUN TO TREND TEMPERATURES UP BUT DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY WITH TRACK OF SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE REGION STILL
KEEPING SOME LOCATIONS BELOW FREEZING.
THE STORM FORCE FRONT IN THE GULF SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WITH DIMINISHING WINDS. THE HEAVY
PRECIP OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AND MOVE
SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE CENTRAL AK GULF. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY
WITH A WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT IN THE GULF SUNDAY. WHILE
MOST MODELS SHOW SOME SORT OF FEATURE THAT WILL KEEP PRECIP OVER
THE REGION BUT THE SOLUTIONS RANGE FROM A WEAK OPEN WAVE TO A
CLOSED LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE OVERNIGHT SATURDAY AS 850 MB
TEMPS RISE. PRECIP SOUTH OF ICY STRAIT WILL CHANGE OVER THE RAIN
THROUGH THE EVENING SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION WITH THIS FRONT. THE EXCEPTION IS THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE WHERE COLD TEMPS ALONG THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS
SHOULD KEEP PRECIP AS SNOW. DO EXPECT AREAS NEAR SEA LEVEL TO
BEGIN TO MIX WITH RAIN WITH THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. AT THIS TIME
EXPECTING 12 HOUR SNOW TOTALS IN THE 2 TO 6 INCH RANGE FOR THE
HAINES AND HAINES HIGHWAY REGION WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 5 TO 11 INCHES POSSIBLE...HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE BORDER.
WHILE SKAGWAY AND THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY WILL STAY COLD ENOUGH THE
FRONT AND HEAVIEST PRECIP AMOUNTS LOOK TO TRACK JUST TO THE SOUTH
SO ONLY EXPECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE.
THE PARENT LOW WILL TRACK OVER THE ALEUTIANS TOWARDS THE BERING
SEA SUNDAY AS A SECOND LOW MOVES MOVES SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
WITH ANOTHER GALE FORCE FRONT MOVING INTO THE AK GULF MONDAY
REACHING THE PANHANDLE TUESDAY. BY THIS TIME MODELS ARE ONCE
AGAIN OUT OF SYNC AND SEEING A LARGE SPREAD IN POSITION AND
LOCATIONS OF THE DEVELOPING LOWS AND ASSOCIATED FRONTS IN THE
GULF. STILL EXPECT WET WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK...WITH TEMPS MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
WHILE THERE WERE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS WITH THE DEVELOPING
WAVE IN THE GULF THEY WERE IF FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE PARENT LOW.
LEANED MORE TOWARD AN ENSEMBLE SOLUTION WHICH RESULTED IN
NEGLIGIBLE CHANGE TO THE INHERITED FORECAST THROUGH DAY 3. BEGAN
TO BLEND IN FORM 12Z GFS/ECMWF FOR DAY FOR WITH THE NEXT
ADVANCING LOW THEN USED NEW WPC THROUGH DAY 8. WPC NOW USING AN
ECMWF ENSEMBLE BLEND AS RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY HAS DETERIORATED.
ABOVE AVERAGE CONFIDENCE FOR THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN WHICH
DROPS THROUGH THE WEEK WITH UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE NEXT SYSTEMS.
SOME LOW CONFIDENCE INITIALLY WITH SOME DETAILS ESPECIALLY SNOW
TOTALS.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR AKZ019.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ052.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ022-042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041.
&&
TPS/PRBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 3:32 PM AKST | Winter Storm Watch | AJK | 14 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 3, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 3, 6:14 PM AKST | Dense Fog Advisory | AJK | 13 hr | |
| Jan 4, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 4, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 4, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 4, 5:02 AM AKST | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 30 hr | |
| Jan 4, 5:02 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 30 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2014Every small craft advisory in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.