Flash Flood Warning 119, NWS Memphis, TN

563 
WGUS54 KMEG 220357
FFWMEG
TNC017-033-045-047-053-069-075-077-079-097-113-167-183-220600-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0119.000000T0000Z-131222T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
957 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  CROCKETT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN DYER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHERN GIBSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN WEAKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  NORTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  HAYWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN TIPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST

* AT 955 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL
  HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  BROWNSVILLE...HUMBOLDT...HUNTINGDON...JACKSON...MCKENZIE...MILAN...
  PARIS...TRENTON AND PARIS LANDING STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3635 8803 3635 8809 3629 8808 3614 8819
      3583 8852 3558 8864 3540 8888 3523 8920
      3500 8935 3500 8964 3543 8962 3542 8947
      3570 8949 3600 8919 3614 8853 3651 8852
      3651 8805 3644 8805 3638 8801

$$

383 
WGUS74 KMEG 220600
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1200 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

TNC017-033-045-047-053-069-075-077-079-097-113-167-183-220609-
/O.EXP.KMEG.FF.W.0119.000000T0000Z-131222T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEAKLEY TN-CARROLL TN-CROCKETT TN-DYER TN-FAYETTE TN-GIBSON TN-
HARDEMAN TN-HAYWOOD TN-HENDERSON TN-HENRY TN-LAUDERDALE TN-MADISON TN-
TIPTON TN-
1200 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN TIPTON...MADISON...SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE...HENRY...
NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON...HAYWOOD...NORTHWESTERN HARDEMAN...SOUTHERN
GIBSON...FAYETTE...SOUTHEASTERN DYER...CROCKETT...CARROLL AND
SOUTHEASTERN WEAKLEY COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3635 8803 3635 8809 3629 8808 3614 8819
      3583 8852 3558 8864 3540 8888 3523 8920
      3500 8935 3500 8964 3543 8962 3542 8947
      3570 8949 3600 8919 3614 8853 3651 8852
      3651 8805 3644 8805 3638 8801

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
619 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 449 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013/

UPDATE...UPDATED TO EXPAND FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 206 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013/

CURRENTLY STORMS ARE GETTING THEIR ACT TOGETHER JUST TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE CWA..SO NOT MUCH TIME TO DISCUSS. LEADING
EDGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IS SURGING INTO EAST TEXAS AND A
1000MB SURFACE LOW WAS JUST NOW ARKANSAS. TORNADO WATCH IN PLACE
FOR MOST OF THE MIDSOUTH COUNTIES ALONG AND EAST OF THE MS
RIVER...WITH STRONG BACKED WINDS CURRENTLY IN THE DELTA. SEEMS
VERY PROBABLE FOR A STRONG/SIGNIFICANT TORNADO TO DEVELOP LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...AS MUCAPES MAY EXCEED 1500
J/KG. A WIND ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT TILL MIDNIGHT FOR THE AREA.

FURTHER WEST AND NORTH RAIN HAS BEEN HEAVY ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE
STALLED FRONT. LATEST RAIN AMOUNTS SHOW 4 TO 5 INCHES HAS ALREADY
FALLEN...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH
MIDNIGHT WHEN THE FLASHFLOOD WATCH EXPIRES. SOME REPORTS OF
FLOODING HAVE ALSO BEEN SENT TO THE OFFICE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

STORM IS EXPECTED TO LIFT OUT LATE TONIGHT WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL
DRY PUNCH MOVING INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES. SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT
MORE SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND REMAIN BREEZY AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS
INTO THE MIDWEST. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH BY MORNING HOWEVER. FOR
SUNDAY EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS A CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES IN
THE EAST AND SOUTH AND TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE 40S AND 50S.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES FALLING TO FREEZING FOR
POINTS NORTH OF INTERSTATE FORTY.

HOLIDAY WEEK...LOOKS TO BE BELOW NORMAL AND DRY THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH THE COLDEST DAY EXPECTED ON CHRISTMAS EVE...WHERE THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH FREEZING. CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN COLD CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT WITH A BRIEF WARM UP ON
CHRISTMAS DAY AND ON THURSDAY. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS
ANTICIPATED LATE THURSDAY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER HIGHS FOR THE LAST
WEEKEND OF 2013.

JAB

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THROUGH
THE BEGINNING TO MIDDLE PART OF THE TAF PERIOD. A SEVERE TSTORM
THREAT WITH POSSIBLE TORNADIC ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT MEM AND MKL
THROUGH AT LEAST 22/04Z...WITH THE THREAT SHIFTING EAST BY 22/05Z
AND AFFECTING TUP THROUGH 09Z. A MIX OF CIGS AND VSBYS RANGING
FROM VFR/MVFR/IFR AT TIMES DUE TO TSTORMS. CONDS SHOULD IMPROVE
FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA SOMETIME AFTER 12Z AT
MEM...MKL..AND JBR...WITH TUP FOLLOWING SOMETIME AFTER 18Z
TOMORROW.

AC3

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  51  56  32  40 / 100  10  10   0
MKL  52  57  31  39 / 100  10  10   0
JBR  42  48  28  37 /  80  10  10   0
TUP  58  67  36  45 / 100  20  10   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CRITTENDEN-LEE AR-
     MISSISSIPPI-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR DUNKLIN-
     PEMISCOT.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR COAHOMA-DESOTO-
     PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CROCKETT-DYER-
     GIBSON-HAYWOOD-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-
     WEAKLEY.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
502 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-230115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
502 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST OF A
TIPTONVILLE TENNESSEE TO A FORREST CITY ARKANSAS LINE. THIS AREA
INCLUDES THE MAJORITY OF THE MIDSOUTH. PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE
TORNADOES... A FEW OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...AND DAMAGING WINDS.
LARGE HAIL WILL BE A SECONDARY THREAT.

AREAS WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF TORNADOES INCLUDE SOUTHWEST
TENNESSEE...INCLUDING THE MEMPHIS METROPOLITAN AREA... EAST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS...AND ALL OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI. PEAK TORNADO
RISK TIMING WILL RANGE FROM NOW UNTIL MIDEVENING.

BEYOND MIDEVENING TO MIDNIGHT...THE TORNADO RISK WILL
DECREASE...WHILE DAMAGING WIND THREAT CONTINUES OVER NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE.

AREAS NORTHWEST OF A TIPTONVILLE TO FORREST CITY LINE...A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS
AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF TORNADO.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THREE TO SIX INCH RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE COMMON
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NECESSARY THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
626 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     FLOOD            GERMANTOWN              35.09N 89.79W
12/21/2013                   SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR STREET FLOODING AND ESTIMATED 50-55 MPH WIND ON THE
            WEST SIDE OF GERMANTOWN.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
628 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             OLIVE BRANCH            34.95N 89.83W
12/21/2013  E0.75 INCH       DESOTO             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME HAIL ALONG CENTER HILL ROAD AT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.
            LASTED 3 MINUTES.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
630 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0621 PM     TSTM WND GST     BATESVILLE              34.32N 89.94W
12/21/2013  M0 MPH           PANOLA             MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            55 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT FIRE DEPARTMENT.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
634 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             COLLIERVILLE            35.06N 89.68W
12/21/2013  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             TN   PUBLIC

            WEST SIDE OF COLLIERVILLE ALONG SHELBY DRIVE AT FOREST
            HILL

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
636 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SENATOBIA               34.62N 89.97W
12/21/2013                   TATE               MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREES DOWN. LOTS OF LIMBS BROKEN. ESTIMATED 50-60
            MPH WIND. POWER IS OUT.

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
640 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     TSTM WND GST     GERMANTOWN              35.09N 89.79W
12/21/2013  E65 MPH          SHELBY             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GERMANTOWN PKWY AND POPLER ESTIMATED 65MPH WIND ALONG
            WITH DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

JDS