Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70

March 31, 20136 counties in Arkansas; 19 counties in Oklahoma; 50 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 31, 2013, 5:10 AM CDT for 6 counties in Arkansas; 19 counties in Oklahoma; 50 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2013, 5:10 AM CDT (10:10 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2013, 12:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 75 counties

Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Marion County, TX, Montague County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Panola County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 5:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Garvin, Pontotoc46 min
Mar 31, 5:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Johnston, Murray29 min
Mar 31, 5:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJohnston, Murray37 min
Mar 31, 5:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal, Johnston, Pontotoc50 min
Mar 31, 6:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan, Carter, Johnston, Love, Marshall58 min
Mar 31, 6:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan52 min
Mar 31, 6:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Grayson42 min
Mar 31, 7:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw59 min
Mar 31, 7:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFannin66 min
Mar 31, 7:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Denton62 min
Mar 31, 7:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDGrayson31 min
Mar 31, 7:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain43 min
Mar 31, 7:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLamar56 min
Mar 31, 7:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHunt67 min
Mar 31, 8:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Rockwall67 min
Mar 31, 8:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Hopkins59 min
Mar 31, 8:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River41 min
Mar 31, 8:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHunt, Kaufman62 min
Mar 31, 8:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt61 min
Mar 31, 8:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Morris, Red River and 1 more41 min
Mar 31, 9:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Morris, Upshur47 min
Mar 31, 9:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada60 min
Mar 31, 9:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson80 min
Mar 31, 9:44 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVHarrison, Marion31 min
Mar 31, 10:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette, Miller, Union60 min
Mar 31, 10:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCass, Harrison, Marion, Panola27 min
Mar 31, 10:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Panola, Rusk, Smith39 min
Mar 31, 10:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Harrison, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby and 1 more59 min
Mar 31, 11:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 986 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
986 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1273 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
5.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more5 hr
Mar 30, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan, Madison, Newton and 6 more91 min
Mar 31, 7:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more114 min
Mar 31, 9:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Union5 hr
Mar 31, 10:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Columbia, Union57 min
Mar 31, 11:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia and 20 more36 min
Mar 31, 12:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu and 32 more6 hr
Mar 31, 2:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Catahoula and 21 more58 min
Mar 31, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCameron, Iberia, Saint Martin, St. Mary, Vermilion5 hr
Mar 31, 3:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Orleans, Saint Charles, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany and 1 more54 min
Mar 31, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAssumption, Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard and 5 more3 hr
Mar 30, 7:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, McIntosh and 9 more53 min
Mar 30, 8:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche, Cotton and 17 more91 min
Mar 31, 1:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 23 more62 min
Mar 31, 4:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Comanche and 12 more96 min
Mar 31, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos and 32 more60 min
Mar 31, 1:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar and 47 more9 hr
Mar 31, 5:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Brazoria, Chambers, DeWitt, Dimmit, Fort Bend and 18 more96 min
Mar 31, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBee, Duval, Jim Wells, Kleberg, La Salle, Live Oak and 4 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.