Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 377

June 27, 20134 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 27, 2013, 1:58 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 27, 2013, 1:58 PM EDT (17:58 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2013, 9:26 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 65 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 2:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPFranklin, Fulton59 min
Jun 27, 2:15 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPJuniata, Perry45 min
Jun 27, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Franklin, Juniata, Perry78 min
Jun 27, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder, Union77 min
Jun 27, 3:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPCumberland, Franklin, Juniata, Perry3 hr
Jun 27, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Huntingdon55 min
Jun 27, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, Lebanon57 min
Jun 27, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry and 3 more69 min
Jun 27, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder, Union60 min
Jun 27, 4:46 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder and 1 more3 hr
Jun 27, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Dauphin, Lebanon, Northumberland, Schuylkill77 min
Jun 27, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Lycoming, Union58 min
Jun 27, 5:26 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPColumbia, Dauphin, Lebanon, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill3 hr
Jun 27, 5:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill, Sullivan65 min
Jun 27, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill, Sullivan64 min
Jun 27, 8:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Somerset4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2013-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 290 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2013-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
290 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
714 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

861 
WWUS20 KWNS 271804
SEL7  
SPC WW 271804
DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-280200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 377
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM EDT THU JUN 27 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
  DELAWARE
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND
  NEW JERSEY
  SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
  NORTHERN VIRGINIA
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ALLENTOWN PENNSYLVANIA TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF DOVER DELAWARE.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 376...

DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOW UNDERWAY ALONG
AND TO THE EAST OF THE NORTH CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.  ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND INTENSIFY...AHEAD OF THE
MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTING TOWARD NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS.  DEEP LAYER FLOW AND SHEAR ARE SOMEWHAT MODEST...BUT HIGH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONTENT AND HUMIDITY...COUPLED WITH AMBIENT
VERTICAL VORTICITY...MAY CONTRIBUTE TO THE RISK FOR A FEW...AT LEAST
WEAK...TORNADOES IN DISCRETE STORMS.  PRECIPITATION LOADING WITHIN
CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO THE RISK FOR
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...KERR

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 1:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex116 min
Jun 27, 3:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex93 min
Jun 27, 6:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Essex, Hudson, Morris, Passaic, Sussex and 1 more62 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2013Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2013Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.