River Flood Warning 45, NWS Mobile, AL

093 
WGUS84 KMOB 270246
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
845 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC097-270315-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-130301T0000Z/
/SARA1.2.ER.130225T2316Z.130226T1645Z.130227T0157Z.NO/
845 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING 
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.9 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
* THE BAYOU IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1106 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

.AVIATION [18Z TAF ISSUANCE]...VFR CONDITIONS NEXT 24 HRS. GUSTY WEST
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW THRU 27.00Z BECOMES LIGHT FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST FLOW AFTER 27.12Z. /10

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013/

SHORT TERM [TODAY AND TONIGHT]...DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
MID MS RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT NORTHEAST TO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION BY 12Z WED. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM A LARGE CANADIAN SFC
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS SE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CONUS AND
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH THIS PATTERN A STRONG WESTERLY
FLOW WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 KNOTS DEVELOPS AT THE SFC BEGINNING LATER
THIS MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES OUT EARLY THIS MORNING THE HIGHER WINDS
WILL WORK DOWN TO THE SFC QUICKLY. A FEW MID TO HIGH CLOUDS MOSTLY
FROM WRAP AROUND...WEST OF THE DEEP LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL GULF STATES LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR EXTREME NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE CWFA TODAY WITH SUNNY SKIES FURTHER SOUTH. THE CLOUDS
WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT. AS FOR TEMPS WILL LEAN TOWARDS
THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE THROUGH TONIGHT. 32/EE

[WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT]...A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT DURING
THE DAY WEDNESDAY WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL
LIFT NORTHEAST...WITH ATTENDANT COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A COLD DRY
AIRMASS INTO THE REGION...SUPPORTING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE NORMAL...REACHING THE MID TO
UPPER 60S. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 30S INLAND AREAS...WITH LOWER 40S ALONG THE COAST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE AROUND 60 DEGREES...WITH LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM 33 TO 38 DEGREES INLAND AREAS AND NEAR
40 AT THE BEACHES. /22

LONG TERM [FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY]...AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL
CONTINUE TO PLUNGE SOUTHWARD INTO THE DEEP SOUTH AS ANOTHER UPPER
LOW (WITH A CORE OF -39C) OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS FRIDAY MORNING
MOVES SOUTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES ON SATURDAY. EXPECT
ISOLATED TO POSSIBLE SCATTERED COLD RAIN SHOWERS...WITH COVERAGE
DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE. THE 00Z GFS SOUNDING
INDICATES A HINT OF SNOW FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA BY LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON / EVENING HOURS...BUT WILL SEE HOW THIS TREND UNFOLDS OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

OTHERWISE IT SHOULD BE A DRY FORECAST FOR FRIDAY...AND FOR SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. BOTH HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO
MID 50S...AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S INLAND AREAS. /22

AVIATION [26.12Z KMOB/KBFM AND KPNS TAF ISSUANCE]...VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH 12Z WED. A FEW MID TO HIGH CLOUDS MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF ALL
TERMINAL SITES CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. A STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WITH
GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS WILL BE LIKELY LATER THIS MORNING CONTINUING
THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. 32/EE

MARINE...A STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE
WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE MARINE AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS A
LARGE SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. SEAS
FROM 9 TO 11 FEET MOSTLY WELL OFFSHORE CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY THEN
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW CAN
BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST. A
LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK THEN
BUILD OVER THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL MARINE ZONES
EXCEPT NORTHERN MOBILE BAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL MARINE ZONES OVERNIGHT. 32/EE

FIRE WEATHER...AS THE STRONG LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST...UP ACROSS THE
MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY...A STRONG MIXED LAYER SOUTHWEST
FLOW RESULTS IN HIGH DISPERSION. DISPERSION REMAINS ELEVATED INTO
THE WEDNESDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH MIDWEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE
OF NIGHTS. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      64  41  67  40  61 /  05  05  05  05  05
PENSACOLA   66  46  65  44  60 /  05  05  05  05  05
DESTIN      67  48  64  45  60 /  05  05  05  05  05
EVERGREEN   63  38  66  37  60 /  05  05  05  05  05
WAYNESBORO  59  37  67  36  59 /  05  05  05  05  05
CAMDEN      61  37  66  36  59 /  05  05  05  05  05
CRESTVIEW   69  40  69  39  63 /  05  05  05  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

FL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: NORTHERN MOBILE BAY...

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...PENSACOLA
     BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...WATERS
     FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI
     SOUND...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1026 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-271630-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1026 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERAL AREA RIVERS REMAIN IN MINOR FLOOD. REFER TO LATEST RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERAL AREA RIVERS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN MINOR FLOOD INTO THE
WEEKEND. REFER TO LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR
SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS WILL NOT BE
REQUIRED THROUGH MONDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-271630-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1020 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION
TODAY WILL RESULT IN NEAR GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS TODAY AND HIGH SEAS.
HEADING INTO TONIGHT...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL MEET ADVISORY
CRITERIA WITH HIGH SEAS CONTINUING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW AND MODERATE SEAS WILL MAINTAIN
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.