Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER SHOT OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY. QUICKER CLEARING THIS MORNING WITH MUCH LESS DEBRIS
CLOUD. STILL VERY WET WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING FROM
ABOUT 1.5 INCHES NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER TO THE 1.7 TO 1.8
THROUGH PIMA COUNTY. ANOTHER DAY WITH WEAK STORM LEVEL FLOW AND SLOW
MOVING STORMS. HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN CONCERN WITH ISOLATED WET
MICROBURST SEVERE POSSIBLE. ON THE LARGER SCALE SE AZ IS IN A SWATH
OF MODEST UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE LOW
PUSHING INTO THE BAJA PENINSULA. IN ADDITION...A WEAK INFLECTION ON
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY PUSHING FROM NORTHEAST SONORA INTO SANTA CRUZ
AND PIMA COUNTY TODAY.

SOUTHEAST ARIZONA SHOULD HANG ON TO PLENTY OF MOISTURE UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE. ECMWF BRINGS IN ANOTHER DECENT IMPULSE AROUND THE HIGH AND
INTO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA ON TUESDAY. THE HIGH MAY PUSH A LITTLE
FURTHER EASTWARD THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH A STRONGER
WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE FLOW FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS COULD
KNOCK ESPECIALLY WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA BACK TO LOWER GRADE
COVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT-BKN CLOUDS AT 6-10K FT AGL. SCT TSRA CONTINUING THRU
03/04Z. WIND GUSTS TO 45 KTS NEAR ANY TSRA...AS WELL AS LOCAL
MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10
KTS THRU 03/16Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION INTO
NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.
OUTSIDE OF GUSTY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS...WINDS DURING THIS PERIOD
ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH AND DIURNALLY
DRIVEN.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

MEYER/RASMUSSEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1251 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

AZZ507-513-022030-
DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON AZ-
1251 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY UNTIL 130
PM MST...

AT 1242 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TOMBSTONE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3190 11002 3175 10988 3162 11006 3174 11018
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 219DEG 5KT 3173 11006

MEYER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
157 PM MST FRI AUG 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0148 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 SE MARANA             32.34N 111.07W
08/02/2013                   PIMA               AZ   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTS POWER POLE DOWN ON INA BETWEEN
            1-10 AND SILVERBELL

&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1300090

RH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
208 PM MST FRI AUG 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0206 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N HEREFORD            31.47N 110.19W
08/02/2013  M58 MPH          COCHISE            AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1300091

RH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
209 PM MST FRI AUG 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 PM     HAIL             1 N HEREFORD            31.45N 110.19W
08/02/2013  E0.88 INCH       COCHISE            AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1300092

RH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
227 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

AZZ502-504-022200-
TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION INCLUDING SELLS AZ-TUCSON METRO AREA INCLUDING
TUCSON/GREEN VALLEY/MARANA/VAIL AZ-
227 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 300 PM
MST...

AT 224 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 20 MILES EAST OF SANTA ROSA...OR 30 MILES NORTH
OF SELLS...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
PIMA COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3245 11174 3241 11163 3220 11163 3225 11180
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 187DEG 11KT 3234 11170

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
310 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

AZZ507-508-512-513-022300-
CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING CHIRICAHUA NATIONAL MONUMENT
AZ-DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW
5000 FEET INCLUDING DOUGLAS/WILLCOX AZ-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON AZ-
310 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN COCHISE COUNTY UNTIL 400
PM MST...

AT 300 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES EAST OF BISBEE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF DOUGLAS
BY 225 PM MST.

LAT...LON 3155 10989 3156 10937 3134 10935 3134 11003
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 281DEG 16KT 3139 10973