Gale Warning 38, NWS Anchorage, AK

885 
FZAK51 PAFC 020040
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021500-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW OVER UPPER COOK INLET WILL WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THU
AFTERNOON. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF FRI.
$$

PKZ119-021500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-021500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-021500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-021500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-021500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ127-021500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-021500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-021500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-021500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
40 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-021500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-021500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-021500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-021500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-021500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF WESTERN
BAYS AND PASSES.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-021500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-021500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SNOW.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-021500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

270 
FZAK51 PAFC 021249
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030300-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL BE REPLACED
BY HIGH PRESSURE THU NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT CROSSES OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON..REACHING KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
CENTRAL GULF FRI NIGHT.
$$

PKZ119-030300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-030300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-030300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 


$$

PKZ125-030300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-030300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-030300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-030300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-030300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-030300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-030300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-030300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-030300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-030300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-030300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DIMINISHING THIS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-030300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-030300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-030300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 2 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

JM

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 31 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A GENERALLY ZONAL JET SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS BENDS NORTHWARD INTO THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE MUCH-ANTICIPATED
LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS UNDERWAY...WITH A MATURE
VERTICALLY-STACKED STORM NOW READILY EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
THE STRONG ASSOCIATED FRONT STRETCHES FROM BRISTOL BAY BACK INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF. WINDS AND RAIN HAVE SPREAD TO MUCH OF THE GULF COASTAL
AREAS...WITH RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING SNOW RAPIDLY FILLING IN FURTHER
WEST ACROSS BRISTOL BAY. THIS IS A COMPACT AND TIGHTLY-WOUND
SYSTEM...WITH PRECIP AND THE STRONGEST WINDS STAYING CLOSER TO THE
LOW CENTER THAN SATELLITE IMAGERY WOULD SUGGEST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THAN YESTERDAY...WITH
NO MODELS SHOWING OVERTLY UNREALISTIC EVOLUTIONS. THIS SOLUTION TAKES
A STRONG LOW UP THE WESTERN END OF SHELIKOF STRAIT BEFORE CONTINUING
UP COOK INLET AND RAPIDLY WEAKENING. THE UPPER LOW LOOKS INCREASINGLY
LIKELY TO STRADDLE THE ALEUTIAN RANGE ON A NORTHWARD
TRAJECTORY...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A SPLIT CIRCULATION AT THE
LOWER LEVELS. HOWEVER...STILL EXPECTING THE EASTERN CIRCULATION (IN
SHELIKOF) TO REMAIN THE MUCH MORE DOMINANT OF THE TWO. THUS...NO
MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY THIS AFTERNOON.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG THE COAST AS THE
FRONT APPROACHES EARLY THIS EVENING. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF VALDEZ ALL
SEA LEVEL LOCATIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST ARE ALREADY WARM ENOUGH FOR
RAIN. STILL EXPECTING THE VAST MAJORITY OF PRECIP TO FALL ON THE
UPSLOPE/WINDWARD SIDE OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS...WITH DOWNSLOPING IN
CONTROL FOR THE USUAL AREAS OF THE WESTERN KENAI AND ANCHORAGE TO THE
MAT-SU. CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED ENOUGH THROUGH THOMPSON PASS THAT
THE BLIZZARD WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING BEGINNING THIS
EVENING. AS THE STORM WEAKENS AND MOVES INLAND LATE TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SHOULD ALLOW
IMPRESSIVE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO OCCUR NEAR VALDEZ...AS COLD AIR
REMAINS TRAPPED IN PLACE. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH SNOW
POSSIBILITIES AROUND ANCHORAGE AND UPPER COOK INLET LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM DRIFT
EASTWARD. WHILE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE DOES NOT SHOW MUCH PRECIPITATION
THE OVERALL PATTERN WOULD SUGGEST AT LEAST A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW
WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

SOUTHWEST...AS MENTIONED ABOVE PRECIP HAS NOW SPREAD INTO MUCH OF THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE. WITH WINDS INCREASING AND COLD TEMPERATURES
REMAINING IN INTERIOR PORTIONS THE BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND THE DELTA ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO BE LARGELY ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS STORM AS IT WILL HAVE
ENTERED A RAPID WEAKENING PHASE BY THE TIME SNOW SPREADS NORTH AND
WESTWARD THIS EVENING. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE
BROKEN UP INTO MORE SHOWERY PRECIP...AND REMAIN MOST CONCENTRATED
AROUND BRISTOL BAY AND ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...STRONG WINDS AND RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM
WEST TO EAST OVER THE EASTERN 1/3 OF THE CHAIN AS THE STORM WEAKENS
AND MOVES AWAY TONIGHT. THE STRONG ZONAL PACIFIC JET WILL SLING
ANOTHER SHORT BUT POTENT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW INTO THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CHAIN TOMORROW MORNING...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. THIS LOW WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE RAPIDLY INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING A BRIEF SHOT OF RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS TO MOST LOCATIONS ALONG THE CHAIN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN SHOWS LITTLE SIGN OF MEANINGFUL CHANGE
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. A STRONG PACIFIC JET WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
MULTIPLE FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVES THROUGH THE BERING AND SOUTHERN
MAINLAND...WITH NONE PARTICULARLY STRONG OR IMPACTFUL. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL INLAND AND NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL OVER COASTAL
LOCATIONS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131 161
MARINE...STORM 119 120 130-132 150 155
         GALE 125 127 129 136-141 165 170 172-178
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD DEC 13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1205 AM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

AKZ101-111-011300-

...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN BETWEEN ANCHORAGE AND PALMER
TONIGHT...

PRECIPITATION CROSSING THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS TONIGHT WILL CONTAIN
SOME FREEZING RAIN. AREAS AFFECTED WITH BE THE GLENN HIGHWAY AND
COMMUNITIES BETWEEN ANCHORAGE AND PALMER. ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH SPOTTY COVERAGE...SLIPPERY CONDITIONS WILL
BE ENCOUNTERED. USE EXTRA CAUTION DRIVING AND WALKING FOR THE REST OF
THE NIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT..CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1205 AM AKST WED JAN 1 2014

AKZ101-111-011300-

...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN BETWEEN ANCHORAGE AND PALMER
TONIGHT...

PRECIPITATION CROSSING THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS TONIGHT WILL CONTAIN
SOME FREEZING RAIN. AREAS AFFECTED WILL BE THE GLENN HIGHWAY AND
COMMUNITIES BETWEEN ANCHORAGE AND PALMER. ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT WITH SPOTTY COVERAGE...SLIPPERY CONDITIONS WILL
BE ENCOUNTERED. USE EXTRA CAUTION DRIVING AND WALKING FOR THE REST OF
THE NIGHT.