Severe Thunderstorm Warning 152, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1048 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

.UPDATE...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A HEALTHY BAND OF MOISTURE COMING
UP FROM EAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...WITH
DEWPOINTS MOSTLY AT OR ABOVE 70 DEGREES. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS
ALSO SHOWING AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM PUSHING IN FROM NORTH TEXAS
INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY. OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS...CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS PERSISTED...AND EVEN BECOME A BIT
MORE WIDESPREAD. AHEAD OF THAT SYSTEM...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS HAVE
PERISISTED OR DEVELOPED IN CENTRAL/EASTERN ARKANSAS. SEE NO
REASON THAT THIS TREND WON/T CONTINUE AS WE GET FURTHER INTO THE
HEATING OF THE DAY. BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS IN THE DELTA REGION MAY
ALLOW FOR BETTER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
WELL.

HAVE SENT OUT AN UPDATE TO ALL FORECASTS...RASING PRECIP CHANCES
IN ALL AREAS...AS WELL AS ADJUSTING THE FORECAST TO BETTER REFLECT
CURRENT TRENDS. FOR NOW...HAVE LEFT MAXIMUM TEMPS AS-IS...SINCE
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE...AND PRECIP SHOULD BECOME A
LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD. MAY EVEN HAVE TO LOWER THEM IN A FEW
PLACES FOR SUCCESSIVE UPDATES.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 602 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013/

AVIATION...

STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WANE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA/WESTERN
ARKANSAS AT THIS TIME BUT WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE
ELSEWHERE AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THIS MORNING FOR OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS CONTINUE. PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SCATTERED IN NATURE BUT
THE BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHWEST TERMINALS.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

57

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1159 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

ARZ030-037-301730-
LOGAN AR-SCOTT AR-
1159 AM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN SCOTT AND WESTERN LOGAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM CDT...

AT 1155 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MANSFIELD TO NEAR MORGAN SPRINGS TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGAN
SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WALDRON...            BOONEVILLE...         RATCLIFF...
  OLIVER...             MORGAN SPRINGS...     MANSFIELD...
  LAKE HINKLE...        ECHO...               BEAUCHAMP...
  WINFIELD...           LUCAS...              IONE...
  HON...                ELM PARK...           CHISMVILLE...
  CAUTHRON...           CAULKSVILLE...        CAROLAN...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN!

LAT...LON 3493 9445 3496 9441 3497 9424 3505 9423
      3507 9425 3511 9415 3515 9414 3515 9404
      3523 9404 3524 9393 3533 9391 3532 9382
      3512 9381 3475 9424 3473 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 1700Z 219DEG 32KT 3507 9418 3492 9432
          3485 9438

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