Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Tucson, AZ

393 
WGUS75 KTWC 022039
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
139 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

AZC003-022049-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-130802T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
139 PM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 145 PM MST FOR SOUTHWESTERN
COCHISE COUNTY...

HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EARLIER OVER THE SOUTHERN HUACHUCA MOUNTAINS HAS 
SUBSIDED...THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 
HOWEVER...ELEVATED FLOWS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS AREA WASHES 
ESPECIALLY WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN THE AREA. 

LAT...LON 3141 11032 3148 11025 3141 11020 3137 11028

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
840 AM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...QUICKER CLEARING THIS MORNING WITH MUCH LESS DEBRIS
CLOUD. STILL VERY WET WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING FROM
ABOUT 1.5 INCHES NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER TO THE 1.7 TO 1.8
THROUGH PIMA COUNTY. ANOTHER DAY WITH WEAK STORM LEVEL FLOW AND SLOW
MOVING STORMS. HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN CONCERN WITH ISOLATED WET
MICROBURST SEVERE POSSIBLE. ON THE LARGER SCALE SE AZ IS IN A SWATH
OF MODEST UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE LOW
PUSHING INTO THE BAJA PENINSULA. IN ADDITION...A WEAK INFLECTION ON
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY PUSHING FROM NORTHEAST SONORA INTO SANTA CRUZ
AND PIMA COUNTY TODAY. WE TWEAKED THE FORECAST TO ENHANCE
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ACROSS SANTA CRUZ...EASTERN PIMA...AND THE
TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION / CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
PORTIONS OF THOSE AREAS WERE HIT PRETTY HARD YESTERDAY...ESPECIALLY
AREAS SOUTHWEST AND WEST OF TUCSON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...MODELS KEEP THE UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER TEXAS
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW REMAINING IN PLACE
OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. NO NOTEWORTHY LARGE-SCALE FEATURES TO AID IN
DAILY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP SHOWING UP IN THE MODELS. THUS...WILL
KEEP THE POP FORECAST AROUND CLIMO VALUES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL VARY DAILY BUT IN GENERAL REMAIN NEAR
NORMAL READINGS.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT-BKN CLOUDS AT 6-10K FT AGL. SCT TSRA DEVELOPING
AFT 02/18Z AND CONTINUING THRU 03/05Z. WIND GUSTS TO 45 KTS NEAR ANY
TSRA...AS WELL AS LOCAL MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE
WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS THRU 03/16Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION INTO
NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.
OUTSIDE OF GUSTY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS...WINDS DURING THIS PERIOD
ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH AND DIURNALLY
DRIVEN.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

MEYER/RASMUSSEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1108 AM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

AZZ507-513-021845-
DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON AZ-
1108 AM MST FRI AUG 2 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SANTA CRUZ AND
WESTERN COCHISE COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 AM MST...

AT 1100 AM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF SIERRA VISTA NEAR
HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN SONOITA AND WHETSTONE...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HUACHUCA CITY...FORT HUACHUCA
AND WHETSTONE.

LAT...LON 3180 11034 3158 11027 3160 11053 3168 11054
TIME...MOT...LOC 1807Z 263DEG 7KT 3170 11044