Gale Warning 160, NWS Anchorage, AK

909 
FZAK52 PAFC 011617 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-020300-
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
EASTERN BERING TODAY AND SPREAD TO THE WESTERN BERING ON SUN. A WEAK
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO BRISTOL BAY BY
MON MORNING.
$$

PKZ150-020300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-020300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES W OF
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-020300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-020300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-020300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-020300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-020300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ173-020300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ174-020300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-020300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-020300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ177-020300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT S 35 KT EAST OF 180. SEAS 21 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
$$

PKZ178-020300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. FROM SHEMYA W...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
SHEMYA W...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-020300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SE. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.  PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-020300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ181-020300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ185-020300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...19 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...19 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...18 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
$$

349 
FZAK52 PAFC 020006
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-021500-
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A NEARLY STATIONARY WEAK WEATHER FRONT OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
BRISTOL BAY WILL DISSIPATE SUN NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN RUSSIA AND WEAKEN
ON SUN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH
MON...WHILE A PACIFIC LOW TRACKS TO AROUND 480 NM SOUTHEAST OF
UNALASKA AT 987 MB MON AFTERNOON
$$

PKZ150-021500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-021500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-021500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

PKZ165-021500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-021500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-021500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-021500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-021500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-021500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-021500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT FROM ATKA E. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-021500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT FROM ATKA E. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-021500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-021500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
SHEMYA W...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 22 FT EXCEPT 16 FT FROM SHEMYA W. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-021500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-021500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-021500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-021500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT FEB 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...19 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...18 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...
13 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.   

$$

201 
FZAK52 PAFC 021244
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030300-
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
ACROSS THE BERING SEA THROUGH MON. A PACIFIC LOW TRACKS TO
AROUND 480 NM SOUTHEAST OF UNALASKA AT 989 MB MON AFTERNOON AND WILL
PUSH A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS TOWARDS BRISTOL BAY THROUGH TUE. 

$$

PKZ150-030300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-030300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-030300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-030300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-030300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-030300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-030300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-030300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-030300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-030300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-030300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-030300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-030300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-030300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-030300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS 6 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-030300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-030300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN FEB 2 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT E 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 18 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT
E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST FRI JAN 31 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE MAJORITY OF MAINLAND ALASKA
TODAY WITH A REINFORCING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NOW BEGINNING TO
BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA. A SERIES OF OLD FRONTS
ARE WEAKENING IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...WITH A
NARROW BAND OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER EASTERN BRISTOL BAY AND ANOTHER
MOVING TOWARD THE COAST OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. REMNANT UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDINESS ARE ALL THAT IS IMPACTING MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL. AT THE
SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS LED TO FOG DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL THIS MORNING...WHICH IS DISSIPATING GRADUALLY AS
THE AIRMASS CONTINUES TO DRY OUT. MORE PERSISTENT AND WIDESPREAD LOW
CLOUDS CONTINUE OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AS THE LOW-LEVEL
TEMPERATURE INVERSION CONTINUES TO TRAP MOISTURE NEAR THE GROUND. OUT
WEST...A MODERATE STRENGTH FRONT IS IMPACTING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW THAT IS NOW MOVING INTO THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
OF RUSSIA. EASTWARD PROGRESS IS SLOWING AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS THE
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT. THERE IS STILL A BIT OF
DISCREPANCY RELATED TO THE MOVEMENT AND STRENGTH OF A ROGUE UPPER LOW
THAT BREAKS OFF FROM THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY BEING SQUEEZED
OVER THE EASTERN BERING. THE ECMWF STILL MAINTAINS MORE STRENGTH IN
THIS FEATURE AS IT IS PUSHED AROUND WESTERN ALASKA BY STRONG UPPER
HIGHS...HOWEVER IT HAS LOST THE SUPPORT OF THE GEM AND THE NAM FROM
YESTERDAYS MODEL CYCLES. THANKFULLY...AS MENTIONED YESTERDAY...THIS
UPPER LOW WILL BE STARVED FOR MOISTURE AND WILL THUS HAVE MINIMAL
IMPACTS ON THE FORECAST. A MORE SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCY INVOLVES THE
POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND ON
SATURDAY. THE ECMWF IS THE WEAKEST MODEL WITH THE SURFACE
FEATURE...BUT WITH GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON A VIGOROUS UPPER LOW IN
THE AREA IT MAKES SENSE THAT THERE SHOULD BE AT LEAST A WEAK SURFACE
LOW REFLECTION. THUS THE GFS/NAM IS THE PREFERRED MODEL SOLUTION
TODAY...THOUGH LARGE-SCALE DIFFERENCES ARE RELATIVELY MINOR.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY AT VIRTUALLY
ALL LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM (3.5 DAY) PERIOD AND LIKELY
BEYOND. THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL CONTINUE TO BE OUTFLOW
WINDS CONTINUING OVER THE COMING DAYS THROUGH FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS.
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT GRADUALLY TIGHTENS WIND SPEEDS WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE...THOUGH ARE EXPECTED TO STAY WELL BELOW WARNING LEVELS. THE
SECONDARY FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE THE CONTINUATION OF LOCALIZED
DENSE FOG FOG CONTINUING AROUND UPPER COOK INLET AND THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN. WITH STEADILY RISING PRESSURES AT THE SURFACE AND PERSISTENT
LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR REPEAT
DEVELOPMENT IN THESE AREAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...MAINLY LATE AT
NIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

SOUTHWEST...AS MENTIONED IN THE MODEL DISCUSSION...THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND WILL SEE NARROW BANDS OF RAIN/SNOW MOVE SLOWLY FROM WEST TO
EAST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS RESIDUAL WEATHER FRONTS WEAKEN
FROM THE BOTTOM UP. NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS OR SNOW ACCUMULATION ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA REGION DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY. BY LATER
IN THE WEEKEND HIGH PRESSURE WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA....USHERING IN
A DRIER AIRMASS WITH INCREASED SUNSHINE.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...THE SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS WILL COME TO
AN END AS THE FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS STALLS AND
WEAKENS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRY OUT MUCH
OF THE REGION...WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR FOG AND MARINE STRATUS TO
DEVELOP UNDER WIDESPREAD SINKING AIR AND INCREASING TEMPERATURE
INVERSIONS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A BLOCKING PATTERN WILL SET UP ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION BY LATE THIS
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP SHOP OVER THE INTERIOR MAINLAND.
WEAK LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING LATE SAT NIGHT SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WILL BRING A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FROM KODIAK ISLAND
THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND ON TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND WILL ACT AS A PRECURSOR TO A LARGER COMPLEX LOW
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK. THE
REGION WILL SEE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT
THE COMING WEEK...WITH OUTFLOW WINDS CONTINUING ALONG THE GULF COAST.
THERE ARE SOME PRELIMINARY INDICATIONS OF A MORE SUBSTANTIAL COLD AIR
SURGE MOVING IN FROM NORTHWEST CANADA LATE NEXT WEEK...WHICH HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO GREATLY ENHANCE OUTFLOW WINDS ALONG THE COAST. THIS WILL
BE MONITORED CLOSELY WITH FUTURE MODEL RUNS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 177 178
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD JAN 14