Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 73

March 31, 201353 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 31, 2013, 1:17 PM CDT for 53 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2013, 1:17 PM CDT (18:17 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2013, 9:50 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 53 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Llano County, TX, Madison County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Milam County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Real County, TX, Robertson County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 1:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Sutton40 min
Mar 31, 1:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble38 min
Mar 31, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBurnet, Travis37 min
Mar 31, 2:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr43 min
Mar 31, 2:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real38 min
Mar 31, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Real45 min
Mar 31, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris, Liberty, Montgomery, San Jacinto37 min
Mar 31, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr47 min
Mar 31, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris, Liberty, Montgomery48 min
Mar 31, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal24 min
Mar 31, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde53 min
Mar 31, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kinney, Uvalde64 min
Mar 31, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala57 min
Mar 31, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar35 min
Mar 31, 6:08 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXFrio37 min
Mar 31, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Uvalde, Zavala60 min
Mar 31, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio36 min
Mar 31, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Zavala50 min
Mar 31, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde62 min
Mar 31, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit64 min
Mar 31, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Val Verde66 min
Mar 31, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 257 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1833 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 282 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1833 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-201 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
878 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
282 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
335 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 8:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Montague, Wichita, Wilbarger91 min
Mar 31, 1:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWheeler62 min
Mar 31, 4:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Collin, Cooke, Delta, Denton, Fannin and 8 more96 min
Mar 31, 5:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bosque, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 44 more7 hr
Mar 31, 7:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Collin and 34 more114 min
Mar 31, 9:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAngelina, Sabine, San Augustine5 hr
Mar 31, 10:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Nacogdoches, Panola and 2 more57 min
Mar 31, 11:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Jasper, Newton, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby and 1 more36 min
Mar 31, 12:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAngelina, Hardin, Houston, Jasper, Newton, Polk and 5 more6 hr
Mar 31, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos and 32 more60 min
Mar 31, 2:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Hardin, Jasper, Liberty, Nacogdoches, Newton and 8 more58 min
Mar 31, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris and 4 more5 hr
Mar 31, 5:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Brazoria, Chambers, DeWitt, Dimmit, Fort Bend and 18 more96 min
Mar 31, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBee, Duval, Jim Wells, Kleberg, La Salle, Live Oak and 4 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.