Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Warnings in 2013

Tornado Warning 41, NWS Little Rock, AR

May 30, 2013Polk County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this tornado warning at May 30, 2013, 5:37 PM CDT for Polk County, Arkansas. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2013, 5:37 PM CDT (22:37 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2013, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Little Rock, AR
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Polk County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 1:21 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2018 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 497 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 188 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 227 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.2
Supercell composite: 5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

229 
WFUS54 KLZK 302237
TORLZK
ARC113-302300-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0041.130530T2237Z-130530T2300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
537 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL POLK COUNTY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 535 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS SEVERE
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HARTLEY...OR 15 MILES SOUTH OF MENA. DOPPLER
  RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...
  CANEY CREEK WILDERNESS...                   SHADY...
  HARTLEY...            COSSATOT RIVER STATE PARK...
  BARD SPRINGS RECREATION AREA...            
  ROARING BRANCH NATURAL AREA...             
  SHADY LAKE RECREATION AREA...               BIG FORK...
  HEATH VALLEY...       NAZARENE CAMPGROUND...
  LOST MTN...           WEST HANNA MTN...     TURNERS MTN...
  RASPBERRY MTN...      NICHOLS MTN...        LEADER MTN...
  KATY MTN...           HURRICANE KNOB...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3458 9393 3435 9394 3435 9423 3440 9424
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 249DEG 16KT 3438 9415

$$

53/28

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 30, 2:03 PM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:03 PM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
203 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH
ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...HIGH SHEAR...AND INSTABILITY
PRESENT. SOME SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 02Z. SOME STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL...GIVEN THE SLOW MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR...AND
INCREASING PRECIPITABLE WATER.

ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...DIMINISHING A BIT AFTER SUNSET. HOWEVER...
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS ANOTHER WAVE MOVES
THROUGH...AND THE LOW LEVEL JET KICKS IN. THESE WILL MOST LIKELY
AFFECT NORTHERN ARKANSAS.

THERE WILL LIKELY BE A BRIEF BREAK DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...
COLD FRONT WILL START TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE REGION LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA...PARTICULARLY IN THE
NORTHWEST. DUE TO ALREADY WET GROUND...THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HIGHER TOTALS OF FIVE INCHES OR MORE NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION. FOR THIS REASON...HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR NORTHWEST/NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEGINNING FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH MID DAY SATURDAY. IF MODEL TRENDS ARE ANY INDICATION...
THIS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD A BIT IN THE NEXT 12-24
HOURS.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ARKANSAS MID DAY INTO
LATE SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS/STORMS CONTINUING. WHILE LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL IS A POSSIBILITY THEN...IT/S NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS
WIDESPREAD.

FRONT SHOULD CLEAR OUT BY LATE SATURDAY...WITH COOLER WEATHER IN
THE OFFING.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     70  81  71  81 /  60  30  50  70
CAMDEN AR         70  85  71  88 /  50  10  20  60
HARRISON AR       67  82  68  78 /  60  30  80  80
HOT SPRINGS AR    71  85  73  83 /  50  10  20  70
LITTLE ROCK   AR  71  86  72  84 /  40  20  20  70
MONTICELLO AR     72  90  73  89 /  30  10  20  60
MOUNT IDA AR      72  84  74  83 /  50  10  30  70
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  68  82  68  81 /  60  30  80  80
NEWPORT AR        71  83  71  81 /  60  30  30  70
PINE BLUFF AR     71  85  72  85 /  30  10  20  70
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  83  71  81 /  50  20  50  80
SEARCY AR         70  83  70  82 /  50  20  30  70
STUTTGART AR      71  85  72  86 /  40  20  20  70
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR BAXTER-BOONE-MARION-NEWTON-SEARCY.
&&

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...62

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 3:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
335 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
335 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE NORTHWEST
HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THERE IS A THREAT FOR
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IN WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL SECTIONS...
THROUGH 9 PM. ALSO... DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED... ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

YET ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE
NATIONS MID SECTION. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY AND SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS BUT THE TORNADO
THREAT CAN NOT BE DISCOUNTED ENTIRELY.

IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG STORMS...THE MOISTURE LADEN
AIR MASS COULD ALSO LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE STATE IS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER FRIDAY.

THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ON
SATURDAY FINALLY ALLOWING A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO ADVANCE INTO
THE STATE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE BOUNDARY AND SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN CONCERN. THE AREA
OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE BOUNDARY ITSELF AND WILL COVER A MUCH
LARGER AREA THAN TODAY OR FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

56

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 4:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
405 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0404 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     BRADY MOUNTAIN RECREATI 34.58N 93.27W
05/30/2013                   GARLAND            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 4:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
417 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0404 PM     TORNADO          BRADY MOUNTAIN RECREATI 34.58N 93.27W
05/30/2013                   GARLAND            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES WERE REPORTED TO BE DOWN.

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 4:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
419 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MOUNTAIN PINE           34.57N 93.17W
05/30/2013                   GARLAND            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 4:39 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
439 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     TORNADO          2 NW AMITY              34.29N 93.49W
05/30/2013                   PIKE               AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TRAILER WAS DESTROYED AND THREE HOUSES WERE DAMANGED.
            REPORT RELAYED THROUGH KLRT.

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 4:51 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
451 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 PM     TORNADO          4 N AMITY               34.32N 93.46W
05/30/2013                   CLARK              AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            *** 3 INJ *** DAMAGE ALSO WAS REPORTED NORTH OF AMITY.

&&

55

Local storm report, May 30, 4:53 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
453 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TORNADO          2 E WICKES              34.30N 94.30W
05/30/2013                   POLK               AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO WAS REPORTED.

&&

55

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 29, 7:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Independence	30 min
May 30, 2:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Newton	51 min
May 30, 3:20 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Boone	45 min
May 30, 3:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Newton	44 min
May 30, 11:59 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Scott	31 min
May 30, 12:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Logan, Scott	45 min
May 30, 12:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Scott, Yell	46 min
May 30, 1:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope, Searcy	44 min
May 30, 1:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy and 2 more	48 min
May 30, 1:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Logan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott	44 min
May 30, 1:50 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LZK	Baxter, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton and 17 more	53 hr
May 30, 2:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Polk, Scott	29 min
May 30, 2:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Baxter, Searcy	44 min
May 30, 2:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell	41 min
May 30, 2:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline	52 min
May 30, 2:46 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Yell	44 min
May 30, 2:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike	41 min
May 30, 2:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Independence, Jackson	51 min
May 30, 3:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Independence, Sharp	28 min
May 30, 3:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike	41 min
May 30, 3:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Sharp and 1 more	45 min
May 30, 3:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery, Perry	42 min
May 30, 3:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Polk	43 min
May 30, 3:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry	43 min
May 30, 3:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery	32 min
May 30, 3:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Fulton, Izard, Sharp	26 min
May 30, 3:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Polk, Scott	41 min
May 30, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski	44 min
May 30, 4:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln	39 min
May 30, 4:07 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline	38 min
May 30, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Fulton, Izard, Stone	50 min
May 30, 4:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline	32 min
May 30, 4:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Saline	49 min
May 30, 4:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Polk	41 min
May 30, 4:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Polk	35 min
May 30, 4:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln	50 min
May 30, 5:00 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Perry, Saline	3 hr
May 30, 5:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott	36 min
May 30, 5:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Yell	34 min
May 30, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Perry, Saline	31 min
May 30, 5:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk	43 min
May 30, 5:18 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Polk, Scott and 1 more	2 hr
May 30, 5:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Polk	52 min
May 30, 5:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Pike	52 min
May 30, 5:51 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Independence, Jackson, White, Woodruff	3 hr
May 30, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Desha, Drew	38 min
May 30, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Polk	44 min
May 30, 6:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike, Polk	51 min
May 30, 6:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Garland, Montgomery	46 min
May 30, 6:48 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LZK	Clark, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Hot Spring, Perry and 3 more	4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Arkansas, 2013 Every tornado warning in 2013 Tornadoes in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.