Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 280

June 5, 201310 counties in New Mexico; 35 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 5, 2013, 1:47 PM MDT for 10 counties in New Mexico; 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 5, 2013, 1:47 PM MDT (19:47 UTC)
Expired: Jun 5, 2013, 9:00 PM MDT
In force: 7 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 65 kt

All 45 counties

Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 10%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 60%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 80%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 5, 1:54 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Union	36 min
Jun 5, 1:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Mora, San Miguel	64 min
Jun 5, 3:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Mora, San Miguel	61 min
Jun 5, 3:22 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Harding, Union	53 min
Jun 5, 3:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Harding	54 min
Jun 5, 4:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Harding, Quay, San Miguel	64 min
Jun 5, 5:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Harding, Quay	54 min
Jun 5, 5:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Curry, Quay	61 min
Jun 5, 6:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Deaf Smith	90 min
Jun 5, 6:35 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Castro, Parmer	40 min
Jun 5, 7:03 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves, Curry, De Baca, Quay, Roosevelt	57 min
Jun 5, 7:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Castro, Lamb, Parmer, Swisher	45 min
Jun 5, 7:38 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves, Curry, Roosevelt	52 min
Jun 5, 7:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Lamb, Parmer, Swisher	33 min
Jun 5, 8:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cochran, Hockley, Lamb	16 min
Jun 5, 8:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Hale, Hockley, Lamb and 3 more	31 min
Jun 5, 8:40 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Terry, Yoakum	20 min
Jun 5, 8:47 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Hale, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock, Terry, Yoakum	13 min
Jun 5, 8:55 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cochran, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry and 1 more	35 min
Jun 5, 9:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Castro, Hale, Lamb, Lubbock, Swisher	30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 504 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -240 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 811 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 322 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 5, 12:45 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Colfax, Harding, Mora, San Miguel, Union	90 min
Jun 5, 5:55 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Quay, Roosevelt	2 hr
Jun 4, 6:30 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Archer, Armstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Carson, Childress and 35 more	2 hr
Jun 4, 9:19 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Armstrong, Briscoe, Callahan, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth and 27 more	86 min
Jun 4, 10:39 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts	66 min
Jun 5, 1:36 AM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Hansford, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree	84 min
Jun 5, 2:56 PM MDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 22 more	94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2013 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.