Small Craft Advisory 124, NWS Anchorage, AK

449 
FZAK51 PAFC 110354 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
655 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

UPDATED ZONES 121 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111500-
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 988 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR CAPE
DECISION WED AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW WILL FORM 90 NM SOUTHWEST OF
YAKUTAT TUE NIGHT THEN MOVE TO 30 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
INTENSIFYING TO 982 MB WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-111500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-111500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-111500-
RESURRECTION BAY
655 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TOWARDS
MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-111500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-111500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-111500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-111500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-111500-
PASSAGE CANAL
655 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING
TO 35 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-111500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-111500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-111500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-111500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-111500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-111500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-111500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-111500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-111500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

368 
FZAK51 PAFC 111225
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1000 MB LOW FORMS ALONG A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH 50 NM WEST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON...THEN STRENGTHENS STEADILY TO 976 
MB THROUGH WED NIGHT WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY. 

$$

PKZ119-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-120300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-120300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-120300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-120300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-120300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-120300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-120300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-120300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 11 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 10 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM RUSSIA INTO THE WEST CENTRAL
BERING SEA AND ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA TO A HIGH OVER THE EASTERN
BROOKS RANGE. LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WITH A
LOBE OF THE LOW PRESSURE WORKING ITS WAY WEST ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST TODAY PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS FROM PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WEST TO
THE LOWER COOK INLET TO KODIAK ISLAND. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
COUPLED WITH DENSE COLD AIR OVER THE INTERIOR IS RESULTING IN STRONG
OUTFLOW GAP WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND THROUGH
THOMPSON PASS IN THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM THE CANADIAN ARCTIC TO AN UPPER LOW OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA.
THE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TO BRITISH COLUMBIA AS THE UPPER LOW
MOVES TO THE SOUTHWEST EVENTUALLY INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC TONIGHT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN INTO FRIDAY. SMALL DIFFERENCES SHOW UP WITH RESPECT
TO THE LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA FRIDAY AS THE GFS IS A
TAD FASTER THAN THE ECMWF BRINGING THE LOW INTO THE WESTERN BERING
SEA AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS. AT THIS POINT WE ARE LEANING TO A ECMWF
AND NAM SOLUTION ALTHOUGH THEY ARE BOTH TRENDING TO THE GFS SOLUTION.
THE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IS GOOD INTO THE COMING WEEKEND WITH THE
GFS BEING THE MOST CONSISTENT AT THIS TIME.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...
THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE BERING AND THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL DIVES QUICKLY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY
THIS EVENING AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS. OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS INTO THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK BEFORE THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW ARRIVES WITH THE UPPER
LOW DROPPING OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THURSDAY. WE WILL CONTINUE
THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE MATANUSKA VALLEY INTO THE EVENING DUE TO
THE DRY WINDY CONDITIONS AND LACK OF SNOW COVER. A SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPS AND STRENGTHENS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THAT WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.
THIS COULD RESULT IN SETTING UP A CLASSIC COLD ADVECTION SNOW EVENT
FOR THE NORTHERN COOK INLET. SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
WILL END FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE SNOW SHOWERS
OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AS THE EAST FLOW ADVECTS
MOISTURE INTO THE ISLAND. THEY WILL TAPER OFF IN THE MORNING AS THE
UPPER LOW MOVES SOUTH AND THE SURFACE TROUGH MOVES OFF TO THE
SOUTHWEST.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH TOMORROW BUT STILL REMAIN GUSTY AT
TIMES. COLDER ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN INTERIOR TO THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LOW WILL
THEN DROP SOUTH FROM THE ARCTIC INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY THURSDAY AND
HELP TO REINFORCE THE COLD AIR IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE STATE.
THE COLDER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WILL LIKELY
SEND TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL ALONG WITH SOME VERY COLD WIND
CHILLS.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT PULLING ARCTIC AIR OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM
WATERS WILL SUPPORT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA INTO TONIGHT ALONG WITH A CONTINUATION OF GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS. A BREAK IN THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL COME ON TUESDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT AND SNOW SHOWERS RETURN BY MID-WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BECOME ENTRENCHED OVER THE MAINLAND INTO
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE UPPER AND SURFACE
LOW WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE PRECIPITATION THREAT AREAS WILL BE.
OVERALL EXPECT CONDITIONS TO REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE AND THE BEST
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST TO
KODIAK ISLAND AND POTENTIALLY INLAND ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. CONVERSELY UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA COUPLED WITH A SERIES OF STORMS
MOVING THROUGH WILL KEEP THAT REGION ON THE WARMER SIDE WITH FREQUENT
EPISODES OF PRECIPITATION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 127 128 130 138 155 165 170 172 173 174 175 176 179
              414
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 126 127 128 129 130 138 139 140 150 160
                              165 180 181 185 414
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING ZONE 111

SAM FEB 14