Gale Warning 25, NWS Anchorage, AK

260 
FZAK61 PAFC 231230
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST THU JAN 23 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-240300-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 23 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 968 MB LOW NEAR 52N 162W WEAKENS TO 985 MB FRI NIGHT NEAR 62N 
174W. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT DISSIPATES ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST TODAY. A SECONDARY FRONT REACHES THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT
INTO THU AND A THIRD FRONT MOVES OVER KODIAK ISLAND THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ351-240300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AKST THU JAN 23 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-240300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AKST THU JAN 23 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

562 
FZAK61 PAFC 240050
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST THU JAN 23 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-241500-
400 PM AKST THU JAN 23 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GULF TONIGHT...WITH A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LINGERING OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH
FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-241500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AKST THU JAN 23 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-241500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AKST THU JAN 23 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE TO SW WIND 25 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE TO SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

028 
FZAK61 PAFC 241250
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 24 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-250300-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 24 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A WEATHER FRONT THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO KODIAK ISLAND
BY FRI NIGHT. THE NEXT PACIFIC FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF
SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-250300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 24 2014

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-250300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 24 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

JM

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST WED JAN 22 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE WARM AND GENERALLY WET PATTERN CONTINUES. THE STORM LOW CENTER
OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC HAS SHOWN SOME NORTH MOVEMENT. ITS ASSOCIATED
FRONT STRETCHED NORTH AND EAST TOWARD THE AK PEN TO OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA. RAIN FELL OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH GULF COAST AND WINDWARD
LOCALS ON THE KENAI PENINSULA. SNOW WAS EVIDENT OVER OVER THE SW
ALASKA WITH A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND RAIN OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.
GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WERE ALSO EVIDENT OVER THE NORTH GULF IN
ADVANCE OF THE NORTH MOVING WEATHER FRONT.

THE NORTH PACIFIC STORM HEADS NORTH TONIGHT AND WEAKENS AS IT
APPROACHES SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND FRI EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT MOVES INLAND TONIGHT. A SERIES OF FRONTAL WAVES MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE GULF THROUGH THU NIGHT...BRINGING SURGES OF MOISTURE TO
THE NORTH GULF COAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL INITIALIZATIONS OVERALL WERE GOOD. SYNOPTIC FORECAST TRENDS ARE
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AND REASONABLE. TIMING OF FRONTAL WAVES MOVING
NORTH THROUGH THE GULF ARE IN SURPRISINGLY GOOD AGREEMENT...THOUGH
THE NAM IS A LITTLE QUICKER THAN THE GLOBAL MODELS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
A MILD AND WET WEATHER PATTERN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC TRACK NORTHWARD. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT OF THESE SYSTEMS
WILL APPROACH THE NORTH GULF TONIGHT WITH A SECONDARY SURGE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THR BRUNT OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AROUND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
WHERE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY TONIGHT THROUGH
MIDDAY FRI. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON COULD TOTAL 3 TO
6 INCHES ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST. INLAND AREAS WILL SEE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS RAINFALL. WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS WEATHER PATTERN AND BRING
UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES. FREEZING LEVELS WILL ALSO INCREASE
WITH VALUES REACHING 4000 TO 6000 FT INLAND ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TO
8000 FT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. SNOW MELT COMBINED WITH RAINFALL
WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PONDING OF WATER AND MINOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND LOCATIONS WITH POOR
DRAINAGE.

STRONG GAP FLOWS AND GALES/STORMS OVER THE GULF WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT
AS THE FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES NORTH AND INLAND. GAP FLOWS WILL INCREASE
AGAIN THU AS THE WEAKENING STORM OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES NORTH
TOWARD THE EASTERN BERING SEA. WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL ALSO
INCREASE THU NIGHT AS A FRONTAL WAVE MOVES RAPIDLY NORTH.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE LATEST LOW IN THE TRAIN OF LOWS MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS MAIN CENTER WILL THEN MOVE TO NEAR SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND FRI EVENING. SNOW ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL MOVE WEST/NORTH ACROSS THE SW MAINLAND TONIGHT. TEMPS WILL WARM
AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COUPLE OF MINOR WAVES WILL BRING SHOWERS TO
THE SW MAINLAND THROUGH FRI.

.EASTERN BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL BRING
BLIZZARD POTENTIAL TO THE PRIBILOFS THU AFTERNOON THROUGH ABOUT
MIDNIGHT THU NIGHT. COULD BE A CLOSE CALL DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH WARM
AIR MOVES WEST. WILL ISSUE WATCH AT THIS POINT AND EVALUATE THE NEXT
RUN. RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SHOULD CHANGE TO SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH THIS EVENING AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA/WEST ALEUTIANS WILL GIVE
WAY TO LOWER PRESSURE AND MORE UNSETTLE WEATHER THU NIGHT/FRI.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THERE ARE SOME HINTS AT THIS ACTIVE AND WARM PATTERN BREAKING DOWN
NEXT WEEK...BUT NOTHING WORTH LATCHING ONTO AT THIS POINT. WE WILL
KEEP AN EYE ON THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE COMING DAYS. UNTIL
THEN...EXPECT CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE
MAINLAND AND PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COASTAL
AREAS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 195.
MARINE...GALES 119 150 155 160 170 172 173 174 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JAN 14

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1130 AM AKST WEDNESDAY JAN 22 2014

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-171-231800-

...MILD AND WET CONDITIONS CONTINUING FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...

A MILD AND WET WEATHER PATTERN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC TRACK NORTHWARD. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT OF THESE SYSTEMS
APPROACH THE NORTH GULF TONIGHT WITH A SECONDARY SURGE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE LION'S SHARE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AROUND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
WHERE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON COULD TOTAL 3 TO
6 INCHES ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST. INLAND AREAS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY LESS RAINFALL. WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS WEATHER PATTERN AND BRING
UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES TO THE SOUTH MAINLAND. FREEZING LEVELS
WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH VALUES REACHING 4000 TO 6000 FT INLAND ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL TO 8000 FT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST.

RESIDENTS ON THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA TO ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF INCREASED PONDING OF WATER
AND MINOR LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
LOCATIONS WITH POOR DRAINAGE.

THE LATEST AREA WEATHER FORECASTS CAN BE OBTAINED BY VISITING:

WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE

RMC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1130 AM AKST WEDNESDAY JAN 22 2014

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-171-231800-

...MILD AND WET CONDITIONS CONTINUING FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...

A MILD AND WET WEATHER PATTERN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC TRACK NORTHWARD. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT OF THESE SYSTEMS
APPROACH THE NORTH GULF TONIGHT WITH A SECONDARY SURGE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE LION'S SHARE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AROUND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
WHERE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON COULD TOTAL 3 TO
6 INCHES ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST. INLAND AREAS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY LESS RAINFALL. WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS WEATHER PATTERN AND BRING
UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES TO THE SOUTH MAINLAND. FREEZING LEVELS
WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH VALUES REACHING 4000 TO 6000 FT INLAND ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL TO 8000 FT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST.

RESIDENTS ON THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA TO ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF INCREASED PONDING OF WATER
AND MINOR LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
LOCATIONS WITH POOR DRAINAGE.

THE LATEST AREA WEATHER FORECASTS CAN BE OBTAINED BY VISITING:

WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE

RMC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1130 AM AKST WEDNESDAY JAN 22 2014

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-171-231800-

...MILD AND WET CONDITIONS CONTINUING FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...

A MILD AND WET WEATHER PATTERN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC TRACK NORTHWARD. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT OF THESE SYSTEMS
WILL APPROACH THE NORTH GULF TONIGHT WITH A SECONDARY SURGE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THE LION'S SHARE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL AROUND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
WHERE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON COULD TOTAL 3 TO
6 INCHES ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST. INLAND AREAS WILL SEE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS RAINFALL. WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS WEATHER PATTERN AND BRING
UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES TO THE SOUTH MAINLAND. FREEZING LEVELS
WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH VALUES REACHING 4000 TO 6000 FT INLAND ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL TO 8000 FT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST.

RESIDENTS ON THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA TO ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF INCREASED PONDING OF WATER
AND MINOR LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
LOCATIONS WITH POOR DRAINAGE.

THE LATEST AREA WEATHER FORECASTS CAN BE OBTAINED BY VISITING:

WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE

RMC