Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2013
River Flood Warning 13, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Jan 31, 2013, 3:42 AM EST for Botetourt County, Virginia. It took effect at Jan 31, 2013, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 31, 2013, 3:42 AM EST (08:42 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 31, 2013, 10:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2013, 2:41 AM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Botetourt County, VA
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point James River (VA) at Buchanan (BNNV2).
- Action stage
- 11 ft
- Minor stage
- 17 ft
- Moderate stage
- 21 ft
- Major stage
- 26 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02080201, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
320 WGUS41 KRNK 310842 FLWRNK BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG VA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER AT LICK RUN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK AFFECTING AMHERST...BEDFORD...CAMPBELL AND CITY OF LYNCHBURG COUNTIES JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF AFFECTING BUCKINGHAM AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES FOR THE UPPER JAMES...INCLUDING LICK RUN...BUCHANAN...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. FOR THE MIDDLE JAMES...INCLUDING HOLCOMB ROCK...BREMO BLUFF...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. YESTERDAYS RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE JAMES RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS. $$ && VAC023-312042- /O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0012.130131T1500Z-130201T0646Z/ /LIRV2.1.ER.130131T1500Z.130131T1700Z.130131T1846Z.NO/ 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG VA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT LICK RUN. * FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. * AT 02AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...13.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.4 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON. * AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS IN LOW-LYING AREAS IN EAGLE ROCK AND LICK RUN. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.2 FEET ON APR 16 2007. $$ VAC023-312042- /O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0013.130131T1400Z-130201T1529Z/ /BNNV2.1.ER.130131T1400Z.130131T2100Z.130201T0329Z.NO/ 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG VA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN. * FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. * AT 02AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...11.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT. * AT 17.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK ABOVE GAGE AND FLATS ABOVE TOWN ON LEFT BANK ARE INUNDATED. MOSTLY AGRICULTURAL LANDS AFFECTED. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.9 FEET ON APR 16 2007. $$ VAC009-019-031-680-312042- /O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0014.130131T2100Z-130201T2245Z/ /HRKV2.1.ER.130131T2100Z.130201T0600Z.130201T1045Z.NO/ 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG VA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK. * FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 02AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...12.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.9 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW. * AT 22.0 FEET...TWO FEET OF WATER IN POWERHOUSE LOWER FLOOR. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.7 FEET ON JUN 28 2006. $$ VAC029-065-312042- /O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0015.130201T1251Z-000000T0000Z/ /BREV2.1.ER.130201T1251Z.130201T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 342 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG VA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 12AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$ RCS
5 follow-up statements
845 WGUS81 KRNK 311039 FLSRNK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 539 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER AT LICK RUN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK AFFECTING AMHERST...BEDFORD...CAMPBELL AND CITY OF LYNCHBURG COUNTIES JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF AFFECTING BUCKINGHAM AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA...AMHERST... BEDFORD...BOTETOURT...BUCKINGHAM...CITY OF LYNCHBURG...CAMPBELL... FLUVANNA YESTERDAYS RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE JAMES RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS. GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES AHPS'. THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON TODAY. && VAC023-311839- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0012.130131T1100Z-130201T0813Z/ /LIRV2.1.ER.130131T1100Z.130131T1800Z.130131T2013Z.NO/ 539 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT LICK RUN. * FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL LATE TONIGHT * AT 04AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AT 16.0 FEET... MINOR FLOODING OCCURS IN LOW-LYING AREAS IN EAGLE ROCK AND LICK RUN. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.2 FEET ON APR 16 2007. $$ VAC023-311839- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.130131T1500Z-130201T1800Z/ /BNNV2.1.ER.130131T1500Z.130131T2000Z.130201T0600Z.NO/ 539 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN. * FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 05AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING. AT 20.0 FEET... FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS OF BUILDINGS UPSTREAM (RIGHT BANK) BECOME FLOODED. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.2 FEET ON JAN 26 2010. $$ VAC009-019-031-680-311839- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0014.130131T2100Z-130201T2136Z/ /HRKV2.1.ER.130131T2100Z.130201T0500Z.130201T0936Z.NO/ 539 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK. * FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 04AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.2 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW. AT 23.0 FEET... POWER EQUIPMENT YARD AND ACCESS FLOODED AT HOLCOMB ROCK DAM. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.8 FEET ON JAN 26 2010. $$ VAC029-065-311839- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0015.130201T1054Z-000000T0000Z/ /BREV2.1.ER.130201T1054Z.130201T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 539 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF. * FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 12AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.7 FEET BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$
514 WGUS41 KRNK 311518 FLWRNK BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1018 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 FOR THE UPPER JAMES...INCLUDING BUCHANAN...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING WITH MODERATE FLOODING FORECAST. FOR THE MIDDLE JAMES...INCLUDING HOLCOMB ROCK...BREMO BLUFF... MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINS ARE CAUSING SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE UPPER AND MIDDLE JAMES RIVER WITH GENERALLY MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THE WATER MAY BE MUCH DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS. $$ && VAC023-010318- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130201T2100Z/ /BNNV2.2.ER.130131T1624Z.130201T0000Z.130201T0900Z.NO/ 1018 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 09AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...15.6 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW. * AT 22.0 FEET...ADDITIONAL BUILDINGS UPSTREAM OF GAGE, AND FARMLAND FLOODING BEGINS IN VICINITY OF THE GAGE. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.0 FEET ON JUN 28 2006. $$ VAC009-019-031-680-010318- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0014.130131T1827Z-130202T0010Z/ /HRKV2.2.ER.130131T1827Z.130201T0000Z.130201T1210Z.NO/ 1018 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING * AT 09AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...18.4 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING. $$ VAC029-065-010318- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0015.130201T0641Z-000000T0000Z/ /BREV2.2.ER.130201T0641Z.130201T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1018 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 12AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$ PC
540 WGUS81 KRNK 312145 FLSRNK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 445 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER AT LICK RUN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK AFFECTING AMHERST...BEDFORD...CAMPBELL AND CITY OF LYNCHBURG COUNTIES JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF AFFECTING BUCKINGHAM AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES THE UPPER JAMES RIVER AT LICK RUN HAS CRESTED AND STAGES ARE NOW FALLING ALONG THAT PORTION OF THE RIVER. THE RIVER CONTINUES TO RISE FURTHER DOWNSTREAM ALTHOUGH STAGES ARE SOMEWHAT LOWER THAN EARLIER FORECAST AND CRESTS WILL BE LOWER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS. GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES AHPS'. THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE THIS EVENING. && VAC009-019-031-680-010545- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130201T1834Z/ /HRKV2.1.ER.130201T0400Z.130201T0600Z.130201T0634Z.NO/ 445 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK. * FROM TONIGHT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON * AT 03PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.2 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.7 FEET ON JUN 28 2006. $$ VAC029-065-010545- /O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0015.130201T0641Z-000000T0000Z/ /BREV2.2.ER.130201T0641Z.130201T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 445 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF. * FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE * AT 12AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$ VAC023-312215- /O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130201T0700Z/ /LIRV2.1.ER.130131T1300Z.130131T1630Z.130131T1945Z.NO/ 445 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT LICK RUN. * UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. * AT 03PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. $$ VAC023-010545- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130201T1830Z/ /BNNV2.1.ER.130131T1937Z.130201T0000Z.130201T0630Z.NO/ 445 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN. * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 03PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.9 FEET ON APR 16 2007. $$
614 WGUS81 KRNK 010233 FLSRNK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK AFFECTING AMHERST...BEDFORD...CAMPBELL AND CITY OF LYNCHBURG COUNTIES ROANOKE RIVER AT BROOKNEAL AFFECTING CAMPBELL...CHARLOTTE AND HALIFAX COUNTIES DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AFFECTING HALIFAX COUNTY ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF AFFECTING BUCKINGHAM AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES NEW RIVER AT RADFORD AFFECTING CITY OF RADFORD...MONTGOMERY AND PULASKI COUNTIES NEW RIVER AT GLEN LYN AFFECTING GILES...MERCER AND SUMMERS COUNTIES GREENBRIER RIVER AT ALDERSON AFFECTING GREENBRIER...MONROE AND SUMMERS COUNTIES ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH AFFECTING CHARLOTTE AND HALIFAX COUNTIES THE JAMES RIVER HAS CRESTED AT BUCHANAN AND WAS CRESTING AT HOLCOMB ROCK. THE NEW RIVER HAS CRESTED AT GLEN LYN. THE GREENBRIER RIVER HAS CRESTED AT ALDERSON AND WAS CRESTING AT HILLDALE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS. GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES AHPS'. THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON FRIDAY. && VAC009-019-031-680-010303- /O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130201T1834Z/ /HRKV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT HOLCOMB ROCK. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. THE RIVER WAS CRESTING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. * FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.7 FEET ON APRIL 17 2011. $$ VAC029-065-011033- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0015.130201T1052Z-000000T0000Z/ /BREV2.2.ER.130201T1052Z.130201T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF. * FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 07:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * THIS HEIGHT COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.5 FEET ON APRIL 18 2011. $$ VAC121-155-750-011033- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130201T1717Z/ /RDFV2.3.ER.130131T0937Z.130131T1715Z.130201T1117Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEW RIVER AT RADFORD. * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY. MORNING. AT 17.0 FEET... ALL OF DEDMAN CENTER PARKING LOTS ARE FLOODED. * THE CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.7 FEET ON SEPT 23 1989. $$ VAC071-WVC055-089-011033- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130202T0252Z/ /GLLV2.3.ER.130131T1721Z.130201T0000Z.130201T1452Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEW RIVER AT GLEN LYN. * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. * THE CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.0 FEET ON JAN 19 1996. $$ VAC023-011033- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130201T2100Z/ /BNNV2.1.ER.130131T1937Z.130201T0045Z.130201T0900Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN. * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY. AT 17.0 FEET... RIGHT BANK ABOVE THE GAGE AND FLATS ABOVE TOWN ON THE LEFT BANK ARE INUNDATED. MOSTLY AGRICULTURAL LANDS ARE AFFECTED. * THE CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.9 FEET ON APR 16 2007. $$ WVC025-063-089-011033- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130201T1836Z/ /ALDW2.1.ER.130131T1533Z.130131T2100Z.130201T0636Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE GREENBRIER RIVER AT ALDERSON. * UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AT 15.0 FEET... FARM LAND ALONG RIVER BANK NEAR GAGE IS FLOODED. * THE CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 16.1 FEET ON MAR 5 1999. $$ VAC031-037-083-010303- /O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-130201T1915Z/ /BROV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE ROANOKE RIVER AT BROOKNEAL. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. * THE CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.4 FEET ON MAR 17 2007. $$ VAC037-083-011033- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.130201T0646Z-130203T0843Z/ /RNDV2.1.ER.130201T0646Z.130201T1800Z.130202T2043Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH. * FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.4 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.9 FEET ON DEC 9 2011. $$ VAC083-010303- /O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-130202T2028Z/ /SBNV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 933 PM EST THU JAN 31 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 08:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO A CREST OF 16.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. $$
289 WGUS81 KRNK 010741 FLSRNK FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 241 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN AFFECTING BOTETOURT COUNTY NEW RIVER AT RADFORD AFFECTING CITY OF RADFORD...MONTGOMERY AND PULASKI COUNTIES GREENBRIER RIVER AT ALDERSON AFFECTING GREENBRIER...MONROE AND SUMMERS COUNTIES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA... JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF AFFECTING BUCKINGHAM AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES NEW RIVER AT GLEN LYN AFFECTING GILES...MERCER AND SUMMERS COUNTIES ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH AFFECTING CHARLOTTE AND HALIFAX COUNTIES THE GREENBRIER AND NEW RIVERS HAVE CRESTED ARE FALLING THIS MORNING. THE GREENBRIER RIVER AT HILLDALE IN SUMMERS COUNTY REMAINS ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 16 FEET...READING 18.9 FEET AT 100 AM. THIS RIVER IS FALLING AND SHOULD BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 900 AM TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS. GRAPHICAL FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/RNK (LOWER CASE). CLICK ON 'RIVERS & LAKES AHPS'. THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 900 AM TODAY. && VAC029-065-011541- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0015.130201T0733Z-000000T0000Z/ /BREV2.2.ER.130201T0534Z.130201T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 241 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JAMES RIVER NEAR BREMO BLUFF. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 02AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET AND RISING. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. $$ VAC121-155-750-010811- /O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130201T1717Z/ /RDFV2.3.ER.130131T0937Z.130131T1715Z.130201T0340Z.NO/ 241 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE NEW RIVER AT RADFORD. * AT 02AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. $$ VAC071-WVC055-089-011541- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130202T0012Z/ /GLLV2.3.ER.130131T1721Z.130201T0000Z.130201T1212Z.NO/ 241 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NEW RIVER AT GLEN LYN. * UNTIL THIS EVENING. * AT 01AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. * THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.4 FEET ON NOV 20 2003. $$ VAC037-083-011541- /O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-130203T0112Z/ /RNDV2.1.ER.130201T0746Z.130201T1800Z.130202T1312Z.NO/ 241 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH. * FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING * AT 01AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET AND RISING. * NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. * FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 400 AM THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.7 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.9 FEET ON DEC 9 2011. $$ VAC023-010811- /O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130201T2100Z/ /BNNV2.1.ER.130131T1937Z.130201T0045Z.130201T0415Z.NO/ 241 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE JAMES RIVER AT BUCHANAN. * AT 01AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. $$ WVC025-063-089-010811- /O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130201T1836Z/ /ALDW2.1.ER.130131T1533Z.130131T2100Z.130201T0500Z.NO/ 241 AM EST FRI FEB 1 2013 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE GREENBRIER RIVER AT ALDERSON. * AT 01AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET AND FALLING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. AT 13.5 FEET... ADDITIONAL LOW SPOTS ALONG ROUTE 3 ARE FLOODED.. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 31, 2:01 AM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 2:01 AM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
201 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING HEAVY RAIN TO TAPER OFF...FOLLOWED BY
FALLING TEMPERATURES AND MORE GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY. COLD AIR
WILL PERSIST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH
PERIODIC EPISODES OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 150 AM EST THURSDAY...
CANCELLED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. FRONT IS NOW OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND THE HEAVIER RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT...WITH ONLY NARROW BANDS OF
SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE AND PIEDMONT. WILL BE WORKING
RIVER AND AREA FLOOD WARNINGS THE REST OF THE MORNING.
WILL BE DEALING WITH WINDS AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS AND PRESSURE
RISES OF 5+MB IN 3 HOURS NOTED IN KY ATTM...MOVE IN LATER THIS
MORNING SENDING WIND GUSTS BACK UP. WILL REVALUATE WIND HEADLINES
SOON FOR THE 400 AM FORECAST.
ALSO...LOOKS LIKE AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW WILL FALL IN THE FAVORED
WESTERN SLOPES OF WV. MAY BE ISSUING AN SPS TO COVER SLICK
ROADS...AS NOT SEEING ENOUGH FOR ADVISORY YET...ALTHOUGH GIVEN WET
ROADS...AND SUBFREEZING TEMPS COMING IN...SLICK ROADS A
POSSIBILITY.
PREVIOUS VALID DISCUSSION...
WINDS/CLOUDS/MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. FROM THAT POINT ON...IT WILL BE BACK TO WINTER
WITH TEMPS AND PTYPE RESEMBLING SOMETHING MORE TYPICAL OF JANUARY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 415 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
WARM WEATHER IS OVER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
POLAR AIR WHICH COMES INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WILL BE REINFORCED BY
SOME ARCTIC AIR THURSDAY NIGHT. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD MIDNIGHT THURSDAY... PASSING OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ALLOWING SOME MOISTURE TO POOL INTO THE
REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL STILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AS THE GULF IS
BEING BLOCKED BY A SURFACE RIDGE. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ONE
TO THREE INCHES OF DRY SNOW TO THE FAR WEST AND A DUSTING TO AN
INCH FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. CAN NOT
RULE OUT SCATTERED FLURRIES PUSHING EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE...POSSIBLY IN TO THE PIEDMONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. 85H TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
PLUNGE TO NEAR -16C IN THE AFTERNOON...SUGGESTING SURFACE TEMPS
WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND
REMAIN IN THE 20S WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO
BE THE COLDEST OF THE UPCOMING NIGHT THIS WEEKEND...CLEAR SKIES
AND DIMINISHING WINDS ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD IS DOMINATED BY WEST OR NORTHWEST FLOW AND
SOME DEGREE OF COLD ADVECTION UNDER LARGE LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT
PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH AMERICA...HOWEVER OVER TIME
THE AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY AS WE GO THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. HOW MUCH THIS DIMINISHES...AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF A
FEW CLIPPER SYSTEMS THAT WILL PROVIDE A RE-ENFORCING SHOT OF COLDER
AIR AND SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL...REMAINS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION AS
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN MUCH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH THIS
PERIOD.
BEGINNING SATURDAY HOWEVER...GUIDANCE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH BY LATE IN THE DAY
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE 00Z ECMWF AND 12Z CANADIAN A
LITTLE FASTER AND A LITTLE COLDER. 12Z GFS A BIT STRONGER WITH THIS
SYSTEM...BUT ALSO SOMEWHAT MILDER ON SATURDAY BEFORE IT ARRIVES WITH
WEAK WARM ADVECTION. GFS ENSEMBLES ALSO SUGGEST THE OPERATIONAL GFS
IS ON THE WARMER SIDE OF THE POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS...SO EVEN THOUGH
WILL NOT GO AS COLD AS THE ECMWF MOS NUMBERS...WILL STAY A FEW DEG
COOLER THAN GFS-BASED NUMBERS. HAVE ALSO INTRODUCED SOME HIGH CHC TO
LOW LIKELY POPS IN THE FAR WEST AS EARLY AS LATE IN THE DAY
SATURDAY. WOULD EXPECT PRECIP TO ARRIVE EARLIER THAN THE GFS...AND
MAYBE EARLIER THAN THE ECMWF GIVEN THE TYPICAL BIAS OF THE MODELS IN
THESE SITUATIONS. STILL LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY MINOR NW FLOW SNOWFALL
EVENT FOR THE UPSLOPE AREAS...YET A FEW INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION. MAYBE EVEN A SKIFF FARTHER EAST UP TOWARD THE BLUE RDG IF
THE STRONGER GFS IDEA ENDS UP BEING CORRECT.
COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THAT...AND THE DEGREE OF COLD
AIR ADVECTION IS UNCERTAIN YET DOES NOT LOOK ESPECIALLY STRONG. 00Z
ECMWF BUILDS WEAK S/WV RIDGE IN FOR MONDAY ACTUALLY...AHEAD OF THE
NEXT SYSTEM. FASTER SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THIS NEXT CLIPPER COULD ARRIVE
BY LATE MONDAY...BUT CONSENSUS LOOKS MORE LIKE LATE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. HAVE A SLIGHT CHC IN LATE MONDAY THOUGH AGAIN BECAUSE
OF MODEL BIASES TYPICALLY NOT FAST ENOUGH. THIS IS LIKELY TO BE
MORE MINOR EVENT IN TERMS OF ANY SNOW SHOWER ACCUMULATIONS IN
TYPICAL UPSLOPE AREAS COMPARED TO WEEKEND EVENT...YET FAR ENOUGH OUT
THAT THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME FOR POTENTIAL AMPLIFICATION AND
CANADIAN IS MOST AGRESSIVE WITH THIS IDEA.
FINALLY BY WEDNESDAY THERE ARE SIGNS OF LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOMING
INCREASINGLY ZONAL...ESPECIALLY GFS SOLUTIONS...BUT SOME DEGREE OF
NW FLOW MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK SO NOT EXPECTING ANY MAJOR
WARM UPS THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY
SEASONABLE. BETTER CHANCE FOR WARM UP MAY COME LATE IN THE WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1220 AM EST THURSDAY...
HEAVY RAIN ENDING EAST OF LYH/DAN BUT WILL STILL SEE A SMALL
WINDOW OF MVFR CIGS AT DANVILLE. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN COLD FRONT
ENTERING THE MOUNTAINS NOW WILL BRING VFR CONDITIONS TO SITES
ROA/LYH/DAN THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD...WITH ONLY SOME LIGHT RAIN
POSSIBLE EARLY.
THE WESTERN TERMINALS OF BLF/LWB WILL STAY IN MVFR AND MAY DROP TO
IFR AT BLF WITH SNOW SHOWERS INCREASING. SOME MVFR CIGS WILL EDGE
INTO BCB BY 09Z BUT RISE AGAIN TO VFR AFTER 13Z.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE GOING TO BE AN ISSUE AS THEY GUST IN
THE 30 TO 40 KNOT RANGE EARLY THIS MORNING...AT MOST SITES BEFORE
DROPPING TO UNDER 30 KNOTS BY 18Z.
A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AFTER
MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT-EARLY FRIDAY BRINGING A PERIOD OF MVFR
CIGS/VSBYS FROM SNOW SHOWERS. VFR CONDTIONS WILL THEN RETURN LATE
FRIDAY WITH ANOUTHER ROUND OF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT
ASSOCIATED WITH YET ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE - CLIPPER TYPE
SYSTEM.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR MONDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVY RAIN IS NOW CONFINED TO MAINLY THE PIEDMONT. WE ARE
TRANSITIONING PRODUCTS FROM FLASH FLOOD TO AREAL FLOOD AS THE
RAINFALL RATES ARE DECREASING BUT THE RUNOFF WILL KEEP
STREAMS...CREEKS AND SOME RIVERS OUT OF THEIR BANKS OR FORECAST TO
COME OUT OF THEIR BANKS. WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOING FOR
NOW UNTIL THE HEAVY RAIN CLEARS THE EAST...BUT SHOULD BE ABLE TO
CANCEL IT EARLY.
THIS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA RIVERS WITH POTENTIAL FOR MINOR RIVER
FLOODING. MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS LIKELY ON THE WATAUGA
RIVER WHERE UPWARDS OF 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS BEEN OBSERVED. A FLASH
FLOOD EMERGENCY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WATUAGA COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
WATER RESCUES ARE UNDERWAY. PLEASE MONITOR RIVER FORECASTS CLOSELY
AS WE WILL BE UPDATING THE FORECASTS AS INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTERS.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR VAZ011-013-014-
016>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR VAZ007-009-
010-012-015.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ002>006-019-
020.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR WVZ043>045.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR WVZ042.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JH/PM/WP
NEAR TERM...JH/PM/WP
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...DS/WP
HYDROLOGY...Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 1:44 AM EST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 144 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-010645- ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-GRAYSON-MERCER- 144 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH WIND WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VAZ019-020-WVZ043>045-010645- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- 144 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND ADVISORY. IN ADDITION...AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW IS GOING TO FALL OVER THE WESTERN SLOPES THROUGH DAWN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WIND ADVISORY .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ002>006-019-020-VAZ011-013-014-016>018-022>024-032>035-043>047- 058-059-010645- ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-GILES- PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 144 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WIND ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 31, 12:18 AM EST, 3 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1218 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0341 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W DUBLIN 37.11N 80.75W
01/30/2013 PULASKI VA EMERGENCY MNGR
15 BY 30 FOOT SECTION OF ROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE
0341 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W DUBLIN 37.12N 80.75W
01/30/2013 PULASKI VA EMERGENCY MNGR
PART OF ROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE
0341 PM TSTM WND DMG DUBLIN 37.12N 80.70W
01/30/2013 PULASKI VA EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN DUBLIN
0341 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WNW DUBLIN 37.12N 80.71W
01/30/2013 PULASKI VA EMERGENCY MNGR
DETACHED GARAGE HEAVILY DAMAGE
0354 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W FAIRLAWN 37.15N 80.58W
01/30/2013 PULASKI VA EMERGENCY MNGR
DAMAGE TO WALL OF COMMERCIAL BUILDING
0403 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WNW BLACKSBURG 37.24N 80.43W
01/30/2013 MONTGOMERY VA STORM CHASER
5 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWN ON VIRGINIA TECH GOLF
COURSE NEAR PRICES FORK ROAD.
0433 PM FLASH FLOOD VALLE CRUCIS 36.22N 81.78W
01/30/2013 WATAUGA NC COUNTY OFFICIAL
BRIDGE OVER WATAUGA RIVER ON DEWITT BARNETT ROAD WAS
REPORTED UNDER WATER.
0435 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE BOONE 36.20N 81.66W
01/30/2013 WATAUGA NC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
STREAM OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOWIONG OVER DEERFIELD ROAD
AT THE MEDICAL CENTER.
0505 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WNW STEWARTSVILLE 37.28N 79.84W
01/30/2013 M62.00 MPH BEDFORD VA TRAINED SPOTTER
0600 PM FLASH FLOOD WSW FRIES 36.72N 80.97W
01/30/2013 GRAYSON VA EMERGENCY MNGR
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN FRIES REPORTS DALTON CREEK
FLOWING OUT OF ITS BANKS AND ACROSS MAIN STREET.
0635 PM FLASH FLOOD BOONE 36.21N 81.67W
01/30/2013 WATAUGA NC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
BOONE VOLUNTEER FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED THAT AT LEAST
FOUR WATER RESCUES ARE OCCURING AT THIS TIME...AND
NUMEROUS ROADS ARE CLOSED IN THE BOONE AREA
0647 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 WNW PIPESTEM 37.54N 81.01W
01/30/2013 SUMMERS WV OFFICIAL NWS OBS
BLUESTONE RIVER REACHED FLOOD STAGE AT PIPESTEM
0653 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SW JORDAN MINES 37.63N 80.18W
01/30/2013 ALLEGHANY VA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
8 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS POTTS CREEK ROAD IN THE
8400 BLOCK. ROAD CLOSED.
0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 WNW NARROWS 37.35N 80.89W
01/30/2013 MERCER WV OFFICIAL NWS OBS
EAST RIVER AT WILLOWTON REACHED FLOOD STAGE
0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 ENE JEFFERSON 36.44N 81.40W
01/30/2013 ASHE NC AMATEUR RADIO
NEW RIVER FLOWING ACROSS DOG CREEK ROAD NEAR CRUMPLER
0705 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NE TODD 36.34N 81.55W
01/30/2013 ASHE NC AMATEUR RADIO
ONE FOOT OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS HOLMAN ROAD. ALMOST 4
INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED
0710 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 S MOUTH OF WILSON 36.50N 81.34W
01/30/2013 ASHE NC AMATEUR RADIO
NORTH FORK NEW RIVER FLOWING OVER SILAS CREEK ROAD.
ESTIMATED 5 INCHES OF RAIN.
0713 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 E ASHLAND 36.43N 81.62W
01/30/2013 ASHE NC AMATEUR RADIO
EXTENSIVE FLOODING REPORTED ALONG PEAK ROAD INTERSECTION
WITH WORTH CHAPEL ROAD
0730 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SSE CHATMOSS 36.63N 79.78W
01/30/2013 HENRY VA 911 CALL CENTER
TREE DOWN ACROSS IRISBURG RD
0730 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N RED SULPHUR SPRING 37.53N 80.77W
01/30/2013 MONROE WV OFFICIAL NWS OBS
INDIAN CREEK REACHED FLOOD STAGE NEAR RED SULPHER
SPRINGS.
0830 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NNW BLOWING ROCK 36.20N 81.71W
01/30/2013 WATAUGA NC PUBLIC
TWO FEET OF WATER FLOWING OVER DIAMOND BRANCH ROAD.
0900 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 WSW ROANOKE 37.26N 80.02W
01/30/2013 CITY OF ROANOKE VA PUBLIC
6 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS CARVEN CREEK ROAD NEAR
DEYERLE ROAD
1000 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N BUENA VISTA CITY 37.75N 79.37W
01/30/2013 ROCKBRIDGE VA PUBLIC
A COUPLE LOCATIONS ALONG LONG HOLLOW ROAD JUST NORTH OF
BUENA VISTA WERE EXPERIENCING FLASH FLOODING...INCLUDING
8-12 INCHES OF WATER NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH CATALPA
ROAD.
1025 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 S SHAWSVILLE 37.14N 80.27W
01/30/2013 MONTGOMERY VA OFFICIAL NWS OBS
SOUTH FORK OF ROANOKE RIVER REACHED FLOOD STAGE
1145 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NNW ROCKY MOUNT 37.03N 79.91W
01/30/2013 FRANKLIN VA 911 CALL CENTER
BLUE BEND ROADS AT INTERSECTION WITH JAMESTOWN ROAD
FLOODED
&&
WPERRYLocal storm report, Jan 31, 12:55 AM EST, 2 hours 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1255 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 W RONDA 36.22N 81.03W
01/30/2013 WILKES NC 911 CALL CENTER
WATER OVER THE BRIDGE AT ARBOR GROVE CHURCH ROAD NEAR
COTTON MILL ROAD
&&
AMSLocal storm report, Jan 31, 1:08 AM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
108 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0105 AM HEAVY RAIN GLASGOW 37.63N 79.45W
01/31/2013 M3.52 INCH ROCKBRIDGE VA CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
EVENT NUMBER RNK1300388
AMSSpecial weather statement, Jan 31, 2:38 AM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 238 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>045-311245- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE- PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH- MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE... TAZEWELL...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD... PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE... VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON... HOT SPRINGS...BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...UNION... LEWISBURG...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE 238 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013 ...EXPECT SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS DUE TO BLACK ICE AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS... TEMPERATURES BEHIND A FRONT WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING BY DAWN. WET ROADS WILL START TO FREEZE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE FIRST TO FREEZE. IN ADDITION...SNOW SHOWERS ARE GOING TO BE SCATTERED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH AN INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE...SO THIS WILL ADD TO THE SLIPPERY CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL STAY HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING...DUE TO SLICK SPOTS AND SOME FLOODING. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW MORE TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION. YOU MAY EVEN NEED TO HAVE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE PLANNED IN CASE OF FLOODED ROADS.
Local storm report, Jan 31, 2:52 AM EST, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
252 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM FLOOD 1 W SALEM CITY 37.28N 80.08W
01/31/2013 CITY OF SALEM VA EMERGENCY MNGR
FLOODING ALONG SECTIONS OF RIVERSIDE ROAD
&&
AMSLocal storm report, Jan 31, 3:04 AM EST, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
304 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM FLOOD 5 WNW ROANOKE 37.32N 80.04W
01/31/2013 CITY OF SALEM VA EMERGENCY MNGR
LOW WATER BRIDGE ON EPPERLY LANE FLOODED
&&
AMSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 7:30 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Carroll, Floyd, Franklin, Henry, Patrick | 75 min |
| Jan 30, 8:02 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Campbell, Franklin, Henry and 4 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 30, 8:06 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania, City of Buena Vista, City of Danville and 2 more | 84 min |
| Jan 30, 8:22 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Franklin, Henry, Patrick, City of Martinsville | 53 min |
| Jan 30, 9:02 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Craig, Montgomery, Roanoke | 6 hr |
| Jan 30, 9:11 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Bedford, Campbell, Halifax, Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Danville | 64 min |
| Jan 30, 9:33 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Montgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford | 29 hr |
| Jan 30, 9:48 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Amherst, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell | 42 min |
| Jan 30, 10:53 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Tazewell | 6 hr |
| Jan 31, 12:11 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Carroll, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson, Montgomery, Patrick and 5 more | 9 hr |
| Jan 31, 12:34 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig and 9 more | 9 hr |
| Jan 31, 2:16 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Grayson | 6 hr |
| Jan 31, 2:38 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Halifax | 19 hr |
| Jan 31, 2:38 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Tazewell | 11 hr |
| Jan 31, 2:38 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Carroll, Grayson, City of Galax | 13 hr |
| Jan 31, 2:38 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Giles | 29 hr |
| Jan 31, 2:42 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Craig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke | 6 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:42 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Botetourt | 13 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:42 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg | 18 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:42 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Buckingham, Fluvanna | 49 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:48 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Roanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem | 13 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:48 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Giles | 9 hr |
| Jan 31, 4:19 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RNK | Bland, Giles, Grayson, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe | 34 hr |
| Jan 31, 6:45 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Giles | 9 hr |
| Jan 31, 7:43 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Campbell, Pittsylvania | 9 hr |
| Jan 31, 8:21 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Grayson | 6 hr |
| Jan 31, 9:22 AM EST | Flash Flood Watch | RNK | Carroll, Pulaski, Wythe, City of Galax, City of Radford | 24 hr |
| Jan 31, 10:07 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Covington and 1 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 31, 12:19 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax | 9 hr |
| Jan 31, 12:19 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Charlotte, Halifax | 41 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.