Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 488

August 8, 201349 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 8, 2013, 5:32 PM CDT for 49 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 8, 2013, 5:32 PM CDT (22:32 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2013, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 66 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 5:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg6 hr
Aug 8, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah64 min
Aug 8, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMarion, Searcy39 min
Aug 8, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Cleburne, Izard, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren43 min
Aug 8, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian57 min
Aug 8, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin38 min
Aug 8, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Stone48 min
Aug 8, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan41 min
Aug 8, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Stone43 min
Aug 8, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKScott36 min
Aug 8, 9:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Independence, Jackson, Pope, Van Buren and 1 more3 hr
Aug 8, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott24 min
Aug 8, 11:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff2 hr
Aug 8, 11:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCraighead, Lawrence3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2013-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 195 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2013-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
195 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
651 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 3:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Madison, Washington3 hr
Aug 8, 5:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 22 more66 min
Aug 7, 8:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Texas89 min
Aug 7, 9:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Garfield and 6 more88 min
Aug 7, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer and 17 more7 hr
Aug 7, 11:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Texas60 min
Aug 8, 3:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCreek, Kay, Lincoln, Logan, Noble, Nowata and 7 more87 min
Aug 8, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Cimarron, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 2 more60 min
Aug 8, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Beckham, Cimarron, Custer, Dewey, Greer and 7 more9 hr
Aug 8, 5:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal and 30 more88 min
Aug 8, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian, Carter and 22 more8 hr
Aug 8, 6:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Cimarron, Custer, Dewey, Greer and 7 more88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.