Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Raleigh, NC

254 
WWUS52 KRAH 132219
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
619 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NCC065-069-083-085-101-127-183-185-191-195-132330-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-130613T2330Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-FRANKLIN NC-HALIFAX NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-WILSON NC-
NASH NC-JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-HARNETT NC-
619 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR HARNETT...WAYNE...JOHNSTON...NASH...WILSON...EASTERN WARREN...
EASTERN WAKE...HALIFAX...FRANKLIN AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...

AT 613 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC AND STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A LINE OF 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM DORTCHES TO DUNN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 
MILES NORTHWEST OF ROCKY MOUNT TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF 
LILLINGTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... 
WELDON...SMITHFIELD...SELMA...HALIFAX...BATTLEBORO...ENFIELD 
...ROCKY MOUNT...ELM CITY...WILSON...PRINCETON...FREMONT...
SCOTLAND NECK... TARBORO... STANTONSBURG... EUREKA... 
HOBGOOD...GOLDSBORO...MOUNT OLIVE...AND SEVEN SPRINGS.

WIND DAMAGE WITH THIS STORM WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS 
WAKE COUNTY. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER 
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

IF YOU OBSERVED DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE HAIL...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3600 7740 3582 7735 3580 7747 3557 7782
      3518 7783 3515 7788 3518 7816 3529 7831
      3526 7847 3531 7855 3525 7862 3526 7888
      3533 7903 3626 7812 3650 7799 3649 7764
      3641 7754 3631 7756 3633 7744 3611 7722
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 295DEG 41KT 3605 7784 3525 7860

$$

WSS

230 
WWUS52 KRAH 132236
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
636 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NCC069-183-185-132243-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-130613T2330Z/
FRANKLIN NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-
636 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WARREN...SOUTHEASTERN
WAKE AND EASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE REPORT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3611 7722 3622 7738 3633 7744 3631 7756
      3642 7756 3614 7783 3529 7877 3526 7888
      3525 7862 3531 7854 3526 7847 3529 7831
      3518 7816 3516 7786 3518 7783 3557 7782
      3580 7747 3582 7735 3600 7740 3608 7731
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 295DEG 41KT 3596 7760 3516 7836

$$

NCC065-083-085-101-127-191-195-132330-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-130613T2330Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-HALIFAX NC-WILSON NC-NASH NC-JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-
HARNETT NC-
636 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL HARNETT...WAYNE...JOHNSTON...NASH...WILSON...
SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...

AT 631 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND STORM SPOTTERS REPORT A 
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A 
LINE EXTENDING FROM LEGGETT TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRANTHAM...OR 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM TARBORO TO 12 MILES NORTH OF 
CLINTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORM 
WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE 
SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.


HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... PIKEVILLE...SCOTLAND 
NECK...TARBORO...STANTONSBURG...MACCLESFIELD...HOBGOOD...GOLDSBORO...
MOUNT  OLIVE...WALNUT CREEK AND SEVEN SPRINGS.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

IF YOU OBSERVED DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE HAIL...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR 
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3611 7722 3622 7738 3633 7744 3631 7756
      3642 7756 3614 7783 3529 7877 3526 7888
      3525 7862 3531 7854 3526 7847 3529 7831
      3518 7816 3516 7786 3518 7783 3557 7782
      3580 7747 3582 7735 3600 7740 3608 7731
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 295DEG 41KT 3596 7760 3516 7836

$$

WSS

141 
WWUS52 KRAH 132302
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
702 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NCC127-132310-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-130613T2330Z/
NASH NC-
702 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NASH COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE REPORT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IN RALEIGH.


LAT...LON 3611 7723 3618 7732 3608 7757 3569 7788
      3526 7888 3525 7862 3531 7854 3526 7847
      3529 7831 3518 7816 3516 7785 3557 7782
      3580 7747 3582 7735 3600 7740
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 295DEG 41KT 3600 7726 3521 7803

$$

NCC065-083-085-101-191-195-132330-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-130613T2330Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-HALIFAX NC-WILSON NC-JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-HARNETT NC-
702 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL HARNETT...WAYNE...SOUTHERN JOHNSTON...EASTERN
WILSON...SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...

AT 659 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A 
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A 
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES EAST OF HOBGOOD TO MOUNT OLIVE...OR 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHEAST OF TARBORO TO MOUNT 
OLIVE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. WIND DAMAGE WITH THESE STORMS 
ARE OCCURRING WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR 
THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.


HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... WALNUT CREEK AND SEVEN
SPRINGS.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

IF YOU OBSERVED DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE HAIL...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR 
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3611 7723 3618 7732 3608 7757 3569 7788
      3526 7888 3525 7862 3531 7854 3526 7847
      3529 7831 3518 7816 3516 7785 3557 7782
      3580 7747 3582 7735 3600 7740
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 295DEG 41KT 3600 7726 3521 7803

$$

WSS

359 
WWUS52 KRAH 132321
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
721 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NCC065-083-085-101-191-195-132330-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-130613T2330Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-HALIFAX NC-WILSON NC-JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-HARNETT NC-
721 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL 
HARNETT...NORTHERN WAYNE...SOUTHERN JOHNSTON...EASTERN 
WILSON...SOUTHEASTERN HALIFAX AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE REPORT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3611 7723 3618 7732 3608 7757 3569 7788
      3526 7888 3525 7862 3531 7854 3526 7847
      3529 7831 3518 7816 3516 7785 3557 7782
      3580 7747 3582 7735 3600 7740
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 295DEG 41KT 3590 7700 3511 7778

$$

WSS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
301 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE MID ATLANTIC...AND THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM THURSDAY...

...PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN
EFFECT...

PDS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM. THE LATEST
SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE SHOWED MLCAPE FROM NEARLY 2000J/KG TO CLOSE TO
4000J/KG ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. 0-6KM SHEAR WAS STILL BETTER
NORTH...FROM NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER NORTH INTO VIRGINIA...BUT
DOWNDRAFT CAPE WAS A ROBUST 1000-1500J/KG THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA. MSAS SURFACE-BASED LIFTED INDICES WERE -8C TO -10C. THE
LATEST KGSO SOUNDING...FROM 18Z...SHOWED A CAP REMAINING AROUND
800MB BUT WITH THE LAYER AROUND 800MB COOLING SINCE 12Z. THE 18Z
SOUNDING AT KRNK SHOWED THE CAP JUST ABOVE 800MB HAD ERODED...
SUFFICIENTLY FOR A GUST AT KROA TO 59KT WITH STORM PASSAGE AT 1828Z.

THE LATEST HRRR WRF CONTINUES WITH A TIMING OF 19Z TO 21Z IN THE
IMMEDIATE TRIAD...21Z TO 23Z IN THE TRIANGLE NEAR KRDU AND SOUTHWEST
ALONG U.S. 1...AND IN VICINITY OF 22Z OR JUST A LITTLE LATER TOWARD
KRWI...KFAY...AND THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. WHILE THE 0-3KM STORM
RELATIVE HELICITY ON THE 18Z KGSO SOUNDING WAS 84M2/S2...ONE STILL
CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A TORNADO...AS STORM RELATIVE HELICITY IN
THE LOWEST 3KM ON THE SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE APPEARED PRETTY ACCURATE
AND WAS ABOVE 100M2/S2 OVER MOST OF THE REST OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...HIGHEST RELATIVE TO THE REST OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHEAST OF THE TRIANGLE. -10C TO -30C CAPE IS ON THE ORDER OF
1000J/KG AS WELL...SUFFICIENT FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
ASSISTING WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING POTENTIAL WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS...ALREADY SHOWN ON THE 15-MINUTE LIGHTNING PLOT EXTENDING
FROM VIRGINIA SOUTHWEST INTO THE MOUNTAINS.

OVERNIGHT...SUBSIDENCE AND GRADUAL CLEARING SHOULD TAKE PLACE BEHIND
THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD LAG THE DEEP
CONVECTION...AND WILL HOLD ONTO POPS FOR A SHORT PERIOD BEHIND THE
TIMING NOTED ABOVE. HOWEVER...NAM AND GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW AN
INCREASING STABLE AIR MASS WITH DIMINISHING LAPSE RATES ALOFT. WILL
HAVE POPS BELOW SLIGHT CHANCE THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA BY
05Z...AND THIS COULD END UP BEING SLOW EVEN IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST
TOWARD KCTZ. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

FRIDAY...IN THE TIGHT GRADIENT IN THE MORNING BEHIND THE DEPARTING
STRONG LOW...WIND GUSTS SHOULD INCREASE TO AROUND 20KT IN PLACES
WITH MIXING. THESE VALUES SUBSIDE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS 850MB AND
925MB WINDS DIMINISH. WHILE PRECIPITABLE WATER AND K INDICES SHOW A
BRIEF INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF ANOTHER MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
AND THE APPROACH OF THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 85KT 300MB AND 55KT
500MB JET...DIVERGENCE AT 850MB AND STABLE BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOULD
PRECLUDE ANY RELATIVELY DEEP CONVECTION. BUFR SOUNDINGS...HOWEVER...
NOTE THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW HIGH SC OR LOW AC DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AND WILL AT LEAST FEATURE IN THE GRIDDED FORECAST A
PARTLY SUNNY SKY FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM THURSDAY...

BEHIND THE DEPARTING SYSTEM...CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT AND COOL DOWN
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND
RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT (ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF THE MID/UPPER HIGH WILL
REMAIN WEST OF OF THE REGION BEFORE FLATTENING OUT BY THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEKEND) WILL LEAD TO MORE SUNSHINE AND MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPS SHOULD STAY SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID 80S. COMFORTABLE OVERNIGHT
LOWS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY LOWER 60S...BUT SOME UPPER
50S WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH A SLIGHT MODERATION FOR SATURDAY NIGHT
AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SLOWLY BEGINS TO RETURN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM THURSDAY...

THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT THERE
ARE STILL SOME TIMING/STRENGTH ISSUES BETWEEN THE MODELS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY AS THE
STORM SYSTEM REMAINS TO OUR NORTH AND WEST. BY MONDAY...WITH
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...WE WILL REALLY BEGIN TO SEE OUR
MOISTURE RETURN...WITH PWAT VALUES RISING ABOVE 1.5 INCHES. THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL STILL BE EAST OF THE AREA ON MONDAY...
THEREFORE AM EXPECTING MOSTLY DIURNALLY FORCED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE TRAILING FRONT LOOKS TO CROSS THE AREA SOMETIME
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...THEREFORE THIS IS WHEN THE HIGHEST PRECIP
CHANCES WILL BE FOCUSED. THE FRONT LOOKS TO STALL SOMEWHERE NEAR THE
NC/SC BORDER FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND THIS WILL BE WHAT
ULTIMATELY DRIVES OUR PRECIP CHANCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. FOR NOW WILL KEEP SOME POPS (MOSTLY SLIGHT CHANCE)
IN FOR THIS TIME FRAME AND DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT...THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY AREA
TO RECEIVE SOME PRECIP. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 112 PM THURSDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVALENT THROUGH THE 18Z VALID TAF PERIOD
OUTSIDE OF DEEP CONVECTION. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO
PASS THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. THE TIMING CONTINUES TO SEEM SIMILAR TO THAT NOTED IN THE
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BASED ON THE LATEST GUIDANCE...19Z TO 21Z IN THE
IMMEDIATE TRIAD...21Z TO 23Z IN THE TRIANGLE NEAR KRDU...AND IN
VICINITY OF 22Z TOWARD KRWI AND KFAY. SIGNIFICANT CROSSWINDS COULD
DEVELOP WITH POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS. THE
GRADIENT SHOULD TIGHTEN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND STILL ANTICIPATE A
FEW WIND GUSTS NEAR 30KT WITH MIXING AHEAD OF DEEP CONVECTION. WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO WEST AND NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AS SKIES GRADUALLY CLEAR. FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH MIXING AND A TIGHT GRADIENT BEHIND STRONG LOW
PRESSURE OFF OF THE MID-ATLANTIC MOVING AWAY FROM THE REGION...
EXPECT A FEW SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 20KT.

BEYOND THE 18Z VALID TAF PERIOD...VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE
WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE AIR MASS MOISTENS AND AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT THAT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA VERY
LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO AT LEAST A SMALL
CHANCE OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS TUESDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SEC
NEAR TERM...DJF
SHORT TERM...KRR
LONG TERM...KRR
AVIATION...DJF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
216 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

NCZ021>023-038-039-073-074-083-140930-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-ANSON-
216 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 308 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH LIKELY. THE BEST TIMING FOR ANY SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS TO BE THROUGH 6 PM. WHILE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
THE PRIMARY THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER...LARGE HAIL AND EVEN AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT. WITH THE RECENT
HEAVY RAINS...SHALLOWLY ROOTED TREES IN PARTICULAR MAY COME DOWN
MORE EASILY IN STRONG WINDS...EVEN GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE VERY FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER AS SOON AS
IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR LATER WATCHES AND
WARNINGS.

NCZ007>011-024>028-040>043-075>078-084>086-088-089-140930-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
216 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 308 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE...WITH DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 65 MPH LIKELY...AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL. THE BEST TIMING
FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE BETWEEN 5 PM AND 8 PM. WHILE
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER...AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT. WITH THE RECENT
HEAVY RAINS...SHALLOWLY ROOTED TREES IN PARTICULAR MAY COME DOWN
MORE EASILY IN STRONG WINDS...EVEN GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

ADDITIONALLY...THE COMBINATION OF A HUMID AIR MASS AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE MID 90S WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES AS
HIGH AS 100 TO 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED BETWEEN 4 PM AND 9 PM. SPOTTERS
SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER AS SOON AS IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.
PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR LATER WATCHES AND WARNINGS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
542 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW LEXINGTON          35.85N  80.30W
06/13/2013                   DAVIDSON           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            SCATTERED TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...ESPECIALLY
            NORTH-CENTRAL PART.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300563

BSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
545 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S SEDGE GARDEN        36.01N  80.14W
06/13/2013                   DAVIDSON           NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN... INCLUDING ONE ON A TRANSFORMER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300564

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
546 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE CARY               35.77N  78.77W
06/13/2013                   WAKE               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FOUR-FOOT DIAMETER TREE...60 FEET HIGH...BLOWN DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300565

BSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
548 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CARPENTER               35.82N  78.87W
06/13/2013                   WAKE               NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            MULTIPLE TREES BLOWN DOWN AT CARPENTER FIRE STATION
            ROAD AND HIGHWAY 55

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300566

BSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
549 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ENE BETHESDA          35.98N  78.79W
06/13/2013                   DURHAM             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PINE TREE BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 98 AND OLIVE BRANCH
            ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300567

BSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
554 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SANFORD                 35.48N  79.18W
06/13/2013                   LEE                NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SCATTERED TREES BLOWN DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300568

BSD