Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Watches in 2013

Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 30, 201320 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this flash flood watch at May 30, 2013, 10:52 AM CDT for 20 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2013, 10:52 AM CDT (15:52 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2013, 12:56 PM CDT
In force
50 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Flood severity
None
All 24 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2013-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2013-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1066 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

290 
WGUS64 KTSA 301552
FFATSA

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1052 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE WITH SIGNIFICANT
   FLOODING EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

.A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH A
 MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR-MASS IN PLACE. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
 THE AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH AN INCREASED THREAT FOR
 FLASH FLOODING.

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-310000-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FF.A.0003.130530T1552Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
1052 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND 
  OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST 
  ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...MADISON AND WASHINGTON. IN 
  OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE... 
  MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE... 
  OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...ROGERS...TULSA...WAGONER AND 
  WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS
  MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH
  SATURDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES
  POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO LIFE THREATENING FLASH
  FLOODING IN SOME AREAS IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED.
  SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT OCCURRING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
  MORNING.

* THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE RAPID RISES ON CREEKS...
  SMALL STREAMS...AND EVENTUALLY LEAD TO MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING
  AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT. ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT: WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
765 
WGUS64 KTSA 302314
FFATSA

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
614 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE WITH SIGNIFICANT   
FLOODING EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

.A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH A 
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR-MASS IN PLACE. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
THE AREA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH AN INCREASED THREAT FOR 
FLASH FLOODING.

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-311200-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
614 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL... 
  MADISON AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE... 
  CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE... 
  NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE... 
  ROGERS...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS 
  MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH 
  SATURDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES 
  POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO LIFE THREATENING FLASH 
  FLOODING IN SOME AREAS IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED. 
  SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE 
  MOST SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT OCCURRING FRIDAY NIGHT INTO 
  SATURDAY MORNING. 

* THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE RAPID RISES ON CREEKS... 
  SMALL STREAMS...AND EVENTUALLY LEAD TO MAIN-STEM RIVER 
  FLOODING AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$
023 
WGUS64 KTSA 310841
FFATSA

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
341 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-312200-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
341 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL... 
  MADISON AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE... 
  CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE... 
  NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE... 
  ROGERS...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS
  OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE
  44. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES HAS FALLEN FURTHER
  SOUTH AND EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST
  OKLAHOMA...AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND BECOME WIDESPREAD
  ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE
  EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4
  INCHES IS LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
  POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...WITH THE ALREADY SATURATED
  SOILS...WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID ONSET OF SIGNIFICANT FLASH
  FLOODING.

* ADDITIONALLY...THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE ONGOING MAIN-STEM
  RIVER FLOODING TO BE PROLONGED AND POSSIBLY MORE SIGNIFICANT.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$
898 
WGUS64 KTSA 311439
FFATSA

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
939 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SIGNIFICANT AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLOODING 
   EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ072>076-312300-
/O.EXA.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
939 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND 
  OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ARKANSAS... 
  CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND SEBASTIAN. IN OKLAHOMA...HASKELL... 
  LATIMER...LE FLORE...PITTSBURG AND SEQUOYAH. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS
  PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHERN LE FLORE COUNTY. SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND
  BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
  ARKANSAS DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED ADDITIONAL
  AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...WITH THE
  ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID ONSET OF
  SIGNIFICANT AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING.

* ADDITIONALLY...THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE ONGOING MAIN-
  STEM RIVER FLOODING TO BE PROLONGED AND POSSIBLY MORE
  SIGNIFICANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-312300-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
939 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL... 
  MADISON AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...CHEROKEE... 
  CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE... 
  NOWATA...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE... 
  ROGERS...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS
  OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE
  44. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
  ...AND BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
  ARKANSAS DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED ADDITIONAL
  AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...WITH THE
  ALREADY SATURATED SOILS...WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID ONSET OF
  SIGNIFICANT AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING.

* ADDITIONALLY...THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE ONGOING 
  MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING TO BE PROLONGED AND POSSIBLY MORE 
  SIGNIFICANT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$
216 
WGUS64 KTSA 312011
FFATSA

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
311 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SIGNIFICANT AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLOODING   
EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ054>076-010500-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...PAWHUSKA...
BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...
CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
311 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
   MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... 
  CHEROKEE...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE 
  FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKFUSKEE... 
  OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...ROGERS... 
  SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE
  MAJORITY OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER LE FLORE COUNTY AND ALSO ALONG AND
  NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND BECOME...WIDESPREAD
  ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE
  EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5
  INCHES IS LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES
  POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...WITH THE ALREADY SATURATED
  SOILS...WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID ONSET OF SIGNIFICANT AND
  POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING.

* ADDITIONALLY...THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE ONGOING 
  MAIN- STEM RIVER FLOODING TO BE PROLONGED AND POSSIBLY MORE 
  SIGNIFICANT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$
736 
WGUS64 KTSA 010827
FFATSA

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
327 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ054>076-011800-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...PAWHUSKA...
BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...
CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
327 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
   MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... 
  CHEROKEE...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE 
  FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKFUSKEE... 
  OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...ROGERS... 
  SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND WASHINGTON. 

* UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS FALLEN THIS MORNING ACROSS
  EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...ESPECIALLY
  ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR. ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY
  AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FURTHER NORTH ACROSS NORTHEAST
  OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEFORE ENDING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
  DURING THE AFTERNOON. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL WORSEN ANY
  ONGOING FLOODING...AND MAY LEAD TO NEW AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING
  LATER THIS MORNING.

* THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE ONGOING MAIN- STEM RIVER
  FLOODING TO BE PROLONGED AND POSSIBLY MORE SIGNIFICANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$
243 
WGUS64 KTSA 011431
FFATSA

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
931 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

OKZ054>064-067-011545-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...WAGONER
931 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVY RAIN HAS SHIFTED SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...
ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. AREAS ACROSS WASHINGTON...NOWATA
AND CRAIG COUNTIES HOWEVER COULD CONTINUE TO SEE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM
THE PREVIOUS RAINFALL. 

$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ065-066-068>076-011800-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-
PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
931 AM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
  MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR... 
  CHEROKEE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MCINTOSH... 
  MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...PITTSBURG AND SEQUOYAH. 

* UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON

* WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS FALLEN THIS MORNING AND
  OVERNIGHT ACROSS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
  INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR...WHERE 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
  OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA BEFORE
  ENDING THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL WORSEN THE
  ONGOING FLOODING.

* THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CAUSE ONGOING MAIN-STEM RIVER
  FLOODING TO BE PROLONGED AND POSSIBLY MORE SIGNIFICANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING EVENT.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT:
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA.

&&

$$
459 
WGUS64 KTSA 011756
FFATSA

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1256 PM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ065-066-068>076-011900-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-130601T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-
PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1256 PM CDT SAT JUN 1 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
EASTERN OKLAHOMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION 
HAS SHIFTED SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...HOWEVER OVERALL PRECIPITATION COVERAGE
SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED.

DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE EXCESS RUNOFF...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR WHERE 5 TO 8 INCHES
OCCURRED. SEVERAL ROADS ACROSS THE AREA REMAIN IMPASSABLE DUE TO
HIGH WATER...INCLUDING NUMEROUS SECONDARY ROADS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD TO UNKNOWN DEPTHS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 30, 6:41 AM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 6:41 AM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
641 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

.DISCUSSION...

THE 12Z TAF DISCUSSION IS INCLUDED BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
MVFR CIGS COULD HANG ON FOR MUCH OF THE DAY BEFORE CLIMBING TO VFR
LEVEL THIS AFTERNOON. TSRA WILL AFFECT KBVO EARLY THEN THERE
SHOULD BE A BREAK FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...ASIDE FROM A ROGUE SHOWER
OR STORM. STORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON ALONG DRYLINE TO OUR
WEST AND MOVE INTO NE OK THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO NW AR BY THIS
EVENING. MVFR CIGS WILL RETURN TO ALL SITES AGAIN BY 12Z FRI MORNING.

LACY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 427 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013/

DISCUSSION...
A FEW CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS CONTINUE IN AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
U.S. 412 EARLY THIS MORNING CONTINUE TO BE FUELED BY 50+ KNOT LOW
LEVEL JET ANALYZED OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN OK. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE MORNING...AND WILL ALSO HAVE TO KEEP
AN EYE ON FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KS
WHICH COULD BRUSH FAR NORTHERN AREAS THIS MORNING AS WELL. SEVERE
THREAT IS MINIMAL BUT THESE FEATURES MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
ON AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

AIRMASS ALREADY RECOVERING FROM EXTREME SE THROUGH NW OKLAHOMA IN
WAKE OF OVERNIGHT STORMS AND EVENTUALLY SHOULD RECOVER TO SOME
DEGREE OVER EASTERN OK THIS AFTERNOON. MOST SHORT RANGE MODELS
CONTINUE TO BREAK OUT CONVECTION RELATIVELY EARLY TODAY FURTHER
COMPLICATING MATTERS. LARGER PICTURE CONTINUES TO BE DEEP TROUGH
DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL U.S. WITH DRY LINE MIXING A BIT FARTHER
EAST INTO WESTERN OK BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WIND PROFILES SHOW
MUCH LESS BACKING OF MID LEVEL WINDS TODAY WITH BETTER CHANCE OF
STORMS REMAINING DISCRETE. DEGREE OF INSTABILITY DOES REMAIN IN
QUESTION BUT SHOULD SEE AN AXIS OF HIGHER VALUES EAST OF THE DRY
LINE WITH STORMS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL OK LATE AND MOVING TOWARD
NE OKLAHOMA IN THE EVENING. WITH MORE DISCRETE STORM MODE ALL
TYPES OF SEVERE WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

MID LEVEL TEMPS BEGIN TO WARM TONIGHT WITH CAP STRENGTH QUICKLY
INCREASING...WHICH WOULD CAUSE STORMS TO WANE OVERNIGHT.
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT ON EDGE OF CAP MAINLY
NORTHEAST OF OUR AREA. CAP REMAINS IN PLACE MOST OF FRIDAY WITH
VOLATILE AIRMASS SPREADING OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
AGAIN...WIND PROFILES SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS WHICH SHOULD DEVELOP
RAPIDLY ALONG DRY LINE AND FRONT TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST LATE
AFTERNOON. THIS COULD BE A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT GIVEN
EXTREME INSTABILITY FORECAST...STAY TUNED.

THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EXPAND IN COVERAGE FRIDAY EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES SOUTH...LEADING TO POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS. MOST LIKELY THIS WILL
BE NORTH OF I-40...WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EVENTUALLY BE
NEEDED FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. RAIN SHOULD
TAPER OFF SATURDAY EVENING WITH SUNDAY TURING OUT TO BE A NICE
AFTERNOON WITH DRIER AIR AND TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS
BOUNDARY RETREATS NORTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   81  72  84  67 /  60  30  40  90
FSM   81  70  86  69 /  70  30  10  80
MLC   80  73  87  72 /  50  20  10  60
BVO   81  70  84  65 /  60  40  60  90
FYV   76  67  83  68 /  80  40  20  80
BYV   77  67  83  66 /  90  60  30  90
MKO   79  70  86  69 /  60  30  10  80
MIO   79  71  83  66 /  70  40  40  90
F10   80  72  86  69 /  50  30  10  70
HHW   83  71  88  70 /  50  20  10  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...30
Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 8:27 AM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
827 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
827 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SEVERE STORMS WITH SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA....NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER 4 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING...WITH GREATEST THREAT AFTER 4 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PERHAPS WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH NOON. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL
TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...ALTHOUGH THE GREATER SEVERE STORM THREAT
IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IS EXPECTED TO BE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL
MOVE EAST INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING HOURS. THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILE SUGGESTS THAT DISCRETE
SUPERCELL STORMS WILL BE MORE LIKELY WHEN COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. ANY
SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL BE
ENHANCED IF STORMS CAN ANCHOR ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LEFT FROM
THE MORNING STORMS. STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY CONGEAL INTO CLUSTERS OR
LINES AND MOVE EAST INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THIS EVENING.

TRAINING OF STORMS OVER THE SAME AREAS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THAT
RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS MORNING MAY LEAD TO FLOODING
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST IN THE 25 TO 30 MPH RANGE ACROSS NORTHEAST
AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...
         HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SAG INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT...INTERACTING WITH A VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION. WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED STORMS. EARLY IN THE EVENT THE
THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES EXISTS...WITH A TRANSITION
TOWARD DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. WINDS
ALOFT WILL BE PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARY...SUGGESTING THAT STORMS WILL
GROW INTO CLUSTERS AND TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS. WIDESPREAD
FLOODING WILL BECOME AN INCREASING CONCERN BECAUSE OF THIS...WITH
ISOLATED AREAS POTENTIALLY SEEING AS MUCH AS 9 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

THE RISK FOR STORMS WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST WITH THE FRONT ON
SATURDAY...DOWN INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

ANOTHER BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AND WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 5:51 AM CDT, 5 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
551 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 AM     FLOOD            SKIATOOK                36.37N 96.00W
05/30/2013                   TULSA              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER NEAR HOUSES ALONG OAK STREET ON SOUTH SIDE OF TOWN.

&&

CAS
Special weather statement, May 30, 8:39 AM CDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
839 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

OKZ071-073-301415-
MCINTOSH OK-PITTSBURG OK-
839 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 915 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     MCINTOSH AND NORTHWESTERN PITTSBURG

AT 839 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SCIPIO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...EUFAULA...HANNA...VERNON...
RAIFORD...VIVIAN...STIDHAM...SCIPIO...INDIANOLA...CANADIAN AND LAKE
EUFAULA STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3516 9599 3522 9599 3548 9561 3526 9545
      3502 9595 3512 9602 3514 9602
TIME...MOT...LOC 1339Z 235DEG 30KT 3512 9593
Special weather statement, May 30, 9:49 AM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
949 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

OKZ062-063-068-301530-
CHEROKEE OK-DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-
949 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1030 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN CHEROKEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHEASTERN MAYES

AT 949 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF
LOCUST GROVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...JAY...LEACH...CHLOETA...LOCUST
GROVE...ROSE AND LAKE EUCHA STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3653 9494 3636 9467 3606 9516 3611 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 1449Z 223DEG 46KT 3611 9515
Special weather statement, May 30, 10:41 AM CDT, 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1041 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

OKZ054-055-301630-
OSAGE OK-WASHINGTON OK-
1041 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN OSAGE AND WASHINGTON

AT 1041 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF BIGHEART TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PEARSONIA TO 16 MILES WEST OF FAIRFAX...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...PAWHUSKA...
WYNONA...WOLCO...FAIRFAX...BARNSDALL...PERSHING...TALLANT...
NELAGONEY...OKESA...PEARSONIA...BIGHEART...HULAH...BARTLESVILLE...
OCHELATA...DEWEY...COPAN...OSAGE HILLS STATE PARK...WAH SHA SHE STATE
PARK AND BARTLESVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

LAT...LON 3699 9580 3656 9584 3647 9638 3653 9673
      3656 9675 3654 9682 3655 9689 3659 9692
      3659 9698 3672 9663 3701 9635
TIME...MOT...LOC 1541Z 278DEG 30KT 3697 9626 3671 9651
          3658 9697

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee32 min
May 29, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa57 min
May 29, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Creek, Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa and 2 more57 min
May 29, 8:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkmulgee35 min
May 29, 9:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACraig32 min
May 29, 9:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOttawa38 min
May 29, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage45 min
May 29, 11:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAWashington26 min
May 29, 11:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMuskogee37 min
May 29, 11:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPawnee29 min
May 30, 12:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMuskogee24 min
May 30, 12:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah32 min
May 30, 12:35 AM CDTTornado WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah25 min
May 30, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah60 min
May 30, 1:08 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAWashington52 min
May 30, 2:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMuskogee39 min
May 30, 4:12 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage33 min
May 30, 4:58 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAOsage, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington62 min
May 30, 6:52 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAOsage, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington3 hr
May 30, 8:14 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOsage24 hr
May 30, 8:14 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOsage, Tulsa43 hr
May 30, 8:14 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSATulsa42 hr
May 30, 8:19 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAWashington3 days
May 30, 8:19 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSARogers, Tulsa4 days
May 30, 8:22 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOttawa5 days
May 30, 8:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMcIntosh36 min
May 30, 9:49 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSADelaware41 min
May 30, 10:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WatchTSAOttawa6 hr
May 30, 10:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WatchTSAAdair48 hr
May 30, 10:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WatchTSACherokee35 hr
May 30, 10:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WatchTSACherokee, Delaware62 hr
May 30, 10:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WatchTSACherokee48 hr
May 30, 10:41 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage, Washington49 min
May 30, 11:28 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage, Washington47 min
May 30, 11:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore40 min
May 30, 12:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage, Pawnee, Washington28 min
May 30, 12:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAOsage4 hr
May 30, 12:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee64 min
May 30, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Washington36 min
May 30, 1:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee61 min
May 30, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore37 min
May 30, 1:51 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee39 min
May 30, 2:29 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee31 min
May 30, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Washington46 min
May 30, 3:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSANowata, Washington66 min
May 30, 3:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington63 min
May 30, 3:32 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACreek, Pawnee58 min
May 30, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers47 min
May 30, 4:20 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSAOttawa39 hr
May 30, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa62 min
May 30, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSARogers27 min
May 30, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa, Rogers54 min
May 30, 4:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair37 min
May 30, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes45 min
May 30, 5:06 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, Tulsa84 min
May 30, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Tulsa, Wagoner61 min
May 30, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee66 min
May 30, 5:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSARogers46 min
May 30, 5:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOttawa38 min
May 30, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes45 min
May 30, 6:08 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSACraig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Osage and 6 more6 hr
May 30, 6:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSADelaware, Mayes29 min
May 30, 6:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPawnee27 min
May 30, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee56 min
May 30, 6:54 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Wagoner36 min
May 30, 2:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington28 min
May 30, 2:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACarroll, Madison29 min
May 30, 3:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACarroll43 min
May 30, 12:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAFranklin38 min
May 30, 12:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSASebastian33 min
May 30, 12:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAFranklin35 min
May 30, 1:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACarroll57 min
May 30, 2:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMadison47 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Oklahoma, 2013Flash Flood Watches in Arkansas, 2013Every flash flood watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.