Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Blacksburg, VA

January 30, 2013Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina; 6 counties in Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 30, 2013, 9:11 PM EST for Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina; 6 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 64 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2013, 9:11 PM EST (02:11 UTC)
Expired
Jan 30, 2013, 10:15 PM EST
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Bedford County, VA, Campbell County, VA, City of Danville, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 30, 9:30 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 Nnw Westover Hills, VATREE DOWN ON CLEARVIEW DR
Jan 30, 9:50 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG3 Se Ringgold, VATREE DOWN ON CEDAR RD
Jan 30, 9:50 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG4 Ne Ringgold, VATREE DOWN ON ROCKSPRINGS RD

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 19 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 30, 8:21 PM ESTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2013-01-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 64 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2013-01-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -186 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
64 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-118 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
567 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
82 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

322 
WUUS51 KRNK 310211
SVRRNK
NCC033-157-VAC019-031-083-089-143-590-310315-
/O.NEW.KRNK.SV.W.0007.130131T0211Z-130131T0315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
911 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  CASWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  CITY OF DANVILLE IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN HALIFAX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME EASTERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1015 PM EST

* AT 908 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE SHOWERS 
  AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN 
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING 
  FROM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUDDLESTON TO BETHANY...OR ALONG A LINE 
  EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF PENHOOK TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF 
  WENTWORTH... AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAYFIELD...                      PROVIDENCE...
  DANVILLE CITY...                 BLAIRS...
  EDEN...                          REIDSVILLE...
  WENTWORTH...                     YANCEYVILLE...
  JERICHO...                       INGRAM...
  CALLANDS...                      CHATHAM...
  HURT...                          BROOKNEAL...
  GRETNA...                        MT AIRY...
  CAMP SPRINGS...                  GATEWOOD...
  PELHAM...                        AND RINGGOLD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE 
TORNADOES. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR A SMALL 
INTERIOR ROOM IN A STURDY BUILDING.

IN ADDITION TO STRONG DAMAGING WINDS... TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY FLOOD 
LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO 
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EST THURSDAY MORNING 
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3625 7983 3683 7967 3687 7964 3712 7959
      3721 7884 3625 7925
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 251DEG 33KT 3708 7957 3630 7980 

$$

AS
2 follow-up statements
217 
WWUS51 KRNK 310242
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
942 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC019-089-310252-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130131T0315Z/
BEDFORD VA-HENRY VA-
942 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL BEDFORD AND EXTREME EASTERN HENRY COUNTIES IS 
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3676 7945 3715 7934 3721 7884 3625 7925
      3625 7970
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 255DEG 35KT 3714 7922 3636 7945 

$$

NCC033-157-VAC031-083-143-590-310315-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130131T0315Z/
ROCKINGHAM NC-CASWELL NC-PITTSYLVANIA VA-HALIFAX VA-
CITY OF DANVILLE VA-CAMPBELL VA-
942 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EST 
FOR
EASTERN ROCKINGHAM...CASWELL...CENTRAL PITTSYLVANIA...NORTHWESTERN 
HALIFAX AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMPBELL COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF 
DANVILLE...

AT 938 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HODGES TO 
QUICK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HURT TO CAMP SPRINGS...MOVING 
EAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAYFIELD...                      PROVIDENCE...
DANVILLE CITY...                 BLAIRS...
JERICHO...                       YANCEYVILLE...
INGRAM...                        CHATHAM...
HURT...                          BROOKNEAL...
GRETNA...                        MT AIRY...
CAMP SPRINGS...                  GATEWOOD...
PELHAM...                        RINGGOLD...
WESTOVER HILLS...                DANVILLE AIRPORT...
RUFFIN...                        AND LAWSONVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE 
TORNADOES. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR A SMALL 
INTERIOR ROOM IN A STURDY BUILDING.

IN ADDITION TO STRONG DAMAGING WINDS... TORRENTIAL RAINS MAY FLOOD 
LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO 
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE 
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING 
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND 
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3676 7945 3715 7934 3721 7884 3625 7925
      3625 7970
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 255DEG 35KT 3714 7922 3636 7945 

$$

AS
577 
WWUS51 KRNK 310307
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1007 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCC157-033-VAC031-590-083-143-310317-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130131T0315Z/
ROCKINGHAM NC-CASWELL NC-PITTSYLVANIA VA-HALIFAX VA-
CITY OF DANVILLE VA-CAMPBELL VA-
1007 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
EASTERN ROCKINGHAM...CASWELL...CENTRAL PITTSYLVANIA...NORTHWESTERN 
HALIFAX AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMPBELL COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF DANVILLE 
WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 PM EST...
            
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW 
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER 
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE 
THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3676 7945 3715 7934 3721 7884 3625 7925
      3625 7970
TIME...MOT...LOC 0307Z 251DEG 33KT 3714 7922 3636 7945 

$$

AS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 30, 8:30 PM EST, 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 8:30 PM EST, 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
830 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING A PERIOD OF
HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY FALLING
TEMPERATURES AND MORE GUSTY WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
COLD AIR WILL PERSIST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND...WITH PERIODIC EPISODES OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 830 PM WEDNESDAY...

QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (QLCS - SQUALL LINE) WILL RACE
EAST OF MAIN COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25 HAS
NOW REPLACED SEVERE STORM WATCH NUMBER 22. AFTER COORDINATION WITH
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER...LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE BACKING AND
INCREASING OVER NC AND INTO SOUTHSIDE VA. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN AN INCREASE IN THE SQUALL LINE INTENSITY AS IT MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. THIS NEW WATCH IS EFFECTIVE UNTIL 2AM...FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE QLCS SHOULD SEE A LULL IN THE
WIND...ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...MAY CONTINUE UP
UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER TONIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT IS
CURRENTLY MOVING EAST THROUGH THE OHIO/TN VALLEYS AND IS PROGGED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...BRINING AN ABRUPT CHANGE
IN TEMPERATURE AND SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION. ANY LULL IN THE WIND
PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL INCREASE AGAIN POST FRONTAL WITH
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION BRINGING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND FALLING
TEMPERATURES FOR THE LATE NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY.

HAVE EXTENDED THE HIGH WIND WARNINGS/ADVISORIES THROUGH 4PM
THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR BOTH PRE AND POST FRONTAL WINDS. FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED EAST THROUGH SOUTHSIDE VA THROUGH
0400 AM THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN ANTICIPATED ALONG
AND JUST BEHIND QLCS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST...EVEN
IN THE WAKE OF THE QLCS...UNTIL ACTUAL COLD FRONT SWEEPS THE
DEEPER MOISTURE EAST OF THE AREA. CRITICAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS ARE
BEING MET THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH RAIN AMOUNTS EXCEEDING FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE...AND IN SOME CASES SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE FFG. RIVER
GAGES ARE RESPONDING ACCORDINGLY...HYDROGRAPHS GOING
VERTICAL...ESP ALONG THE WATAUGA...HOLSTON...CLINCH...AND
HEADWATERS OF THE NEW RIVER. THIS IS WHERE UPWARDS OF 3 INCHES
HAVE RAIN HAS OCCURRED. FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED...WATAUGA COUNTY...WHERE RAIN AMOUNTS HAVE EXCEEDED 5
INCHES. THE WATUAGA RIVER WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO MAJOR
FLOODING. THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS LIFE THREATENING! WINTERTIME
SOILS WILL NOT ABSORB WATER LIKE THE SUMMER...ANYTHING MUCH OVER
AN INCH THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL GO INTO PURE RUNOFF...AND MUDSLIDES
ARE AN ALMOST CERTAINTY WITH THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.

LOCAL MODELS INDICATE THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN ABRUBT END AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AROUND 1AM IN THE WEST...CLOSER TO 4 AM IN THE
EAST...ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. AT SOME POINT
MAY NEED TO CONSIDER WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES FOR THE FAR WESTERN
CWA...FROM WESTERN GREENBRIER...SOUTHWARD THROUGH BLUEFIELD AND
INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA. RAPID FALL IN TEMPERATURE
IS EXPECTED AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN CHANGE OVER
FROM RAIN TO SNOW. THIS CHANGE IS PROGGED TO TAKE PLACE AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW
ACROSS THESE MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS THURSDAY MORNING.

WINDS/CLOUDS/MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. FROM THAT POINT ON...IT WILL BE BACK TO
WINTER WITH TEMPS AND PTYPE RESEMBLING SOMETHING MORE TYPICAL OF
JANUARY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 415 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

WARM WEATHER IS OVER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

POLAR AIR WHICH COMES INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WILL BE REINFORCED BY
SOME ARCTIC AIR THURSDAY NIGHT. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD MIDNIGHT THURSDAY... PASSING OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO POOL INTO THE
REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AS THE GULF IS
BEING BLOCKED BY A SURFACE RIDGE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ONE
TO THREE INCHES OF DRY SNOW TO THE FAR WEST AND A DUSTING TO AN
INCH FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SCATTERED FLURRIES PUSHING EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...POSSIBLY IN TO THE PIEDMONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. 85H TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
PLUNGE TO NEAR -16C IN THE AFTERNOON...SUGGESTING SURFACE TEMPS
WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND
REMAIN IN THE 20S WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO
BE THE COLDEST OF THE UPCOMING NIGHT THIS WEEKEND...CLEAR SKIES
AND DIMINISHING WINDS ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD IS DOMINATED BY WEST OR NORTHWEST FLOW AND
SOME DEGREE OF COLD ADVECTION UNDER LARGE LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT
PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH AMERICA...HOWEVER OVER TIME
THE AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY AS WE GO THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.  HOW MUCH THIS DIMINISHES...AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF A
FEW CLIPPER SYSTEMS THAT WILL PROVIDE A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLDER
AIR AND SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL...REMAINS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION AS
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN MUCH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH THIS
PERIOD.

BEGINNING SATURDAY HOWEVER...GUIDANCE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH BY LATE IN THE DAY
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 12Z CANADIAN A
LITTLE FASTER AND A LITTLE COLDER. 12Z GFS A BIT STRONGER WITH THIS
SYSTEM...BUT ALSO SOMEWHAT MILDER ON SATURDAY BEFORE IT ARRIVES WITH
WEAK WARM ADVECTION.  GFS ENSEMBLES ALSO SUGGEST THE OPERATIONAL GFS
IS ON THE WARMER SIDE OF THE POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS...SO EVEN THOUGH
WILL NOT GO AS COLD AS THE ECMWF MOS NUMBERS...WILL STAY A FEW DEG
COOLER THAN GFS-BASED NUMBERS. HAVE ALSO INTRODUCED SOME HIGH CHC TO
LOW LIKELY POPS IN THE FAR WEST AS EARLY AS LATE IN THE DAY
SATURDAY. WOULD EXPECT PRECIP TO ARRIVE EARLIER THAN THE GFS...AND
MAYBE EARLIER THAN THE ECMWF GIVEN THE TYPICAL BIAS OF THE MODELS IN
THESE SITUATIONS. STILL LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY MINOR NW FLOW SNOWFALL
EVENT FOR THE UPSLOPE AREAS...YET A FEW INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. MAYBE EVEN A SKIFF FARTHER EAST UP TOWARD THE BLUE RDG IF
THE STRONGER GFS IDEA ENDS UP BEING CORRECT.

COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THAT...AND THE DEGREE OF COLD
AIR ADVECTION IS UNCERTAIN YET DOES NOT LOOK ESPECIALLY STRONG.  00Z
ECMWF BUILDS WEAK S/WV RIDGE IN FOR MONDAY ACTUALLY...AHEAD OF THE
NEXT SYSTEM. FASTER SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THIS NEXT CLIPPER COULD ARRIVE
BY LATE MONDAY...BUT CONSENSUS LOOKS MORE LIKE LATE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. HAVE A SLIGHT CHC IN LATE MONDAY THOUGH AGAIN BECAUSE
OF MODEL BIASES TYPICALLY NOT FAST ENOUGH.  THIS IS LIKELY TO BE
MORE MINOR EVENT IN TERMS OF ANY SNOW SHOWER ACCUMULATIONS IN
TYPICAL UPSLOPE AREAS COMPARED TO WEEKEND EVENT...YET FAR ENOUGH OUT
THAT THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME FOR POTENTIAL AMPLIFICATION AND
CANADIAN IS MOST AGRESSIVE WITH THIS IDEA.

FINALLY BY WEDNESDAY THERE ARE SIGNS OF LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOMING
INCREASINGLY ZONAL...ESPECIALLY GFS SOLUTIONS...BUT SOME DEGREE OF
NW FLOW MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK SO NOT EXPECTING ANY MAJOR
WARM UPS THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY
SEASONABLE. BETTER CHANCE FOR WARM UP MAY COME LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 700 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

PRIMARILY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT WITH LCL IFR DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT BETWEEN 06-09 UTC (1AM-4AM)TIME
FRAME. THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME WESTERLY
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT WILL OCCUR
WITH POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE GUSTS OF 35 KTS. PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT WILL ALSO BRING COLDER TEMPERATURES WITH RAIN CHANGING TO
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AT
BLF/LWB/BCB AFTER 0400 AM.

STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE. A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT-EARLY FRIDAY
BRINGING A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS FROM SNOW SHOWERS. VFR
CONDTIONS WILL THEN RETURN LATE FRIDAY WITH ANOUTHER ROUND OF MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH YET ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE - CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVY RAIN IS ONGOING ACROSS THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA. IT NOW
APPEARS...PER THE STATIONARY NATURE OF THE RAINS...THAT AS MUCH
AS 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL OCCUR OVER THE HEADWATERS OF THE NEW
RIVER...THE HOLSTON AND CLINCH RIVERS...AND THE DAN RIVER. 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY ACROSS THE HEADWATERS OF THE
ROANOKE...JAMES...AND GREENBRIER.

THIS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA RIVERS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MINOR RIVER
FLOODING. MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS LIKELY ON THE WATAUGA
RIVER WHERE UPWARDS OF 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS BEEN OBSERVED. A FLASH
FLOOD EMERGENCY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WATUAGA COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
WATER RESCUES ARE UNDERWAY. PLEASE MONITOR RIVER FORECASTS CLOSELY
AS WE WILL BE UPDATING THE FORECASTS AS INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTERS.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER BROADCASTING FROM WYTHEVILLE
IS BACK ON THE AIR. THE SITE LOST COMMERCIAL POWER AND IS NOW
OPERATING ON GENERATOR POWER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009>020-
     022>024-032>035-043>045-058.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ011-013-014-
     016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009-010-
     012-015.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ001>006-
     018>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ002>006-019-020.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ042>045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ043>045.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...DS
HYDROLOGY...PM
EQUIPMENT...PM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 8:55 PM EST, 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
855 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-010200-
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-GRAYSON-MERCER-
855 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ019-020-WVZ043>045-010200-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
855 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ046-047-059-010200-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-CHARLOTTE-
855 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 25 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004>006-VAZ043>045-058-010200-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-HALIFAX-
855 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 25 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ002-003-019-020-VAZ011-013-014-016>018-022>024-032>035-010200-
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WILKES-YADKIN-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-
FLOYD-CRAIG-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-
855 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 30, 6:23 PM EST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
623 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ032>034-043>046-310015-
CAMPBELL VA-FRANKLIN VA-PATRICK VA-APPOMATTOX VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-
BEDFORD VA-HENRY VA-
623 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 715 PM EST

* AT 619 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM GOODE TO SANDY RIDGE...OR ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM BEDFORD CITY TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPENCER...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MARTINSVILLE CITY...             CONCORD...
  EVINGTON...                      HUDDLESTON...
  MONETA...                        SYDNORSVILLE...
  SPENCER...                       AXTON...
  CALLANDS...                      CHATHAM...
  BASSETT...                       HURT...
  RUSTBURG...                      GRETNA...
  RIDGEWAY...                      PENHOOK...
  MARTINSVILLE AIRPORT...          CASCADE...
  AIKEN SUMMIT...                  AND LYNCHBURG AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 7880 3655 7956 3654 8023 3732 7954
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 245DEG 3KT 3737 7942 3656 8015

AS
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 6:32 PM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
632 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ035-046-047-310030-
BUCKINGHAM VA-APPOMATTOX VA-AMHERST VA-
632 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  BUCKINGHAM COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 730 PM EST

* AT 628 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM SCHUYLER TO MADISON HEIGHTS...OR ALONG A
  LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF DILLWYN TO LYNCHBURG
  CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BENT CREEK...                    DILLWYN...
  SHEPPARDS...                     RIVERVILLE...
  OAKVILLE...                      TOWER HILL...
  CENTENARY...                     GOLD HILL...
  TOGA...                          ANDERSONVILLE...
  BUCKINGHAM...                    AND WINGINA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 7825 3734 7847 3738 7858 3740 7859
      3743 7913 3755 7891 3754 7883 3757 7881
      3759 7883 3764 7877 3763 7872 3767 7871
      3769 7868 3768 7865 3771 7866 3777 7855
      3768 7824
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 265DEG 21KT 3777 7862 3743 7911

AS
Local storm report, Jan 30, 6:43 PM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
643 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BOONE                   36.21N 81.67W
01/30/2013                   WATAUGA            NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            BOONE VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED THAT AT LEAST
            FOUR WATER RESCUES ARE OCCURING AT THIS TIME...AND
            NUMEROUS ROADS ARE CLOSED IN THE BOONE AREA

&&

PW
Local storm report, Jan 30, 7:21 PM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
721 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SW JORDAN MINES       37.63N 80.18W
01/30/2013                   ALLEGHANY          VA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            8 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS POTTS CREEK ROAD IN THE
            8400 BLOCK. ROAD CLOSED.

&&

SK
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 7:30 PM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
730 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ003>005-020-VAZ016-017-032-033-043-310145-
STOKES NC-YADKIN NC-SURRY NC-ROCKINGHAM NC-FRANKLIN VA-PATRICK VA-
CARROLL VA-HENRY VA-FLOYD VA-
730 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  YADKIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
  CAROLINA...
  CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 845 PM EST

* AT 724 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM DUGSPUR TO BUCK SHOALS...OR ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALLISONIA TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF
  RONDA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INDIAN VALLEY...                 MOUNT AIRY...
  KING...                          ELKIN...
  ROCKY MOUNT...                   YADKINVILLE...
  SPENCER...                       WALNUT COVE...
  DOBSON...                        BOTTOM...
  BASSETT...                       FERRUM...
  PILOT MOUNTAIN...                FRANCISCO...
  CANA...                          BOONVILLE...
  COPPER HILL...                   STUART...
  EAST BEND...                     AND WOOLWINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3605 8088 3617 8088 3691 8068 3720 7979
      3626 8005 3626 8045 3623 8044 3611 8048
      3611 8051 3609 8052 3605 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 247DEG 30KT 3687 8066 3606 8092

AS
Special weather statement, Jan 30, 8:06 PM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
806 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ005-006-VAZ023-024-033>035-043>046-058-310230-
CASWELL NC-ROCKINGHAM NC-CAMPBELL VA-BOTETOURT VA-FRANKLIN VA-
HALIFAX VA-APPOMATTOX VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-AMHERST VA-BEDFORD VA-
ROCKBRIDGE VA-HENRY VA-
806 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  CASWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EAST CENTRAL BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN HALIFAX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 930 PM EST

* AT 759 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM BUCHANAN TO PENNS STORE...OR ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EAGLE ROCK TO SPENCER...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BEDFORD...
  LYNCHBURG CITY...
  MARTINSVILLE...
  DANVILLE...
  REIDSVILLE...
  AND YANCEYVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3626 8004 3639 8003 3762 7965 3787 7915
      3781 7917 3778 7908 3772 7906 3753 7888
      3654 7910 3654 7914 3625 7916
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 240DEG 30KT 3755 7970 3656 8005

AS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 7:30 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKStokes, Surry, Yadkin75 min
Jan 30, 7:59 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin6 hr
Jan 30, 8:06 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKCaswell, Rockingham84 min
Jan 30, 8:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes53 min
Jan 31, 12:11 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes9 hr
Jan 31, 2:16 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes6 hr
Jan 31, 4:19 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryRNKAshe, Watauga34 hr
Jan 31, 8:21 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes6 hr
Jan 30, 8:02 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Campbell, Franklin, Henry and 4 more6 hr
Jan 30, 9:02 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRNKCraig, Montgomery, Roanoke6 hr
Jan 30, 9:33 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKMontgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford29 hr
Jan 30, 9:48 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell42 min
Jan 30, 10:53 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKTazewell6 hr
Jan 31, 12:34 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig and 9 more9 hr
Jan 31, 2:38 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax19 hr
Jan 31, 2:38 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKTazewell11 hr
Jan 31, 2:38 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax13 hr
Jan 31, 2:38 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKGiles29 hr
Jan 31, 2:42 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKCraig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke6 hr
Jan 31, 3:42 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKBotetourt13 hr
Jan 31, 3:42 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKBotetourt23 hr
Jan 31, 3:42 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg18 hr
Jan 31, 3:42 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKBuckingham, Fluvanna49 hr
Jan 31, 3:48 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKRoanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem13 hr
Jan 31, 3:48 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKGiles9 hr
Jan 31, 6:45 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKGiles9 hr
Jan 31, 7:43 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKCampbell, Pittsylvania9 hr
Jan 31, 9:22 AM ESTFlash Flood WatchRNKCarroll, Pulaski, Wythe, City of Galax, City of Radford24 hr
Jan 31, 10:07 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Covington and 1 more8 hr
Jan 31, 12:19 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKCampbell, Charlotte, Halifax9 hr
Jan 31, 12:19 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax41 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.