Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36

February 18, 20134 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 18, 2013, 2:19 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2013, 2:19 PM CST (20:19 UTC)
Expired
Feb 18, 2013, 9:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 79 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

53 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 2:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison28 min
Feb 18, 2:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk33 min
Feb 18, 2:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin33 min
Feb 18, 2:43 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVBienville, De Soto, Red River47 min
Feb 18, 2:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison26 min
Feb 18, 2:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson49 min
Feb 18, 3:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Lafayette, Miller58 min
Feb 18, 3:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery32 min
Feb 18, 3:15 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVHempstead, Lafayette, Miller45 min
Feb 18, 3:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren and 1 more26 min
Feb 18, 3:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell36 min
Feb 18, 3:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Pike, Polk31 min
Feb 18, 3:50 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Nevada25 min
Feb 18, 3:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Logan, Pope, Van Buren, Yell31 min
Feb 18, 4:03 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Union27 min
Feb 18, 4:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike25 min
Feb 18, 4:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Nevada, Sevier39 min
Feb 18, 4:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Saline23 min
Feb 18, 4:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Rusk, Smith49 min
Feb 18, 4:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMiller46 min
Feb 18, 4:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Pike30 min
Feb 18, 4:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline47 min
Feb 18, 4:48 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVHempstead, Nevada27 min
Feb 18, 4:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPulaski, Saline41 min
Feb 18, 5:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo59 min
Feb 18, 5:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas42 min
Feb 18, 5:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Little River, Miller, Nevada40 min
Feb 18, 5:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Rusk, Smith34 min
Feb 18, 5:13 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVGregg, Panola, Rusk32 min
Feb 18, 5:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo29 min
Feb 18, 5:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNevada26 min
Feb 18, 5:26 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVNacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby34 min
Feb 18, 5:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski, White33 min
Feb 18, 5:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Ouachita33 min
Feb 18, 5:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk45 min
Feb 18, 5:45 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVPanola, Rusk45 min
Feb 18, 5:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo26 min
Feb 18, 5:59 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVNacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby46 min
Feb 18, 6:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski44 min
Feb 18, 6:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette27 min
Feb 18, 6:04 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Caddo41 min
Feb 18, 6:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff39 min
Feb 18, 6:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson31 min
Feb 18, 6:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Lonoke, Prairie30 min
Feb 18, 6:15 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette30 min
Feb 18, 6:29 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVCaddo, De Soto46 min
Feb 18, 6:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Drew, Jefferson and 2 more39 min
Feb 18, 6:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Monroe, Prairie51 min
Feb 18, 6:43 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVDe Soto47 min
Feb 18, 7:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln47 min
Feb 18, 7:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe31 min
Feb 18, 7:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Desha, Drew31 min
Feb 18, 7:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Drew43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 510 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
668 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
510 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
670 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 1:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hempstead and 14 more2 hr
Feb 18, 3:52 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Conway, Dallas, Garland and 15 more83 min
Feb 18, 4:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Desha, Drew, Independence, Jackson, Jefferson and 7 more66 min
Feb 18, 5:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Jefferson and 5 more91 min
Feb 18, 2:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine, Vernon67 min
Feb 18, 5:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSabine84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.