Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Blacksburg, VA

039 
WGUS71 KRNK 310317
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1017 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAC009-011-019-031-067-089-141-143-515-680-690-310700-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130131T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PITTSYLVANIA VA-PATRICK VA-BEDFORD VA-CITY OF MARTINSVILLE VA-
APPOMATTOX VA-AMHERST VA-CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-CAMPBELL VA-
FRANKLIN VA-HENRY VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
1017 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EST FOR 
PITTSYLVANIA...EASTERN PATRICK...BEDFORD...NORTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX...
SOUTHEASTERN AMHERST...NORTHWESTERN CAMPBELL...FRANKLIN HENRY 
COUNTY...THE CITY OF MARTINSVILLE...THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG AND THE 
CITY OF BEDFORD...

AT 1009 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE RAIN CONTINUING 
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY 
FALLEN ACROSS PARTS OF THE WARNED AREA...AND RUNOFF IS LIKELY TO 
RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LYNCHBURG CITY...MARTINSVILLE CITY...CONCORD...EVINGTON...FOREST...
HUDDLESTON...MONETA...BEDFORD CITY...SYDNORSVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...
SPENCER...AMHERST...AXTON...CALLANDS...CHATHAM...BASSETT...FERRUM...
HURT...RUSTBURG...GRETNA...RIDGEWAY...PENHOOK...BOONES MILL...ELON...
MARTINSVILLE AIRPORT...CASCADE...AIKEN SUMMIT...MADISON HEIGHTS...
BOCOCK AND STONEWALL.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE 
IN THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND AS WELL AS 
OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE 
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS.  DO NOT STAY IN AREAS 
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE 
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE 
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS 
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING 
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY 
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3752 7882 3654 7957 3655 8017 3706 8008
      3745 7943 3762 7896 3759 7892 3754 7890
      3754 7885

$$

SK

784 
WGUS71 KRNK 310651
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
151 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

VAC067-690-009-141-089-031-143-011-515-019-680-310700-
/O.EXP.KRNK.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130131T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PITTSYLVANIA VA-PATRICK VA-BEDFORD VA-CITY OF MARTINSVILLE VA-
APPOMATTOX VA-AMHERST VA-CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-CAMPBELL VA-
FRANKLIN VA-HENRY VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
151 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR 
PITTSYLVANIA...EASTERN PATRICK...BEDFORD...NORTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX...
SOUTHEASTERN AMHERST...NORTHWESTERN CAMPBELL...FRANKLIN HENRY 
COUNTY...THE CITY OF MARTINSVILLE...THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG AND THE 
CITY OF BEDFORD WILL EXPIRE AT 200 AM EST...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO 
POSE A THREAT.

LAT...LON 3752 7882 3654 7957 3655 8017 3706 8008
      3745 7943 3762 7896 3759 7892 3754 7890
      3754 7885

$$

AMS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
747 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THROUGH THE AREA...BRINGING A PERIOD OF
HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY FALLING
TEMPERATURES AND MORE GUSTY WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
COLD AIR WILL PERSIST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND...WITH PERIODIC EPISODES OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 730 PM WEDNESDAY...

QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (QLCS - SQUALL LINE) WILL RACE
EAST OF MAIN COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 22 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10PM EAST OF BLUE RIDGE TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS FAST MOVING LINE OF SEVERE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS LINE OF CONVECTION.

AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE QLCS SHOULD SEE A LULL IN THE
WIND...ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...MAY CONTINUE UP
UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER TONIGHT. SURFACE COLD FRONT IS
CURRENTLY MOVING EAST THROUGH THE OHIO/TN VALLEYS AND IS PROGGED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...BRINING AN ABRUPT CHANGE
IN TEMPERATURE AND SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION. ANY LULL IN THE WIND
PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL INCREASE AGAIN POST FRONTAL WITH
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION BRINGING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND FALLING
TEMPERATURES FOR THE LATE NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY.

HAVE EXTENDED THE HIGH WIND WARNINGS/ADVISORIES THROUGH 4PM
THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR BOTH PRE AND POST FRONTAL WINDS. FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED EAST THROUGH SOUTHSIDE VA THROUGH
0400 AM THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN ANTICIPATED ALONG
AND JUST BEHIND QLCS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST...EVEN
IN THE WAKE OF THE QLCS...UNTIL ACTUAL COLD FRONT SWEEPS THE
DEEPER MOISTURE EAST OF THE AREA. CRITICAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS ARE
BEING MET THROUGHOUT THE AREA WITH RAIN AMOUNTS EXCEEDING FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE...AND IN SOME CASES SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE FFG. RIVER
GAGES ARE RESPONDING ACCORDINGLY...HYDROGRAPHS GOING
VERTICAL...ESP ALONG THE WATAUGA...HOLSTON...CLINCH...AND
HEADWATERS OF THE NEW RIVER. THIS IS WHERE UPWARDS OF 3 INCHES
HAVE RAIN HAS OCCURRED. FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED...WATAUGA COUNTY...WHERE RAIN AMOUNTS HAVE EXCEEDED 5
INCHES. THE WATUAGA RIVER WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO MAJOR
FLOODING. THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS LIFE THREATENING! WINTERTIME
SOILS WILL NOT ABSORB WATER LIKE THE SUMMER...ANYTHING MUCH OVER
AN INCH THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL GO INTO PURE RUNOFF...AND MUDSLIDES
ARE AN ALMOST CERTAINTY WITH THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.

LOCAL MODELS INDICATE THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN ABRUBT END AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AROUND 1AM IN THE WEST...CLOSER TO 4 AM IN THE
EAST...ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. AT SOME POINT
MAY NEED TO CONSIDER WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES FOR THE FAR WESTERN
CWA...FROM WESTERN GREENBRIER...SOUTHWARD THROUGH BLUEFIELD AND
INTO THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA. RAPID FALL IN TEMPERATURE
IS EXPECTED AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN CHANGE OVER
FROM RAIN TO SNOW. THIS CHANGE IS PROGGED TO TAKE PLACE AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW
ACROSS THESE MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS THURSDAY MORNING.

WINDS/CLOUDS/MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. FROM THAT POINT ON...IT WILL BE BACK TO
WINTER WITH TEMPS AND PTYPE RESEMBLING SOMETHING MORE TYPICAL OF
JANUARY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 415 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

WARM WEATHER IS OVER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

POLAR AIR WHICH COMES INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WILL BE REINFORCED BY
SOME ARCTIC AIR THURSDAY NIGHT. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD MIDNIGHT THURSDAY... PASSING OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO POOL INTO THE
REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AS THE GULF IS
BEING BLOCKED BY A SURFACE RIDGE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ONE
TO THREE INCHES OF DRY SNOW TO THE FAR WEST AND A DUSTING TO AN
INCH FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SCATTERED FLURRIES PUSHING EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...POSSIBLY IN TO THE PIEDMONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. 85H TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
PLUNGE TO NEAR -16C IN THE AFTERNOON...SUGGESTING SURFACE TEMPS
WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND
REMAIN IN THE 20S WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO
BE THE COLDEST OF THE UPCOMING NIGHT THIS WEEKEND...CLEAR SKIES
AND DIMINISHING WINDS ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD IS DOMINATED BY WEST OR NORTHWEST FLOW AND
SOME DEGREE OF COLD ADVECTION UNDER LARGE LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT
PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH AMERICA...HOWEVER OVER TIME
THE AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY AS WE GO THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.  HOW MUCH THIS DIMINISHES...AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF A
FEW CLIPPER SYSTEMS THAT WILL PROVIDE A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLDER
AIR AND SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL...REMAINS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION AS
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN MUCH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH THIS
PERIOD.

BEGINNING SATURDAY HOWEVER...GUIDANCE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH BY LATE IN THE DAY
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 12Z CANADIAN A
LITTLE FASTER AND A LITTLE COLDER. 12Z GFS A BIT STRONGER WITH THIS
SYSTEM...BUT ALSO SOMEWHAT MILDER ON SATURDAY BEFORE IT ARRIVES WITH
WEAK WARM ADVECTION.  GFS ENSEMBLES ALSO SUGGEST THE OPERATIONAL GFS
IS ON THE WARMER SIDE OF THE POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS...SO EVEN THOUGH
WILL NOT GO AS COLD AS THE ECMWF MOS NUMBERS...WILL STAY A FEW DEG
COOLER THAN GFS-BASED NUMBERS. HAVE ALSO INTRODUCED SOME HIGH CHC TO
LOW LIKELY POPS IN THE FAR WEST AS EARLY AS LATE IN THE DAY
SATURDAY. WOULD EXPECT PRECIP TO ARRIVE EARLIER THAN THE GFS...AND
MAYBE EARLIER THAN THE ECMWF GIVEN THE TYPICAL BIAS OF THE MODELS IN
THESE SITUATIONS. STILL LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY MINOR NW FLOW SNOWFALL
EVENT FOR THE UPSLOPE AREAS...YET A FEW INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. MAYBE EVEN A SKIFF FARTHER EAST UP TOWARD THE BLUE RDG IF
THE STRONGER GFS IDEA ENDS UP BEING CORRECT.

COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THAT...AND THE DEGREE OF COLD
AIR ADVECTION IS UNCERTAIN YET DOES NOT LOOK ESPECIALLY STRONG.  00Z
ECMWF BUILDS WEAK S/WV RIDGE IN FOR MONDAY ACTUALLY...AHEAD OF THE
NEXT SYSTEM. FASTER SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THIS NEXT CLIPPER COULD ARRIVE
BY LATE MONDAY...BUT CONSENSUS LOOKS MORE LIKE LATE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. HAVE A SLIGHT CHC IN LATE MONDAY THOUGH AGAIN BECAUSE
OF MODEL BIASES TYPICALLY NOT FAST ENOUGH.  THIS IS LIKELY TO BE
MORE MINOR EVENT IN TERMS OF ANY SNOW SHOWER ACCUMULATIONS IN
TYPICAL UPSLOPE AREAS COMPARED TO WEEKEND EVENT...YET FAR ENOUGH OUT
THAT THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME FOR POTENTIAL AMPLIFICATION AND
CANADIAN IS MOST AGRESSIVE WITH THIS IDEA.

FINALLY BY WEDNESDAY THERE ARE SIGNS OF LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOMING
INCREASINGLY ZONAL...ESPECIALLY GFS SOLUTIONS...BUT SOME DEGREE OF
NW FLOW MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK SO NOT EXPECTING ANY MAJOR
WARM UPS THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY
SEASONABLE. BETTER CHANCE FOR WARM UP MAY COME LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 700 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

PRIMARILY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT WITH LCL IFR DUE TO HEAVY RAIN. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT BETWEEN 06-09 UTC (1AM-4AM)TIME
FRAME. THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME WESTERLY
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT WILL OCCUR
WITH POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE GUSTS OF 35 KTS. PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT WILL ALSO BRING COLDER TEMPERATURES WITH RAIN CHANGING TO
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AT
BLF/LWB/BCB AFTER 0400 AM.

STRONG GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE. A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT-EARLY FRIDAY
BRINGING A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS FROM SNOW SHOWERS. VFR
CONDTIONS WILL THEN RETURN LATE FRIDAY WITH ANOUTHER ROUND OF MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH YET ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE - CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVY RAIN IS ONGOING ACROSS THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA. IT NOW
APPEARS...PER THE STATIONARY NATURE OF THE RAINS...THAT AS MUCH
AS 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL OCCUR OVER THE HEADWATERS OF THE NEW
RIVER...THE HOLSTON AND CLINCH RIVERS...AND THE DAN RIVER. 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY ACROSS THE HEADWATERS OF THE
ROANOKE...JAMES...AND GREENBRIER.

THIS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA RIVERS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MINOR RIVER
FLOODING. MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS LIKELY ON THE WATAUGA
RIVER WHERE UPWARDS OF 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS BEEN OBSERVED. A FLASH
FLOOD EMERGENCY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WATUAGA COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
WATER RESCUES ARE UNDERWAY. PLEASE MONITOR RIVER FORECASTS CLOSELY
AS WE WILL BE UPDATING THE FORECASTS AS INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTERS.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER BROADCASTING FROM WYTHEVILLE
IS BACK ON THE AIR. THE SITE LOST COMMERCIAL POWER AND IS NOW
OPERATING ON GENERATOR POWER.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009>020-
     022>024-032>035-043>045-058.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ011-013-014-
     016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009-010-
     012-015.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ001>006-
     018>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ002>006-019-020.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ042>045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ043>045.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR WVZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...DS
HYDROLOGY...PM
EQUIPMENT...PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ012-015-312100-
ASHE-WATAUGA-WYTHE-GRAYSON-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042-312100-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-MERCER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ019-020-WVZ043>045-312100-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ022>024-034-035-045>047-059-312100-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-CHARLOTTE-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE.

VAZ011-014-018-312100-
GILES-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

NCZ002>006-019-020-VAZ013-016-017-032-033-043-044-058-312100-
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PULASKI-
CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
355 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 22 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR WIND DAMAGE.

DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
619 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WSW FRIES               36.72N 80.97W
01/30/2013                   GRAYSON            VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN FRIES REPORTS DALTON CREEK
            FLOWING OUT OF ITS BANKS AND ACROSS MAIN STREET.

&&

16

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
623 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ032>034-043>046-310015-
CAMPBELL VA-FRANKLIN VA-PATRICK VA-APPOMATTOX VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-
BEDFORD VA-HENRY VA-
623 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 715 PM EST

* AT 619 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM GOODE TO SANDY RIDGE...OR ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM BEDFORD CITY TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPENCER...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MARTINSVILLE CITY...             CONCORD...
  EVINGTON...                      HUDDLESTON...
  MONETA...                        SYDNORSVILLE...
  SPENCER...                       AXTON...
  CALLANDS...                      CHATHAM...
  BASSETT...                       HURT...
  RUSTBURG...                      GRETNA...
  RIDGEWAY...                      PENHOOK...
  MARTINSVILLE AIRPORT...          CASCADE...
  AIKEN SUMMIT...                  AND LYNCHBURG AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 7880 3655 7956 3654 8023 3732 7954
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 245DEG 3KT 3737 7942 3656 8015

AS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
632 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

VAZ035-046-047-310030-
BUCKINGHAM VA-APPOMATTOX VA-AMHERST VA-
632 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  BUCKINGHAM COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 730 PM EST

* AT 628 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM SCHUYLER TO MADISON HEIGHTS...OR ALONG A
  LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF DILLWYN TO LYNCHBURG
  CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
  RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND
  QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BENT CREEK...                    DILLWYN...
  SHEPPARDS...                     RIVERVILLE...
  OAKVILLE...                      TOWER HILL...
  CENTENARY...                     GOLD HILL...
  TOGA...                          ANDERSONVILLE...
  BUCKINGHAM...                    AND WINGINA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 7825 3734 7847 3738 7858 3740 7859
      3743 7913 3755 7891 3754 7883 3757 7881
      3759 7883 3764 7877 3763 7872 3767 7871
      3769 7868 3768 7865 3771 7866 3777 7855
      3768 7824
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 265DEG 21KT 3777 7862 3743 7911

AS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
643 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BOONE                   36.21N 81.67W
01/30/2013                   WATAUGA            NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            BOONE VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED THAT AT LEAST
            FOUR WATER RESCUES ARE OCCURING AT THIS TIME...AND
            NUMEROUS ROADS ARE CLOSED IN THE BOONE AREA

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
721 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SW JORDAN MINES       37.63N 80.18W
01/30/2013                   ALLEGHANY          VA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            8 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS POTTS CREEK ROAD IN THE
            8400 BLOCK. ROAD CLOSED.

&&

SK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
730 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCZ003>005-020-VAZ016-017-032-033-043-310145-
STOKES NC-YADKIN NC-SURRY NC-ROCKINGHAM NC-FRANKLIN VA-PATRICK VA-
CARROLL VA-HENRY VA-FLOYD VA-
730 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  YADKIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
  CAROLINA...
  CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  WESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 845 PM EST

* AT 724 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
  TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM DUGSPUR TO BUCK SHOALS...OR ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALLISONIA TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF
  RONDA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INDIAN VALLEY...                 MOUNT AIRY...
  KING...                          ELKIN...
  ROCKY MOUNT...                   YADKINVILLE...
  SPENCER...                       WALNUT COVE...
  DOBSON...                        BOTTOM...
  BASSETT...                       FERRUM...
  PILOT MOUNTAIN...                FRANCISCO...
  CANA...                          BOONVILLE...
  COPPER HILL...                   STUART...
  EAST BEND...                     AND WOOLWINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS...FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3605 8088 3617 8088 3691 8068 3720 7979
      3626 8005 3626 8045 3623 8044 3611 8048
      3611 8051 3609 8052 3605 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 247DEG 30KT 3687 8066 3606 8092

AS