Gale Warning 822, NWS Anchorage, AK

116 
FZAK51 PAFC 121514 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

UPDATED ZONES 127 128

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130415-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL REMAIN STATIONARY
AND WEAKEN TO 995 MB BY FRI AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE
GULF FRI EVENING. A 980 MB LOW 340 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND FRI
EVENING WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND BY SUN
MORNING AT 982 MB.

$$

PKZ119-130415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130415-
PORT VALDEZ-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130415-
VALDEZ ARM-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 15 KT
INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130415-
CHINIAK BAY-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130415-
MARMOT BAY-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-130415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
614 AM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

963 
FZAK51 PAFC 130013
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131330-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 996 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE CLEARE WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A
981 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO
220 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHINIAK LATE SAT NIGHT AT 985 MB THEN TO 40 NM
SOUTHWEST OF AUGUSTINE SUN AFTERNOON AND DEEPEN TO 974 MB.

$$

PKZ119-131330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ120-131330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-131330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-131330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-131330-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-131330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-131330-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-131330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-131330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-131330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-131330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-131330-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-131330-
MARMOT BAY-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-131330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-131330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-131330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-131330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 PM AKST FRI DEC 12 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
443 PM AKST THU DEC 11 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WITH
A WEAK TROUGH STRETCHING NORTH-NORTHWEST INTO MAINLAND ALASKA.
THERE IS A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA WITH WEAK
RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN BERING. A FAIRLY STRONG EASTWARD MOVING
UPPER LOW IS SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS CENTERED NEAR 45N 170W
ANOTHER STRONG LOW IS NORTHEAST OF JAPAN AND MOVING TO THE WEST-
NORTHWEST. THE LAST TWO LOWS MENTIONED ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
FAIRLY STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT UNTIL AROUND 3 PM AKST SAT
AFTERNOON THEN THEY BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON THE SPEED/LOCATION OF VARIOUS
SURFACE LOWS. BETWEEN SAT AFTERNOON AND SUN AFTERNOON EACH MODEL
SEEMS TO BE HEADED IN A SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT DIRECTION WITH NO
CLUSTERING OF SOLUTIONS. THUS FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS NEAR TO ABOVE
NORMAL EARLY ON THEN A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL LATER ON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY)...FOG CONTINUES TO BE THE BIG STORY FOR PARTS OF THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL WHILE MOST OTHER AREAS ARE ACTUALLY ENJOYING A
RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER DAY. NOT MUCH CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AND THIS FOG COULD ACTUALLY HOLD ON ITS PART OF THE
BOWL UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. ONE LOW ALONG THE PANHANDLE WILL
WEAKEN AS ANOTHER VERY WEAK LOW MOVES ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA
TOWARDS THE GULF. THEY WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND
OPEN TO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS PART OF THE GULF COAST AND EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. AT
THIS POINT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION
WILL MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS. WE ARE JUST EXPECTING FLURRIES
INTO THE ANCHORAGE AND MAT-SU AREAS. A FEW MORE SNOW SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS A WEAK UPPER WAVE SWINGS THROUGH
FROM THE NORTHWEST AND COULD HELP TO WRING OUT THE MOISTURE
WRAPPING AROUND FROM THE EAST. A MUCH STRONGER LOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE GULF THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. FORECAST MODELS ARE STILL
IRONING OUT THE DIFFERENCE IN THE EXACT LOW LOCATION AT THE
SURFACE BUT THIS CERTAINLY LOOKS TO BRING A HEALTHY SLUG OF
MOISTURE AND WARM AIR TO THE GULF COAST. THE FORECAST FOR INLAND
AREAS FROM THE KENAI PENINSULA THROUGH THE MAT-SU VALLEY WILL BE A
BIT MORE TRICKY. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE MOISTURE
WILL MISS THIS AREA DUE TO SOME MODERATE CROSS-BARRIER FLOW.
HOWEVER IF THE LOW DOES MOVE FARTHER TO THE WEST AND CLOSER TO THE
COAST CROSS-BARRIER FLOW WOULD BE MUCH WEAKER. TWO OTHER PIECES
TO THE FORECAST ARE A FAIRLY STOUT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IMPINGING ON
THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATE SATURDAY AND EXACTLY WHAT TYPE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL REACH THE GROUND WITH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN
HOVERING NEAR FREEZING. FOR NOW IT DOES LOOK TO BE A BIG PRECIPITATION
MAKER FOR THE MAJOR POPULATION CENTERS BUT STAY TUNED TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)...AN
UPPER LEVEL WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA
REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH THE AREA. BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING A SECOND STRONGER SHORTWAVE
WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION INTO SATURDAY MORNING
BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDDAY. THE WINDS WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY
BEFORE SHIFTING TO ONSHORE FLOW BY SATURDAY. THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA
INTERIOR LOCATIONS WILL HAVE LIGHT WINDS AND THIS WILL INCREASE
THE CHANCES FOR NOCTURNAL PATCHY FOG THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
ALONG THE BRISTOL BAY COASTLINE THEY WILL HAVE ONSHORE FLOW
RESULTING IN AREAS OF FOG AND STRATUS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
BEFORE DISSIPATING BY MIDDAY. THE WINDS ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM BAY
AND BRISTOL BAY WILL BE CLOSE TO SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE BY SATURDAY
EVENING WITH THE APPROACHING WEATHER FRONT TRACKING INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (FRIDAY AND SATURDAY)...
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WITH A
WEATHER FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE ALEUTIANS ASSOCIATED WITH A
GALE FORCE LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA BY FRIDAY.
BY SATURDAY THE WEATHER FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS AND THE UNALASKA AREA WITH A SECONDARY GALE FORCE LOW
FORMING OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA. THIS WILL BRING RAIN ALONG
THE ALEUTIANS AND RAIN/SNOW THROUGH THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THROUGH
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS WILL BE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW BY SATURDAY RESULTING
IN WESTERLY WINDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERY PRECIPITATION. BY LATE
SATURDAY EVENING A GALE FORCE LOW WILL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF
UNALASKA BRINGING SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN GOING INTO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE NORTHEAST GALE FORCE
WINDS WITH THE GALE FORCE LOW POSITIONED WEST OF THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND
BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE A BROAD
NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM
KAMCHATKA...ACROSS THE AKPEN AND PACIFIC TO CALIFORNIA. THE
PATTERN THEN BECOMES PROGRESSIVE AND A SERIES OF TROUGHS AND
RIDGES WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. AT THE SURFACE THIS TRANSLATES TO A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AKPEN THAT MIGRATES TO THE GULF ON THU.
A FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF MON THROUGH WED...AND A TROUGH
WILL AFFECT THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS DURING THE SAME PERIOD. A
STRONG FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THU. THE
FORECAST RELIES HEAVILY ON A WPC SOLUTION...WITH WIND FIELD
ENHANCED BY A BLEND TO THE 12Z EC.

RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE BERING...ALEUTIANS...AND
SOUTHWEST AK THROUGH THE END OF THE NEXT WEEK. RAIN WILL AFFECT
THE GULF COAST WITH SNOW SHOWERS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL. COLD AIR AT
THE SURFACE IN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MAY RESULT IN SOME
FREEZING RAIN ACTIVITY UNTIL WARM AIR SCOURS OUT COLD POCKETS
DURING THE COURSE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL/SAM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...DS