Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2014
Storm Warning 88, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Sep 11, 2014, 3:52 PM AKDT. It was in force for 47 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 11, 2014, 3:52 PM AKDT (23:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 13, 2014, 3:19 PM AKDT
- In force
- 47 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
676 FZAK62 PAFC 112352 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 352 PM AKDT THU SEP 11 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-121400- 352 PM AKDT THU SEP 11 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 986 MB LOW NEAR 48N 168W WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH TO 57N 168W TONIGHT AND MERGE WITH A 988 MB LOW CURRENTLY NEAR 56N 180. THIS MERGED LOW WILL THEN RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 959 MB NEAR 57N 172W FRI AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN DRIFT TO 56N 167W AT 965 MB SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-121400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 352 PM AKDT THU SEP 11 2014 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$ PKZ412-121400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 352 PM AKDT THU SEP 11 2014 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING NE 20 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ413-121400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 352 PM AKDT THU SEP 11 2014 ...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING W 35 TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT BUILDING TO 10 TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 TO 26 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ414-121400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 352 PM AKDT THU SEP 11 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .MON...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
568 FZAK62 PAFC 121137 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 337 AM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-130100- 337 AM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 975 MB LOW CENTERED AT 57N 169W THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NEAR 56N 172W AT 962 MB SAT MORNING...THEN NEAR 57N 161W AT 982 MB SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-130100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 337 AM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-130100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 337 AM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ413-130100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 337 AM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING W 40 TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 25 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 40 TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 TO 25 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ414-130100- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 337 AM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
907 FZAK62 PAFC 122351 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 351 PM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-131445- 351 PM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 965 MB LOW NEAR 57N 174W WILL MOVE TO 58N 161W AT 985 MB SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-131445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 351 PM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-131445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 351 PM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ413-131445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 351 PM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. $$ PKZ414-131445- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 351 PM AKDT FRI SEP 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
701 FZAK62 PAFC 131138 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 338 AM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-140230- 338 AM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 963 MB LOW NEAR 56N 171W THIS MORNING WILL MOVE TO 58N 161W AT 977 MB SUN MORNING. THE LOW MOVES TO 58N 160W AT 987 MB SUN EVENING AND MOVES INLAND NEAR DILLINGHAM EARLY MONDAY MORNING. $$ PKZ411-140230- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 338 AM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-140230- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 338 AM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ413-140230- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 338 AM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 23 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. $$ PKZ414-140230- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 338 AM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
760 FZAK62 PAFC 132319 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 319 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-141315- 319 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 974 MB LOW NEAR 56N 167W THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 58N 160W AT 985 MB SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO 994 MB AS IT MOVES INLAND NEAR DILLINGHAM MONDAY. $$ PKZ411-141315- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 319 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-141315- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 319 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ413-141315- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 319 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$ PKZ414-141315- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 319 PM AKDT SAT SEP 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Sep 11, 2:20 PM AKDT, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 2:20 PM AKDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
220 PM AKDT THU SEP 11 2014
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE LONGWAVE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES TODAY CONSIST OF A STRONG LOW IN
THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AND A WEAK RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA.
THIS WEAK RIDGE IS MOVING EASTWARD AS IT AMPLIFIES WHICH WILL PUT
SOUTHERN ALASKA IN SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IN SHORT ORDER. THE JET
STREAM IS RUNNING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND AROUND THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE BERING SEA. THE EXTRA-TROPICAL
SYSTEM WE HAVE BEEN TRACKING IS CAUGHT UP IN THE JET STREAM AND
CURVING TOWARD THE BERING SEA LOW...AND THE TWO WILL MERGE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
ANOTHER FEATURE OF NOTE IS THE BAROCLINIC AREA ALONG A FRONT
ENTERING THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THIS FRONT WILL BRING
RAINFALL INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THEN ENTRAIN SOME OF THE
MOISTURE FROM THE EXTRA-TROPICAL CYCLONE.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE LOCKED IN NICELY TO THE WAY THE EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM
WILL MERGE WITH THE LOW IN THE BERING SEA. IT LOOKS LIKE THE TWO
LOWS WILL COMBINE OVERNIGHT NEAR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AND THEN
CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD AGAIN. THIS LOW
WILL REACH A MINIMUM PRESSURE IN THE MID TO UPPER 950 MBS RANGE.
IT WILL ALSO BE SLOW TO MOVE...REMAINING IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA
AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKENING THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ONE SIGNIFICANT ITEM
THAT LOOKS A BIT DIFFERENT FROM YESTERDAY IS THE TRACK OF THE
MOISTURE FROM THE EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. YESTERDAY IT LOOKED LIKE
THE MAJORITY OF THE MOISTURE WOULD GET ENTRAINED INTO THE FRONT
OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. FROM THE SATELLITE DATA TODAY IT
APPEARS THAT ONLY A LIMITED AMOUNT OF THIS MOISTURE WILL GET
ENTRAINED INTO THE FRONT WITH THE MAJORITY REMAINING WITH THE LOW
AND HEADING INTO THE BERING SEA.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE BREAK IN THE RAINFALL WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
IS RAPIDLY APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. DUE TO THE MORE WESTERLY
TRACK OF THE MOISTURE WITH THE EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM THERE MAY BE
LESS INTENSE RAINFALL THAT WHAT IT LOOKED LIKE YESTERDAY. HOWEVER
THERE WILL STILL BE A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT THAT FALLS OVER THE
EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND THE NORTH GULF COAST. THE WESTERN SUSITNA
VALLEY WILL ALSO GET SOME PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL
CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO RISE ALONG AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS.
HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN TURNAGAIN
ARM AND ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE.
THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND THEN DIMINISH ON
SATURDAY. IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE MUCH WIND SHOULD MAKE IT INTO THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL FROM THIS EVENT DUE TO THE STRONG DOWN-INLET FLOW
OF THE WINDS FOR MOST OF THE EVENT.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
WITH THE TRACK OF THE EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM HEADING INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA THERE WILL BE
MORE WIND AND RAIN IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND BE ESPECIALLY STRONG ALONG THE COAST AND
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN. RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES BUT THE
MAJORITY OF THE RIVERS IN THE REGION ARE RUNNING A LITTLE LOW AND
HAVE ROOM FOR THE EXTRA RAINFALL. THEREFORE WHILE THE RIVER AND
STREAM LEVELS WILL RISE...THE IS NO FLOODING EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.
THIS SYSTEM WILL LINGER IN THE BERING SEA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
PRODUCE A NUMBER OF OCCLUDED FRONTS THAT WILL PASS THROUGH THE
REGION AS THE LOW SPINS AROUND THE BERING SEA. THAT WILL BRING
PERIODS OF RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS FOLLOWED BY BRIEF BREAKS IN THE
WEATHER BETWEEN THE OCCLUSIONS.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE BERING SEA WILL SEE A LOT OF STORMY WEATHER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH THE MERGING OF THE CURRENT LOW WITH THE EXTRA-
TROPICAL SYSTEM. RUSSELL CREEK NEAR COLD BAY HAS A FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR IT IN THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND OTHER CREEKS AND STREAMS ALONG
THE ALASKA PENINSULA MAY BE CLOSE TO BANKFULL AS WELL.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THESE WILL BE WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WILL BE THE STRONGEST EXPERIENCED SINCE
LAST WINTER. THE WEATHER WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR AS THIS LOW WILL
STILL BE IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA BY SUNDAY. IT WILL HAVE
WEAKENED SOME BUT IT WILL STILL BE BRINGING SOME RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE MAIN FOCUS IN THE EXTENDED TERM CONTINUES TO BE ON THE
EVOLUTION OF THE BERING SEA LOW AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD EARLY NEXT
WEEK. MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE BY LATE SUNDAY BUT HAVE ALSO
REMAINED FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN THEIR RESPECTIVE SOLUTIONS OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS...WITH THE EC BRINGING THE LOW INLAND OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND THE GFS TAKING IT ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND THEN INTO THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF. PREFER THE EC
SOLUTION FOR NOW AS THE GEM AND NAM HAVE BOTH TRENDED THAT
DIRECTION IN THE PAST FEW RUNS. REGARDLESS OF THE ULTIMATE TRACK
OF THE LOW...THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND LOOKS TO REMAIN IN A CLOUDY AND
WET PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AS A STOUT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA KEEPS MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW
FOCUSED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
ALSO PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BERING IN THE VICINITY
OF THE LOW...WITH A MORE SHOWERY REGIME FARTHER WEST IN NORTHERLY
FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101.
HIGH WIND WATCH 185 187.
FLOOD ADVISORY 181.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 173 174 175 176 413
GALE WARNING 119 120 130 132 138 139 150 155 160 165
170 172 177 178 179 180 181 185 351 352
411 412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
EZ/CB SEP 14The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 3:42 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:48 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:48 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:49 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:54 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:54 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Sep 11, 4:42 AM AKDT | High Wind Watch | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Sep 11, 9:29 AM AKDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:04 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:49 PM AKDT | High Wind Warning | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:52 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:52 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Sep 11, 3:59 PM AKDT | High Wind Watch | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.